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Rapid warming in the Himalaya exacerbates geohazard cascades beyond adaptation limits
On 26 August 2026, a rock-ice avalanche at Langtang Lirung (5,150 m asl) triggered a massive debris flood that travelled 200 km into India, causing over 1,300 deaths and widespread destruction in Nepal. The event released energy equivalent to a M5.5 earthquake and moved at average speeds of 188 km/hr. While geological structure was the primary control, the report finds that human-caused climate change significantly increased the likelihood and intensity of the anomalous warmth preceding the failure. Specifically, temperatures in July and August were approximately 1.5°C higher due to climate change, contributing to permafrost degradation, glacial thinning, and a shift in the rain-snow transition. The report concludes that the magnitude and speed of the event exceeded the limits of existing early warning systems and adaptation measures, necessitating a focus on loss and damage recovery.
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Document type: Report
Report of the forty-fourth meeting of the Board, 25 – 28 March 2026
The GCF Board approved 18 funding proposals totaling USD 960.3 million and accredited 10 new entities. A major outcome was the selection of host cities for regional presence: Panama City (Latin America and Caribbean), Amman (Eastern Europe, Central Asia and Middle East), Nairobi and Abidjan (Africa), and Suva (Pacific). The Board also restructured its committees, approved a training programme, and established a roadmap for the 2028–2031 Strategic Plan.
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Document type: Report
Fifteenth Report of the Green Climate Fund to the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
The GCF's fifteenth annual report highlights a record year of programming with USD 3.26 billion approved in 2025 and a total portfolio exceeding USD 20 billion. Key institutional shifts include the establishment of regional offices in Panama City, Amman, Nairobi, Abidjan, and Suva to enhance country ownership and access. The Fund reports a near-parity balance between adaptation and mitigation in nominal terms, with 59.24% of the portfolio in grant equivalent terms dedicated to adaptation. Significant progress was made in private sector engagement, reaching a cumulative USD 7.21 billion. The report also details the 'Efficient GCF' initiative to reduce project appraisal times to nine months or less and the operationalization of a revised accreditation framework.
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Document type: Report
La cuenca alta del río Acre
The upper Acre River basin, shared by Bolivia, Brazil, and Peru, faces increasing climate extremes, including more frequent floods and severe droughts, alongside significant deforestation. While regional frameworks like the Amazon Cooperation Treaty exist, the report finds a gap between high-level agreements and local implementation due to differing national legal frameworks and a lack of formal basin committees. The document analyzes recent governance efforts—such as Bolivia's Strategic Water Planning Strategy (EPHIC), Brazil's state-level management, and Peru's progress toward creating a Basin Water Resources Council—and recommends consolidating existing local platforms through voluntary coordination and shared data protocols rather than creating new formal structures.
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Document type: Report
Malawi: Conclusion
The report analyzes Malawi's development futures, noting that while a 'Combined scenario' shows GDP per capita 35% higher than the 'Current Path' by 2043, this is insufficient to reach lower-middle-income status by 2030. It highlights persistent gaps in urbanization, industrialization, and healthcare, while emphasizing the critical impact of climate variability on rain-fed agriculture. Key recommendations include expanding Special Economic Zones, adopting climate-smart agriculture, and implementing nature-based solutions for flood prevention.
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Document type: Report
Adapting to Climate-Related Health Risks: The Economic Case for Climate Services for Health
The research finds that investing in climate services for health (CSfH)—such as early warning systems and disease surveillance—yields economic returns between US$3.60 and $68.40 per dollar invested. Despite these high returns and modest funding requirements, such as an estimated $12–$18 million annually for a median-sized developing country, these tools remain underfunded and underused. Currently, only 23 percent of surveyed WMO Member States integrate meteorological data into health surveillance systems to manage risks from diseases like malaria, dengue, and heatstroke.
