KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050

The Kenya Energy Transition & Investment Plan (ETIP) 2023-2050 outlines a strategic roadmap for Kenya to achieve Net Zero carbon emissions by 2050. The plan identifies an 'Orderly Transition' pathway that balances environmental sustainability with economic growth, requiring approximately USD 600 billion in capital investment. This transition focuses on the rapid deployment of renewables, electrification of transport, and the adoption of clean cooking technologies, while leveraging green growth opportunities in hydrogen and low-carbon manufacturing to create an estimated 500,000 net new jobs.

• Kenya aims to reach Net Zero carbon emissions by 2050 through an 'Orderly Transition' that balances public policy objectives. This pathway requires energy system emissions to peak around 2035 before declining rapidly, supported by LULUCF (Land use, Land use change and forestry) interventions to provide necessary carbon sinks.
• The transition requires a total cumulative capital investment of approximately USD 600 billion by 2050, which is USD 165 billion more than the Business As Usual (BAU) scenario. The power and transport sectors account for roughly 90% of this total investment, with transport representing about 60% due to the costs of private vehicles as incomes rise.
• Six primary decarbonization technologies are identified to anchor the transition: renewables, low-carbon hydrogen, battery electric vehicles, clean cookstoves, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and negative-emission solutions. Renewables, electrification, and clean cooking are expected to drive the most substantial abatement.
• The power sector is expected to see demand grow approximately 20-fold by 2050, driven by population growth and the electrification of industry and transport. Solar PV and wind will meet the majority of this growth, with solar PV projected to account for over 50 GW and onshore wind around 18 GW of capacity by 2050.
• Transport decarbonization relies on a shift to electric and hydrogen vehicles. Electric motorcycles are projected to dominate the fleet by 2040 and fully replace fossil-fueled versions by 2045. Passenger car ownership is expected to grow 15-fold between 2020 and 2060, with electric vehicles dominating the fleet by 2050.
• In the buildings sector, the plan envisions a transition from traditional biomass and LPG to improved biomass and electric cooking. Traditional biomass is expected to be phased out by 2030, with electric cooking becoming the dominant solution for urban households by 2040.
• The energy transition is projected to support approximately 500,000 net additional jobs by 2050. Significant job creation is expected in the construction and maintenance of EV charging and hydrogen fueling infrastructure, as well as the construction of renewable generation assets.
• Kenya can leverage green growth opportunities to boost its GDP and employment, including the export of green hydrogen and derivatives, localized clean-tech manufacturing (such as solar PV and EV assembly), and the development of carbon markets.

APA

Sustainable Energy for All (2023). KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050. https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf

Chicago

Sustainable Energy for All. KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050. 2023. https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Sustainable Energy for All |title=KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050 |date=2023 |url=https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sustainableenergyforall2023kenya, author = {{Sustainable Energy for All}}, title = {{KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION \& INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050}}, institution = {Sustainable Energy for All}, year = {2023}, url = {https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }