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Background note on Africa’s Current Path Energy Future to 2043
The report forecasts a significant increase in Africa's energy demand due to population growth, projecting that it will overtake the EU27 by 2043. While Africa possesses vast oil, gas, and hydropower reserves, its current energy mix remains heavily reliant on fossil fuels, with 'other renewables' making up only 1.6% of production in 2023. The document highlights a trajectory where Africa will eventually become a major global source of carbon emissions from fossil fuels, overtaking the EU by 2034.
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Document type: Report
Background note on Africa’s Current Path Energy Future to 2043
The report identifies Africa as a net energy exporter, though it forecasts that total energy demand will exceed production by 2039. While a small group of countries like Algeria, Nigeria, and Angola maintain high export values, a significant number of African nations remain heavily dependent on energy imports, a group expected to expand by 2043.
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Document type: Report
Background note on Africa’s Current Path Energy Future to 2043
The report projects that Africa's total energy demand will rise from 4.589 BBOE in 2023 to 10.26 BBOE by 2043, driven by population growth and development needs. It highlights significant current disparities in per capita energy use across African nations and compares these figures to the United States and India.
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Document type: Report
Background note on Africa’s Current Path Energy Future to 2043
The report analyzes global and African energy trends, forecasting a significant increase in energy demand driven by population growth. It details the slow decline of fossil fuels and predicts specific transition points where renewables and gas will overtake other energy sources in both global and African contexts.
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Document type: Report
Hotter Climate, Higher Cooling Demand
Climate Central reports that 97% of 240 analyzed U.S. locations saw an increase in annual cooling degree days (CDD) between 1970 and 2022, with the most significant rises in the Southwest, South, and Southeast. Projections suggest U.S. household cooling demand will increase by 71% by 2050, while global demand is expected to more than triple. The document highlights that rising demand can strain power grids, increase greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels and HFCs, and exacerbate urban heat islands. It also notes a disproportionate energy burden on low-income and minority households, who may delay cooling use due to cost. Proposed solutions include transitioning to renewable energy, adopting high-efficiency heat pumps, and implementing building retrofits.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Sweltering Summer Nights
Since 1970, average summer nighttime temperatures have increased in 95% of 241 analyzed U.S. locations, warming by an average of 3°F. These 'sweltering nights' are warming faster than daytime highs and increase heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations and low-income households lacking air conditioning. The document highlights that the western U.S. has experienced the greatest warming, with Reno, Nevada, seeing the highest increase at 17.4°F.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Expanding climate policy adoption improves national mitigation efforts
The research finds that a higher number of climate policies is associated with lower projected emission change rates up to 2030, a result that remains robust when controlling for GDP, historical emissions, and the rule of law. The study identifies specific policy gaps based on emission trends: countries with fast-increasing emissions lack policies in energy-demand sectors like buildings and transport, while those with stalling emissions lack cross-sectoral climate strategies. Across all groups failing to reduce emissions, there is a notable deficiency in policies targeting the reduction of energy and material demand.
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Document type: Research paper
Fastest Warming Seasons
Climate Central's analysis of 246 U.S. locations since 1970 reveals that winter is the fastest warming season for 74% of these sites, particularly in the Northeast and Great Lakes regions. While winter warming disrupts snowfall and water supplies, other regions experience faster warming in different seasons: western U.S. locations often see faster spring and fall warming, while parts of Washington, Oregon, Texas, and Florida experience the most rapid summer warming. These shifts contribute to increased wildfire risks, altered agricultural cycles, and higher energy demands for cooling.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Chilling Prospects 2022: Urban land-use and heat analysis in major cities of the Critical 9 countries
The analysis examines how the expansion of built-up areas at the expense of natural heat sinks like green spaces and water bodies increases urban heat risks in major cities across the Critical 9 countries. Using Copernicus Land Monitoring Service data and the IPCC's SSP1-1.9 scenario, the report details specific land-use losses in cities such as Shanghai, Karachi, and Dhaka, linking these changes to increased vulnerability to dangerous heat days (above 35°C) and rising energy demands for active cooling.
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Document type: Report
TURKEY ELECTRICITY REVIEW 2022
In 2021, Turkey's non-hydro renewable generation overtook hydropower for the first time, with wind and solar reaching a record 44.6 TWh. While coal generation declined for three consecutive years between 2018 and 2021 due to high import costs, gas generation increased to compensate for drought-induced hydropower losses, pushing the fossil fuel share to 65% in 2021. Despite the growth in renewables, the increase in production (+58 TWh since 2011) failed to keep pace with the surge in power demand (+95 TWh), resulting in a carbon intensity of power that has not significantly improved in at least 30 years.
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Document type: Report
Energy consumption in residential buildings
The study analyzes 122 trials across 25 countries to evaluate interventions for reducing residential energy consumption, finding that while both monetary and non-monetary tools are effective, monetary incentives generally yield more pronounced results.
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Document type: Research paper
HOT ZONES: URBAN HEAT ISLANDS
Climate Central developed an Urban Heat Intensity Index for 159 U.S. cities, finding that New Orleans, Newark, New York City, Houston, and San Francisco have the highest intensity scores. The report identifies albedo, lack of greenery, population density, and building height as primary drivers of the UHI effect. These conditions exacerbate heat waves, worsen air quality through ground-level ozone formation, and disproportionately affect vulnerable populations, particularly those in formerly redlined neighborhoods. Proposed solutions include short-term emergency cooling measures and long-term infrastructure changes such as planting trees, installing green and cool roofs, and deploying solar energy.
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Document type: Briefing
Beat the Heat: Extreme Heat Risk Perceptions & Air Conditioning Ownership in California
The research finds that risk perceptions of extreme heat in California vary significantly by gender, race, age, and political affiliation, with women, non-White Hispanic residents, and Democrats reporting higher levels of worry. Conversely, older populations—despite being physically more vulnerable—are the least worried. Regarding adaptation, 75% of Californians own air conditioning, which is 16 percentage points lower than the U.S. average. Ownership of central AC is lower among Hispanic respondents (48%) compared to White, non-Hispanic respondents (58%), and among renters (39%) compared to homeowners (59%). The report highlights that those facing the highest heat risks often lack AC and face financial barriers to installation and energy costs, while noting that increased AC usage stresses the state's power grid.
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Document type: Research paper
CaseStudy Off grid sanitation Cango Caves, Oudtshoorn
The Cango Caves installed a decentralized wastewater treatment system for R2.5 million to replace an inefficient reed bed facility. The system treats and reuses approximately 70% of effluent for flushing and irrigation, resulting in a 60% reduction in potable water demand (over 3.6 million litres per annum) and R163,200 in municipal water savings during its first year of operation (September 2019 – September 2020).
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Document type: Case study
Data Standards for Integrated Energy Planning
The report outlines the critical role of geospatial least-cost modelling in achieving universal energy access, while highlighting significant data gaps in demand-side considerations, grid infrastructure, and clean cooking patterns. It argues for a shift from static to dynamic data inputs and suggests that integrating electrification and clean cooking planning can double the viability of electric cookstoves. The document provides frameworks for key data inputs and proposes cost-effective methods for filling gaps, such as AI-driven remote sensing and cell phone-based surveys.
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Document type: Report
ESTIMATING U.S. ENERGY DEMAND AND EMISSIONS IMPACTS OF COVID-19 WITH THE ENERGY POLICY SIMULATOR
Using the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS), this research note assesses how different GDP outlooks from Goldman Sachs, the EIA, and the IMF affect U.S. energy demand and emissions. It finds that while 2020 emissions may drop by 7% to 11% relative to 2019, these reductions are primarily driven by the transportation sector and are expected to rebound to pre-pandemic levels by 2025, resulting in no material impact on cumulative emissions through 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
Comparison of 2019, 2018 ExxonMobil Energy and Carbon Summary Report
The Union of Concerned Scientists' comparison of ExxonMobil's 2018 and 2019 climate reports finds that the company relies on unchanged energy demand assumptions and maintains a belief that the world will fail to meet Paris Agreement temperature goals. The analysis highlights inconsistencies in how the company describes methane reduction efforts, a lack of detailed low-carbon investment breakdowns, and the use of problematic graphs to suggest alignment with IPCC scenarios. While ExxonMobil acknowledges for the first time that its fossil fuel products are part of the climate problem, it continues to emphasize uncertainty regarding the pace of the global energy transition.
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Document type: Report
Making Indian cities climate smart
The document highlights that Indian cities will generate 70% of future energy demand and face increasing climate hazards, necessitating the Smart City Mission's focus on core infrastructure and sustainable environments. It details the India-UK Smart Cities for growth partnership's support in urban planning and clean energy, while recommending multi-stakeholder dialogues, better use of evidence bases, and improved coordination between national and state actors to bridge implementation gaps.
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Document type: Policy brief
Updating the Licensing Pathway to Enable Nuclear Innovation
The author contends that while advanced nuclear technologies could provide carbon-free electricity to meet skyrocketing global demand, their deployment is hindered by outdated regulatory frameworks. Specifically, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission's current processes are designed for traditional light water reactors and fail to account for the unique features of new designs, creating financial risks for private investors. The text asserts that updating these pathways is essential for achieving long-term climate goals and meeting the energy needs of the developing world.
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Document type: Statement
Still a long way to go - Energy security and green growth in Indonesia
The document argues that Indonesia's current energy trajectory is unsustainable due to rapidly growing demand and increasing greenhouse gas emissions, while structural political challenges impede the adoption of green growth solutions.
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Document type: Policy brief