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Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Iowa will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding in winter and spring, and new threats to agriculture due to climate change. Under a higher-emissions scenario, Des Moines could see over 85 days per summer above 90°F and frequent heat waves similar to the 1995 Chicago disaster. Agriculture is threatened by heat stress for corn and livestock, as well as the northward expansion of pests like the corn earworm. The document argues that Iowa can mitigate these risks by strengthening its renewable electricity standard, promoting energy efficiency, and banning coal plants without carbon capture and storage, supported by federal cap-and-trade and fuel economy standards.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Michigan will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding, and agricultural disruptions by the end of the century, particularly under a higher-emissions scenario. It highlights risks to public health from extreme heat and ozone pollution, as well as threats to the state's dairy and corn industries. To mitigate these effects, the document advocates for strengthening renewable energy standards, updating building codes, and implementing federal cap-and-trade and fuel economy policies.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Minnesota will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding, and agricultural threats if current emissions trends continue. Under a high-emissions scenario, the state could see a 12°F increase in average summer temperatures by the end of the century, with Minneapolis-St. Paul experiencing nearly 70 days over 90°F per summer. These changes are expected to increase heat-related mortality, worsen air quality through higher ozone and particulate levels, and disrupt farming via heat stress and pest expansion. The document advocates for a transition to renewable energy, increased energy efficiency, and a federal cap-and-trade program to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Missouri will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding, and agricultural disruptions if heat-trapping emissions continue to rise. It highlights severe risks for St. Louis, including extreme heat waves and deteriorating air quality, and suggests a combination of state-level energy efficiency and federal climate legislation to mitigate these effects.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Ohio will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding, and agricultural disruptions if current emissions trends continue. It highlights severe risks to public health from heat waves and ozone pollution, and warns of crop and livestock stress. The document advocates for a transition to clean energy through stronger renewable electricity standards, updated building codes, and federal cap-and-trade legislation.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest
The report projects that Wisconsin will face significantly hotter summers, increased flooding, and agricultural disruptions if current emissions trends continue. Under a high-emissions scenario, Milwaukee could see more than 55 days per summer over 90°F by the end of the century. The document advocates for a transition to clean energy through renewable electricity standards, energy efficiency, and federal cap-and-trade policies to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Report
Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in Developing Countries
The report analyzes energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potentials for six major developing countries through 2030. It projects that baseline energy-sector emissions for these nations could double to approximately 17 metric gigatons of CO2 equivalent by 2030, representing over 40% of global energy-related GHG emissions. The study identifies high-potential mitigation options across four sectors: electricity production, transportation, buildings and appliances, and industry. Common high-potential strategies across all six countries include renewable energy development, vehicle efficiency standards, and the enforcement of building and appliance energy codes. The report emphasizes that while many low-cost options exist, significant barriers remain, including high up-front capital costs, limited technical capacity, and the need for international technology transfer.
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Document type: Research paper
Linking Reduced Deforestation and a Global Carbon Market: Impacts on Costs, Financial Flows, and Technological Innovation
The paper finds that integrating REDD into global carbon markets significantly reduces tropical deforestation emissions and lowers overall climate policy costs by 10-25%. While it slightly decreases investments in some renewable energy and nuclear R&D (by 1-10%), it may marginally increase investments in carbon capture and storage (CCS) and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) technologies. The study highlights that 'banking' credits enhances these cost savings and provides policy flexibility for future more stringent targets.
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Document type: Research paper
Shell’s Big Dirty Secret
The report claims Shell is the most carbon-intensive oil company globally, with its production intensity projected to rise by 85% due to a shift toward oil sands, oil shale, and liquefied natural gas (LNG). It documents a history of gas flaring in Nigeria, alleging that internal documents show Shell prioritized profit over ending the practice. The report further asserts that Shell engages in 'greenwashing' by promoting limited renewable initiatives while lobbying against fuel quality directives and emissions trading reforms in the European Union and climate legislation in the United States.
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Document type: Report
NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES: COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPING COUNTRY PLANS
The report compares the climate change strategies of India, Brazil, China, Mexico, and South Africa, detailing their objectives, development processes, emission scenarios, and specific mitigation and adaptation interventions. It observes that while these plans identify national priorities and visions, they often lack concrete implementation procedures and specific action-steps, particularly regarding adaptation.
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Document type: Report
A Deep Carbon Reduction Scenario for China
The report compares a Baseline scenario, where China's energy sector emissions grow to 18.9 GT by 2050, with a Deep Carbon Reduction Scenario (DCRS). The DCRS aims to reduce 2050 emissions to 1.9 GT by implementing aggressive energy efficiency, electrification of transport, large-scale renewable deployment, and carbon capture and storage (CCS) in the power sector. The analysis concludes that while technically possible, the DCRS requires the simultaneous and rapid implementation of all proposed measures to meet the 230 GT cumulative emissions budget.
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Document type: Report
International Carbon Market Mechanisms in a Post-2012 Climate Change Agreement
The report analyzes the performance of Kyoto Protocol mechanisms—International Emissions Trading (IET), Joint Implementation (JI), and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)—and explores proposals for a post-2012 regime. It discusses the potential for an allocation-based Market Mechanism for Sustainable Development (MMSD), REDD, and the expansion of the CDM to include carbon capture and storage (CCS), nuclear energy, and sectoral crediting. The document highlights critical challenges for future agreements, including the environmental integrity of credits, the issue of additionality, and the need for ambitious developed-country targets to ensure demand for credits from developing nations.
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Document type: Report
Status of the UNFCCC Negotiations
The Bonn climate talks served as the first of six negotiating sessions in 2009 aimed at establishing a post-2012 climate regime. While the meetings produced no tangible results, they narrowed gaps between Parties on mitigation, adaptation, technology, and financing. Key tensions persist regarding the scale of emission reductions for developed countries, the role of the United States and China, and the governance of climate finance.
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Document type: Report
Les mécanismes internationaux du marché du carbone au sein d’un accord post-2012 sur les changements climatiques
The document examines the functioning of the Kyoto Protocol's market mechanisms—the International Emissions Trading (IET), Joint Implementation (JI), and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)—and explores options for their expansion or replacement in a post-2012 framework. It discusses new proposals such as the Market Mechanism for Sustainable Development (MMSD), REDD, and sectoral CDM, while highlighting challenges regarding additionality, environmental integrity, and the equitable distribution of projects in developing countries.
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Document type: Report
Climate 2030
The Climate 2030 Blueprint proposes a combination of an economywide cap-and-trade program and complementary sector-specific policies to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. The analysis argues that these measures can achieve deep carbon cuts while generating significant net savings for consumers and businesses, reducing oil dependence, and maintaining robust economic growth.
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Document type: Executive summary
Greenhouse Gases and Human Well-Being
The paper examines the correlation between CO2 emissions per capita and PPP-adjusted GDP per capita across 174 countries, using China to illustrate the challenges of balancing development with emissions reductions. It finds that income is the strongest determinant of emissions and argues that current high-income lifestyles are incompatible with low-carbon stabilization targets, necessitating technological innovation.
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Document type: Research paper
Financing Mitigation and Adaptation in Developing Countries: New options and mechanisms
The document assesses the financial requirements for climate mitigation and adaptation in developing countries, noting that current public funding is insufficient. It details specific investment needs for 2030, analyzes existing funds like the GEF and Adaptation Fund, and examines various proposals for new revenue streams, including GDP-based levies, carbon market expansions, and international transport levies. The paper emphasizes the need for a structured approach to technology innovation and a predictable, grant-based system for adaptation.
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Document type: Research paper
State of the Carbon Market: How the future market can encourage developing country participation
The document analyzes the role of carbon markets in financing climate action in developing countries, estimating potential revenues and evaluating different market mechanisms. It argues that while the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has provided a starting point, expanding to sectoral and allocation-based mechanisms is necessary to cover the high-emitting electricity and industrial sectors of Major Developing Economies (MDEs). The paper proposes a phased approach to developing country participation, moving from broadened CDM and other market mechanisms for sustainable development (MMSDs) toward sectoral and economy-wide commitments, contingent on developed countries meeting their own stringent targets.
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Document type: Research paper
Outcomes of COP 14 in Poznan
The report details the progress of the UNFCCC negotiations at COP 14 in Poznan, highlighting the operationalization of the Adaptation Fund and the agreement to enter 'full negotiating mode' for 2009. It examines the work of the AWG-LCA and AWG-KP, noting a lack of breakthroughs on global emission goals and a divide between developed and developing nations regarding mitigation commitments. The document concludes by outlining the critical issues and deadlines remaining for the COP 15 meeting in Copenhagen.
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Document type: Report
Encouraging Developing Country Participation in a Future Climate Change Regime
The report argues that preventing dangerous climate change requires the active participation of major developing economies (MDEs), as developed countries' actions alone are insufficient. It analyzes the current GHG emission trends in MDEs, the impact of the 2008 global economic crisis on climate finance, and the positions of key actors like the U.S., EU, and China. The authors propose a 'Phased Approach to a Safe Climate' that differentiates countries into Developed, Advanced Developing, and Other Developing categories, transitioning MDEs from voluntary nationally appropriate mitigation actions (NAMAs) to binding targets by 2020, provided developed countries demonstrate leadership and provide adequate financing and technology transfer.
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Document type: Report