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SUBMISSIONS ON THE KILIFI COUNTY ENVIRONMENT (REGULATION AND CONTROL) (AIR QUALITY REGULATIONS) 2018
Natural Justice submitted a set of recommendations to the County Government of Kilifi to improve the 2018 draft Air Quality Regulations. The organization argues for the inclusion of more stringent penalties, the removal of exemptions for contaminant discharge, and the requirement that the County Director of Environment (representing NEMA) be involved in notifications and monitoring to ensure transparency and compliance with national laws and the Constitution of Kenya.
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Document type: Statement
sNAPshot | Kenya’s Monitoring and Evaluation of Adaptation: Simplified, integrated, multilevel
Kenya is implementing a phased approach to develop an adaptation monitoring and evaluation (M&E) system to overcome common challenges such as data scarcity and measurement uncertainty. The system is designed to align with the country's climate change policy context and priority adaptation actions.
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Document type: Briefing
Uncalculated Risks
The report 'Uncalculated Risks' examines how development finance institutions (DFIs) often fail to account for human rights risks, leading to the stigmatization, criminalization, and physical attack of human rights defenders. Through 25 case studies across various countries and sectors, it argues that DFIs frequently rely on inadequate client reporting and overlook the enabling environment for public participation. The document provides a 'Leverage Toolbox' and a 'Reprisal Prevention and Response Process' to help DFIs move toward a human rights-based approach to development.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The report examines the complex relationship between the African Union (AU) and Regional Economic Communities (RECs), specifically the application of 'subsidiarity'—the principle that regional structures should lead in their own jurisdictions. It highlights systemic failures in North Africa due to the inactivity of the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU), tensions between the AU and SADC over elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo, and the AU's successful re-assumption of leadership in the Central African Republic. The document also notes the East African Community's (EAC) internal trade disputes, ECOWAS's struggle to adapt to violent extremism in the Sahel, and the general lack of civil society engagement within the AU and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).
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Document type: Report
STATE CAPTURE INSIDE KENYA’S INABILITY TO FIGHT CORRUPTION
The report argues that Kenya suffers from 'state capture,' where a political elite has repurposed state institutions—specifically the Presidency and the Treasury—for private profiteering and to fund electioneering. It contends that conventional anti-corruption efforts, including high-profile arrests and commissions of inquiry, are tactical 'stagecraft' that fail to address the deep roots of the problem. The document details three major cases of state capture: the Goldenberg, Anglo Leasing, and Eurobond scandals. It further analyzes how the electoral management body, the police, and the judiciary have been compromised to maintain this system. The report concludes that while democracy has been hollowed out, it still offers potential for rupture through economic crises or the emergence of powerful anti-corruption coalitions, and suggests that civil society should focus on archiving evidence for future prosecutions and pursuing international indictments.
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Document type: Report
Les voies d’électrification intégrées pour un accès universel à l’électricité (IEP)
The document introduces Integrated Electrification Pathways (IEP) as a systemic approach to planning electricity access. It argues that relying on a single technology is insufficient and advocates for a complementary mix of centralized grids and decentralized solutions (mini-grids and off-grid systems) tailored to human needs and socio-economic development. The guide outlines four key characteristics of IEPs—focus on sustainable development, technological inclusivity, high-level political coordination, and market-enabling support—and provides a five-step planning process involving coordination bodies, expert engagement, geospatial data modeling, regulatory reform, and financial mobilization.
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Document type: Guide
Integrated Electrification Pathways for Universal Access to Electricity
The document argues that achieving Sustainable Development Goal 7 requires a shift from fragmented electrification efforts to Integrated Electrification Pathways (IEPs). IEPs are defined as inclusive planning approaches that leverage a mix of grid, mini-grid, and off-grid technologies based on human needs and sustainable development goals. The guide outlines four key features of IEPs—contextualizing access within human needs, considering all technological delivery models, securing high-level political commitment, and implementing market-enabling policies—and provides a five-step planning process. This process includes establishing a coordinating body, engaging experts, utilizing geospatial data and modeling tools, developing supportive regulations, and mobilizing diverse finance to support both developers and consumers.
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Document type: Guide
Examining wood-energy systems with integrated assessment and landscape models
The paper argues that traditional Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) often fail to accurately capture the complexities of biomass energy and land cover, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. By linking the TIAM-ECN economic model with the MoFuSS geospatial model, the author demonstrates that projected woodfuel demand in Kenya exceeds the sustainable supply of woody biomass. The study highlights a gap in current modelling where economic optimization does not account for physical landscape constraints, suggesting that future models must better integrate market responses, such as price increases and fuel substitution, with spatial biomass availability.
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Document type: Research paper
Annual Performance Report
The KawiSafi Ventures Fund achieved final fund close in October 2018 and expanded its portfolio with a new investment in Redavia, a commercial and industrial solar company. In 2018, portfolio companies in Kenya and Rwanda offset 243,622 tons of climate-warming emissions and impacted 2,962,971 lives. Since its inception, the fund has averted 455,474 tons of emissions and reached 5,539,543 individuals. The fund's impact targets were adjusted following the fund close to 1,011,900 tons of emissions averted and 10,119,000 lives impacted. KawiSafi reports a cost of $66.67 per ton of CO2eq reduced and has leveraged GCF's anchor investment at a 2.3:1 match. The fund also implemented a responsible investing policy and conducted ESG reviews, finding portfolio companies to be at maturity levels 2 to 3 on the ESG scale. Gender-specific outcomes include 49% of impacted lives being women and the training of over 2,800 women in the solar sector.
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Document type: Report
Adaptation Actions in NDC Partnership Plans: Opportunities for Alignment with NAP Processes
The report examines adaptation activities across 18 developing countries' NDC Partnership Plans, identifying critical gaps in climate risk assessments, project design, and M&E systems. It argues that these short-term plans can be leveraged to align NDC pledges with the more detailed NAP processes to improve climate resilience planning and implementation.
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Document type: Report
The race to the bottom: we need fundamental change
The author describes a series of visits to mining and development sites in South Africa and Kenya, highlighting environmental destruction and human rights violations. The text criticizes the South African government's support for the mining industry and the New Development Bank's funding of coal-fired power plants, while warning against the dangers of geoengineering funded by carbon emitters.
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Document type: Statement
Conducting Gender Analysis to Inform National Adaptation Plan (NAP) Processes: Reflections from six African countries
The NAP Global Network has supported gender analyses in Benin, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Guinea-Conakry, Madagascar, and Togo since 2018 to ensure climate adaptation investments generate equitable benefits for women and men. The briefing outlines the approach taken and identifies common themes and lessons learned to inform the formulation and implementation of these national plans.
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Document type: Briefing
Restoration of the ecological integrity of the South Marmanet Forest for enhanced community resilience to climate change in Laikipia County, Kenya
The project proposes a USD 10 million grant from the Green Climate Fund to restore 2,000 hectares of the South Marmanet Forest Reserve. The initiative focuses on three main components: improving forest governance through the Participatory Forest Management approach, implementing reforestation and afforestation activities, and diversifying community livelihoods through climate-adaptive technologies. The project aims to benefit 75,000 direct beneficiaries and 1.4 million indirect beneficiaries by stabilizing the flow of the Ewaso Ng’iro River and sequestering an estimated 18 million tonnes of carbon by 2050.
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Document type: Report
Kenya’s Monitoring and Evaluation of Adaptation: Simplified, integrated, multilevel
Kenya is developing a phased adaptation M&E system to overcome challenges such as data operationalization and complexity. The system aims to integrate with national frameworks like the National Integrated Monitoring and Evaluation System (NIMES) and align with the National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP) 2018–2022, focusing on seven priority sectors including disaster risk management and food security.
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Document type: Briefing
The Fall and Rise of the Islamic State (IS)
The briefing examines the role of the Islamic State (IS) as a driver of global conflict, noting that IS-related conflicts constituted approximately one third of all civil conflicts over the past five years. It argues that IS increases conflict complexity and polarization, making peace agreements less likely. Analysis of IS in Syria and Iraq reveals a strategy that prioritizes fighting over economic development and targets Sunni-dominated areas and petroleum-rich border regions. The authors conclude that these patterns make IS a persistent threat in other resource-rich countries with uncontrolled hinterlands, such as Libya, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria.
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Document type: Briefing
Tourism Global Value Chains and Africa
The document analyzes the tourism global value chains (GVCs), distinguishing between leisure and business tourism. It identifies that in Africa, the 'package booking' channel is more durable than in other regions, but the dominance of global lead firms often leads to leakages and underdeveloped linkages with local industries. While business tourism is a significant driver and has fostered the growth of African travel management companies like Satguru, the leisure sector faces constraints such as low domestic demand and restrictive government policies. The paper suggests that upgrading the value chain requires improvements in infrastructure, skills training—noting a lack of certified schools beyond Kenya and Zambia—and the deregulation of air markets to support low-cost carriers.
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Document type: Research paper
Synthesis Report Three Horizon Farmer Session at UFCCC Africa Climate Week
The report details a workshop using the 3 Horizon approach with farmers from East and West Africa to identify future visions, promising initiatives, and challenges to resilience. Key findings emphasize the need for farmer self-organization, improved seed ownership, better infrastructure to bypass middlemen, and user-friendly climate and market information. The report notes a divergence in approaches: East African participants focused on increasing productivity through researcher-led inputs, while West African participants emphasized agro-ecological solutions and influencing consumer markets.
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Document type: Report
Environmental financialization: what could go wrong?
The authors examine the 'financialization of nature,' arguing that securitizing ecosystem services creates incentives to maximize a narrow set of commodifiable outputs at the expense of overall ecosystem health. They contend that the fungibility required for financial markets ignores the complex, location-specific nature of ecosystems. While they identify limited exceptions—such as tradable permits for widely-dispersed gases (e.g., CO2 and SOx) and socially responsible investing (SRI) for already-managed lands—they warn that most environmental credits and offsets fail to protect biodiversity or ensure genuine additionality.
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Document type: Research paper
Event Report Africa Climate Week session: Colliding climate and conflict risks: Building resilience from an integrated approach in fragile and most vulnerable places
The report details a session from Africa Climate Week 2019 focused on integrating climate and conflict risk management in fragile African regions. It identifies key visions for resilient agriculture, such as community cohesion and ecological innovation, while highlighting barriers including top-down policy mismatches, corruption, and land tenure issues. The session emphasizes the need for locally-driven, peer-to-peer capacity building and innovative funding to scale resilience efforts.
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Document type: Report
African peer review: progress is being made but there are problems
The African Peer Review Mechanism, established in 2003 to improve governance through voluntary peer review, experienced a period of decline between 2008 and 2016 marked by leadership vacancies and financial mismanagement. While recent reforms under the 'Three Rs Strategy' and the 2018 incorporation into the African Union as a specialised agency have revitalized the process and expanded its mandate to track Agenda 2063 and the UN Sustainable Development Goals, significant hurdles remain. These include the failure to release country reports on time, a lack of political will to 'name and shame' poor performers, and dwindling attendance of heads of state at forums.
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Document type: Research paper