Search Climate Insights Directory

Mexico's electricity sector is highly dependent on US gas imports, with 54% of electricity generated using imported gas in 2024. The report argues that accelerating the transition to clean energy—specifically solar and wind—can enhance energy security and independence. Achieving a 45% clean generation target by 2030 would require 46 GW of new capacity, potentially reducing gas imports for power by 20% and saving $1.6 billion USD annually. Such a transition would also create over 434,000 direct jobs in construction and operation.

The project examines how ocean currents, wind patterns, and river runoff influence pink shrimp (Farfantepenaeus paulensis) harvests in Brazil's Patos Lagoon. It highlights that environmental risks are exacerbated by rigid policies, such as fixed fishing seasons and easy credit leading to fleet overcapacity. The research aims to improve fisheries management and catch prediction models by understanding the interaction between social vulnerability and environmental processes.

The document identifies that up to 40% of Sweden's population is at high risk of being adversely affected by low-carbon transport transitions, particularly those in low-density areas and those at risk of poverty. It argues that transition policies must be tailored to socioeconomic and geographic factors to avoid exacerbating inequalities and political resistance. The authors propose a framework of four key strategies—structural transport design, group-tailored assistance, mitigation of external vulnerabilities, and continuous evaluation—to ensure a socially equitable and politically viable transition to net-zero emissions by 2045.

The document examines the barriers to electric vehicle (EV) adoption for low-income consumers, specifically highlighting that while subsidies like the Inflation Reduction Act address upfront costs, high repair and maintenance costs remain a significant risk. It notes that for low-income households, the loss of a vehicle due to repair costs can lead to job loss and reduced access to healthcare. To mitigate these risks, the author suggests strategic investments in EV government fleets and public transportation, such as the EPA's Clean School Bus Rebates, which provide immediate air quality benefits to environmental justice communities without placing financial risk on vulnerable individuals.

The report examines India's energy transition, comparing three models (MARKAL, EPS, and E3ME-FTT) to project electricity demand and the optimal generation mix for deep decarbonisation by 2050. It argues that decarbonisation is compatible with economic growth, potentially creating millions of net jobs and providing environmental co-benefits like reduced air pollution and water savings. However, it highlights significant risks, including land scarcity for solar projects, the need for massive green finance, and the challenge of a just transition for coal-dependent regions.

The Kenya Energy Transition & Investment Plan (ETIP) 2023-2050 outlines a pathway to Net Zero emissions by 2050, requiring approximately USD 600 billion in capital investment. The plan emphasizes an 'Orderly Transition' anchored by six key technologies: renewables, low-carbon hydrogen, battery electric vehicles, clean cooking, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and negative-emission solutions. Key sectoral shifts include a 20-fold increase in power demand met primarily by solar and wind, the total phase-out of fossil-fuel motorcycles by 2045, and a transition from traditional biomass to electric and improved biomass cooking. The transition is projected to create 500,000 net new jobs and reduce domestic oil and gas consumption by approximately 94% compared to a business-as-usual scenario.

The document outlines the technical framework for analyzing a transition to 100% renewable energy in U.S. Climate Alliance states. It describes the use of the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) and Distributed Generation Market Demand (dGen) models to simulate various policy scenarios, including a '100% RES scenario' and a 'Clean Electricity Standard scenario'. The methodology includes specific retirement schedules for coal plants in Michigan and Minnesota, as well as a collaboration with Greenlink Analytics to model socioeconomic impacts, including public health benefits, macroeconomic shifts in employment and GDP, and changes to household energy burdens.

The report argues that a settlement of the Cyprus problem would significantly boost the island's economy by creating economies of scale and opening access to the EU and Turkish markets. Using sectoral and total factor productivity (TFP) forecasting, the authors estimate that a solution could increase overall GDP by €11 billion to €17.4 billion over 20 years and raise GDP per capita by €6,800 to €11,000. Key growth sectors include wholesale and retail trade, tourism, construction, and professional services. The report also provides a framework for financing property compensation and emphasizes that closing the gender gap and establishing inclusive institutions are critical for maximizing the peace dividend.

