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The study finds that while human-induced climate change did not significantly alter the likelihood of the overall 24-month rainfall deficit, it drastically increased drought severity through higher temperatures and evapotranspiration. In a world 1.2°C cooler, the combination of low rainfall and high evapotranspiration observed would not have led to drought; however, in the current climate, it is classified as an 'exceptional drought'. The researchers estimate that such droughts have become approximately 100 times more likely due to climate change.

The South African National Biodiversity Institute (SANBI) is seeking funding from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to prepare a detailed project proposal titled "Ecosystem-based Approaches for transforming smallholder farming systems that are vulnerable to the impacts of climate change in South Africa". The preparatory phase, estimated to take 9 months, involves hiring a consultancy firm to conduct a series of ten technical studies and consultations. These activities include climate risk and vulnerability assessments, pre-feasibility studies, and gender analyses across four priority provinces: KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape, Mpumalanga, and Limpopo. The ultimate goal is to design a project that provides tailored climate information via a Multi-Hazard Early Warning System and transforms farming systems using nature-based solutions to mitigate risks from floods, droughts, and veld fires.

Somalia is identified as the second most climate-vulnerable country globally, currently facing its worst drought in 40 years which has displaced 7.8 million people. To address this, the government established the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change in August 2022 and is developing a National Adaptation Plan (NAP) focusing on agriculture, water management, public health, and disaster preparedness. Implementation is hindered by financial constraints, institutional coordination gaps, and security risks posed by the conflict with Al-Shabaab, which prevents officials from accessing certain regions to implement adaptation measures.

The report examines food crisis challenges and resilience interventions in East Africa and Southeast Asia, identifying shared drivers such as climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The report examines the gap between soybean production distribution and rural insurance coverage in Brazil, highlighting how climate change—manifesting as severe droughts, hail, and frost—has led to unprecedented insurance claim payments. Using LASSO machine learning models, researchers found that while insurance data is insufficient to predict losses in the North and Northeast regions, agricultural yield data from PAM/IBGE can effectively identify climate variables (precipitation, fire risk, and wind) that correlate with losses. The authors recommend expanding insurance supply to vulnerable regions like MATOPIBA, utilizing production history for pricing in underserved areas, and strengthening the reinsurance market and public-private funds to ensure insurer liquidity.

The Biftu Beri women’s village savings and loan association (VSLA) in Kumbi Kebele, Ethiopia, integrates forest conservation with economic empowerment to address climate-induced droughts and shrinking water sources. Led by Momina Adam and supported by Farm Africa, the group employs agroforestry, indigenous tree planting, and a weekly savings scheme to build climate resilience and improve household livelihoods.

The document examines the gap between soybean production and rural insurance coverage in Brazil, highlighting how climate change exacerbates risks through extreme events. Using LASSO machine learning models, researchers demonstrate that while insurance data is scarce in regions like the North and Northeast, agricultural yield data can effectively identify climate variables—primarily precipitation, fire risk, and wind—that drive production losses. The brief argues for expanding insurance to vulnerable regions like MATOPIBA and improving the solvency of insurers through reinsurance and public-private funds to support a low-carbon agricultural transition.

The Plan Régional d’Adaptation au Changement Climatique 2024-2028 for the Plateau Central region of Burkina Faso identifies key climate risks, assesses sectoral vulnerabilities, and proposes 44 priority actions across three strategic axes. With an estimated cost of 5,669,080,000 FCFA, the plan focuses on improving the resilience of agriculture, water resources, livestock, environment, and health, while targeting the most vulnerable populations, including women, the elderly, and persons with reduced mobility.

The document examines the paradoxical future of the western United States, where warming temperatures are projected to cause both more severe droughts and a higher likelihood of catastrophic megafloods. It highlights that while the total number of atmospheric rivers may decrease, those that do occur will be more intense due to the atmosphere's increased capacity to hold water vapor. Furthermore, warming is shifting precipitation from snow to rain, leading to declining snowpack volumes in the Northern Hemisphere and the American Cordillera, which complicates water management and increases flood risks.

Atmospheric rivers are corridors of moisture that provide essential water resources to the western U.S. but also cause severe flooding and landslides. Climate change is increasing the intensity and moisture content of these storms, which is projected to raise annual flood damages in the western U.S. to between $2.3 and $3.2 billion by 2090. While a series of atmospheric rivers in early 2023 significantly reduced drought coverage in California, the trend toward warmer storms is reducing snowpack and increasing the risk of compounding climate hazards.

Researchers found that climate hazards like flooding and drought drive migration from rural to peri-urban areas in Namibia. While migration provides benefits such as better access to electricity and educational opportunities, it creates human capital deficits in origin communities, often increasing the labour burden on women.

Ecuador developed a National Adaptation Plan (NAP) for 2023–2027 through a four-year collaborative process led by the Ministry of Environment, Water, and Ecological Transition. Supported by the UNDP and Green Climate Fund, the process engaged over 2,000 stakeholders to integrate climate adaptation into national and local territorial planning, focusing on climate justice and ecosystem protection.

Saint Lucia's National Adaptation Plan (NAP) is a 10-year participatory process led by the Department of Sustainable Development to build resilience across eight priority sectors. The process integrates various tools, including a Climate Financing Strategy and Private Sector Engagement Strategy, and has reached milestones such as the publication of the first NAP Progress Report in 2022 and Green Climate Fund project approval in 2023.

The author contends that Nigeria's security crises are fundamentally linked to its economic situation, where systemic poverty—exacerbated by political mismanagement and state failure—drives citizens toward crime. The paper details regional security threats, from jihadist violence in the North-East to oil theft in the South-South, and identifies specific failures such as the ineffective fuel subsidy regime, lack of infrastructure investment, and high youth unemployment. It concludes that without a shift toward selfless leadership and growth-oriented policies, the 2023 elections are unlikely to break this cycle of instability.

The analysis finds that while the low rainfall during the October-December 2022 period in Central South America cannot be attributed to climate change and is partly driven by La Niña, human-induced climate change likely reduced water availability by increasing temperatures and evapotranspiration. This exacerbates the agricultural drought, which has already caused severe crop losses in Argentina and water shortages in Uruguay.

A December 2022 survey of 1,085 American adults reveals that a majority believe global warming is happening and mostly human-caused. While 64% express worry and some report psychological distress, most reject fatalism and feel a personal responsibility to help. Americans identify a wide range of local risks, particularly water pollution and power outages, and generally believe global warming is affecting U.S. weather and environmental problems.

The document describes the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) as a natural climate pattern consisting of warm (El Niño), cold (La Niña), and neutral phases driven by sea surface temperatures and pressures in the tropical Pacific. It details how these phases disrupt atmospheric circulation, affecting global precipitation and temperature. Specifically, La Niña is associated with wetter conditions in Australia and Indonesia and warmer, drier winters in the southern U.S., while El Niño is linked to drought in Australia and Indonesia and cooler, wetter winters in the southern U.S. The text emphasizes that while ENSO can nudge global temperatures, it does not mask the long-term warming trend caused by carbon pollution; for instance, 2022 remained the sixth hottest year on record despite a persistent La Niña. Historical data from the 2015-2016 El Niño event highlights severe consequences, including forest fires in Indonesia, flooding in Peru, and an estimated 60 million people impacted by extremes across Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean, and the Asia-Pacific region.

The report examines the early exploration phase of the Cabora Bassa Project (Special Grant Permit 4571) in Zimbabwe, highlighting significant gaps in transparency and community engagement. While the project has identified substantial potential liquid natural gas reserves, the authors find a lack of meaningful consultation with local populations in the Muzarabani and Mbire districts, creating an information asymmetry between investors and residents. The document warns of potential risks including securitization, human rights abuses, and environmental degradation in a region already highly vulnerable to climate-induced flooding and drought. It recommends making production and exploration agreements public, conducting an independent review of the Environmental Impact Assessment, and implementing an equity-based benefit-sharing model for local communities.

Benin has been implementing a nationally led National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process since 2013, integrating climate adaptation into national and communal development plans. The process has progressed through milestones including capacity building, vulnerability studies, and the 2022 launch of the NAP document. Priority sectors for adaptation include agriculture, health, ecosystems, infrastructure, freshwater resources, energy, coastlines, and tourism, addressing impacts such as floods, sea level rise, droughts, and excessive heat.

Benin has been implementing its National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process since 2013, focusing on integrating climate adaptation into national, local, and sectoral development planning. The process has involved national consultations via the National Committee on Climate Change (CNCC) and the integration of adaptation goals into the National Development Plan, Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets, and various communal development plans. Key climate impacts identified include floods, sea-level rise, droughts, and excessive heat, affecting priority sectors such as agriculture, health, ecosystems, infrastructure, freshwater resources, energy, coastal zones, and tourism.