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The document highlights the economic and environmental advantages of electric vehicles (EVs) over gasoline-powered cars, noting that fuel savings can offset higher purchase prices and that EVs produce fewer global warming emissions regardless of the electricity grid's composition. It positions EVs as a central pillar of the 'Half the Oil' plan to reduce U.S. oil dependency through efficiency, biofuels, and advanced vehicle technology.

This executive summary evaluates over 40 studies on regional GHG reduction targets, highlighting how different effort-sharing approaches and equity principles lead to significantly different emissions allowances. It specifically examines targets for a 450 ppm CO2e stabilization level by 2030 and 2050 across various global regions and argues for more in-depth modelling to inform the 2015 international climate change agreement.

The document investigates how low-income populations in the Caribbean (Belize, Grenada, Jamaica, St. Lucia) and the South West Indian Ocean (Mauritius, Seychelles) cope with extreme weather events. It finds a heavy reliance on 'medium level stressors' like savings and credit, which act as pseudo-insurance, and a concerning prevalence of 'high level stressors' such as 'doing nothing' (asset degradation) in the Caribbean. While there is an implicit need for microinsurance to prevent asset depletion, adoption is hindered by cost, lack of trust, and limited knowledge.

The document examines how environmental taxes and fiscal reforms can fund renewable energy, analyzing eight international case studies to provide policy recommendations for China. It argues that dedicated (earmarked) tax revenues can increase transparency and investor confidence, and that well-designed EFR measures do not necessarily hinder economic growth. For China, the report suggests transitioning from electricity surcharges toward a system based on natural resource and carbon taxes to ensure long-term funding stability for renewable energy.

The analysis finds that South Africa's population is likely to be significantly higher by 2030 than the NDP 2030 forecasts, primarily due to differing assumptions regarding migration. While the NDP assumes migration rates decline toward zero, the IFs model suggests a range of 64.4 to 68.8 million people by 2030 depending on migration trends. The brief highlights that migration is the largest source of demographic uncertainty, with substantial implications for provincial service delivery, particularly in Gauteng and the Western Cape. It also notes a continuing decline in fertility rates and a recovery in life expectancy driven by the scale-up of antiretroviral therapies (ARTs), though it predicts a rising burden of non-communicable diseases by 2040.

The document analyzes state fragility in Africa as a self-reinforcing syndrome driven by poor governance, conflict, inequality, and poverty. Using the International Futures system, it forecasts that while 16 of the 26 identified fragile countries may transition toward resilience by 2050, ten are at risk of remaining in a 'fragility trap'. The authors emphasize that while Africa's overall economy is projected to grow significantly, the gap in extreme poverty between fragile and resilient states is expected to widen unless inclusive growth and improved governance are achieved.

The document analyzes ethanol fuel transitions in Brazil, Malawi, and Sweden, treating them as pioneer countries. It examines how these nations developed physical and institutional infrastructure through the interaction of niche, regime, and landscape levels, while considering spatial and temporal path dependencies.

The analysis demonstrates that countries' relative contributions to global emissions vary significantly depending on the calculation method used. For example, the relative contribution of developed countries as a group ranges from 80% when excluding recent emissions and non-CO2 GHGs to 48% when including all emissions and discounting for technological progress. The study finds that excluding non-CO2 GHGs and land-use change and forestry CO2 can alter relative contributions by factors of 0.15 to 1.5. Furthermore, discounting for technological progress reduces the relative contributions of some developed countries (factor of 0.8) while increasing those of some developing countries (factor of 1.2–1.5). Deducting 'basic needs' emissions lowers contributions for countries with low per capita emissions (factor of 0.3–0.5), and including projected emissions up to 2020 increases the relative contributions of emerging economies by a factor of 1.2 to 1.5.

The study analyzes the impact of partial CCS deployment in Europe by 2030, categorizing countries as pioneers or laggards based on their R&D projects and national roadmaps. Using a dispatch model, the authors find that the economic outcomes of pioneering are heterogeneous: while electricity suppliers in Poland, the UK, and the Netherlands may see increased producer surpluses, consumers in the UK could face higher wholesale prices due to the high cost of gas-fired CCS. Conversely, Romania is projected to experience lower wholesale prices and increased domestic production. The results suggest that being a pioneer does not automatically guarantee an advantage, as benefits are unevenly distributed between producers and consumers.

The report outlines a framework for an Agricultural Water Security Market (AWSM) in southwestern Manitoba, designed to mitigate the impact of the expanding oil and gas sector on regional water security. The proposed market would enable companies to achieve 'water neutrality' by purchasing offsets that fund the creation of water retention sites, which in turn support groundwater recharge and provide co-benefits like flood mitigation and nutrient retention. The document analyzes 11 national and international water trading models to inform the AWSM's design, which is intended to start as a voluntary system based on corporate social responsibility before potentially transitioning to a regulated market. It estimates a potential water storage supply of 6,287 cubic decametres against an annual oil and gas demand of 400 to 600 cubic decametres. The report identifies key potential actors, including the Oil Producing Municipalities of Manitoba and Manitoba Conservation and Water Stewardship, and examines the provincial and federal legislative frameworks that could support the market's operation.

