Search Climate Insights Directory
218 results
Exploring the role of climate science in supporting long-term adaptation and decision-making in sub-Saharan Africa
The document identifies significant barriers to integrating climate science into African policy-making, including systematic biases in climate models, a decline in observational data networks, and a lack of technical capacity to interpret data. It emphasizes that current climate information is often too coarse in resolution for local decision-making and is poorly communicated to policy-makers. To address these gaps, the authors recommend promoting African-led science, improving the translation of research into non-technical formats, and engaging influential finance and development ministries rather than relying solely on environment ministries.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate and Conflict: A Comment on Hsiang et al.’s Reply to Buhaug et al.
The authors argue that a fixed effect-based meta-analysis is inappropriate for studying the climate-conflict relationship due to extreme causal heterogeneity across different climatic conditions, conflict types, and spatial scales. While acknowledging a minor coding error, they maintain that the distribution of effects across studies contradicts the claim of a robust, singular aggregate relationship between climate and conflict.
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Document type: Research paper
SEI INITIATIVE The SEI Initiative on Behaviour and Choice
The SEI Initiative on Behaviour and Choice focuses on understanding why technical solutions in developing countries often fail due to a lack of user adoption. By collaborating with experts in behavioural economics and design research, the initiative seeks to create a framework that accounts for individual, relational, and structural drivers of behaviour. Initial empirical work focuses on the adoption of advanced biomass-pellet cookstoves in Kenya, specifically in Kiambu and Nakuru, to address high mortality rates from household air pollution. The initiative intends to produce a set of tools to help public and private sector actors design policies and products that better respond to user perspectives.
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Document type: Briefing
Mountain gorilla
The mountain gorilla is characterized by a mix of climate resilience and high vulnerability. While the species possesses high temperature tolerance and a generalist diet, it is critically endangered with a small population and restricted range. Key vulnerabilities include a low reproductive rate, limited genetic variation, and a high susceptibility to human-transmitted diseases, which may be exacerbated by a changing climate. The document recommends monitoring disease, expanding protected areas, and supporting human adaptation to reduce pressures on gorilla habitats.
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Document type: Fact sheet
CDKN East Africa Climate Finance Workshop – Executive Summary
The CDKN East Africa Climate Finance Workshop identified a gap between pledged and required climate finance and highlighted the need for supportive policy environments and institutional architecture to improve readiness. Participants noted a preference for grants over loans, particularly for adaptation, and emphasized the importance of inter-ministerial coordination and private sector engagement to catalyze financial flows toward low-emission and climate-resilient options.
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Document type: Executive summary
The Economic Diplomacy of Kenya’s Regional Interests
The document examines Kenya's strategic use of economic diplomacy to position itself as a regional hub for trade and finance in East Africa. It analyzes the interplay between Kenya's foreign policy, its membership in regional economic communities like the East African Community (EAC) and Comesa, and the domestic political risks—including the 2013 elections and ICC cases—that threaten its economic stability. The paper highlights Kenya's dominance in intra-EAC exports and its efforts to diversify its economy through infrastructure projects like the Lapsset corridor, while noting challenges such as corruption and non-tariff barriers.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Risks, Vulnerability and Governance in Kenya: A review
Kenya is highly vulnerable to climate risks, particularly droughts and floods, which create a long-term fiscal liability estimated at 2.0 to 2.4 per cent of GDP annually. The report identifies critical dependencies in the agricultural, water, and energy sectors, noting that 98 per cent of crop production is rain-fed and over half of electricity is generated by hydropower. While the government has established frameworks like Vision 2030 and the National Climate Change Response Strategy, the report finds that disaster risk management remains largely reactive and uncoordinated, with significant capacity gaps at the subnational level. It recommends deeper research into sector-specific vulnerabilities, the 'climate proofing' of infrastructure and budgets, and the integration of gender-disaggregated data into planning.
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Document type: Report
The Timber Trade in Africa’s Great Lakes: Implications for Uganda and the Region
The document examines the flow of tropical timber from the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) into Uganda and the wider East African region. It highlights the challenges of regulating this trade due to its informal nature and the influence of powerful middlemen. The authors argue that regional cooperation, improved infrastructure, and the promotion of plantation forestry in Uganda are essential to reduce illegal trade and pressure on natural forests. Key recommendations include utilizing the International Conference on the Great Lakes Region (ICGLR) for coordination and aligning timber certification standards across the DRC and East African Community (EAC) members.
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Document type: Policy brief
Achieving development goals with renewable energy: the case of Tanzania
Tanzania has implemented the Small Power Projects (SPP) programme to scale up decentralized renewable energy and reduce dependence on drought-prone hydropower and expensive fossil fuels. The programme uses an avoided-cost-based feed-in tariff (FIT) to attract private investment without increasing costs for the national utility, TANESCO. While five plants (28.3 MW) are operational and ten more are planned, growth is hindered by low tariffs, high financing costs, and technical skepticism. The brief highlights the importance of South-South exchanges with Thailand and Sri Lanka in developing the regulatory framework and suggests that transitioning to technology-based tariffs, supported by international climate finance, is necessary for broader deployment of solar and wind energy.
