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The report examines the Democratic Republic of the Congo's current development path and simulates eight sectoral scenarios to identify pathways toward inclusive growth by 2043. It highlights the country's extreme poverty and dependence on commodity exports, while projecting that a combined policy push across manufacturing, governance, and agriculture could significantly increase GDP and reduce poverty.

The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) possesses vast natural wealth, including the world's largest cobalt production and the second-largest tropical rainforest, yet remains one of Africa's poorest nations. Since independence in 1960, the country has been characterized by political instability, authoritarian rule under Mobutu Sese Seko, and devastating conflicts such as the Great African War. Recent history has seen a transition toward democratic elections, though the administration of President Félix Tshisekedi continues to face challenges regarding economic stability and violence in the eastern region.

The report finds that the global iron and steel industry is facing a 'lock-in' crisis due to continued investment in coal-based blast furnace capacity, particularly in India and China. While electric arc furnace (EAF) capacity is increasing, green hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI) remains a critical bottleneck, with only 2% of operating DRI capacity using green hydrogen. India is currently the primary driver of global steelmaking development, accounting for 42% of developing capacity, much of which is coal-based. China maintains the largest operating capacity, but 94% of its blast furnace capacity lacks a retirement plan. The report warns that relining existing blast furnaces locks in emissions for 15–20 years, threatening global climate goals as the sector accounts for 11% of global CO2 emissions.

The global ocean economy reached USD 2.6 trillion in gross value added in 2020, yet investment in its sustainable transition remains critically low. While tracked ocean finance flows grew to USD 9.18 billion in 2023, this represents less than 2% of the estimated USD 550 billion needed annually by 2030. Financing is heavily reliant on official development assistance (ODA), which accounted for 55% of flows in 2023, but recent ODA cuts by major donors like Germany, the US, the UK, Japan, and France threaten progress. Most funding has historically targeted maritime transport, fisheries, and marine protection, while decarbonisation and adaptation sectors, such as offshore energy and disaster preparedness, remain underfunded. Despite this, investing in the ocean-climate nexus could reduce the 2050 emissions gap by 35% on a 1.5°C pathway and yield global benefits five times the value of the investment.

Minister Ronald Lamola's address details South Africa's strategic approach to foreign policy, emphasizing the need to address the root causes of irregular migration among Africa's youth and the necessity of reforming the global financial architecture to ensure debt sustainability. He highlights South Africa's leadership roles in the G20 and BRICS to advance African priorities, including climate finance and inequality, while committing to regional peace and security efforts in Sudan, South Sudan, and the DRC.

The document marks the 30th anniversary of Brazil's electronic voting machines, noting that while the technology has improved election security, public trust dropped from 82% in 2022 to 53% in 2026. It identifies the system as a primary target for false narratives that exploit the public's lack of technical knowledge to suggest manipulation, calling for civil society to bridge this gap through simpler explanations and trust-building efforts.

The report finds that Pronaf exhibits a regressive distribution of credit, where the most capitalized producers receive the bulk of resources while the most vulnerable are excluded. It highlights that 79% of family farmers did not access Pronaf credit in 2024/25, and resources are heavily concentrated in the South and Southeast regions and in conventional crops like soy, corn, and coffee. The document argues that lines for bioeconomy and agroecology remain marginal, often representing less than 1% of total credit. It emphasizes the critical but underfunded role of Technical Assistance and Rural Extension (ATER), which received less than 0.3% of the total family agriculture budget in the 2025/26 Plan Safra. To address these failures, the report recommends establishing minimum allocation targets for smallholders and the North/Northeast regions, updating outdated fiscal modules for eligibility, integrating the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy, and blocking subsidized credit for properties with recent deforestation.

The paper examines the role of technological leapfrogging in transitioning Africa's large informal economy into the formal sector. It highlights that in 2024, the informal sector accounted for 58% of the labour force and 27% of GDP, with projections suggesting a decline to 50% of the labour force and 24% of GDP by 2050. The author identifies digital ID systems as the critical first step for formalisation, noting that roughly half of the world's one billion people without official identification live in Africa. The document asserts that digitisation—including biometric IDs, mobile payment solutions, and PAYG models—can expand the tax base and improve access to credit and social protections without imposing heavy compliance costs on small-scale operators.

Germany's coffee industry, worth EUR 20 billion annually, faces significant risks as over 98% of its imports originate from countries highly or moderately vulnerable to climate change. Climate-induced supply shocks led to a 43% increase in roasted coffee prices for German consumers in 2025. To counter this, Germany utilizes climate finance through bodies like GIZ and BMZ to fund adaptation projects, such as agroforestry and regenerative techniques, in producing regions. Examples include the Yayu Forest Biosphere Reserve project in Ethiopia and the Coffee++ initiative in Asia and Africa, which aim to stabilize yields and diversify supply sources to reduce dependence on volatile markets like Brazil and Vietnam.

The report identifies that approximately 80% of residential EV charger projects in Chile are rejected by co-owner communities because electrical networks are classified as common property under Law No. 21.442, requiring high assembly quorums for any intervention. While technical standards (RIC N°15) and urban ordinances (OGUC) provide pathways for installation, they do not override the need for community consent. Comparing jurisdictions in the US, Europe, and Brazil, the report finds a global trend toward recognizing an individual's right to install charging infrastructure. It concludes that the only scalable solution for Chile is a punctual modification of Law No. 21.442 to allow installations via simple notification, provided the owner bears all costs and adheres to safety standards.

Mighty Earth CEO Glenn Hurowitz warns that JBS, the world's largest meat company, is expanding its industrial model into Africa, securing 4,600 square miles of land in Nigeria for six meat-processing plants. The note highlights JBS's history of deforestation in the Amazon and Cerrado, labor abuses, and pollution, while noting a legal challenge by Greenpeace Netherlands to force disclosure of the company's climate and human rights policies. Mighty Earth is targeting JBS's global retail customers, such as Ahold Delhaize and Stop & Shop, to pressure the company into changing its practices.

The document argues that relying solely on voluntary corporate credits is insufficient for scaling CDR and proposes three diversified demand pathways: credit purchasing through government procurement and compliance markets, demand for differentiated low-carbon products enabled by carbon accounting and 'Buy Clean' policies, and 'flipping the script' by funding services where CDR is a co-product, such as wildfire prevention or waste management.

The report argues that the expanded BRICS bloc is not a coherent actor but a collection of competing interests, where fossil-industrial interests often conflict with climate rhetoric. It categorizes members into five functional actor groups and proposes a five-axis 'Climate and Energy Compass' and a focus on climate finance reform to facilitate a just and sovereign energy transition.

ClientEarth argues that the European fashion industry must advocate for the inclusion of leather in the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) to ensure supply chains are free from illegal deforestation and human rights abuses. The letter challenges industry claims that leather is a harmless by-product or that traceability is impossible, noting that Brazil generates over US$1.1 billion annually in leather exports and that several major exporting nations already possess compatible traceability systems. It warns brands that failing to support the EUDR leaves them exposed to legal and reputational risks as consumers increasingly demand deforestation-free products.

The report argues that African governments must rely on social grants and employment schemes to support populations not absorbed by the economy. It highlights South Africa's expansive but potentially unsustainable grant system and the Expanded Public Works Programme. The text discusses the transition from conditional to universal grants and the use of biometric identification systems, like India's Aadhaar, to reduce corruption. A critical barrier identified is Africa's low tax-to-GDP ratio (16.5%), exacerbated by tax breaks for investors, which limits the funding available for these social protections.

The report details the economic importance of Paraguay's livestock sector, which contributes approximately 12% of the national GDP, while highlighting its role as a major emitter of methane. It identifies a significant gap in productivity, noting that 85% of producers are small-scale and only 22% use improved genetics with technical assistance. The document argues that increasing efficiency—through genetic improvement, reproductive technologies, and regenerative pasture management—can simultaneously reduce emission intensity and increase profitability. It references Paraguay's NDC 3.0 goal to reduce emissions by 20% by 2030, with a specific target of mitigating 2,570.3 kt CO2eq through Good Livestock Production Practices. The report concludes with recommendations for a multi-sectoral roadmap, the development of green financial products like Brazil's Eco-Invest, and the creation of a permanent inter-institutional working group to monitor climate goals.

The report identifies the livestock sector as a primary economic pillar and a major source of methane emissions in Paraguay. It argues that increasing productivity through genetic improvement, regenerative pasture management, and silvopastoral systems can simultaneously reduce emission intensity and increase profitability. The document highlights the need for integrated public policies, innovative green financing, and better local data to meet Paraguay's NDC 3.0 goals.

The report outlines seven key recommendations for ensuring a just transition away from fossil fuels, focusing on institutionalising social dialogue, enhancing transition modelling, implementing worker-centred planning, and pursuing sequenced economic diversification. It emphasises the need for collaborative governance, justice-oriented finance, and the integration of just transition principles into multilateral processes like the Belém Roadmap.

The report argues that Brazil's primary agricultural policy instrument must be reoriented to align with national climate goals, specifically by restricting credit for illegal deforestation, expanding access for vulnerable family farmers, and reforming risk management programs like Proagro and PSR to ensure fiscal sustainability and environmental integrity.

The report finds that while significant financial flows enter the Cerrado, the current financial architecture fails to align agricultural funding with sustainability and zero-deforestation goals. Subsidized sustainable credit represents only 5.7% of total rural credit in the biome between 2020/21 and 2023/24, and is highly concentrated among large producers and a few financial institutions. The Matopiba region is particularly vulnerable, concentrating over 55% of the biome's deforestation (2013–2022) while relying heavily on Constitutional Financing Funds (FCFs), which often lack transparent sustainability criteria. Blended finance instruments show potential through risk mitigation and flexible terms but remain limited in scale compared to the economic incentives driving land conversion. The authors recommend improving transparency via the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy (TSB), expanding the role of sustainable credit, and fostering financial innovation to mobilize private capital.