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SITUATION REPORT: ZIMBABWE: SMOKE SCREENS AND MIRRORS
The briefing examines reports of a 'soft landing' exit strategy for President Robert Mugabe involving Emmerson Mnangagwa and General Vitalis Gava Zvinavashe, which aimed for a government of national unity and free elections. This political maneuvering is driven by a severe economic crisis characterized by an 11% contraction in the economy, hyperinflation, and a food crisis exacerbated by the El Niño climatic effect and failed agrarian reforms. The document details the ethnic factionalism within ZANU-PF, specifically the rivalry between the Karanga group (led by Mnangagwa) and the Zezuru group (led by Solomon Mujuru), suggesting that the economic decline is undermining Mugabe's power base and intensifying the contest for presidential succession.
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Document type: Briefing
Economic and Environmental Impacts of First Generation Genetically Modified Crops
The report examines the deployment of first-generation GMO crops in the US and Argentina. It finds that while RR soybeans facilitate no-till farming and replace more toxic herbicides, they often result in a 5-10% yield drag and increased total herbicide volume. The author warns that high selection pressure, particularly in Argentina, risks accelerating weed resistance and shifts. Additionally, the paper highlights emerging concerns regarding glyphosate's impact on soil microbial communities, specifically the buildup of Fusarium fungi, and potential impairments to plant immune responses and nitrogen fixation.
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Document type: Research paper
Иностранные инвестиции и их привлечение для целей устойчивого развития
The document analyzes the drivers of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the potential positive and negative impacts on the host country's economy, environment, and social fabric. It argues that while liberalizing legal frameworks is a common first step, sustainable development requires a comprehensive approach including strong national institutions, environmental regulations, and strategic 'third-generation' policies. The report specifically warns against the risks of international investment treaties, such as the Energy Charter Treaty and NAFTA, which may limit a government's ability to regulate for public health and environmental protection through closed-door arbitration processes.
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Document type: Report
THE ZIMBABWE ECONOMY
The report describes a Zimbabwean economy in crisis, driven by the breakdown of the rule of law and a chaotic land resettlement program that undermined the agricultural sector. It details severe macroeconomic instability, including hyperinflation, currency collapse, and a reliance on parallel markets. The document argues that recovery is impossible without fundamental political change, the restoration of property rights, and a return to democratic governance.
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Document type: Report
Zimbabwe: 90 Days after the elections
Following the June 2000 elections, the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) made significant gains, particularly in urban areas and Matabeleland, though ZANU-PF retained a slim majority. Despite these results, the document argues that the MDC lacks real legislative power. Economically, Zimbabwe faces a severe crisis characterized by hyperinflation, a contracting GDP, and a budget deficit reaching 16.9% of GDP. The government's 'fast track land resettlement programme' is identified as a primary driver of economic instability, threatening the commercial farming sector and risking mass impoverishment. The appointment of Simba Makoni as Minister of Finance was initially seen as a positive sign, but his efforts are undermined by President Mugabe's continued commitment to farm seizures and military intervention in the Congo.
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Document type: Research paper
PROSPECTS OF CDM FOR PROMOTING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA
The report analyzes the prospects of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) for China, highlighting its potential to attract significant foreign investment and advanced energy technology. While short-term benefits include environmental improvements and economic growth, the authors warn of a long-term risk of technology dependence on foreign suppliers if only equipment is transferred rather than R&D and manufacturing capabilities. The study suggests that China's low marginal abatement costs could give it a dominant market share, but emphasizes that sustainable development requires the diffusion of technology and the affirmation of non-obligation participation. Strategic recommendations include enhancing information capabilities, strengthening policy research, and initiating pilot CDM projects in Western provinces.
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Document type: Report
Comercio de servicios ambientales y desarrollo sostenible en Centroamérica: Los casos de Costa Rica y El Salvador
The document examines the emergence of markets for global environmental services in Central America, focusing on Costa Rica's leadership in carbon credit mechanisms and El Salvador's potential to leverage shade-grown coffee for biodiversity and carbon sequestration. It highlights the critical role of institutional frameworks in successfully transitioning to a 'service-based' environmental economy and discusses potential conflicts between these mechanisms and World Trade Organization (WTO) rules.
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Document type: Report
Powerful Solutions
The Union of Concerned Scientists identifies seven policy tools—Renewables Portfolio Standards, public benefits funding, net metering, fair transmission/distribution rules, fair pollution rules, consumer information, and green customer demand—to transition the US to renewable energy. It argues that deregulation risks favoring fossil fuels unless these mechanisms internalize the public benefits of renewables and remove market barriers.
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Document type: Report
Los Acuerdos sobre Inversión en las Américas: Perspectivas Económicas, Ambientales y Sociales
The report warns against the deregulation of investment within the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), specifically criticizing the adoption of models from NAFTA and the OECD's Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI). It argues that broad definitions of investment and restrictive rules on capital controls increase vulnerability to speculative 'hot money' and financial crises, as seen in Mexico and East Asia. Furthermore, it contends that such frameworks undermine environmental protection by allowing corporations to challenge public health and environmental regulations through secretive investor-state dispute settlement mechanisms and by prohibiting performance requirements like technology transfer.
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Document type: Report
COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL Y DESARROLLO SUSTENTABLE
The report examines the interaction between economic growth, trade liberalization, and the environment in Argentina during the 1990s. It finds that while manufacturing exports remained dominated by high-pollution sectors, the agricultural sector experienced a 'virtuous cycle' where production increases coincided with the adoption of conservationist technologies like no-till farming and transgenic crops, which mitigated some environmental impacts.