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Document type: Policy brief
Bioenergy for Sustainable Development and International Competitiveness: The Role of Sugar Cane in Africa
The report examines the potential of sugar cane bioenergy to improve rural livelihoods, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and decrease fossil fuel imports in Southern and Eastern Africa. Drawing on experiences from Brazil and India, it asserts that sugar cane is a highly efficient global resource that requires increased investment, technology transfer, and international cooperation to support regional economic competitiveness and sustainable development.
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Document type: Report
les enseignements du rapport SREX rédigé par le GIEC et des catastrophes en Afrique : Gestion des extrêmes climatiques
The document translates the global scientific findings of the IPCC SREX report into a regional context for Africa, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to both climate change and socio-economic factors. It argues for an integrated approach that combines disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) and sustainable development. Key regional findings include projected increases in heatwaves and droughts in Southern Africa and increased heavy precipitation in Eastern Africa. The report highlights the extreme vulnerability of coastal cities and the agricultural sector, while advocating for national legislative frameworks, early warning systems, and international financial mechanisms to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters in Africa: Lessons from the SREX report
The document translates the global findings of the IPCC SREX report into an African context, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to both climate extremes and rising human vulnerability and exposure. It details observed and projected temperature and precipitation trends across West, East, and Southern Africa, while arguing for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) and climate change adaptation (CCA) into national development policies. The report highlights the particular vulnerability of the agricultural sector and coastal cities, and suggests a shift from incremental to transformational changes in governance and partnerships to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Global water availability and requirements for future food production
The study uses the LPJmL model to evaluate green and blue water availability against the requirements for a balanced diet (3,000 kcal per person per day). It finds that while rising CO2 concentrations may improve crop water productivity, the combined effects of climate and population change are likely to diminish per capita water availability and increase water scarcity in many countries, potentially reducing their capacity to produce sufficient food for their populations.
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Document type: Research paper
Working together for REDD+: Developing a national readiness strategy in Tanzania
The document details Tanzania's efforts to establish a National REDD+ Strategy by December 2012, supported by a $90 million partnership with Norway. It highlights the role of a National Taskforce in coordinating cross-sectoral efforts, the use of pilot projects to generate local data, and the importance of building on existing participatory forest management (PFM) experience. However, it identifies significant obstacles, including intra-governmental mandate overlaps, limited stakeholder trust, and insufficient resources for community engagement. The brief argues that successful REDD+ implementation requires long-term international support, inclusive governance, and robust protections for community land rights.
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Document type: Policy brief
Food Security: The Tanzanian Case
The 2007–08 international food crisis had a modest impact on Tanzania compared to other poor countries, with an estimated 0.5–1% of the population driven into poverty, primarily in urban areas. While short-term government interventions like export bans and tariff reductions showed limited evidence of effectiveness, long-term economic reforms since the early 2000s helped the country maintain agricultural exports. The study highlights a persistent challenge in stabilizing agricultural output growth and suggests that greater integration with global markets could serve as insurance against domestic production shocks.
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Document type: Research paper
Predicting Armed Conflict, 2011–2050
The research predicts a global decline in internal armed conflict, with the proportion of countries in conflict expected to drop from 15.1% in 2009 to 7.1% by 2050. This trend is driven primarily by projected improvements in education and infant mortality rates. While Western Asia and North Africa are expected to see significant reductions, conflicts are predicted to remain more concentrated in East, Central, and Southern Africa, as well as East and South Asia.
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Document type: Research paper
The impact of climate change in Africa
The document argues that Africa is disproportionately vulnerable to climate change despite being among the lightest polluters. It highlights critical threats to water and food security, the potential for climate change to act as a 'threat multiplier' for conflict, and the urgent need for improved climate information and financial compensation from developed nations for adaptation.
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Document type: Research paper
Optimising Policy Space in the Context of Increasing International Support for CAADP
The policy brief examines the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP), a pan-African framework designed to improve food security and environmental resilience. While international support has surged—including a $1 billion implementation fund and G8 commitments—the document highlights a critical gap in African leadership and policy capacity. It argues that without strengthening the expertise of those managing the policy process, Africa cannot fully optimise this support to achieve its target of 6% annual agricultural growth. The brief also notes that CAADP's inclusive structure provides a more legitimate and durable governance model for agricultural research and development (ARD) than previous programmes.
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Document type: Policy brief
The Economics of Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Patterns of Growth in Developing Countries
The report finds that significant greenhouse gas mitigation is possible in developing countries at low or negative costs, primarily through energy efficiency and forestry. While macroeconomic analyses for countries like Mexico and South Africa suggest that low-carbon transitions can be net-positive for GDP, the report warns that technical cost curves often omit significant implementation and transaction costs. It emphasizes that low-income countries (LICs) have different drivers, focusing on co-benefits like health and energy security rather than absolute emission cuts. The document also highlights a critical knowledge gap regarding 'climate resilient growth'—how to structure economies to reduce long-term vulnerability—and calls for better integration of adaptation and mitigation strategies to avoid trade-offs.
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Document type: Report
Environmental governance and climate change in Africa
The document examines the intersection of environmental governance and climate change in Africa, highlighting the continent's high vulnerability due to low adaptive capacity and 'multiple stresses'. It analyzes specific case studies on land degradation and gender in Uganda, informal institutions in the Lake Victoria Basin, and renewable energy policies in Nigeria and Uganda. It further critiques the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) from an African perspective, suggesting reforms to increase participation and sustainable development. Finally, it argues for a human rights-based approach to climate mitigation and adaptation to protect the most vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Report