The study evaluates the impacts of sugarcane and jatropha biofuels in sub-Saharan Africa, finding that while sugarcane offers carbon-sequestration benefits and positive socioeconomic impacts for workers, jatropha failed to benefit local communities due to market collapse and low yields. Additionally, the adoption of household ethanol stoves in Maputo was hindered by high costs.

The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) defines 'chronic inundation' as tidal flooding affecting 10% or more of a community's usable land at least 26 times per year. Under a moderate (intermediate) scenario, nearly 170 communities will reach this threshold by 2035, increasing to over 270 by 2060 and nearly 490 by 2100. A high scenario projects up to 670 communities affected by 2100, including over 50 populous cities such as New York City (four boroughs), Boston, and Oakland. The report highlights that socioeconomically vulnerable neighborhoods are disproportionately affected and argues that aggressive emissions reductions aligned with the Paris Agreement could spare hundreds of communities from this fate. Adaptation options include defending (seawalls, levees), accommodating (elevating homes, pumps), and managed retreat.

The report assesses the impact of mining automation on the shared-value paradigm, which relies on local employment and procurement to provide socioeconomic benefits to host communities. Using case studies from a high-income OECD country and a lower-middle-income country, the authors model workforce reductions of 30%, 50%, and 70%. They find that while absolute GDP impacts may be small at a national level, the loss of wages, salaries, and local procurement can significantly reduce the total value a mine contributes to its host economy. The report concludes that developing countries may be more vulnerable due to over-dependence on extractives and lower technical capacity to adapt. It suggests shifting the shared-value focus toward downstream beneficiation, horizontal industry linkages, knowledge transfer, and revised fiscal regimes, such as resource rent taxes or increased government ownership.

The document examines Indonesia's energy subsidy regime, which in 2013 cost the government IDR 299.8 trillion (US$ 27.0 billion), representing 2.5% of GDP. It details the 2013 price increases for gasoline and diesel, the subsequent social compensation packages, and the challenges of LPG and electricity subsidy reforms. The report argues that these subsidies are regressive, encourage wasteful consumption, and crowd out critical infrastructure and social welfare spending. It provides recommendations for transitioning toward targeted assistance and renewable energy to ensure macroeconomic stability and sustainable growth.

The SAVi assessment of the Uchkuduk-Kazakhstan Border Highway in Uzbekistan indicates that while the project has a low traditional benefit-cost ratio of 0.18, its sustainable benefit-cost ratio (S-BCR) is significantly higher at 1.38 to 1.95. The project is expected to generate cumulative discounted net benefits between USD 230 million and USD 567 million over a 30-year period (2022-2052), driven primarily by public revenues from raw materials trade and avoided traffic accident costs.

Ghana aims to reach net-zero emissions by 2060, a transition requiring approximately USD 550 billion in capital investment. The plan identifies a shift toward solar PV, electric vehicles, and clean cooking as primary abatement drivers, while noting that without action, emissions could rise from 28 Mt CO2e in 2021 to over 140 Mt by 2050. The strategy emphasizes the need for de-risking instruments to attract private capital and the establishment of an Energy Transition Office to coordinate implementation.

The document evaluates biofuel production in southern Africa, finding that sugarcane generally improves food security and reduces poverty, while jatropha's benefits are unproven or precarious. It highlights a trade-off where sugarcane can increase carbon stocks but displace food crops, whereas jatropha plantations in Mozambique caused substantial carbon stock losses. The brief also notes that high costs hinder the adoption of ethanol cooking stoves in urban Mozambique despite their potential to reduce charcoal-driven deforestation.

The report uses the IMPLAN input-output framework to estimate the employment impacts of four federal climate policy scenarios in the United States by 2035. It finds that decarbonization scenarios—ranging from extended tax credits to a full net-zero path—would create more net jobs than a reference scenario, with the net-zero scenario potentially adding 2.3 million net jobs. The analysis highlights that job growth would be concentrated in building and electricity construction, while noting that some regions and subsectors would face job losses, necessitating targeted investments and domestic content regulations to ensure an equitable transition. Additionally, the report argues that implementing family-sustaining wage requirements for underpaid energy workers would generate significant economy-wide benefits.