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The author applies the 'non-offensive defence' (NOD) framework to sub-Saharan Africa, finding that most states lack the logistics, equipment, and troop density to launch large-scale offensives. This creates a 'zone of mutual defensive superiority' by default, though the author warns this is coupled with a dangerous inability to protect citizens from internal repression or external predators. The paper suggests that instead of individual state armaments, the region should pursue a 'division of labour' for power projection through multilateral organisations like the African Union.
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Document type: Research paper
Demilitarising sub-Saharan Africa
The document examines the link between poverty, human insecurity, and conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. It argues that the 'security first' approach of international donors is flawed because it focuses on state security while ignoring the structural economic collapse caused by neo-liberal structural adjustment programmes and unsustainable debt. The author describes 'new wars' in Africa as rational economic responses to exclusion, where warlords utilize global markets for lootable commodities. The paper advocates for a shift toward 'human security' and a significant increase in official development assistance (ODA) to meet Millennium Development Goals, warning that current donor strategies continue to prioritize market liberalization over genuine poverty alleviation.
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Document type: Research paper
Land tenure, land reform and conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa: Towards a research agenda
The report examines how insecure land access and the manipulation of land rights contribute to poverty and violent conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa. It highlights the tension between customary and statutory tenure systems and warns that land is often used as a 'resource of conflict' by elites to consolidate power and enforce ethnic divisions. The authors argue for the importance of local governance and field-based empirical research in developing effective land policies and reconciliation efforts.
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Document type: Report
Africa's Futures
Africa is experiencing rapid population growth and urbanisation, with a projected population of over 1.8 billion by 2035. While the continent shows a positive overall trend, growth is heterogeneous and often outpaced by population increases, leading to a projected rise in the number of people living in extreme poverty. The report highlights a 'demographic dividend' that remains delayed due to high fertility rates, and notes that while global democratic trends are declining, popular support for democracy in Africa remains strong despite fragile foundations. Security is shifting from large-scale interstate conflicts toward more complex, lower-fatality violence, including urban riots and terrorism. Economic growth is hindered by a lack of structural transformation and a significant infrastructure deficit, particularly in basic services like water and sanitation, which the report argues are more critical for poverty reduction than traditional trade infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
A price worth fighting for? Natural resources and conflict recurrence
The study analyzes 285 conflict episodes to determine how natural resources affect the duration of postconflict peace. It identifies three primary mechanisms: distribution, financing, and aggravation. The findings indicate that while natural resource conflicts generally show shorter peace periods bivariately, only conflicts driven by disagreements over the distribution of resources and revenues significantly increase the risk of recurrence in a multivariate analysis. This suggests that resource-related grievances are a more persistent driver of conflict relapse than the mere opportunity to finance warfare.
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Document type: Research paper
Breaking the Conflict Trap
The report argues that civil war is 'development in reverse,' creating a 'conflict trap' where poverty and institutional failure increase the risk of war, and war further degrades development. It identifies three rings of adverse effects: internal civilian suffering, regional spillovers (such as arms races and disease), and global costs (including drug trafficking and terrorism). The authors find that civil war is increasingly concentrated in 'marginalized' low-income countries and those in the conflict trap. To combat this, the report proposes a policy package including improved aid timing, transparent natural resource governance, and coordinated military-development sequencing in postconflict decades.
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Document type: Report
Does Education Lead to Pacification?
The review finds a general scholarly consensus that higher levels of education have a pacifying effect on civil conflict, though this relationship is complex and varies by the type of violence. While low education is often linked to recruitment in civil wars, higher education levels are frequently observed among terrorists and genocide perpetrators. The authors highlight that inter-group educational inequalities—particularly along ethnic and religious lines—significantly increase conflict risks, whereas rapid expansions in tertiary education do not appear to drive destabilization. The document concludes that while education generally promotes peace, its impact is mediated by factors such as regime type, gender equality, and the specific nature of the political violence.
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Document type: Research paper
Socioeconomic Inequality and Communal Conflict: A Disaggregated Analysis of Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2008
The study finds that regions in Sub-Saharan Africa with high levels of both vertical and horizontal socioeconomic inequality are significantly more prone to violent communal conflicts. Specifically, the marginalization of the largest ethnic group in a region is a key driver of violence. The authors argue that the exclusionary nature of the African state and elite incentives to mobilize communal identities transform economic grievances into violent clashes over resources and political power.
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Document type: Research paper
War and Gender Inequalities in Health: The Impact of Armed Conflict on Fertility and Maternal Mortality
The research examines whether armed conflict contributes to excess female mortality by affecting reproductive health and maternal mortality. The study finds that while conflict is associated with moderately higher maternal mortality rates, its effect on overall fertility is only significant in low-income countries, where it may act as a deterrent to the demographic transition. Unexpectedly, the study identifies that conflicts in neighboring countries are associated with lower maternal mortality, potentially due to the effectiveness of international health interventions for refugee populations.
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Document type: Research paper
ENERGY WITHIN REACH
The proposal outlines a strategy to provide electricity to millions in sub-Saharan Africa and India using a modular 'solar energy ladder' that progresses from lanterns to microgrids. It aims to prevent carbon emissions and coal plant expansion while stimulating economic growth through standardized design, large-scale procurement, and innovative financing.
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Document type: Report
MAXIMISING IMPACT: TRANSFORMING GRANT FUNDING FOR ENERGY ACCESS
ENGIE Energy Access identifies a critical funding gap and strategic misalignment in the effort to achieve universal energy access in Sub-Saharan Africa. The report argues that current grant funding is too limited, fragmented, and often diverted from core household electrification toward higher-tier or niche goals. It proposes four strategic shifts: refocusing on basic household access (Tier 1–2), tailoring financial instruments to specific market segments, increasing the share of grants in the capital mix to approximately 50%, and transitioning to coordinated programmatic platforms with standardised administration.
