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Tracking Progress on the Integration of Nature-Based Solutions and Ecosystem-Based Adaptation in National Adaptation Plan Processes
The report finds that while most NAPs recognize the importance of ecosystems and include EbA or NbS actions, there is a significant disconnect between climate adaptation planning and national biodiversity strategies. Most countries prioritize ecosystems linked to productive economic sectors, such as forests and fisheries, while urban and mountain ecosystems remain underrepresented.
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Document type: Report
Warming Projections Global Update
The November 2024 update reveals a three-year stagnation in global warming projections, with current policies setting the world on a path toward 2.7°C of warming by 2100. While renewable energy and electric vehicle deployment have seen record growth, these gains are offset by all-time high fossil fuel subsidies and increased funding for fossil fuel projects. The report warns that without a substantial increase in the ambition of 2030 and 2035 targets, the 1.5°C limit will likely be breached in the early 2030s, leading to a multidecadal overshoot.
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Document type: Report
Textiles and Garments Trade and Climate Scenarios on the Road to 2050: Scenarios and Implications for Developing Countries and Climate-Resilient Development
The textile and garment sector is a major global emitter, with estimates ranging from 2% to 10% of annual global GHG emissions. Developing countries are particularly vulnerable to both the physical impacts of climate change—risking millions of jobs in hubs like Bangladesh and Vietnam—and the transition risks posed by new sustainability regulations in consumer markets. The document highlights the potential for border carbon adjustments (BCAs) and the EU's Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation (ESPR) to create non-tariff trade barriers. It also addresses the environmental crisis of textile waste dumping in Africa and South America. To ensure a just transition, the author argues for the inclusion of the sector in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), increased international financial and technical support, and a coordinated approach via the WTO to prevent protectionism.
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Document type: Briefing
The AfCFTA Digital Protocol A bird's eye view
The AfCFTA Digital Trade Protocol (AfCFTA DTP), adopted in February 2024, establishes a comprehensive framework to integrate digital trade across Africa. The protocol covers 52 articles across 11 parts, addressing market access, data governance, digital inclusion, and trade facilitation. While it aims to unlock significant economic potential—with Africa's digital economy potentially reaching USD 712 billion by 2050—its success depends on the completion of eight ongoing annex negotiations and the ability of state parties to overcome infrastructure gaps and regulatory fragmentation. Key features include a focus on digital inclusion for MSMEs and the establishment of trust frameworks for cybersecurity and data protection, though some critics argue its data flow provisions may favor foreign big tech companies over local technology transfer.
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Document type: Research paper
LNG 2024: Latin America and Caribbean Edition
The Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region is planning an estimated US$123.6 billion in new LNG infrastructure, primarily concentrated in Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. Mexico has the world's third-largest planned LNG export buildout at 73.6 mtpa, largely intended to export U.S. gas from the Permian Basin. Argentina is proposing the 30 mtpa Argentina GNL Terminal to export gas from the Vaca Muerta shale basin, a project described as a "carbon bomb." Brazil is pursuing the world's fourth-largest LNG import expansion at 36.5 mtpa to reduce reliance on Bolivian gas and mitigate hydropower instability during droughts. These developments risk creating stranded assets and locking the region into gas dependence, contradicting IEA recommendations that the LNG trade peak this decade to limit warming to 1.5“. The report argues that the region's abundant renewable resources offer a more sustainable alternative to fossil fuel volatility.
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Document type: Briefing
GCF-IFC Scaling Resilient Water Infrastructure (RWI) Facility Cote ’Ivoire, Egypt, Gabon, Morocco, Tunisia, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Chile, Peru, Azerbaijan
The Gender Action Plan for the GCF-IFC Scaling Resilient Water Infrastructure (RWI) Facility aims to increase women's economic participation in climate-resilient water infrastructure. The plan focuses on integrating women as leaders, employees, suppliers, and consumers through gender-smart solutions, gender diagnostics for all projects, and the mitigation of gender-based violence and harassment (GBVH). Key targets include ensuring all projects are gender flagged and screened for GBVH risks, with a program-level budget of $160-200K for initial gender screenings.
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Document type: Report
Risks and opportunities for nature-based solutions in Latin America and the Caribbean
Nature-based solutions (NbS) are being integrated into climate strategies across Latin America and the Caribbean to address biodiversity loss and climate change. While they offer significant economic and ecological potential—such as protecting coastal resilience and sequestering carbon—they cannot replace the need for deep emissions reductions from fossil fuels. The document warns that vague definitions of NbS can lead to 'greenwashing' by polluting corporations and risk the displacement of Indigenous and local communities through land grabs and monoculture plantations. For NbS to be sustainable, the author argues they must be based on local knowledge, ensure Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC), and be supported by diverse financing mechanisms beyond voluntary safeguards.
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Document type: Briefing
Comprensión y Proyección de los Cambios en el Ciclo Hidrológico de la Cordillera Americana
The project examines hydroclimate variability in the American cordillera, specifically in western Canada, Mexico, the Altiplano, and Southern South America. Using tree-ring data, glacier studies, and streamflow records, the research analyzes the relationships between precipitation, runoff, and climatic drivers like ENSO and PDO over the last 300 years. Key outputs include long-term drought and precipitation reconstructions for central Mexico and the Bolivian Altiplano, as well as snowpack and river reconstructions for the Southern Andes.
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Document type: Executive summary
IGF Case Study: Decarbonization of the Mining Sector
The document presents case studies on Chile, Indonesia, and South Africa, focusing on how these nations balance the global demand for critical minerals with the need to decarbonize their mining sectors. It assesses the economic weight of mining, country-level greenhouse gas emissions, and the national policies used to align mining activities with international climate commitments and the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Case study
Los anillos de crecimiento de árboles relacionan sequías con conflictos sociales
Analysis of Polylepis tarapacana tree rings in the Bolivian Altiplano reveals a severe drought period between 1316 and 1371 that coincided with the abandonment of valley-floor villages in favor of fortified 'Pukara' sites. This evidence supports the hypothesis that water scarcity triggered social conflict among Pre-Inca communities. The document warns that current warming, glacier shrinkage, and increasing demands from mining and agriculture may increase the risk of similar water-related conflicts in the 21st century.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Pacific sea surface temperatures affect Andean snowpack and water supply to the semi-arid central Chile and Argentina
The document identifies a strong correlation between Pacific sea surface temperature patterns and water availability in the Andes of central Chile and Argentina. It highlights that El Niño years typically correspond with high snowpack and streamflow, while La Niña years often align with low levels. Furthermore, the document links multi-decadal shifts in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) to significant changes in mean annual river discharges, suggesting that the interplay between ENSO and PDO is critical for forecasting future water scarcity.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Report on the activities of the Secretariat
The GCF Secretariat report details progress on its 2024 work programme, highlighting a new organizational structure launched on 9 September 2024 to improve investment efficiency and country ownership. Key achievements include the approval of 28 funding proposals for USD 1.5 billion and the operationalization of the 2024–2027 Readiness Strategy. The Secretariat is implementing the "Efficient GCF" initiative to reduce project review times and is developing a revised accreditation framework to simplify access. While programming targets are on track, challenges persist in private sector pipeline development and the procurement of no-objection letters.
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Document type: Report
Reseña del Presupuesto Operativo y las Contribuciones de las Partes para el AF 2024-2025
The document reports that as of September 30, 2024, the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research had received 38% of its member contributions for the 2024-2025 fiscal year. Total accumulated expenditures for the first three months of the fiscal year were $375,107, which is 10.7% lower than the budgeted amount of $420,000. Reductions in spending were most notable in operating costs (-22.7%) and travel and training (-10.9%).
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Document type: Briefing
CÓMO LA COMPENSACIÓN Y LOS CERTIFICADOS DE BIODIVERSIDAD DESTRUYEN LA NATURALEZA Y SOCAVAN LOS DERECHOS DE LOS PUEBLOS
The document critiques biodiversity offsets and certificates, asserting they are conceptually and methodologically flawed tools that facilitate nature destruction. It argues that these mechanisms, often modeled after failed carbon markets, ignore ecosystem integrity, lead to land grabbing, and violate the human rights of Indigenous Peoples and local communities. The authors call for a systemic shift away from market-based financialization toward community-led, rights-based conservation and the reduction of harmful financial flows.
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Document type: Report
GNL 2024: Edición América Latina y el Caribe
The briefing examines the expansion of LNG infrastructure in Latin America and the Caribbean, highlighting significant planned investments in Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. It argues that these projects risk becoming stranded assets and conflict with global climate goals to limit warming to 1.5°C, suggesting that the region should instead prioritize its abundant renewable energy resources.
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Document type: Briefing
Green capital tsunami: China’s >$100 billion outbound cleantech investment since 2023 turbocharges global energy transition
Since 2023, Chinese firms have committed over US$100 billion in outbound foreign direct investment (OFDI) across at least 130 major cleantech transactions, spanning solar, wind, batteries, and new energy vehicles (NEVs). This 'going global' strategy is driven by domestic overcapacity, which has caused solar module prices to drop 60% and battery prices 50% year-on-year, and a need to circumvent trade barriers from the US and EU. The report highlights China's dominance in the global battery supply chain, where it holds over 80% of manufacturing capacity, and its expansion into markets like Morocco, Brazil, and Thailand. For Australia, the report notes that Chinese OFDI reached a multi-decade low of US$613 million in 2023, and argues that Australia should clarify its foreign investment rules to attract Chinese private capital for onshore value-adding in critical minerals and renewable energy infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
Decarbonization of the Mining Sector: Case studies on the role of mining in nationally determined contributions in Chile, Indonesia, and South Africa
The report examines how Chile, Indonesia, and South Africa integrate mining sector decarbonization into their climate commitments. It finds that while mining is economically vital and essential for the energy transition, it is often not explicitly identified in NDCs, making cross-country comparison difficult. Chile is highlighted as a benchmark with sector-specific targets, whereas Indonesia and South Africa largely aggregate mining emissions within broader energy or industrial categories.
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Document type: Case study
How Can World Trade Organization Rules and Flexibilities Promote Food Security in Least Developed Countries?
The document argues that while WTO rules provide significant policy space for LDCs to invest in agriculture through the 'Green Box' and 'Development Box', the primary barrier to increasing agricultural productivity is a lack of fiscal space rather than regulatory constraints. It suggests that new WTO rules should focus on reducing trade-distorting 'Amber Box' subsidies in developed and large developing countries to make LDC agriculture more competitive and attractive to private investors. Additionally, it recommends improving LDC market access by simplifying sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) and technical barriers to trade (TBT) measures and expanding duty-free market access for key agricultural exports.
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Document type: Policy brief
Comment les règles et les flexibilités de l’Organisation mondiale du commerce peuvent-elles promouvoir la sécurité alimentaire des pays les moins avancés ?
The document argues that while WTO rules provide significant policy space for LDCs to invest in agriculture through 'Green Box' and 'Development' categories, these countries are primarily constrained by fiscal limitations rather than trade rules. It suggests that food security in LDCs can be improved by reducing trade-distorting 'Amber Box' subsidies in developed nations for key products like cotton and rice, and by easing non-tariff barriers and import duties to stimulate LDC exports.
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Document type: Policy brief
Powering people, protecting the planet
The report argues that the global push to triple renewable energy capacity must prioritize the quality of investments over quantity to avoid 'green extractivism'. It introduces three core criteria for public finance: driving a 100% renewable future by phasing out fossil fuels, ensuring democratic energy systems through grants and decentralization, and centering human rights and nature. The document criticizes multilateral development banks (MDBs) for continuing to fund fossil gas and relying on debt-creating loans rather than grants. Through case studies in India, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Indonesia, it contrasts the harms of large-scale, profit-driven projects with the benefits of community-led, small-scale renewable energy solutions.
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Document type: Report