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The Role of Middle East Leadership in Clean Energy Infrastructure Funding: Can the Middle East Fill Africa’s Energy Finance Gap?
The report examines how the UAE and Saudi Arabia are emerging as primary financiers of clean energy in Africa, noting a shift toward multi-billion dollar renewable and hydrogen projects. While GCC investments are substantial, they are currently concentrated in a few low-risk markets like Egypt, Morocco, and South Africa. The authors argue that to maximize impact, the GCC should pivot toward funding transmission infrastructure, geothermal energy, methane abatement, and critical mineral refining across a broader range of African nations.
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Document type: Report
Zambia’s 2026 general elections: Democratic progress amid persistent challenges
The document identifies strategic electoral violence, the weaponization of the judiciary by ruling parties, and the chronic under-representation of women and low-income citizens as primary threats to democratic consolidation in Zambia. It highlights that while the country has maintained competitive elections since 1991, extensive presidential powers and subnational authoritarianism undermine local democracy. The brief recommends mobilizing election observers, safeguarding judicial independence through transparent processes, and utilizing credible voter information campaigns to improve accountability.
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Document type: Policy brief
Africa+1 Summits: A Closer Look at the Geometry of Global Diplomacy
The research paper examines 'Africa+1' summits—high-level meetings between African nations and a single external power—as a strategic arena for geopolitical influence. It traces the evolution from early French-led summits to a 'second generation' involving Asian powers like Japan, China, India, and Turkey, and more recent engagement from Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Italy. The author argues that Africa's demographic growth and critical mineral wealth have increased its strategic value, allowing African states to exercise greater agency by leveraging rivalries between global powers. However, the document critiques the summit format as often being performative and asymmetric, noting a gap between multi-billion-dollar pledges and tangible results. It highlights proposals for reform, such as unified AU representation, to move toward more equitable partnerships.
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Document type: Research paper
Platingruppenmetalle, grüne Wasserstoffproduktion und wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Südafrika
South Africa holds approximately 80% of global Platinum Group Metals (PGMs), which are essential catalysts for PEM electrolysers and fuel cells used in green hydrogen production. While this provides a strategic opportunity for re-industrialisation and decarbonisation, the transition faces severe constraints, including an outdated electricity grid, water scarcity in high-resource areas, and a significant skills gap. The shift also threatens the coal and internal combustion engine automotive sectors, risking large-scale job losses in regions like Mpumalanga and the Eastern Cape. Geopolitically, South Africa must navigate competition between China and Western powers, particularly as the US has withdrawn support for the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP). The paper argues that for the transition to be 'just', the government must integrate mineral beneficiation with social safeguards, regional SADC integration, and comprehensive workforce reskilling.
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Document type: Research paper
Examining Integrated Chinese Mining–Energy Investments in Zimbabwe
The document examines how Chinese firms in Zimbabwe are coupling mining investments with energy infrastructure to overcome local power shortages and support mineral beneficiation, particularly in the lithium sector. While this model has increased Zimbabwe's lithium revenues from $70 million in 2022 to over $600 million in 2024, it has raised significant concerns regarding environmental degradation, lack of community consultation, and the risk of perpetuating an extractive 'pit-to-port' model where high-value refining remains in China.
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Document type: Research paper
Bridging ambition and investment
The African Climate Foundation and Dalberg developed the NDC Investment Planner (NIP) to address the gap between climate ambition and investment in Africa. While many African countries have submitted second and third-generation NDCs, only about 11% of the continent's annual climate-finance need is met. The NIP provides a three-stage process—Identify, Evaluate, and Select and Act—to move from broad policy frameworks to investable portfolios. It evaluates opportunities based on 'investment potential' and 'economic transformation potential' to help governments prioritise actions, refine analyses, and prepare projects for funding.
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Document type: Report
Investing in Africa’s Food Future: A Philanthropic Road Map for Transformation
The report argues that Africa's food systems are under severe strain from climate volatility, urbanisation, and structural inequality, which marginalise small producers and exacerbate food insecurity. It proposes a multi-level investment strategy for philanthropy—targeting niches (local innovations), regimes (policy and governance), and landscapes (structural reform)—to shift from industrial agriculture toward agroecology. The authors identify the 'regime level' as the priority entry point for systemic change, advocating for the creation of inclusive governance platforms and the removal of barriers that favour large corporations.
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Document type: Report
Progress and Learning Report 2025
The NAP Global Network's 2025 report details its efforts to move developing countries from adaptation planning to implementation. Key achievements include supporting 18 countries in this transition, delivering 24 short-term technical assistance requests via the Country Support Hub, and managing 13 long-term In-Country Support Programs. The Network emphasizes the importance of monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL), gender equality and social inclusion (GESI), and the integration of nature-based solutions. A new strategic plan to 2030 prioritizes Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS), with a focus on accountability, civil society engagement, and the alignment of adaptation planning with peacebuilding and the Global Goal on Adaptation.
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Document type: Report
POST-EVENT REPORT
The ARE Energy Access Investment Forum 2026 brought together 1,400 participants from 87 countries to discuss renewable electrification. Key outcomes included the launch of the USD 25m ASCENT Project Preparation Facility by COMESA and a GDP 14m contribution from the UK's FCDO to the Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa in the DRC. The forum highlighted systemic gaps in capital allocation for small African-led firms and the need to shift from supply-led to demand-led skills training for the green transition.
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Document type: Report
Boom and Bust Coal 2026
In 2025, global coal capacity grew by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, a divergence driven primarily by China and India. While new commissioning reached near-record levels of 97.4 GW, coal is increasingly used as 'system insurance' rather than a primary energy source. The global pipeline is narrowing geographically, with only 32 countries proposing or building new plants in 2025, and 95% of all construction concentrated in China and India. Meanwhile, the U.S. and EU saw significant delays in planned retirements, though for different reasons: federal emergency orders in the U.S. and energy security concerns in the EU. Latin America reached 'No New Coal' status in 2025, while South Korea committed to a phaseout by 2040.
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Document type: Report
ESS disclosure report form for subprojects
The document details the disclosure of environmental and social management frameworks for the GOCAB sub-project in Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire. It confirms that the sub-project is classified as GCF Financial Intermediary FI-2 (Category B) and that no land acquisition or impacts on Indigenous Peoples are expected. The report provides links to the Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) and specifies that the final investment decision is scheduled for February 4, 2026.
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Document type: Report
Highlights of the global energy transition in 2025
In 2025, solar and wind power expanded fast enough to outpace global electricity demand growth for the first time over a sustained period. Solar growth accelerated in Africa and Central Europe, while BRICS nations now generate over half of global solar power. The rise of 'electrotech'—led by China—and falling battery costs are enabling fossil-free baseload power and supporting the energy demands of AI and data centres.
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Document type: Report
Green Investment in Africa: New Frontiers for Gulf Financing
The research paper examines the increasing role of GCC countries—primarily the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar—as major investors in Africa's energy transition and infrastructure. It identifies food security and economic diversification away from hydrocarbons as the primary drivers for Gulf states. While highlighting significant projects in renewable energy and mining, the paper warns that the current focus on large-scale, export-oriented developments may sideline local community needs and climate adaptation priorities unless African policymakers actively steer investments toward local beneficiation and regional integration.
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Document type: Research paper
Ein Überblick über die wirtschaftlichen Aktivitäten entlang des Lobito-Korridors
The Lobito Corridor, anchored by the Benguela Railway, aims to move beyond mineral exports to foster value addition in mining, battery production, and agro-processing. However, a stark duality exists between the modern logistics provided by the Lobito Atlantic Railway (LAR) consortium for large-scale exports and the dilapidated state of the Caminho de Ferro de Benguela (CFB) passenger rail, which hinders small and medium enterprises (SMEs). While some value-adding ventures like Pensana Plc and Flying Swans exist, they are heavily dependent on state facilitation, suggesting that private sector dynamism alone is insufficient to achieve industrial diversification.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy Silos: The Disconnect Between Climate and Development Agendas in African Countries
The study finds a substantial disconnect between African climate commitments (NDCs) and national development blueprints (NDPs), with NDCs focusing on climate-centric sectors like energy and forestry while NDPs prioritize economic growth, finance, and the private sector. This 'parallel policy framework' is driven by institutional fragmentation, where NDCs are often externally funded and led by environment ministries, whereas NDPs are domestically anchored and led by economic planning ministries. The authors recommend a 'whole-of-government' approach to embed climate goals into national budgets and development strategies to maximize socio-economic co-benefits.
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Document type: Research paper
Strengthening SADC’s maritime security architecture
The report finds that SADC's maritime security governance is fragmented, with a significant disconnect between blue-economy rhetoric and actual security planning. While the 2022 Integrated Maritime Security Strategy (IMSS) represents a normative advance over the 2011 strategy, its implementation remains uneven and under-resourced. Regional coordination is primarily driven by external funding and bilateral initiatives, such as South Africa's Operation Copper, rather than formal SADC mechanisms. The report highlights a structural paradox where SADC's most ocean-dependent members—the island states—are the least embedded in its collective security frameworks, preferring partnerships with the Indian Ocean Commission and external powers like India, France, and the EU.
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Document type: Report
G20 Commitments to Africa: A Handbook on Implementation (2008–Present)
The handbook traces G20 engagements with Africa from 2008 to 2025, noting a transition from ad hoc initiatives to structured partnerships, culminating in the African Union's permanent membership in 2023. While identifying successes in rural youth employment and financial inclusion, it highlights persistent implementation gaps in infrastructure and climate finance. The document maps G20 outcomes against AU Agenda 2063, finding strong alignment with economic integration but gaps in peace and institutional capacity. It also details South Africa's 2025 G20 presidency priorities, focusing on solidarity, equality, and sustainability through specific task forces on inclusive growth, food security, and AI.
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Document type: Guide
South Africa’s partial G20 success in 2025
South Africa's 2025 G20 presidency has partially succeeded in raising global awareness of Africa's difficulties in accessing affordable development finance, though it has failed to secure concrete agreements on IMF reform or the restructuring of the G20 Common Framework. The document highlights systemic barriers including credit rating agency practices and the slow, creditor-biased nature of debt restructuring for countries like Chad, Ethiopia, Ghana, and Zambia. To maintain momentum, South Africa has established an African Expert Panel to advise President Cyril Ramaphosa on technical recommendations for finance and IMF governance.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa has a debt crisis: momentum from G20 in South Africa can help find solutions
The document assesses the African debt crisis, noting that over half of African countries are in or at risk of debt distress, which undermines their ability to meet sustainable development goals and manage climate impacts. It critiques the G20's Common Framework for being slow and creditor-favourable, and argues that debt restructuring is too narrowly treated as a technical financial problem. To address this, the author proposes three actions for South Africa: commissioning a technical report on barriers to development finance, establishing an independent African Borrower's Club and Sovereign Debt Roundtable, and calling for a review of IMF operating principles and governance.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy Silos: The Disconnect Between Climate and Development Agendas in African Countries
The study finds significant priority divergence between African climate plans (NDCs) and development plans (NDPs), noting that NDCs are often externally driven by international financing and environment ministries, while NDPs are domestically coordinated by economic planning ministries. This disconnect leads to energy transition strategies that may lack pragmatism and overlook economic performance metrics like reliability and affordability. The report recommends establishing inter-ministerial committees and increasing local technical capacity to integrate these frameworks, ensuring climate action supports poverty reduction and economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper