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Transport Services in SACU: Accelerating Harmonisation and Liberalisation
The document assesses the transport sectors of SACU member states, highlighting a significant shift from rail to road and the strategic importance of South African infrastructure for landlocked neighbors. It identifies regulatory fragmentation and high logistics costs as primary barriers to trade. The report advocates for the implementation of the SADC Transport Protocol and provides a strategic framework for member states to align their national policies with the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) to attract investment and improve efficiency.
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Document type: Research paper
China in Mozambique: A Cautious Approach
The document examines the bilateral relationship between China and Mozambique, highlighting how Mozambique's reliance on traditional Western donors and the influence of the FRELIMO party have constrained China's influence compared to other African nations. It details Chinese investments in infrastructure, such as the Mpanda Nkua dam, and identifies significant controversies surrounding illegal logging and poaching in the fisheries sector. The report also explores future cooperation in agriculture, biofuels, and the establishment of special economic zones, while noting Mozambique's strategic value as a maritime gateway for landlocked SADC countries.
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Document type: Case study
Food Production in Mozambique and Rising Global Food Prices
The document examines how Mozambique's reliance on food imports and historical underinvestment in agriculture have made it vulnerable to global price spikes, particularly for rice and wheat. It details the transition from state-supported agriculture to neoliberal structural adjustment programmes in the 1990s, which led to a decline in the use of fertilizers and pesticides. To counter current food insecurity, the government has introduced the 'Green Revolution' strategy and the 2008–11 Food Production Action Plan (FPAP), increasing the agricultural budget to 10% of the state budget and reducing import tariffs on staples from 25% to 2.5%. The author argues that long-term success depends on improving infrastructure, resolving land tenure conflicts, and attracting private sector investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Agriculture: Future Scenarios for Southern Africa
The document examines the intersection of global trade policy and food security in Southern Africa, arguing that reducing dependence on First World agricultural subsidies and improving domestic production capabilities are critical for long-term stability. It analyzes the potential impacts of the WTO Doha Round, specifically regarding preference erosion for African exports and the disciplining of export restrictions. The author highlights the risks posed by biofuel production and the limitations of current trade models in predicting gains for Africa, suggesting that a 'no deal' outcome at the WTO may not be entirely disadvantageous.
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Document type: Briefing
How Might Agriculture Develop in Southern Africa?
The report analyzes the complex political economy of Southern African agriculture, identifying governance and external financing as the primary uncertainties affecting the region's future. Through a stakeholder workshop in Harare, four distinct scenarios were developed, ranging from a high-investment, high-policy-quality future ('I believe I can fly') to a state of total failure ('This is the end'). The authors argue that while the region currently sits in a precarious position characterized by poor domestic policy and weak state capacity, there are opportunities to pivot toward growth through improved infrastructure, transparent land tenure management, and the strategic adoption of agricultural technologies like GMOs.
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Document type: Report
Sustainable Development Impacts of Investment Incentives
The study finds that investment incentives are not the primary drivers of FDI in Malawi's tourism sector; instead, investors are attracted by natural resources, low labour costs, and the environment. Fiscal incentives, such as customs procedure codes (CPCs) and tax waivers, often benefit large hotels or local investors rather than the intended small, remote operators, and may negatively impact the environment by financing polluting vehicles. The report recommends shifting toward targeted, measurable incentives for staff training and specific locations, improving data disaggregation by the Malawi Revenue Authority, and implementing a common code of ethics to ensure sustainable development.
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Document type: Case study
Sustainable Development and China: Recommendations for the Forestry, Cotton and E-products Sectors
The report analyzes the environmental and social footprints of China's rapid economic growth within three specific sectors: forestry, cotton, and E-products. It argues that because China is a central 'middleman' in global supply chains, it shares responsibility with international partners to address degradation. For forestry, the report highlights China's role as a major importer of illegally logged timber and recommends building capacity in supplying countries and adopting sustainable procurement. In the cotton sector, it notes high water and pesticide use in domestic production and suggests promoting sustainable sourcing and Sino-African cooperation. For E-products, it focuses on the crisis of E-waste and the toxicity of informal recycling, recommending a national E-waste strategy and international cooperation on responsible disposal. The overarching strategy emphasizes national capacity building, leveraging sustainable markets through green procurement, and active participation in international sustainability standards.
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Document type: Report
Conceptualizing National Ownership: The Case of Mine Action
The document examines the concept of 'national ownership' within the context of the 1997 Mine Ban Treaty, arguing that while the treaty mandates state responsibility, the reality is often dominated by international organizations. It proposes a model where national ownership is viewed as a relational process involving the relative strengths of state institutions and civil society, the actual scope of the mine problem, and the strategies of international donors. The author suggests that sustainable ownership is more likely to be achieved by engaging local civil society and indigenous capacities early in the process rather than relying solely on Western-style state-building.
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Document type: Research paper
Using Representative Opinion Surveys in the African Peer Review Mechanism Process
The document examines the methodological requirements for conducting representative public opinion surveys to support the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It argues that while participatory consultations are useful for public ownership, they often produce biased results. Instead, the author advocates for random probability sampling, noting that relatively small samples (e.g., 1,200 respondents) can provide accurate national estimates. The paper outlines essential prerequisites—such as recent census data and freedom of travel—and warns against the common error of polling only heads of households, which biases results toward older, employed males. It also provides a practical timeline and cost estimate for implementing such surveys in Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Tension between the West and Russia: implications for Africa
The document examines the historical patterns of US and Soviet influence in Africa and contrasts them with a potential modern 'new' Cold War based on the divide between liberal democracies and authoritarian states. It argues that while a multi-polar world could increase the bargaining power of African governments, these states should maintain neutrality to avoid diminishing their economic opportunities by falling into a single sphere of influence.
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Document type: Research paper
The Pan-African Parliament
The Pan-African Parliament (PAP), inaugurated in 2004, currently operates as a consultative and advisory body without legislative, supervisory, or budgetary powers. The document argues that the PAP's institutional weakness stems from the decision by African leaders in 1999 to accelerate its establishment, bypassing the gradual six-stage integration process outlined in the 1991 Abuja Treaty. This premature launch left the PAP without necessary foundations, resulting in a 'disconnection between reality and the expectation' of its contribution to the African Union (AU). Key challenges include poor interaction with other AU organs, a lack of control over its own budget, and a membership system based on nomination from national legislatures rather than direct election by citizens. While the PAP has conducted observer missions to regions such as Darfur, Mauritania, the DRC, and the Central African Republic, many of its resolutions are ignored by the AU executive. The author suggests that the PAP must exploit existing protocol provisions to enhance its visibility and engagement with AU organs to become a relevant institution.
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Document type: Research paper
Utiliser des enquêtes d’opinion représentatives dans le Mécanisme Africain d’Évaluation par les Pairs (MAEP)
The paper examines the methodological requirements for conducting credible representative public opinion surveys within the framework of the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It contrasts the limitations of 'participatory' consultations—which often suffer from self-selection bias—with the precision of random probability sampling. The author provides technical guidance on sample sizes, the necessity of accurate census data, and the importance of sampling individual citizens rather than household heads. It also outlines the practical costs and timelines for implementing such surveys in Africa, suggesting that national surveys of 1,200 respondents typically cost between $85,000 and $125,000.
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Document type: Research paper
REPRESENTATION AND EQUITY RESEARCH at WRI LIST OF PUBLICATIONS
The document is a publication catalog from the WRI Institutions and Governance Program, detailing research on the structure and outcomes of natural resource decentralizations. It lists reports, journal articles, and working papers stemming from a 2001 comparative project and subsequent initiatives focused on institutional choice, recognition, and commodity chain analysis. The research covers a wide array of countries across Africa, Asia, and Latin America, examining the intersection of local democracy, property rights, and environmental governance.
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Document type: Fact sheet
South Africa's Tipping Point
The research paper analyzes the May 2008 violence in South African townships, which left approximately 62 people dead and 670 injured. It attributes the unrest to a 'tipping-point' where the effects of a global economic crunch—specifically rising food prices and inflation—collided with high domestic unemployment (approximately 36%) and a lack of coherent immigration and refugee policies. The author highlights the impact of 3 million to 5 million illegal immigrants, largely driven by the crisis in Zimbabwe, and notes that government corruption in the department of home affairs allowed some undocumented migrants to access state grants and housing. The paper concludes that the violence is a warning sign of the blurred lines between internal and external policy, urging the government to address poverty, adopt international best practices for refugees, and stabilize neighboring countries like Zimbabwe.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Forest Product Chains
The report analyzes the global commodity chain of forest products where China acts as the central processing hub, importing raw materials from developing nations and exporting finished goods to Western markets. It highlights a systemic failure in governance and sustainability, particularly in Mozambique and Russia, where weak tenure rights and corruption lead to illegal logging and forest degradation. Conversely, it notes that trade with New Zealand demonstrates a positive model where strong governance ensures sustainable plantation management. The document argues that China's own self-interest—specifically the need for secure, long-term fibre supply—should drive it to lead international efforts in sustainable forest management, improve its procurement policies, and support capacity-building in supplier countries.
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Document type: Report
Understanding APRM Research: Planning, Process and Politics
The document serves as a practical guide for Technical Research Institutes (TRIs) tasked with conducting the self-assessment phase of the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM). It details the roles of TRIs, the challenges of using the 88-page APRM questionnaire, and the necessity of balancing technical objectivity with the political sensitivities of participating African governments. The handbook offers specific methodologies for gathering expert and public opinion, vetting desk research sources, and managing the logistical and political pressures of the process. It concludes by suggesting that TRIs expand their role beyond the initial report to monitor the implementation of Programmes of Action (PoA).
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Document type: Guide
Comprendre la Recherche du MAEP : Planification, processus et politiques
The document outlines the role of Technical Research Institutions (TRIs) in the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), specifically in producing National Self-Assessment Reports (NSARs). It details the challenges of managing complex research under tight deadlines, the necessity of balancing technical accuracy with political sensitivities, and provides a comprehensive methodology for data collection, source vetting, and questionnaire adaptation. The guide emphasizes the importance of public participation and the strategic development of Action Plans to ensure that the APRM leads to measurable policy reform.
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Document type: Guide
Global terror: Africa not immune to terror
The paper assesses the inadequacy of Africa's counterterrorism framework, highlighting the failure of the African Union (AU) and member states to operationalize the African Centre for the Study and Research on Terrorism in Algiers. It identifies specific regional vulnerabilities—including Somalia, the Sahel, Nigeria, and South Africa—and proposes a practical division of labour between the Algiers centre, key states, and regional organisations to improve security capacity.
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Document type: Research paper
Moçambique: Relatório do País
The text describes Mozambique's shift away from autocracy, beginning with the 1990 constitution that ended the one-party state. It highlights the 1992 General Peace Agreement between Frelimo and Renamo, the subsequent transformation of Renamo into an opposition force that secured 38% of the vote in 1994, and the progression of democratic processes through local and general elections up to 2004.
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Document type: Report
Africa breaks down on neglected roads
Africa faces a severe road infrastructure crisis, with 90% of passengers and freight relying on tarmac that is frequently neglected due to budget deficits and diverted funds. The World Bank estimates the annual cost of this neglect at $1.2 billion in lost productivity, with nearly a third of the $150 billion invested in roads by the late 1980s already lost. While some countries like South Africa and Kenya are exploring private sector concessions, tolls, and Chinese financing, challenges such as low traffic volumes in Malawi and the high cost of vehicle overloading persist.
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Document type: Research paper