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PARIS RISQUÉS VALEURS SÛRES
The document distinguishes between 'safe bets'—technologies available commercially without major implementation constraints—and 'risky bets'—solutions with uncertain prospects that could still be significant for carbon neutrality. It notes that safe bets provide the majority of reductions by 2030, while risky bets increase in importance by 2050.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FACTORS affecting how our energy systems will evolve: Canada has more ADVANTAGES than other countries in pursuit of net zero
The document outlines three distinct net-zero energy system pathways for Canada: a fossil fuel system reliant on negative emissions, a biofuel-dominant system, and an electrification and hydrogen-based system. It identifies internal factors within Canada's control, such as domestic policy and infrastructure, and external factors like global market trends and technological innovation that will influence the evolution of these systems. Each pathway is analyzed through its specific upsides, downsides, and implementation barriers, ranging from the risk of delaying structural economic change in fossil fuel systems to the massive land-use footprints required for biofuels and electrification.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FACTEURS influençant l’évolution des systèmes énergétiques
The document evaluates three potential energy systems for Canada's transition to carbon neutrality: one based on fossil fuels with negative emissions, one based on second-generation biofuels, and one based on electrification and hydrogen. It identifies that while Canada possesses assets like land and infrastructure, the choice of system depends on factors such as technological viability, social justice, and international market trends.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Inclusive Transformation of the European Materials Sector
The report examines the transition of the European basic materials sector (cement, steel, paper, aluminium, chemicals) toward carbon neutrality by 2050. It identifies that these sectors account for approximately 16% of European GHG emissions. Through analysis of Hungary, Poland, and Spain, the document highlights a prevalence of short-term policy focuses on carbon leakage and energy costs over long-term structural transformation. It proposes a policy package consisting of carbon pricing mechanisms (Border Tax Adjustments or Inclusion of Consumption), low-emission and circularity standards, and Contracts for Differences (CCfDs) to incentivise breakthrough technologies and ensure a cost-competitive supply of low-carbon electricity.
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Document type: Report
Bad chemistry
The report analyzes how the EU chemical sector has avoided the costs of carbon pollution through free allowances under the EU ETS, noting that 98% of emissions since 2013 were covered. It highlights that the sector remains a major emitter, with emissions increasing in 2024, and that the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) currently only covers a small fraction of the industry. The author argues that this system protects polluters and hinders decarbonization, specifically citing BASF as an example of a company receiving more allowances than it needs while opposing carbon costs. The report recommends a clear phase-out timeline for free allowances, more ambitious benchmarking, and the introduction of decarbonization conditionalities.
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Document type: Report
EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025
The briefing argues that the EU can cut Russian gas imports by 66% (101 bcm) by 2025 by fast-tracking the 'Fit for 55' package and scaling renewables and electrification. It asserts that this reduction can be achieved without new gas import infrastructure or extending coal power generation.
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Document type: Briefing
Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator
The California Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) indicates that a 55 percent reduction in emissions by 2030 is achievable without new technologies and would generate significant economic and social benefits. The scenario projects a $55.4 billion increase in state GDP, the creation of 235,000 total jobs, and the avoidance of 1,829 premature deaths by 2030. Achieving this target requires accelerating the deployment of electrification, hydrogen, and carbon capture in industry, as well as reaching 90% clean energy for grid-scale generation by 2030.
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Document type: Briefing
ENERGY LEADERSHIP IN A TIME OF NEED: A BLUEPRINT FOR STATES
The document argues that U.S. states should implement 'no-regrets' actions in building and industrial efficiency to counter the negative economic impacts of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which is projected to cost households $170 billion in higher energy bills and reduce GDP by $1.1 trillion by 2035. It advocates for the deployment of heat pumps and electric boilers, noting that residential heat pumps have held a 56 percent market share for space heating since 2021. The briefing specifically highlights the potential of industrial electric heat pumps for low-temperature heat (under 200 °C), which are two to four times more efficient than fossil-fueled versions but currently make up less than 2 percent of the market. To overcome barriers such as upfront capital and high electricity rates, the document recommends a suite of policy actions, including adopting modern energy codes, implementing building performance standards, providing point-of-sale rebates, and creating revolving loan funds.
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Document type: Briefing
Federal Standards and State Support Necessary for Inflation Reduction Act’s Buildings Benefits
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) provides significant funding for residential, commercial, and federal building decarbonization, including nearly $9.9 billion for high-efficiency electric residential buildings and $1 billion for building code adoption. Energy Innovation modeling suggests these provisions could save households $80 annually and create 1.2 to 1.3 million net new jobs by 2030. However, the document asserts that because of slow equipment turnover, the U.S. requires more stringent appliance standards and active implementation by state, local, and Tribal governments—including updated utility planning and workforce support—to meet greenhouse gas reduction goals.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Colombia’s planned gas glut: more than double projected demand
Colombia is planning at least nine major LNG import terminal projects and expansions between 2026 and 2030, which could create a capacity of 2,500 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). This capacity is more than double the 1,000 MMcf/d gas demand projected by the Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética (UPME) for 2030. The report argues that overbuilding LNG infrastructure risks creating stranded assets, increasing dependence on volatile global markets, and undermining the country's roadmap to reduce fossil fuel dependence and emissions by 90% by 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
Deep Energy Retrofit Case Study
The Carol Avenue Apartments in Boston are undergoing a deep energy retrofit scheduled for completion in late 2024. The project focuses on transitioning a 33-unit, 1910-era property from fossil fuel-based systems to a fully electric infrastructure. By combining interior wall insulation, roof upgrades, and the installation of a Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) system, the property is estimated to reduce energy use by 55 percent. The addition of 65.3 kW of rooftop solar PV is projected to further increase total energy reduction to 64 percent and reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 41 percent.
