From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med

This report by Ember analyzes renewable power capacity in the Mediterranean region, comparing current trends and national targets against the TeraMed Initiative's goal of 1 TW by 2030. It finds that while renewable capacity has already surpassed fossil fuel capacity and is projected to double by 2030, significant acceleration in deployment is required to meet the 1 TW target.

• As of 2023, the Mediterranean region's installed renewable power capacity reached 315 GW, which exceeds the 293 GW of fossil fuel-based generation capacity. The renewable mix is led by hydropower (108 GW), solar (107 GW), and wind (88 GW).
• Renewable capacity in the region is projected to double from 315 GW in 2023 to 626 GW by 2030, driven primarily by additions of 204 GW in solar and 89 GW in wind. The growth rate is accelerating, with a projected increase of nearly 100% (+310 GW) between 2024 and 2030, compared to a 55% (+112 GW) increase from 2016 to 2023.
• The region is currently on track to miss the TeraMed Initiative's 2030 target of 1 TW of renewable capacity by 374 GW. To bridge this gap, the average annual installation rate must increase from the planned 44 GW per year to 98 GW per year, requiring an additional 54 GW of wind and solar annually.
• Renewable capacity distribution is highly uneven: in 2023, Southern European countries held 73% (230 GW), Türkiye held 19% (58.5 GW), and North African countries held 4% (12 GW). Morocco is a regional leader, with renewables accounting for 40% of its total power generation capacity in 2023, with a target of 52% by 2030.
• Algeria is expected to see significant relative growth in renewables through its Renewable Energy Development Programme, targeting 16 GW of solar, 5 GW of wind, and 1 GW of other technologies, which is nearly a 40-fold increase from its 2023 capacity of 0.6 GW.
• The report notes a shift in energy cooperation from a historical model of one-way fossil fuel flows from South to North toward balanced regional collaboration. This is evidenced by the 2024 EU-Egypt Strategic Partnership and the TeraMed Initiative, launched in September 2024 at Cairo Energy Week.
• To support the surge in renewables and a net-zero transition, substantial investments in grids and storage are required. OMEC projections suggest energy storage will need to rise from 1-2% of total power generation by 2030 to 10% by 2050.

APA

Cremona, E., & Brown, S. (2025). From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/04/Ember-2025-Tripling-renewables-in-the-mediterrenean-1.pdf

Chicago

Cremona, Elisabeth, and Sarah Brown. From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med. Ember, 2025. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/04/Ember-2025-Tripling-renewables-in-the-mediterrenean-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cremona |first1=Elisabeth |last2=Brown |first2=Sarah |title=From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med |publisher=Ember |date=2 April 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/04/Ember-2025-Tripling-renewables-in-the-mediterrenean-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cremona2025from, author = {Cremona, Elisabeth and Brown, Sarah}, title = {{From fossil flows to renewable cooperation - tripling renewables in the Med}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = apr, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/04/Ember-2025-Tripling-renewables-in-the-mediterrenean-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }