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Så kan risker för urfolks rättigheter i renskötselområdet hanteras vid gruvprojekt
The report introduces a rights-based risk assessment method for industrial projects on Sámi lands, arguing that current mining practices in Sweden lack a human rights perspective. Applying this method to LKAB's Per Geijer project, the authors find that the project poses a significant risk of violating Sámi rights, particularly the right to culture under ICCPR Article 27, by threatening the last remaining continuous grazing and migration corridor for the Gabna community. The study highlights a lack of transparency in EU 'strategic projects' and calls for proactive, landscape-based land use planning that guarantees real influence for Sámi rights holders.
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Document type: Report
Technical Explainer: Orphaned Oil and Gas Well Carbon Credits
The document analyzes the use of the voluntary carbon market (VCM) to finance the plugging of orphaned oil and gas wells in North America to reduce methane emissions. It evaluates four existing methodologies (ACR, BCarbon, CarbonPath, and OCP), noting that while these projects offer strong additionality and significant co-benefits, they face challenges regarding emissions quantification and long-term permanence due to a lack of empirical data on orphaned well behavior. The report provides a risk framework for buyers and developers, highlighting the tension between industry expertise in producing wells and the uncertainty of non-producing, abandoned wellbores.
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Document type: Guide
CC Asia Climate Fund (CC-ACF) Kazakhstan, Mongolia, and Uzbekistan
The CC Asia Climate Fund (CC-ACF) has developed a Gender Assessment and Action Plan (GAAP) to address systemic gender inequalities in Kazakhstan, Mongolia, and Uzbekistan. The report identifies significant barriers to women's participation in climate-vulnerable sectors, including limited land ownership, a gendered digital divide, and underrepresentation in STEM and leadership roles. To mitigate these, the Fund implements a Gender Action Plan (GAP) that embeds gender-responsive criteria into its ESG due diligence, mandates Gender Action Plans for portfolio companies, and establishes SEAH-safe grievance mechanisms. The goal is to foster transformational change by promoting women's leadership in the energy and agriculture sectors and reducing the gender pay gap within its investee companies.
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Document type: Report
Unplanned urbanisation fuels landslide disasters amid emerging rainfall trends
In February 2026, intense rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil, caused over 70 deaths and displaced nearly 10,000 people, with Juiz de Fora being the most affected city. While climate models project a 7% increase in February rainfall with future warming, the immediate severity of the disaster was driven by high social vulnerability and unplanned urban expansion on steep slopes. Risk assessments had previously identified 130,000 residents in high-risk zones in Juiz de Fora. The study found that while early warnings were issued, topographical constraints and a lack of evacuation options hindered their effectiveness.
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Document type: Research paper
Risks of AI integration and policy recommendations
The report examines the risks of AI integration in the ASEAN power sector, highlighting data limitations, regulatory uncertainty, and cybersecurity vulnerabilities. It argues that while AI is a 'low-hanging fruit' for accelerating the energy transition, its success depends on strengthening data foundations, updating grid codes, and building AI-ready workforces through phased roll-outs and 'AI sandboxes'.
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Document type: Report
Asian countries most at risk from oil and gas supply disruptions in Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global energy chokepoint through which approximately 20% of the world's oil and LNG flows. Japan, South Korea, India, and China are the most exposed, collectively accounting for 75% of oil and 59% of LNG flows through the route. Japan is identified as the most at-risk country due to its extreme reliance on imported fossil fuels. A blockade could trigger global price surges, potentially pushing oil to USD 130 or even USD 300 per barrel. The document suggests that transitioning to renewables and electrification, as seen in Europe's response to the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, is essential to mitigate these geopolitical risks.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Change is Disrupting Air Travel
The document details how climate change disrupts U.S. transportation systems through acute events like hurricanes and chronic stressors like sea level rise. It highlights significant projected costs for asphalt maintenance and railroad delays, the vulnerability of coastal highways and bridges, and the necessity of proactive adaptation, such as using heat-resistant materials and nature-based solutions, to mitigate economic losses.
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Document type: Policy brief
재생에너지로 한국의 국가 안보 보장
The report argues that South Korea's heavy reliance on imported fossil fuels (84% of total energy supply) creates critical vulnerabilities to geopolitical conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz, Malacca Strait, and South China Sea, as well as climate-driven infrastructure risks. It posits that a rapid shift to renewables can mitigate these risks, reduce financial burdens associated with energy price volatility, and support the energy needs of advanced AI and defense systems. While acknowledging challenges such as China's dominance in critical mineral supply chains and cybersecurity risks associated with digitalized grids, the document concludes these are manageable through battery storage innovation, grid modernization, and supply chain diversification. It recommends integrating renewable energy goals explicitly into national security planning and the 12th Basic Plan for Electricity Supply and Demand.
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Document type: Report
SRM & Security
The document explores how sunlight reflection methods (SRM), such as stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) and marine cloud brightening (MCB), interact with global security. While SRM could mitigate climate-driven security risks by lowering temperatures, it may introduce new tensions regarding its use and outcomes. The briefing distinguishes SRM from cloud seeding, noting that while the latter has a history of weaponisation (e.g., Operation Popeye), SAI and MCB are too imprecise for direct weapon use but could still be used for general disruption. It argues that large-scale deployment would be difficult to hide due to detectable infrastructure and atmospheric effects. Two hypothetical scenarios are presented: one involving military tensions in the Arctic over an SAI programme and another involving accusations of drought in South Asia. The authors recommend building trust, transparency, and using scenario gaming to manage these security challenges.
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Document type: Briefing
SOUTH AFRICA CASE STUDY: NEDBANK NATURE RISK ASSESSMENT JOURNEY APPLYING THE TNFD LEAP APPROACH TO CREDIT PORTFOLIOS
Nedbank implemented the TNFD LEAP framework to assess nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks, and opportunities (DIROs) within its credit portfolio, primarily focusing on the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Using a double materiality lens and tools like ENCORE and the WWF Water Risk Filter, the bank identified six priority sectors—real estate, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, mining and quarrying, energy, and agriculture—based on financial exposure and nature-related scores. While real estate had the highest financial exposure but low nature impact, primary sectors like agriculture and mining showed high dependency and impact. A specific review of a mining client revealed operational interfaces with Critical Biodiversity Areas and Strategic Groundwater Resource Areas, highlighting risks associated with South Africa's water scarcity. The bank is now moving into Phase 2 to quantify financial risks and identify nature-positive lending opportunities.
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Document type: Case study
Asset managers feeling the heat on climate from pension funds
Pension funds, managing over USD 73 trillion globally, face systemic risks from climate change that could reduce returns by 33% by 2050. While 200 major funds have begun divesting from fossil fuels to fulfill fiduciary duties, third-party asset managers often maintain carbon-intensive investments. This misalignment has led pension funds to withdraw over USD 100 billion from managers including BlackRock and State Street.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Materially Neglected: Agricultural Methane and Investor Risk
The report finds that agricultural methane is a 'systemic blind spot' for major global investors. Despite significant financial exposure to high-emitting agrifood companies, most of the 25 investors analysed have no standalone methane policies or targets, often folding methane into broader CO2-equivalent frameworks. The analysis highlights that a small number of investors, including Vanguard, BlackRock, and Fidelity Investments, account for a disproportionate share of financed methane emissions. While some companies like Danone and Marfrig have set methane targets, others, such as Nestlé, have withdrawn from collaborative initiatives like the Dairy Methane Action Alliance. The report warns of increasing regulatory, transition, and reputational risks, particularly in the EU, and calls for investors to align with the Global Methane Pledge to reduce emissions by 30% by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Environmental and Social Management Plan for Jomotshangkha Wildlife Sanctuary for 2026
The 2026 ESMP for Jomotshangkha Wildlife Sanctuary outlines mitigation strategies for four key activities: lowland grassland restoration, waterhole maintenance, bio-engineering at the Tashithang landslide area, and a 5-hectare plantation at Lauri. The plan categorizes the project as 'Category B,' meaning impacts are site-specific and reversible. It details environmental risks such as invasive species spread and soil erosion, and social risks including worker safety from wildlife attacks and potential disruption of grazing rights. The document specifies a total budget of Nu. 2,000,000 and mandates compliance with both Royal Government of Bhutan laws and WWF's Social Safeguards Integrated Policies and Procedures.
