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Climate Change in the American Christian Mind
The report analyzes how different denominations of American Christians perceive climate change, finding that Catholics are generally the most concerned and supportive of climate policies, while evangelicals are the most split on the reality of global warming and more likely to prioritize religious beliefs over scientific explanations. It also assesses the trust placed in religious leaders, specifically Pope Francis, and the support for specific climate mitigation policies.
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Document type: Report
Are Muslim Countries More War-Prone?
The document serves as an appendix to a study on the relationship between majority religion and armed conflict. It provides detailed datasets on the majority religions of countries as of 2010, the incidence of intrastate armed conflict by religion between 1991 and 2012, and a comprehensive list of opposition groups in intrastate conflicts from 1946 to 2013. It specifically examines the prevalence of Islamist insurgents and the conflict history of the ten countries with the largest Muslim populations.
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Document type: Research paper
The Climate Risks of Natural Gas: Fugitive Methane Emissions
The document details the calculations used to estimate the CO2-equivalent emissions resulting from natural gas leakage in the United States. Based on 2012 production data and a leakage range of 1% to 9%, the analysis converts methane volume to mass and then to CO2 equivalents, using a potency factor of 34. These results are then compared to the annual emissions of typical 600-megawatt coal power plants to illustrate the climate risk.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Improving Agricultural Productivity in Brazil: The Unmet Potential of Price Risk Policy
The research evaluates the gap between the potential economic benefit of price risk hedging and the actual value delivered by Brazil's Minimum Price Guarantee Policy (PGPM). Using a neoclassical growth model for soybean, sugarcane, corn, and coffee, the authors find that farmers would value full price insurance at BRL 49.6 billion (25.9% of total production value), while the current policy provides only BRL 3.982 billion in value, representing just 8.0% of the potential market. The study argues that the PGPM is an inefficient, anachronistic tool that focuses on preventing extreme poverty rather than managing the price volatility that affects both small and large-scale commercial agribusiness. It recommends shifting toward market-oriented instruments, such as direct payments or revenue insurance, similar to transitions made in the United States and European Union.
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Document type: Research paper
WORKING TOGETHER WITH CITIES TO REDUCE THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
The Measuring Up 2015 report analyzes climate action across 116 US local governments, representing approximately 14% of the US population. It finds that achieving these cities' 2050 emissions goals would be equivalent to shutting down 86 coal-fired power plants. The report highlights the success of cities like Atlanta, Cincinnati, Minneapolis, and Portland, noting that strong government leadership, supportive state policies, and private sector partnerships are critical for success. It argues that while local actions are significant, they require an enabling national policy framework, including strong power plant regulations and carbon pricing, to reach their full potential.
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Document type: Report
The China-U.S. Climate Agreement: By the Numbers
The United States and China have announced new climate targets to align with the European Union as the world's top three emitters. The U.S. aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 26-28 percent from 2005 levels by 2025, which would require doubling annual reduction rates. China intends to peak carbon dioxide emissions around 2030 and increase non-fossil fuel energy consumption to around 20 percent by 2030. Both countries' targets represent a deviation from business-as-usual trajectories, though achieving a long-term 2-degree-C trajectory will require more aggressive policies, such as carbon pricing and stronger regulation of power plants.
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Document type: Fact sheet
NATIONAL FAIR SHARES THE MITIGATION GAP - DOMESTIC ACTION AND INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT
The report utilizes the Climate Equity Reference Calculator to determine national 'fair shares' of global mitigation efforts based on the UNFCCC principles of responsibility and capacity. It argues that for wealthy, high-emitting countries, fair shares often exceed domestic mitigation potential, necessitating the provision of international support. Conversely, for poorer countries, domestic potential exceeds their fair share, requiring international support to unlock further reductions. The analysis uses three ambition pathways (Strong 2°C, Weak 2°C, and G8) and an 'equity band' (Low, Medium, and High settings) to assess national contributions, concluding that current pledges, such as the EU's 40% target, are generally inconsistent with 2°C goals unless supplemented by significant international support.
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Document type: Report
Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2014
In 2013, global climate finance flows totaled USD 331 billion, a decrease of USD 28 billion from 2012. This decline was primarily driven by a USD 31 billion drop in private investment, largely due to falling solar PV costs. Public finance remained stable at USD 137 billion, with Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) acting as the primary public source. Mitigation accounted for 91% of total flows, while adaptation received 7% (USD 25 billion), all of which originated from public sources. The report highlights a significant gap between current flows and the estimated USD 1.1 trillion annual investment needed in the energy sector to limit global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius.
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Document type: Report
Africa’s conflict burden in a global context
The analysis finds that armed conflict in Africa generally follows a global pattern of decline when measured relative to population growth, though this was disrupted by the Cold War and has seen a recent uptick since 2010. Africa is uniquely characterized by high levels of 'non-state conflict'—violence between armed groups not involving the government—which the author attributes to weak governance. While terrorism is rising globally, the Middle East is currently experiencing faster growth than Africa. The paper also highlights that internal conflicts now dominate globally over interstate wars, and warns that climate change may increase local conflicts over resources in northern and southern Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Advancing climate ambition: cities as partners in global climate action
The report argues that cities can significantly reduce global GHG emissions, potentially decreasing them by 3.7 GtCO2e by 2030 and 8.0 GtCO2e by 2050. The greatest abatement opportunities are found in urban building energy efficiency, followed by transport and waste management. Because city-level actions are often not captured in national pledges, they offer a critical path for countries to deepen their climate ambition.
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Document type: Report
Mining and Biodiversity: Evaluating EAP standards in the sector
The study assesses 62 mining applications in Mpumalanga and KwaZulu-Natal to determine if EAPs are following the six core principles of the Mining and Biodiversity Guidelines (MBG). It finds significant gaps in adherence, particularly regarding the use of biodiversity information and best practice environmental impact assessments. The report highlights a performance gap between larger and smaller EAP consultancies and argues for the urgent formal registration and regulation of EAPs under a professional body like EAPASA to ensure sustainable development and protect water and food security in South Africa's grasslands.
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Document type: Report
BAKKEN FLARING IN FOCUS: A CLOSE LOOK AT NATURAL GAS FLARING IN NORTH DAKOTA
In 2013, the oil and gas industry in the Bakken formation of North Dakota flared 32% of all produced gas. Analysis shows that 57% of statewide flaring occurred at wells already connected to gathering pipelines, and the majority of flaring (72%) took place on private or state-owned land. While flaring rates were higher on the Fort Berthold Indian Reservation (46%) compared to the statewide average, rates on Federal public lands were slightly lower than those on private or state land.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Women's differentiated vulnerability and adaptations to climate-related agricultural water scarcity in rural Central Vietnam
The research examines how intersectional factors such as gender, class, age, and household headship create varied experiences of vulnerability regarding access to water, forestland, and credit in rural Central Vietnam. It argues that current development policies and the National Target Program to Respond to Climate Change of Vietnam fail to account for these differences, risking the further marginalization of specific groups, particularly female heads of household.
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Document type: Research paper
The Reflection of African Concerns in the G-20 Financial Regulation and Financial Development Agenda
The paper finds that while G-20 documents rarely mention Africa explicitly, they address broader developing country interests, particularly in adapting financial standards and promoting financial inclusion. It highlights the role of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) and the Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion (GPFI) as key channels for African engagement, while noting that African states often lack the supervisory capacity to implement complex international standards like Basel III.
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Document type: Research paper
Investment Treaty Arbitration: Opportunities to reform arbitral rules and processes
The report analyzes the landscape of investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS), noting that the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) and the United Nations Commission on International Trade Law (UNCITRAL) are the most frequently used frameworks. It examines the governing structures of intergovernmental bodies (ICSID, PCA, UNCITRAL) versus non-governmental ones (ICC, SCC, LCIA, CRCICA), arguing that intergovernmental structures offer better reform opportunities for states. The document highlights critical flaws in the current system, including the 'dual-role' of arbitrators acting as both counsel and judge, the lack of transparency in private institutions, and the limited avenues for states to challenge awards based on errors of law or fact. It suggests that systemic reforms to these central rules could impact thousands of existing investment treaties simultaneously.
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Document type: Report
Are Partisanship and Industry Influence Compromising the Mission of the House Committee on Science?
An analysis by the Union of Concerned Scientists found that the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology has seen a steady increase in industry witnesses and a decline in substantive science policy hearings. By the 112th Congress, industry representatives became the most frequent witness category, while hearings focused on legislative or science policy issues dropped to less than 40%. The report suggests that the committee has become more partisan, particularly when the House majority differs from the White House party, leading to a higher proportion of oversight hearings aimed at federal agencies.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Towards a revised planetary boundary for consumptive freshwater use: role of environmental flow requirements
The authors argue that accounting for aquatic ecosystem needs results in a lower planetary boundary for freshwater consumption than previously estimated, suggesting a value of approximately 2800 km3 yr−1 compared to the earlier 4000 km3 yr−1.
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Document type: Research paper
The Role of Development Finance Institutions and Development Banks in Scaling Up Green and Climate Investments
The document analyzes the 2012 green and climate finance activities of 15 surveyed DFIs and DBs, who committed approximately USD 18.2 billion. While these institutions play a significant role in financing green economic development, their catalytic potential is hindered by a shortage of bankable projects and the uncertain viability of prototype technologies. The report details the sectoral distribution of funds—favoring mitigation and sustainable transport—and examines the ongoing financing of fossil fuel projects. It concludes by suggesting policy improvements and enhanced transparency through standardized reporting to further scale green investments.
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Document type: Briefing
The EU Biofuel Policy and Palm Oil: Cutting subsidies or cutting rainforest?
The report finds that EU biofuel policies have significantly increased palm oil consumption, with the biofuels sector accounting for 80% of the total increase in EU palm oil use between 2006 and 2012. It argues that the low cost and high yield of palm oil make it a 'marginal vegetable oil' that replaces domestic feedstocks like rapeseed. The authors warn that without reducing subsidies for food-based biofuels, the EU will likely see a 40% increase in palm oil consumption by 2020, potentially exacerbating deforestation and carbon emissions in tropical forests and peatlands.
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Document type: Research paper
A Critical Assessment of the G-20 Food Security Agenda
The document assesses the G-20's food security commitments from an African perspective, focusing on food-price volatility, agricultural productivity, and nutrition. While it finds broad alignment in rhetoric and focus areas, it argues that the G-20 fails to implement critical regulatory reforms in financial markets and trade that would meaningfully benefit Africa.
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Document type: Research paper