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Document type: Case study
REALIZE Zero Carbon Deep Energy Retrofit Case Study
The Hano Homes project in Boston aims to transform a multifamily residential building constructed in 1888 into a net-zero energy property through a deep energy retrofit planned for 2023–2024. The strategy involves wrapping the building in a superinsulated exterior shell, replacing gas boilers and water heaters with all-electric heat pump systems, and installing a 100–110 kW rooftop solar PV system. These measures are expected to reduce energy usage by 69% and eliminate operational greenhouse gas emissions, while the use of bio-based insulation is intended to store carbon and reduce embodied emissions.
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Document type: Case study
Global Tracking Framework
The Global Tracking Framework establishes a baseline and monitoring system for the SE4ALL 2030 goals. While the world saw significant gains between 1990 and 2010, population and economic growth have diluted these impacts, making 'business as usual' insufficient. Achieving the goals will require an additional $600–800 billion in annual investment, bold policy shifts such as phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, and critical progress in 'high-impact' countries, particularly China and India.
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Document type: Executive summary
p2dataandevidenceworkingpaper-43b123b2b089f7be.pdf
The document provides a comprehensive framework of indicators designed to measure gender equality within the energy sector. It categorizes these indicators into three work streams: general gender equality, social inclusion/equity policies, and energy-specific impacts. The paper maps available data from sources such as the World Bank, ILO, and OECD, while highlighting significant data gaps in gender-disaggregated energy access and the specific time-use burdens of women in fuel collection and cooking.
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Document type: Research paper
Integrating Clean Cooking into National Energy Access Planning Tools and Considerations for Planning and Implementing eCooking
The report argues that electrification and clean cooking have historically been treated as separate sectors, leading to inefficient energy planning. It advocates for 'integrated energy planning' that leverages the synergies between electricity access and eCooking to accelerate the transition away from biomass. The document reviews various modelling approaches—including energy system planning, sub-sector planning, and geospatial energy access planning—and highlights the Integrated Clean Cooking Plan Tool (ICCPT) in Rwanda as a significant methodological advance. It also details the policy, financial, and data requirements necessary to operationalize these plans, such as eCooking tariffs, results-based financing, and digital monitoring, reporting and verification (dMRV) for carbon finance.
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Document type: Report
women_empowerment_sustainable_energy_0-d033fdbdfe99ce73.pdf
The report evaluates the extent to which gender considerations are embedded in national energy policies and the corporate practices of energy companies. It utilizes a scoring system to analyze female participation, economic empowerment, education, and labor rights across different income levels and energy sectors, including renewable energy, energy efficiency, and electrification.
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Document type: Report
Memoria de modelación de metas a 2030, 2035 y 2050 para la NDC de Colombia
The document details a bottom-up modeling exercise using the Energy Scope tool to project Colombia's energy transition. It outlines a path toward net-zero emissions by 2050, characterized by a massive scale-up of solar and wind capacity, the gradual phase-out of fossil fuels, and the integration of energy storage and green hydrogen. The modeling identifies specific capacity targets for renewable energy across three time horizons and highlights the role of natural gas as a transitional fuel for transport and industry before full electrification.
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Document type: Report
Análisis sectorial desde la demanda en Colombia: Escenarios de transición del gas en el sector residencial
The document analyzes the feasibility and impact of electrifying residential thermal uses in Colombia, specifically replacing gas stoves and water heaters with electric induction and instant heaters. Using a simulation model, it identifies economic, cultural, and technical barriers to adoption and argues that an immediate shift to total electrification is more cost-effective than a mixed transition. It highlights the risk of gas supply shortages by 2038 and recommends public policies, such as equipment substitution programs and local value chain strengthening, to accelerate a just energy transition.
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Document type: Policy brief
A Transformative Climate Action Framework: Putting People at the Center of Our Nation’s Clean Energy Transition
The document details five modeling scenarios for US decarbonization, comparing a business-as-usual reference case against pathways aiming for net zero emissions by 2050. It provides quantitative data on emissions, energy supply, and technology deployment, specifically highlighting the roles of electrification, renewable energy, and carbon capture.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Microsoft Word - JCI and WMBC 2025 - Japan NDC note_English.docx
The document analyzes Japan's second NDC, submitted in February 2025, which targets greenhouse gas emission reductions of 60% by 2035 and 73% by 2040 relative to 2013 levels. The authors argue these targets are insufficient for a developed nation and fall below the global average required for the 1.5°C goal. The briefing emphasizes that Japan is currently off track for its 2030 goals and risks economic disadvantage by maintaining a reliance on fossil fuels. It calls for a rapid phase-out of coal by 2035, a significant increase in renewable energy capacity—potentially reaching 65-80% of electricity supply by 2035—and the implementation of a robust carbon pricing system via the GX-ETS with a binding emissions cap. The report also highlights the role of electrification, particularly through heat pumps and electric vehicles, and the strong support for more ambitious action from the Japanese business community.
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Document type: Briefing