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The document examines the historical and contemporary drivers of conflict in Sudan, arguing that the centralisation of power in Khartoum and the economic neglect of peripheral regions created a pattern of resistance. It distinguishes between the 'high politics' of oil, which fueled the second civil war and secessionist movements, and the 'low politics' of subsistence resources, such as land and water, which continue to drive local-level violence between pastoralists and farmers. The author concludes that the stability of both Northern and Southern Sudan depends on their ability to move away from elite-driven power concentration and establish inclusive governance and resource-sharing frameworks.

The report details a 2011 workshop in Sierra Leone focused on applying conflict-sensitive conservation (CSC) to the Gola Rainforest National Park. Participants identified various conflicts, including wildlife-human clashes, resource access disputes, and unequal benefit-sharing. The workshop prioritized these issues based on human and conservation impacts, selecting four key conflicts for detailed analysis using conflict trees and maps to develop potential solutions.

The 'Healing the Rift' project, led by the Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS) with technical support from the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), piloted conflict-sensitive conservation (CSC) strategies in the Democratic Republic of Congo's Albertine Rift. The project focused on four sites: Virunga National Park, Kahuzi-Biega National Park, Itombwe Massif, and Misotshi-Kabogo. By utilizing conflict analysis, stakeholder dialogue, and participatory mapping, the project aimed to reduce illegal resource extraction and resolve disputes over protected area boundaries. Key successes included the establishment of monitoring committees for Lake Edward fisheries and the proactive community-supported design of the proposed Ngamika National Park. However, the report notes that long-term sustainability is threatened by persistent poverty, lack of alternative livelihoods for resource extractors, and ongoing insecurity.

The report identifies climate change as a 'threat multiplier' in northern Kenya, where it exacerbates natural resource scarcity and competition, particularly over pasture and water. Through field research in the Lekurruki and Sera community conservancies, the study finds that while climate change increases the risk of violent conflict, the outcome depends heavily on the efficacy of natural resource management (NRM) and local governance. The authors argue that current Kenyan national policies—specifically the National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS) and the National Policy on Peacebuilding and Conflict Management (NPPCM)—are disconnected, with the former ignoring security implications and the latter ignoring climate change. The report recommends integrating conflict analysis into climate strategies, enacting the National Land Policy to clarify tenure, and strengthening state security to reduce reliance on privatised or auxiliary agents.

The document examines the historical and political drivers of violence in the Nuba Mountains of Sudan, specifically contrasting the conflict formation of the 1980s with the post-2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) era. It argues that while resource scarcity is often cited as a cause of Sahelian conflict, the violence in the Nuba Mountains is rooted in a long history of systemic marginalisation by an Arab-Muslim dominated state hierarchy. The author details the role of the National Islamic Front (NIF) in launching a 'jihad' against the Nuba in the 1990s, involving forced Islamisation and the use of 'murahaleen' militias. The paper concludes that the CPA has failed to address Nuba demands for self-determination, leaving the region volatile ahead of the 2010 elections.

The document analyzes the conflict dynamics of the Tuareg in North Africa and the Sahel, arguing that the violence is rooted in the loss of traditional livelihood resources and systemic political exclusion. It examines how post-independence land reforms, severe droughts in the 1970s and 1980s, and the industrial exploitation of uranium and gold have marginalized the Tuareg. The paper details the specific trajectories of conflict in Mali and Niger, the assimilation policies in Algeria, and the destabilizing role of Libya. It concludes that peace requires a comprehensive approach addressing the root causes of poverty and resource inequality rather than treating the Tuareg as terrorists.

The document analyzes the intractable political crisis in Chad, arguing that international efforts have often prioritized regime stability over long-term peace and democratic institutional building. It examines the roles of President Idriss Déby, armed rebel groups, and external powers like France, the US, and Sudan. The report evaluates specific initiatives, including the 13 August 2007 political accord and the Dakar Agreement, concluding that implementation has been piecemeal and hampered by a lack of political will and coordinated mechanisms.

The document details a capacity-building workshop for ICCN staff and partners to analyze and resolve conflicts in Virunga National Park. It identifies three primary conflicts: lack of revenue sharing, deforestation and encroachment, and military involvement in illegal activities. The report outlines conflict mapping tools, actor analysis, and proposed strategies such as creating collaboration frameworks, reorganizing fisheries on Lake Edward, and initiating community self-reliance projects.

The report examines the fragmented landscape of peace and reconciliation efforts in Afghanistan during 2008, analyzing the failure of national-level negotiations, the limitations of amnesty programs, and the fragility of local-level truces like those in Musa Qala. It argues that a sustainable political solution requires a comprehensive regional strategy and a credible national reconciliation framework that moves beyond tactical surrenders to address power-sharing and security sector reform.

The report analyzes the 2008 border dispute between Eritrea and Djibouti, tracing its roots to colonial-era protocols from 1900 and 1901. It argues that the conflict is not primarily about the contested Ras Doumeirah area, but is a strategic move by Eritrea to pressure Ethiopia, which relies heavily on Djibouti's ports. The document details the military imbalance between the two states, the role of external actors like France and the US, and the broader instability in the Horn of Africa, including proxy wars in Somalia and internal tensions in Ethiopia's Ogaden region.

The document examines the history of the Western Sahara conflict, focusing on the failure of multiple peace plans proposed by the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) and the United Nations (UN). It details the divergent positions of Morocco, which seeks sovereignty or autonomy under its rule, and the Polisario Front, which demands a referendum on self-determination. The author argues that the 'winner-takes-all' nature of referendums and the strategic interests of external allies like Algeria, France, and the United States have contributed to a persistent diplomatic stalemate.

The document examines the intersection of the Niger Delta insurgency and Nigeria's 2007 general elections. It argues that the region's instability is driven by ecological damage, poverty, and a lack of political autonomy for ethnic minorities, exacerbated by the failure of the 13 percent oil revenue award and the activities of oil companies. The author warns that if the elections are perceived as fraudulent, armed groups like the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) may use the chaos to advance their goals through violence, potentially disrupting global oil markets. The briefing outlines several scenarios for the election aftermath, ranging from chaotic inconclusive polls to potential impeachment or military intervention, and recommends a sovereign national conference to renegotiate the federation's political and economic foundations.

The document argues that the Somali conflict is driven by competition for power and resources, state repression under General Mohamed Siad Barre, and the colonial legacy of partitioning. It identifies Ethiopia's hostile policies, the lack of major-power interest, the persistence of warlords, and a lack of resources as primary obstacles to peace. The authors propose a peace-building framework involving clan-based power-sharing, the disarmament of heavy weapons, international financial support, and Islam-informed peace education to foster long-term stability.

The report examines the complex relationship between the Buddhist Sangha and the peace process in Sri Lanka. It details the organizational structure of the Sangha, the influence of Sinhala Buddhist nationalism, and the emergence of politically active monks, specifically the Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU) party. While many monks fear that a federal solution would lead to the division of the country and the betrayal of Buddhism, a minority of peace-activist monks and some high-ranking mahanayakas support a negotiated settlement. The report suggests that Norway, as a facilitator, should engage more deeply with influential monks to prevent them from becoming spoilers and to secure public support for a political solution.

The document analyzes the 2004 unrest in the Kivus, focusing on General Laurent Nkunda's military campaign and the failure of the DRC Transition Government to maintain stability. It highlights the role of ethnic manipulation of Tutsi and Banyamulenge communities, the destabilizing influence of Rwanda, and the internal fractures within the FARDC military regions. The report also details the Gatumba massacre in Burundi and the challenges of repatriating Banyamulenge refugees.

The briefing examines the risks associated with Burundi's planned November 2004 elections, highlighting the tension between peace-making and electioneering. It identifies critical unmet pre-conditions, including the lack of a new constitution and the continued presence of armed movements. The author warns that a 'win-lose' mentality and the militarization of political power—specifically the alliance between the Burundian Army and the FDD—threaten the ethnic compromises of the Arusha Peace Accord and could lead to a return to exclusionary politics.

The paper analyzes the Sudan-IGAD peace process, highlighting the shift from the first stage of negotiations between the Government of Sudan (GoS) and the SPLM/A to a necessary second stage focused on inclusivity and democratic transformation. It argues that the success of the Machakos Protocol depends on expanding the process to include civil society and northern opposition groups, as well as resolving volatile bilateral relations with neighbors like Eritrea and Uganda. The author emphasizes the critical role of US pressure and the need for a successful referendum on self-determination for southern Sudan to prevent a return to conflict.

The document details the 2001-2003 political crisis in Madagascar, triggered by a disputed presidential election between incumbent Didier Ratsiraka and challenger Marc Ravalomanana. It describes the resulting institutional collapse, the failure of multiple mediation attempts in Dakar, and the eventual consolidation of power by Ravalomanana despite initial resistance from the African Union.

This research paper by David H. Shinn analyzes Sudan's strategic position in Africa, focusing on its internal civil war, the economic impact of oil, and its complex bilateral relations with its nine neighboring countries as of March 2003.

The document provides a comparative analysis of child involvement in conflict in Mozambique and South Africa. In Mozambique, it details the devastating effects of a 16-year war of destabilisation and the subsequent use of government, NGO, and traditional community rituals to reintegrate child ex-soldiers. In South Africa, it explores the role of children as 'proxy soldiers' and activists during the struggle against apartheid from 1976 to 1994, highlighting the psychological damage of state repression and the challenges of resocialisation in a post-apartheid society.