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Consumption-based emissions: a new frontier for EU climate policy
The report highlights that the EU is a net importer of CO2 emissions, with consumption-based emissions (CBEs) significantly exceeding territorial emissions. While the EU has focused on territorial targets, the authors argue that addressing CBEs is essential for global climate goals. Through case studies of Sweden, Denmark, and France, the report identifies a lack of standardized monitoring and binding targets as primary barriers. It recommends that the EU establish binding CBE targets, standardize carbon accounting, and expand policies like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EcoDesign Regulation to drive sustainable consumption and production globally.
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Document type: Report
Consumption-driven emissions: new opportunities for EU climate mitigation
The document argues that the EU's territorial emission reductions mask a growing carbon footprint driven by the import of emissions-intensive goods. It identifies food, housing, and mobility as primary consumption hotspots and recommends binding EU-level targets, mandatory reporting for member states, and enhanced trade transparency to address these emissions.
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Document type: Briefing
Road to COP30 briefing pack
The document asserts that nature loss is a "macro-critical" threat to financial stability, with potential global economic costs of $5 trillion over five years. It details how policy, legal, reputational, and physical risks are already impacting corporate balance sheets, citing examples such as Tesla's Gigafactory delays and significant financial losses from mishandled nature interactions. The briefing identifies five priority themes for investors through 2025: framework alignment (e.g., TNFD), leveraging AI for deforestation data, managing ocean-related impacts in the blue economy, pursuing 'nature alpha' for financial returns, and active policy engagement to reverse biodiversity loss.
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Document type: Briefing
Policy Interventions to Address Climate and Food-Related Instability
The document details a roundtable event focused on the 'climate-food-security nexus,' arguing that the US must integrate defense and security actors into food security efforts to maintain stability and military readiness. Key recommendations include improving actionable intelligence through tools like the Climate Security Alert Tool, combating illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing through security cooperation, and increasing public investment in agricultural research and development.
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Document type: After-action report
China is rightly dragging its feet on Russia’s Power of Siberia 2 pipeline
The author contends that the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline would undermine China's energy security by increasing dependence on Russia, create unnecessary capital expenditure in an oversaturated market, and conflict with China's goal to peak carbon emissions by 2030.
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Document type: Research paper
Training in Uncertainty Skills: Foresight for a Just Green Hydrogen Transition
The research identifies persistent mismatches between technical vocational skills and industry needs in South Africa's emerging green hydrogen economy (GHE). It advocates for a shift from traditional quantitative forecasting to 'skills foresight' (SF)—a participatory, qualitative approach to anticipating multiple future scenarios. The paper proposes four priority areas: strengthening skills anticipation systems via a dedicated DHET foresight team, enhancing TVET sector responsiveness through futures literacy training, developing a 'transversal skills commons' to ensure workforce resilience, and co-creating a new social compact for post-school education and training (PSET) to elevate the status of vocational qualifications.
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Document type: Research paper
EU climate partnerships: fit for purpose
The EU has deployed various climate partnerships, including the Global Gateway and Just Energy Transition Partnerships, to bolster its climate diplomacy and counter global influences like China's Belt and Road Initiative. However, the report finds these efforts are hindered by fragmented communication, a lack of coherent vision across EU institutions and Member States, and insufficient resource allocation. To improve effectiveness, the report recommends aligning EU and Member State priorities, developing a long-term strategic vision, and securing high-level political leadership to ensure sustained commitment and resources.
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Document type: Report
Major Countries and Regions
In 2023, the world's top six electricity sector emitters—China, the US, India, the EU, Russia, and Japan—accounted for approximately 72% of global emissions from this sector. China remains the largest emitter, though it leads the world in wind and solar growth. The US and EU have seen long-term emissions declines driven by the replacement of coal with gas and renewables. India's emissions continue to rise as demand growth outpaces clean energy additions. Russia's electricity mix remains largely unchanged over two decades, while Japan is seeing a recovery in nuclear generation and a significant increase in solar share, despite very low wind deployment.
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Document type: Report
2024 Climate, Environmental, and Energy Congressional Hearings
The document tracks congressional hearings in 2024 across various House and Senate committees, covering topics such as energy security, climate risk, environmental regulations, and budget requests for agencies like the EPA and Department of Energy.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Levantamento Preliminar das Estratégias e Práticas do G20: uma contribuição para a Iniciativa de Bioeconomia do G20
This report analyzes how G20 nations are advancing the bioeconomy, categorizing approaches into biotechnology, bioresources, and bioecology. It highlights the potential for the global bioeconomy to reach US$ 30 trillion by 2050 and emphasizes the need for equitable, biodiversity-regenerative models. The document details technological advancements in biorefineries and bio-based materials, the role of indigenous knowledge, and the importance of sustainable finance and international cooperation to align economic growth with planetary boundaries.
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Document type: Report
Preliminary Stocktake of G20 Strategies and Practices: a contribution to the Brazilian G20 Presidency's Global Initiative on Bioeconomy
The document assesses the current state of bioeconomy strategies across G20 nations, identifying three primary thematic axes: biotechnology (R&D&I), bioresources (sustainable use of biodiversity), and bio-ecology (sustainable development). It highlights the significant economic potential of the sector, citing estimates that its value could reach US$30 trillion by 2050. The report emphasizes the necessity of integrating indigenous and local knowledge, ensuring social equity, and aligning bioeconomy growth with biodiversity conservation and climate action. It further examines policy enablers such as Green Public Procurement and carbon pricing, and discusses financing mechanisms including nature markets and sustainability-linked bonds. The report concludes by proposing five key themes for the G20 Initiative on Bioeconomy's program of work: integration into growth plans, livelihoods and equity, enabling finance, facilitating biotrade, and measurement methodologies.
