Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator

The California Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) indicates that a 55 percent reduction in emissions by 2030 is achievable without new technologies and would generate significant economic and social benefits. The scenario projects a $55.4 billion increase in state GDP, the creation of 235,000 total jobs, and the avoidance of 1,829 premature deaths by 2030. Achieving this target requires accelerating the deployment of electrification, hydrogen, and carbon capture in industry, as well as reaching 90% clean energy for grid-scale generation by 2030.

• A 55 percent reduction target would require statewide emissions to drop to 194 million metric tons (MMT) of CO2e by 2030, down from an estimated 1990 level of 431 MMT of CO2e.
• The 55 Percent Reduction Scenario is projected to increase California's Gross Domestic Product by $55.4 billion (in 2021 dollars) by 2030 and create 235,000 total jobs, including 59,000 in the construction and manufacturing sectors.
• The scenario estimates $26.9 billion in social benefits for 2030, primarily driven by public health improvements, including 1,829 avoided premature deaths. These health benefits accrue disproportionately to people of Hispanic or Latino status.
• To reach the target, the scenario accelerates the implementation of industrial policies by 2032, including hydrogen production by electrolysis, fuel shifting to electrification and hydrogen, and Carbon Capture and Storage. In transportation, it targets 100 percent zero-emission vehicles for long-haul freight trucking by 2030.
• The electricity sector goals for 2030 under this scenario include reaching 95% clean energy as a percentage of end use demand and 90% as a share of grid-scale generation.

APA

Energy Innovation (n.d.). Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator. https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/California-Energy-Policy-Simulator-55-Percent-Reduction-revised-30-Aug-2022.pdf

Chicago

Energy Innovation. Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator. n.d. https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/California-Energy-Policy-Simulator-55-Percent-Reduction-revised-30-Aug-2022.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Energy Innovation |title=Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator |url=https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/California-Energy-Policy-Simulator-55-Percent-Reduction-revised-30-Aug-2022.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{energyinnovationndevaluating, author = {{Energy Innovation}}, title = {{Evaluating Policies for California to Reach 55 Percent Reductions by 2030 using the Energy Policy Simulator}}, institution = {Energy Innovation}, url = {https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/California-Energy-Policy-Simulator-55-Percent-Reduction-revised-30-Aug-2022.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }