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This research paper identifies the structural, social, environmental, and geopolitical drivers shaping the future of health and Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WaSH) in Africa, highlighting the tension between demographic opportunities and systemic risks.

This research paper describes a 'Gender scenario' model designed to forecast the impact of reducing gender inequalities on Africa's development prospects between 2024 and 2043. The scenario compares a targeted push for gender equality against a 'Current Path' business-as-usual forecast, focusing on four primary clusters of intervention: labour force participation and wages, political representation, education access, and health and reproductive rights.

This research paper describes the 'Combined scenario' for employment and labour market transformation in Africa as part of the Agenda 2063 thematic futures. It contrasts current trends of high informality and low productivity with a projected future of increased formalization, industrial resurgence, and digital transformation.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the projected economic and social impacts of a 'Manufacturing scenario' for Africa between 2023 and 2043. The scenario forecasts that a strategic push toward industrialization will drive structural economic transformation, increase GDP, generate millions of jobs, and reduce extreme poverty and income inequality across the continent.

This research paper conclusion analyzes the current economic trajectory of Africa, highlighting a shift from subsistence agriculture to low-end informal urban services rather than manufacturing. It identifies systemic barriers to growth, including poor human capital, commodity dependence, and premature deindustrialisation, while proposing strategic investments in renewable energy, digital literacy, and regional integration to foster sustainable development.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the transformation of narratives regarding Africa, moving from colonial-era stereotypes of poverty and conflict toward a more nuanced portrayal of the continent as a hub of innovation, cultural influence, and geopolitical agency.

This research paper analyzes the economic trajectory of Africa on its 'Current Path' through 2043, highlighting a growing divergence in GDP per capita between Africa and the rest of the world despite an increase in the absolute size of the African economy.

This research paper argues that the UN Security Council (UNSC) requires structural reform due to its eroding authority and a global shift in power. Using forecasting data, the author suggests that future legitimacy depends on including the US, China, and India, while proposing a move away from permanent vetoes toward verifiable criteria for global power and the potential inclusion of regional coalitions.

This research paper outlines a forecasting scenario for the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) using the International Futures (IFs) platform. Starting in 2026, the scenario models the impact of tariff reductions and productivity increases across Africa, noting a specific 15-year phase-out period for G6 countries (Ethiopia, Madagascar, Malawi, Sudan, Zambia, and Zimbabwe). The goal is to simulate how the agreement can boost intra-African trade and shift economies toward higher-value production.

This report analyzes global carbon emissions from fossil fuels and land use, providing forecasts through 2063. It highlights the dominance of coal, the climate impact of LNG, and the roles of major emitters like China, the US, and India, while detailing the specific environmental pressures facing Africa, including deforestation and water scarcity.

This report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the risks posed to nuclear safety by military threats, using the occupation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant as a case study to argue for strengthened regulations and enforcement mechanisms to protect nuclear facilities, particularly within Africa.

A statement from a coalition of business, civil society, and research stakeholders urging ministers at the 14th WTO Ministerial Conference (MC14) to place sustainable development at the center of the World Trade Organization's reform agenda.

This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute details Nigeria's 2025 climate transition efforts, highlighting a shift from policy ambition to implementation through new energy policies, solarisation initiatives, and the establishment of a national carbon market framework.

A report by the Africa Policy Research Institute detailing Nigeria's transition from climate policy ambition to concrete implementation in 2025, highlighting strategic leadership changes, new energy policies, and the mobilization of significant climate finance.

This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world. It examines the impact of US strategic retrenchment, the first G20 summit held on the continent, tensions in the Horn of Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor.

This research paper analyzes the institutional changes adopted at COP30 in Belém, specifically the Belém Technology Implementation Programme (TIP), the revised Climate Technology Centre (CTC), and the proposed Just Transition Mechanism (JTM). It argues that while these create a critical window for African countries to secure technological justice and domestic innovation, success depends on overcoming structural constraints such as high debt distress, restrictive intellectual property regimes, and a lack of predictable grant-based financing.

This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world order. It examines the impact of the second Trump administration's transactional approach to US-Africa relations, the outcomes of the first G20 summit held on the continent in South Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor. The document also details increasing instability in the Horn of Africa driven by global and regional power rivalries.

This report evaluates the agriculture and forestry standards of the African Organization for Standardisation (ARSO) against the requirements of the European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). It identifies strengths in ARSO's governance and traceability frameworks while highlighting critical gaps in geolocation data, forest conversion rules, and transparency that must be addressed to protect African exporters' market access to the EU.

The report analyzes the challenges and institutional developments facing Africa's green technology transition in 2025. It highlights the impact of tightening global trade rules, such as the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and the uncertainty surrounding the US African Growth and Opportunity Act, alongside the withdrawal of the US from the Paris Agreement. The document details continental efforts to mobilize climate finance, integrate regional power markets, and adopt AI for climate action, while emphasizing the need for affordable decarbonization finance to prevent the marginalization of smaller African firms.

The report analyzes the state of Africa's green technology transition in 2025, highlighting the tension between increasing technology affordability and tightening global trade and regulatory frameworks. It details the impact of US trade policy shifts, the upcoming EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, and continental efforts to mobilize climate finance and integrate energy markets.