EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025
Summary
The briefing argues that the EU can cut Russian gas imports by 66% (101 bcm) by 2025 by fast-tracking the 'Fit for 55' package and scaling renewables and electrification. It asserts that this reduction can be achieved without new gas import infrastructure or extending coal power generation.
Key insights
- The EU can reduce Russian gas imports by 66%, equivalent to 101 billion cubic meters (bcm), by 2025. This is achievable by implementing the 'Fit for 55' package and accelerating the deployment of energy efficiency, electrification, and renewable electricity.
- Reducing dependence on Russian gas does not require the construction of new EU gas import infrastructure, such as LNG terminals, as existing underutilised assets can handle the 51 bcm of alternatively sourced gas imports.
- The proposed acceleration of clean energy solutions allows the EU to decrease fossil gas demand without slowing the decline of coal-fired electricity generation.
- Increasing wind and solar capacity to 691 GW by 2025 (an increase of 158 GW over 'Fit for 55' targets) could reduce fossil gas demand by 31 bcm, representing 20% of Russian imports.
- Demand-side actions offer significant gas savings by 2025: energy efficiency measures can save 13 bcm, heat pumps in buildings can save 19 bcm, and the electrification of space heating and low- to medium-temperature heat processes can save 6.5 bcm.
- The 'substitution effect' of switching from Russian gas to other import sources is expected to decline sharply after 2025, meaning new gas infrastructure or long-term contracts beyond this horizon risk creating fossil lock-in.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Brown, S., Vangenechten, D., Lehne, J., Fischer, L., Claeys, B., Rosenow, J., Lovisolo, M., & Whiriskey, K. (n.d.). EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/EU-can-stop-Russian-gas-imports-by-2025-1.pdf
- Chicago
- Brown, Sarah, Domien Vangenechten, Johanna Lehne, Lisa Fischer, Bram Claeys, Jan Rosenow, Marta Lovisolo, and Keith Whiriskey. EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025. Ember, n.d. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/EU-can-stop-Russian-gas-imports-by-2025-1.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Brown |first1=Sarah |last2=Vangenechten |first2=Domien |last3=Lehne |first3=Johanna |last4=Fischer |first4=Lisa |last5=Claeys |first5=Bram |last6=Rosenow |first6=Jan |last7=Lovisolo |first7=Marta |last8=Whiriskey |first8=Keith |title=EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025 |publisher=Ember |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/EU-can-stop-Russian-gas-imports-by-2025-1.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{brownndcan, author = {Brown, Sarah and Vangenechten, Domien and Lehne, Johanna and Fischer, Lisa and Claeys, Bram and Rosenow, Jan and Lovisolo, Marta and Whiriskey, Keith}, title = {{EU CAN STOP RUSSIAN GAS IMPORTS BY 2025}}, institution = {Ember}, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/EU-can-stop-Russian-gas-imports-by-2025-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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