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Document type: Report
Training in Uncertainty: Skills Foresight for a Just Green Hydrogen Transition
The document identifies a critical gap between the technical vocational skills provided by South Africa's TVET sector and the requirements of the emerging green hydrogen economy. It critiques the current reliance on quantitative, top-down skills planning and proposes 'skills foresight' (SF)—a participatory approach that imagines multiple futures—to enhance systemic agility. The authors recommend establishing a dedicated foresight team within the Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET), creating a Cross-Sectoral TVET Advisory Board for Green Transversal Skills, and initiating participatory futures dialogues to co-create a new social compact for education that reduces the perceived inferiority of TVET qualifications compared to university degrees.
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Document type: Policy brief
Boom and Bust Coal 2024
Global operating coal capacity increased by 48.4 GW in 2023, reaching a total of 2,130 GW, primarily driven by a surge of new plants in China. While construction starts hit record lows outside of China, China's new construction starts reached an eight-year high of 70.2 GW. Despite a growing number of countries committing to 'No New Coal', 75% of global operating coal capacity still lacks a specific closure commitment, hindering alignment with the Paris Agreement goals.
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Document type: Report
Climate Security and Misinformation: A Baseline
The report argues that climate change and the energy transition provide new vectors for mis- and disinformation that extend beyond simple climate denialism. It categorizes these threats into physical risks (e.g., misattributing disasters), cascading risks (e.g., xenophobic narratives around climate migration), and response risks (e.g., backlash to green policies). The document highlights the role of geopolitical competition, particularly involving Russia and China, and the amplifying effect of low institutional trust and AI technology. It recommends integrating misinformation risk assessments into climate policy design and strengthening monitoring capabilities.
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Document type: Report
Geoengineering and Climate Change in an Age of Disinformation and Strategic Competition
The paper examines the security implications of geoengineering, distinguishing between long-term risks of unilateral deployment and near-term risks involving geopolitical competition and misinformation. It highlights how a lack of trust between the Global North and South, combined with strategic competition between powers like the US, China, and Russia, could lead to states attributing natural disasters to perceived geoengineering attempts. Drawing on historical examples like Project Popeye and the 1978 ENMOD treaty, the author argues against a total ban on geoengineering, suggesting instead that the US lead the development of transparent, civilian-led guardrails and robust science diplomacy to mitigate these risks while continuing the transition from fossil fuels.
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Document type: Research paper
Rising Seas Stretch Risk Zones
Using updated CoastalDEM elevation data and IPCC medium-to-high emissions scenarios, Climate Central projects that by 2100, annual coastal flood risk zones will expand to include areas where an additional 93 million people currently live. The report highlights severe population impacts in Asia, particularly in China, Bangladesh, and Vietnam, and provides the first full assessment of population exposure in Arctic nations.
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Document type: Report
Discussion Paper: Financing Industrial Decarbonization
The paper analyzes the financing gap in India's iron and steel sector, which is the country's largest industrial GHG emitter. It highlights a risk of carbon lock-in as 196 MTPA of fossil-based capacity is planned for 2021-2038. The authors propose a five-pillar framework—sectoral policies, enabling ecosystems, bankable business models, financing/derisking mechanisms, and financial sector regulations—to transition from fossil-intensive production to low-carbon technologies like green hydrogen-DRI. It details specific instruments such as Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD), blended debt funds, and Article 6 of the Paris Agreement to bridge the investment gap.
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Document type: Research paper
Mixed messages: New oil and gas extraction areas raise the stakes for methane abatement
Global Energy Monitor identifies 74 new oil and gas projects that could emit 2.4 million metric tonnes of methane annually by 2030, potentially undermining the Global Methane Pledge. The analysis reveals significant discrepancies between these potential emissions and the company-wide figures reported by operators to the OGMP 2.0, suggesting widespread underreporting of assets or methane intensity. A small number of fields in Saudi Arabia and Guyana account for a disproportionate share of these emissions, while new EU regulations on imported oil and gas are expected to impact many of these developments.
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Document type: Briefing
ASSESSMENT OF TOTALENERGIES’ CLIMATE STRATEGY
The report concludes that TotalEnergies' strategy prioritizes oil and gas expansion and shareholder returns over the energy transition. It finds that the company's 2030 production targets and LNG capacity expansions significantly overshoot NZE limits, while its renewable energy growth relies primarily on acquisitions rather than organic development. Furthermore, the report argues that TotalEnergies' diversification into gas power, blue hydrogen, and bioenergy is unsustainable and that its emissions targets rely heavily on unproven carbon capture and offset technologies.
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Document type: Report
A Global Vision of Digital Justice
The document advocates for a shift from a market-driven digital ecosystem to one governed by 'Communication Rights,' which emphasize collective access, data sovereignty, and public interest regulation. It critiques the 'Global Digital Compact' for lacking substantive mechanisms for gender and social justice and analyzes how Western media outlets like The Economist exhibit geopolitical biases in conflict reporting, contrasting this with the perceived credibility of Al Jazeera's coverage of Gaza.
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Document type: Research paper