The document outlines findings from a project coordinated by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and IISD, focusing on the adoption of carbon management standards in Chinese economic zones. Initial analysis indicates that the uptake of these standards is extremely low and primarily driven by international headquarters or global supply chain clients rather than domestic drivers. The report concludes that a lack of incentives, rather than technical specifications, is the primary barrier to adoption, and suggests enhancing zone capacity and exploring options like public procurement to encourage low-carbon enterprise.

The analysis finds that sustainable development benefits vary significantly across bioenergy project types, with those utilizing agricultural farm residues claiming the most benefits and those using industrial forest residues claiming the fewest.

The document analyzes President Obama's 2013 climate strategy, which shifts toward EPA sector-regulation for electricity due to congressional inaction on carbon pricing. It compares this approach to Canada's regulations, examines the potential for continental equivalency in emissions trading, and discusses the plan's impact on the Keystone XL Pipeline and international climate negotiations.

The report examines the systemic failures of conventional finance, specifically citing the Enron bankruptcy, the subprime mortgage crisis, and the Greek debt crisis, as evidence of the dangers of excessive leverage and opaque derivatives. It proposes Islamic finance as a sustainable alternative, grounded in Sharia principles such as the prohibition of riba (interest), gharar (uncertainty), and maisir (speculation). The author argues that the Islamic requirement for asset-backed financing and profit-loss sharing aligns financial incentives with the real economy, potentially preventing the types of market failures seen in conventional banking.

The authors analyzed sample offset projects across five programs—the Clean Development Mechanism, Climate Action Reserve, Chicago Climate Exchange, Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, and the U.S. EPA’s former Climate Leaders programme—focusing on landfill methane, manure management, and afforestation/reforestation. They found that variations in accounting boundaries, baseline methods, measurement rules, emission factors, and discounts result in significant differences in credited offsets, sometimes exceeding 50%. The paper argues for the harmonization of these protocols to improve offset quality and facilitate the linking of trading systems.

The report examines industrial policy as a tool for structural economic transformation, contrasting traditional methods—such as import substitution and export promotion—with 'green industrial policy' designed to address environmental externalities. It argues that while market forces are generally preferred, government intervention is justified by market failures like coordination gaps and credit imperfections. The author identifies best practices, including the use of performance-based 'sunset clauses' and close government-industry collaboration. Green industrial policy is presented as a 'second-best' alternative to carbon pricing, requiring larger-scale intervention to stimulate both supply and demand for environmentally friendly technologies.

The paper analyzes the relationship between firm size, productivity, and export destinations in South Africa. It finds that exports are highly concentrated among a small number of large firms and that there is a distinct divide between high-productivity firms exporting to developed markets (North America and Europe) and lower-productivity firms exporting to Africa (SADC). The author argues that regional African markets are the most viable path for small-to-medium enterprises and for job creation, as they do not require the same productivity thresholds as global markets. The study also identifies volatile exchange rates and transport costs as primary constraints facing South African exporters.

The document outlines a proposed carbon tax for South Africa, starting at R120 per tCO2-eq in 2015 with annual increases of 10% through 2019. It argues that a carbon tax is more suitable than an emissions trading system (ETS) in the short term due to the oligopolistic nature of the domestic energy sector. The design includes a basic tax-free threshold of 60%, with additional allowances for trade-exposed and process-emission sectors, and the possibility of using carbon offsets to reduce tax liability. Economic modelling suggests the tax would have a largely neutral impact on GDP and employment if revenues are recycled effectively through tax shifting or government investment. The paper also details complementary flagship programmes in energy efficiency, renewable energy, and public transport to support a just transition.

The research investigates why South Africa is a founding member of the Open Government Partnership (OGP) but remains absent from the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI). It argues that the South African government's justifications—namely the existence of the Promotion of Access to Information Act (PAIA) and the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act (MPRDA)—are insufficient because these frameworks do not provide the specific, multi-stakeholder corporate-state payment reconciliation that the EITI requires. The author suggests that South Africa's reluctance is partly ideological, tied to perceived double standards in the global North, and that the country may only join the EITI if it sees it as a means to bolster its status as an emerging global power.

The document examines vulnerability assessments (VAs) in Tunisia and Indonesia using a four-part framework consisting of framing, process, inputs, and outputs. It aims to provide guidance for practitioners by distilling lessons from these two cases to reduce uncertainty regarding the design and execution of VAs.