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Document type: Report
ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL MANAGEMENT PLAN (ESMP) FOR CLEAN ENERGY MINI-GRID PROJECTS TEMPLATE
The document is a template for an Environmental and Social Management Plan (ESMP) designed for clean energy mini-grids, particularly solar hybrid systems. It outlines the purpose of an ESMP as a tool to eliminate or reduce adverse risks during a project's life cycle, from construction to decommissioning. The guide details specific environmental and social risks associated with key components—such as PV panels, battery banks, and fuel generators—and provides corresponding mitigation and monitoring measures. It also includes a matrix of minimum environmental and social parameters (indicators) that proponents should track across different project phases.
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Document type: Guide
Women Entrepreneurs as Key Drivers in the Decentralised Renewable Energy Sector
The document establishes a business case for gender equality in the decentralised renewable energy (DRE) sector, asserting that women-led businesses are often as profitable as or more profitable than those led by men. It provides a framework of recommendations for DRE companies, civil society organisations (CSOs), and investors to improve gender equality at the community, organisational, and investor levels. The report includes 17 case studies from various global regions demonstrating the impact of gender-sensitive interventions, such as solar kiosks in Togo, feminist microgrid development in Haiti, and technical training for women in Brazil.
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Document type: Report
ARE Photo Contest
The Alliance for Rural Electrification (ARE) is hosting a photo contest to document the impact of Team Europe's support for decentralised renewable energy (DRE) in Sub-Saharan Africa. ARE members are invited to submit photos by 30 April 2024 across five categories: productive use, women empowerment, powering industries, manufacturing and power components, and green job creation. Winning entries will be promoted via ARE's website and social media, and showcased at the EAIF 2024. Submissions must feature projects partially financed or implemented by European Member State public entities or companies and meet specific technical standards regarding resolution and file format.
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Document type: Guide
State of the Decentralised Renewable Energy Sector in India
The report provides a comprehensive overview of India's decentralised renewable energy (DRE) landscape, detailing deployment statistics, government schemes, and the role of R&D in driving innovation. It highlights the transition of DRE from basic lighting to productive livelihood applications and identifies 'weak-grid' areas as a significant growth market. The document emphasizes the necessity of harmonized international standards to prevent market spoilage and facilitate global trade. It also showcases the 'transformational journeys' of Indian companies expanding into Sub-Saharan Africa, leveraging digital technologies like Pay-as-you-Go (PayG) and standardized mini-grid models to address energy poverty.
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Document type: Report
cari_wp1_hwangbrautigamwanghydropowersub-saharanafrica-2-bc9096e25ca50c0f.pdf
The provided text contains only the page headers and numbering for a research paper titled "Chinese Engagement in Hydropower Infrastructure in Sub-Saharan Africa". No substantive content or findings are present in the provided text.
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Document type: Research paper
Recovering from COVID: Building Resilience in Select African Economies
The report examines how Benin, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, Nigeria, and South Africa responded to the COVID-19 pandemic. It finds that wealthier, more open economies like South Africa and Senegal were most vulnerable to shocks, while countries like Tanzania and Benin experienced marginal growth deceleration due to minimal or delayed government reactions. Fiscal capacity varied significantly: South Africa and Senegal implemented the most substantive stimulus packages, whereas Nigeria was constrained by a volatile tax base. Most countries focused on industry support and tax relief, though South Africa uniquely allocated 60% of its package to social security. The document highlights a looming 'debt repayment wall' peaking in 2024 and argues for a transition toward green infrastructure, diversified revenue bases, and a common African negotiating position to secure concessional finance and Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) from higher-income nations.
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Document type: Report
Trade in SACU Energy Services: Towards A Negotiating Strategy
The document outlines a workshop discussion on the barriers to trade in energy services in SACU, highlighting the absence of services in the SACU agreement and the tension between achieving universal electricity access and maintaining tariffs attractive to Independent Power Producers (IPPs). It emphasizes the need for an integrated regional resource plan, technical transfer, and a shift away from coal and oil toward renewable energy, noting that a lack of political will and a preference for external bilateral cooperation currently hinder regional integration.
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Document type: Report
Rice Milling.indd
This case study, produced by the SADC Secretariat and GIZ, examines the business constraints faced by Rice Milling Company (Pvt.) Limited (RMC), a Malawi-based firm that processes rice, milk powder, and salt for local and regional markets. The document details how government regulations, infrastructure deficiencies, and skill shortages hinder RMC's export capabilities and operational efficiency within the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region.
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Document type: Case study
O Regresso à Escola Um Olhar para Além da Educação Primária Universal em África
The document assesses the state of education in Sub-Saharan Africa, noting that while progress toward Universal Primary Education (UPE) has been made, the region is unlikely to achieve this goal by 2150 at current rates. It highlights a critical lack of resources, with a need for 1 to 2 billion dollars in immediate support and an additional 3 million teachers. The report emphasizes that primary education must be complemented by secondary education, as only 25% of primary graduates currently enroll in secondary school. Key barriers identified include gender inequality, where 60% of girls in Sub-Saharan Africa were out of school in 2002, and the HIV/AIDS epidemic, which forces children to leave school to care for sick parents. The document calls for urgent curriculum reform, increased teacher salaries, and a 'zero tolerance' approach to corruption to ensure education leads to genuine economic growth.
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Document type: Executive summary