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Document type: Report
Food Trade Chokepoints & US National Security in 2040
The report argues that maintaining secure maritime food trade is a US national security imperative, as disruptions to key chokepoints—specifically the Suez Canal, Panama Canal, and Strait of Malacca—can trigger cascading global risks. Using a strategic foresight approach, the authors analyze four scenarios based on the uncertainty of international cooperation and port infrastructure resilience. They find that climate stressors, such as a projected global warming increase of over 2°C by 2040, threaten agricultural productivity and port operability. These vulnerabilities can be exploited by hostile actors, such as Al-Shabaab in Somalia, to weaponize food and destabilize regions. The report recommends that the US incorporate maritime food trade resilience into its National Security Strategy, invest in climate-resilient infrastructure, and revitalize flexible development assistance to prevent the erosion of soft power and protect military supply chains.
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Document type: Report
State-Level Climate Security Education: Hawaiʻi
Hawaiʻi faces significant economic and security risks from sea level rise, wildfires, and drought, which threaten both civilian infrastructure and critical US military hubs like Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam. While federal agencies provide essential monitoring and recovery support, proposed FY 2026 budget cuts would eliminate key programs such as the Hawaiʻi Sea Grant and the Pacific Islands Climate Adaptation Science Center, potentially reducing disaster relief and hindering climate adaptation efforts.
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Document type: Fact sheet
UNEQUAL BURDENS: PRIVATE EQUITY-BACKED FOSSIL FUEL ASSETS AND THE GLOBAL SOUTH
The report analyzes the role of Global North private equity firms in maintaining fossil fuel assets across the Global South, highlighting a pattern of extracting profits while offloading environmental and social risks onto local communities. Using data from the 2024 Climate Risk Scorecard, it identifies 13 firms with assets in 32 Global South countries, with a significant concentration of risky assets in Latin America, particularly Mexico. The document details specific instances of pollution in India, social displacement in Brazil, and financial instability in the Philippines, while providing a comprehensive case study on Mexico's LNG and pipeline infrastructure. It concludes that the private equity model's lack of transparency and short-term focus exacerbate climate injustice and expose institutional investors, such as public pensions, to significant financial risk.
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Document type: Report
Technical Explainer: Clean and Improved Cookstove Carbon Credits
The report examines the transition of cookstove carbon credits from legacy methodologies, which faced allegations of over-crediting, to more rigorous, CCP-approved standards. It identifies monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) as a high-concern risk due to complex human behaviors like stove stacking and the Hawthorne effect, while highlighting the role of new tools like MoFuSS and the forthcoming CLEAR methodology in improving credit integrity.
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Document type: Guide
Toxic Tides - Mapping disproportionate risks at flood-prone hazardous sites
The report identifies 5,500 hazardous facilities along US coastlines at risk of 100-year coastal flooding by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (RCP 8.5). It highlights that marginalized populations—including renters, non-voters, and those in poverty—are 15-41% more likely to live within 1 kilometer of these sites. The risk is heavily concentrated, with nearly 80% of at-risk facilities located in seven states, and specific infrastructure like fossil fuel ports and terminals are particularly vulnerable, with over 40% expected to be at risk.
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Document type: Executive summary
Direct Financing for Communities and Businesses to Respond to Climate Change in the Cook Islands
The project seeks USD 39,982,375 in GCF grants to enhance the climate resilience of the Cook Islands' building stock, specifically targeting Category 3 tropical cyclone compliance. It employs a programmatic approach through an EDA Facility that provides tiered financing—ranging from 100% grants for the most vulnerable to partially reimbursable grants for businesses—to upgrade approximately 50% of non-compliant dwellings. The initiative includes capacity building for tradespeople and inspectors, the installation of community and household water tanks, and the upgrade of septic systems to protect coral reef ecosystems. Implementation is led by the Ministry of Finance and Economic Management (MFEM), Climate Change Cook Islands (CCCI), and the Bank of the Cook Islands (BCI).
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Document type: Report
Gender Assessment SAP057:AY4SF -Adolescents and Youth for a Sustainable Future: strengthening climate change adaptation and community resilience through green jobs in Zimbabwe
The assessment examines how patriarchal norms, limited resource access, and climate change intersect to increase the vulnerability of women, adolescents, and youth in rural Zimbabwe. It identifies systemic barriers to green jobs and climate resilience, including time poverty due to unpaid care work, limited land ownership, and high rates of gender-based violence. The report concludes with a framework to mitigate GESI risks and ensure equitable access to project benefits.
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Document type: Report