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Document type: Research paper
ADAPT Jamaica: Enhancing climate change resilience of vulnerable smallholders in Central Jamaica Jamaica
The ADAPT Jamaica project seeks USD 40.55 million from the Green Climate Fund to support smallholder farmers in Trelawny, Saint Ann, Saint Elizabeth, Clarendon, Saint Catherine, and Manchester. The project addresses vulnerabilities exacerbated by Hurricanes Beryl (2024) and Melissa (2025) by establishing model farms as learning centers, scaling up CRA and FLW reduction technologies, modernizing the agrometeorological network, and creating a dedicated credit line through the Development Bank of Jamaica. It targets 736,090 total beneficiaries, with a strong focus on women and youth, to shift the agricultural sector toward a high-climate resilience equilibrium.
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Document type: Report
Adapting to climate-related health risks: The economic case for climate services for health
The report argues that investing in climate services for health (CSfH) provides high economic returns, ranging from US$3.60 to $68.40 per dollar invested, due to the modest cost of implementation relative to the high value of lives saved. It defines CSfH through seven key activities—including early warning systems, disease surveillance, and resilient infrastructure—and estimates that a median-sized developing country requires an annual investment of US$12 to $18 million. Despite these returns, the study finds significant barriers to uptake, including a lack of integrated meteorological data in health surveillance systems and poor cross-agency collaboration between meteorological and health institutions.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling up national adaptive capacities for climate change-driven natural hazards through strengthening monitoring and early warning systems Armenia
The Gender Action Plan for Armenia's early warning system project establishes a framework to increase women's participation in technical and leadership roles within the hydrometeorological and disaster risk management sectors. It includes specific targets for female recruitment and training, the integration of gender-responsive communication and hazard modelling, and a comprehensive SEAH prevention strategy. The plan is supported by a dedicated full-time Gender Expert and a total budget of USD 587,000 to ensure that climate resilience efforts benefit women, men, and marginalised groups equitably.
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Document type: Report
Scaling up national adaptive capacities for climate change-driven natural hazards through strengthening monitoring and early warning systems Armenia
The report identifies systemic gender inequalities in Armenia that amplify climate vulnerability, particularly for rural women who face limited access to land, financial resources, and early warning information. It establishes a Gender Action Plan to ensure inclusive participation in disaster risk management, gender-responsive communication strategies, and the mitigation of gender-based violence risks during climate-related emergencies.
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Document type: Report
Unplanned urbanisation fuels landslide disasters amid emerging rainfall trends
In February 2026, intense rainfall in Minas Gerais, Brazil, caused over 70 deaths and displaced nearly 10,000 people, with Juiz de Fora being the most affected city. While climate models project a 7% increase in February rainfall with future warming, the immediate severity of the disaster was driven by high social vulnerability and unplanned urban expansion on steep slopes. Risk assessments had previously identified 130,000 residents in high-risk zones in Juiz de Fora. The study found that while early warnings were issued, topographical constraints and a lack of evacuation options hindered their effectiveness.
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Document type: Research paper
Increasingly severe rainstorms pose growing risk for people and structures build in the floodplains
A study by World Weather Attribution on the impact of nine named storms in the western Mediterranean, finding that while evidence is uncertain, there is a trend toward increased intensity of extreme heavy rainfall events, particularly in northern regions, exacerbated by urban development in floodplains.
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Document type: Research paper
Cómo cubrir las lluvias torrenciales
The document outlines how to cover torrential rains by focusing on the scientific drivers of extreme precipitation, the disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations, the role of territorial planning, and potential adaptation solutions.
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Document type: Guide
WSIS+20, COP30 and a just digital climate transition
The document proposes a 'communication justice' framework to ensure that digital transformation supports climate resilience. It identifies critical gaps in connectivity, language accessibility, and data governance that hinder the delivery of climate services. The author advocates for treating communication rights as essential climate infrastructure, suggesting practical measures such as community-led early warning systems, rights-respecting data commons, and accountable AI to ensure that the most vulnerable populations can access and act upon life-saving climate information.
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Document type: Research paper
État des lieux de la mise en œuvre du Plan national d’adaptation (PNA 2022 – 2030) du Bénin
The evaluation of Benin's National Adaptation Plan (NAP 2022–2030) for the period 2022 to mid-2025 reveals a global realization rate of 23.37% for the 415 tracked actions. Progress is highly uneven across sectors, with agriculture (45.23%), forestry (36.59%), and the coastline (30.76%) showing the most advancement, while tourism (4.25%) and urban infrastructure (9.09%) lag significantly. While 'hard' investments in drainage and reforestation and 'soft' capacity-building actions have yielded positive results, the report highlights critical gaps in intersectoral coordination, sustainable financing, and the operationalization of early warning systems. Key recommendations for 2026–2030 include harmonizing monitoring and evaluation, scaling up climate-resilient seeds and clean cooking solutions (LPG), and integrating gender-specific targets and indigenous knowledge into all adaptation activities.
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Document type: Report
Somalia’s National Climate Change Action Plan, 2025–2030
Somalia’s National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP) 2025–2030 provides a strategic roadmap to transition from climate planning to implementation. With a total estimated budget of USD 5.486 billion, the plan prioritizes adaptation across eight key sectors—including agriculture, water, and energy—while targeting a 34% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035. The framework emphasizes climate justice, gender equality, and conflict sensitivity, recognizing climate change as a "threat multiplier" in Somalia's fragile socio-political context.
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Document type: Report
Heat and Air Pollution Worry India
A survey of 10,751 Indian adults conducted between December 2024 and February 2025 reveals widespread concern over extreme heat and air pollution. Worry is most pronounced among younger and middle-aged adults, women, and urban residents, with a notable trend of higher concern for air pollution among those with higher education levels.
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Document type: Report
Media Development
The document argues that climate justice is unattainable without 'communication justice'—the ability of all people to access, share, and be heard in public discourse. It highlights how digital divides, language barriers, and coordinated disinformation campaigns by the fossil fuel industry undermine climate action. Through case studies in Zimbabwe and the Amazon, it advocates for blending AI and digital tools with indigenous knowledge and community-led media to build resilience. The text calls for mandatory information integrity standards and a shift toward 'constructive journalism' to combat climate fatigue and empower vulnerable populations in the Global South.
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Document type: Research paper
The Tyranny of Metrics, the Power of Stories and Epistemic Diplomacy
The document argues that climate-risk mapping in the global South is currently split between 'precisionism'—the reliance on standardized indices and models—and 'groundtruthing'—the use of lived narratives and ethnography. Precisionism often creates a 'metrics mirage' that obscures social inequalities and justice claims, while groundtruthing struggles to gain policy traction in indicator-driven bureaucracies. To resolve this, the authors introduce 'epistemic diplomacy,' a power-aware procedural approach for integrating mixed evidence. This framework includes five guiding principles, a ten-step operating model, and specific governance safeguards to ensure community co-production and prevent knowledge extraction. The paper provides practical method pairings, such as combining heat sensors with social diaries, to create 'boundary objects' that maintain both technical precision and social meaning for policymakers.
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Document type: Research paper
Enhancing Climate Resilience in Flood-Prone Areas in Northwestern South Sudan (ECRF) South Sudan
The ECRF project is a five-year initiative (2026-2030) requesting 44.68 million USD from the Green Climate Fund to address extreme climate vulnerability in northwestern South Sudan. Targeting Northern Bahr el Ghazal and Warrap states, the project aims to benefit 575,111 direct and 1,098,820 indirect beneficiaries. It employs a three-component strategy: strengthening national and local institutional capacity for climate information and disaster risk management; enhancing the delivery of last-mile climate services and private sector supply of adaptation inputs; and implementing community-led sustainable land and water management and climate-resilient livelihoods. The project is co-executed by the World Food Programme (WFP) and UNHCR, with additional co-financing from the Government of Japan.
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Document type: Report