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Document type: Executive summary
Trade and Sustainable Development in Vietnam
The document examines how Vietnam's transition to an open economy and its integration into global trade frameworks (WTO, ASEAN, APEC) affect its environment. It identifies scale, structural, technological, and product effects as primary drivers of environmental change. The paper emphasizes the need for a coordinated policy framework to prevent Vietnam from becoming a 'pollution haven' and discusses the adoption of ISO 14001 and eco-labeling to overcome technical barriers to trade. Case studies on coffee exports and the Cau Tre Enterprise illustrate the practical challenges of meeting international hygiene and environmental standards.
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Document type: Research paper
A Strategy for the Hydrogen Transition
The paper argues that the transition to a hydrogen economy can be accelerated by first deploying fuel cells in buildings for co-generation and then in 'Hypercars'—ultralight-hybrid vehicles that require significantly less fuel-cell capacity. This approach allows for a decentralized hydrogen infrastructure using existing natural gas and electricity grids, eventually scaling up to bulk supply from renewable sources or carbon-sequestering natural gas reforming.
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Document type: Research paper
Whole Buildings
The report advocates for a "whole buildings" approach, treating buildings as integrated systems rather than collections of components. It highlights the significant energy and environmental impact of the US buildings sector and argues that federal R&D is currently too fragmented and underfunded to realize the potential benefits of systems integration. The author proposes five policy criteria: establishing the whole building framework as a cornerstone of policy, funding collaborative R&D, supporting verification efforts, embracing education, and stimulating market demand.
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Document type: Report
DEFENCE ACQUISITIONS - UNPACKING THE PACKAGE DEALS
The document analyzes the gap between the South African National Defence Force's (SANDF) 'Growth-core force design' and its actual budget, which is insufficient to sustain the approved force. It details a shortlist of foreign suppliers for corvettes, submarines, main battle tanks, and aircraft, while explaining the role of Industrial Participation (IP) in these deals. The author argues that the total estimated cost of these acquisitions (R25-38 billion) is unaffordable, suggesting that South Africa can likely only afford R8-9 billion in procurement, prioritizing corvettes and submarine refurbishment.
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Document type: Research paper
Speeding The Transition: Designing A Fuel-Cell Hypercar
The paper proposes a 'hypercar' design—characterized by ultralight composite bodies and hybrid-electric propulsion—to overcome the traditional barriers to hydrogen fuel cell adoption. By reducing vehicle mass and aerodynamic drag, the authors argue that the required fuel-cell capacity is significantly lowered, making the technology economically viable sooner. Modeling of three PEMFC scenarios shows that such vehicles could achieve high fuel efficiency (up to 124 mpgequiv) and long ranges (approximately 925 km) with modest hydrogen storage. The document further suggests that the mass production of PEMFCs could be accelerated by their application in stationary building power systems, which could eventually displace traditional thermal power stations.
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Document type: Research paper
case_1-56973-129-2_full_version_b_english-d1cd7c35a5639f99.pdf
The document presents a business case for Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) regarding the implementation of a vehicle take-back and secondary materials strategy. It specifically focuses on the cost-benefit analysis of using recycled polycarbonate instead of virgin polycarbonate for the bumpers of the 3-series model, providing detailed data on disassembly time, labor costs, transportation, and supplier margins to determine economic viability.
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Document type: Case study
TOWARDS A FOSSIL FREE ENERGY FUTURE
The report argues that a transition to a renewable-based energy system is technically and economically feasible. The FFES demonstrates that through aggressive energy efficiency improvements, fuel switching, and the adoption of solar, wind, and biomass energy, global CO2 emissions can be reduced to zero by 2100. The analysis emphasizes that such a transition could be achieved at costs similar to or lower than 'business-as-usual' scenarios, provided there is strong policy leadership and international cooperation to overcome market barriers and address economic inequities between the North and South.
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Document type: Report
Least-Cost Climatic Stabilization
The paper asserts that most global warming can be abated at negative net cost by replacing inefficient resource use with advanced technologies in energy, farming, and forestry. It details specific potentials for saving electricity and oil, argues for a 'best buys first' investment strategy to avoid opportunity costs, and proposes market-based implementation techniques such as 'feebates' and 'negawatts'. The authors emphasize that these measures support global equity and development, particularly in the USSR and developing nations, while providing significant co-benefits in environmental protection and security.
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Document type: Research paper
The Negawatt Revolution: Electric Efficiency and Asian Development
The paper contrasts the 'business-as-usual' approach of Asian utilities, which focus on increasing electricity sales and capacity, with a model adopted by some U.S. utilities that prioritizes customer efficiency and renewable energy. The authors argue that investing in efficient technologies—such as compact-fluorescent lamps and 'superwindows'—is significantly cheaper than building power plants and is essential for sustainable economic development in Asia.
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Document type: Research paper
THE NEXT EMERGENCY: Covid-19 recovery and building resilience through fiscal democracy in public finance management
The paper examines the limitations of short-term economic rescue measures in East Africa following Covid-19, advocating for a shift toward 'fiscal democracy' and 'civil protection' to address systemic vulnerabilities. It highlights how high public debt, illicit financial flows (IFFs), and a lack of public participation in fiscal policy undermine economic sustainability. The author calls for human rights-based approaches to tax justice and a return to civic education to empower citizens to hold governments accountable for service delivery and resource management.
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Document type: Research paper