KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050

The Kenya Energy Transition & Investment Plan (ETIP) 2023-2050 outlines a pathway to Net Zero emissions by 2050, requiring approximately USD 600 billion in capital investment. The plan emphasizes an 'Orderly Transition' anchored by six key technologies: renewables, low-carbon hydrogen, battery electric vehicles, clean cooking, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and negative-emission solutions. Key sectoral shifts include a 20-fold increase in power demand met primarily by solar and wind, the total phase-out of fossil-fuel motorcycles by 2045, and a transition from traditional biomass to electric and improved biomass cooking. The transition is projected to create 500,000 net new jobs and reduce domestic oil and gas consumption by approximately 94% compared to a business-as-usual scenario.

• Kenya can reach Net Zero carbon emissions by 2050 through an 'Orderly Transition' that balances public policy objectives. This pathway requires energy system emissions to peak around 2035 and then decline rapidly, supported by LULUCF interventions for carbon sinks.
• The total capital investment required for the energy transition is estimated at USD 600 billion by 2050, which is USD 165 billion more than the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. The power and transport sectors account for approximately 90% of this total investment.
• The transition is expected to have significant socioeconomic benefits, including the creation of 500,000 net additional jobs by 2050 and a 94% reduction in domestic oil and gas consumption compared to BAU.
• Power demand is projected to grow approximately 20-fold by 2050, driven by population and GDP growth. This demand will be met primarily by solar PV (over 50 GW capacity) and onshore wind (around 18 GW capacity), with unabated fossils phased out by 2040.
• The transport sector will undergo a major shift toward electrification and hydrogen. Electric motorcycles are expected to dominate the fleet by 2040 and fully replace fossil-fueled versions by 2045, while electric cars are projected to dominate the fleet by 2050.
• Decarbonization of the building sector focuses on a shift from traditional biomass and LPG to improved biomass and electric cooking. Traditional biomass is expected to be phased out by 2030, with electric cooking becoming the dominant solution for urban households by 2040.
• Industrial decarbonization will rely on electrification for low-temperature heat, hydrogen-based direct reduced iron for the steel sector, and Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) for the cement sector and high-temperature heating.

APA

Sustainable Energy for All (2023). KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050. https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf

Chicago

Sustainable Energy for All. KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050. 2023. https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Sustainable Energy for All |title=KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION & INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050 |date=2023 |url=https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sustainableenergyforall2023kenya, author = {{Sustainable Energy for All}}, title = {{KENYA ENERGY TRANSITION \& INVESTMENT PLAN 2023 - 2050}}, institution = {Sustainable Energy for All}, year = {2023}, url = {https://www.seforall.org/system/files/2025-05/Kenya-ETIP.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }