Search Climate Insights Directory
905 results
Data Protection and Security in Civil Aviation
The document examines how the expansion of aviation security measures—driven primarily by anti-terrorism efforts following 9/11—often conflicts with fundamental human rights, including privacy and dignity. It highlights the lack of enforcement power within the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and the tendency for political solutions to override legal safeguards. The author argues that many current technologies, such as whole-body scanners and Passenger Name Record (PNR) transfers, may be disproportionate and lack proven effectiveness, recommending a shift toward independent evaluations and non-invasive alternatives.
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Document type: Policy brief
Afghanistan in a Neighbourhood Perspective
The document analyzes Afghanistan's role within the Regional Security Complex (RSC) framework, examining its relationship with South Asia, the Persian Gulf, and Central Asia. It argues that neighboring states' engagement in Afghanistan is driven by internal regional conflicts—such as the India-Pakistan rivalry—rather than Afghan-centric issues. Consequently, the author suggests that a unilateral non-aggression commitment by Afghanistan is a more viable strategy for stability than the integrated regional approaches often proposed by international policymakers.
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Document type: Research paper
Participation of Diasporas in Peacebuilding and Development
The document outlines the value added by diaspora engagement, such as context-specific knowledge and access to high-risk areas, while addressing challenges like community fragmentation and politicization. It provides a framework for capacity-building, funding, and recruitment to better integrate diasporas into mainstream development and peacebuilding efforts.
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Document type: Guide
Role of Development Partners in Adaptation Planning
The author argues that while development partners (DPs) typically act in a consultative rather than direct capacity during national planning, they can significantly enhance adaptation by collaborating with civil society organizations to implement indigenous and low-cost technologies. Using Uganda's National Development Plan (NDP) and the Climate Change Unit (CCU) as examples, the text highlights the need for DPs to shift from viewing climate change as a purely environmental issue to integrating it into broader development portfolios. Key recommendations include investing in institutional strengthening, establishing national early warning systems, and promoting organic agriculture to build resilience for the rural poor.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Six: What Types of Information Are Needed for Adaptation Decision Making?
The document argues that effective climate change adaptation requires accurate data on climate risks, population vulnerability, and adaptation options. It categorizes information needs into three frameworks: responsive policymaking for sudden disasters (e.g., flooding in Pakistan), proactive planning for long-term threats (e.g., sea level rise in West African coastal cities), and robust planning for uncertain outcomes (e.g., glacier melt in Europe). The briefing seeks to determine what specific information sets, including non-climatic data, are sufficient to advance interventions and which stakeholders should define these needs.
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Document type: Briefing
Decision Making Needs in a Changing Environment
The document outlines a framework for climate adaptation information needs, categorised by the type of policy response. Responsive planning requires basic climatology, impact assessments, and logistics data to manage immediate disasters. Proactive planning necessitates long-term science-based projections, GIS-based risk maps, and population dynamics to reduce future risks. Robust planning demands inter-agency coordination, the integration of traditional and scientific knowledge, and the use of worst-case scenarios to inform legislation. The author emphasizes a multi-stakeholder approach involving governments, local communities, NGOs, and meteorological services to ensure effective resource allocation and resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Information Needs for Climate Risk Management
The author argues that while information needs for climate adaptation are context-specific, responsive, proactive, and robust planning strategies overlap in their reliance on identifying vulnerabilities, hazards, and risks. The paper details the necessity of integrating historical observations, real-time data, and probabilistic forecasts to manage climate variability and long-term change, while emphasizing that 'no regrets' strategies can improve efficiency but may overlook critical trade-offs. It highlights the importance of participatory approaches and the need to plan for 'surprises'—low-probability, high-impact events—by moving beyond a sole reliance on historical records.
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Document type: Research paper
Informing Adaptation
The document argues that effective climate adaptation requires a comprehensive information system comprising basic climate data, economic cost-benefit analyses, adaptation best practices, and vulnerability assessments. It emphasizes that information must be user-centered and iterative, moving beyond simple scientific publication to a collaborative dialogue between providers and decision-makers. The author highlights significant gaps in observational data, particularly in the developing world, and the difficulty of scaling global climate models to local levels. To ensure equitable and effective use, the paper suggests the use of 'boundary organizations' like NGOs and local universities to translate complex data into locally relevant knowledge, while adhering to specific communication principles to overcome barriers like scientific jargon and uncertainty.
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Document type: Research paper
World Resources 2010-2011
The report identifies five critical elements for effective climate adaptation decision-making: public engagement, decision-relevant information, institutional design, planning tools, and resources. It argues that governments must move from reactive disaster relief to proactive risk management, accounting for extremes, heightened variability, and long-term change. The document emphasizes that vulnerability—shaped by social, economic, and geographic factors—determines the impact of climate change, necessitating targeted interventions for the most disadvantaged. Through various case studies and research, it recommends integrating climate risks into existing sectoral policies and utilizing flexible, robust, and durable decision-making frameworks to manage uncertainty.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change in Nepal: Impacts and Adaptive Strategies
The document examines climate change in Nepal, highlighting the region's high vulnerability due to diverse topography and reliance on rain-fed agriculture. It analyzes the risks of rapid-onset disasters like floods and slow-onset disasters like drought and forest fires, while advocating for a shift from rigid structural controls to flexible, community-based adaptive capacities.
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Document type: Research paper
Fair and Equitable Treatment
The document analyzes the 'fair and equitable treatment' (FET) standard in international investment agreements (IIAs), highlighting how vague treaty language allows arbitral tribunals to impose expansive obligations on host states. It contrasts the 'customary international law' approach with the 'autonomous' or 'plain meaning' approach, noting that the latter provides tribunals more discretion to sanction states for altering regulatory frameworks or failing to meet investor 'legitimate expectations'. The guide recommends that states use precise definitions, link FET to the minimum standard of treatment under customary international law, and include preambles that protect regulatory flexibility to avoid unpredictable legal outcomes.
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Document type: Guide
Definition of Investment in International Investment Agreements
The document analyzes the legal implications of defining 'investment' in international investment agreements (IIAs). It contrasts the traditional, broad asset-based definitions—often modeled on early German treaties—with more recent, precise approaches adopted by Canada, the U.S., ASEAN, and COMESA. The author highlights the tension between 'objective' and 'subjective' tests used by ICSID tribunals to determine jurisdiction, warning states that vague definitions can lead to unexpected arbitral rulings that exceed domestic legal understandings of foreign investment.
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Document type: Guide
There shall be Houses, Security and Comfort
The paper examines the link between habitat security and human security, arguing that adequate housing is a prerequisite for sustainable livelihoods. It focuses on South Africa's post-apartheid housing subsidy programme, detailing its delivery outputs, the shift toward 'sustainable human settlements' via the 2004 Breaking New Ground policy, and the role of security of tenure during the 2008 international financial crisis.
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Document type: Research paper
US-Africa Relations: The Modest Foundations of Obama’s Four-Pillar Platform
The author analyzes President Obama's 2009 speech in Ghana, noting a transition from viewing Africa instrumentally through the 'war on terror' to seeing its development as intrinsic to global security. The new policy rests on four pillars: democracy and good governance, smart development assistance, public health, and conflict reduction. However, the author argues that the US's influence has diminished due to the Iraq war and the domestic financial crisis, allowing China, the EU, Russia, India, and Brazil to offer more programmatic or comprehensive partnerships. The document suggests that African nations, such as Ghana, can benefit from this competition by diversifying their partnerships across different global powers to meet specific national needs.
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Document type: Research paper
Russian President Medvedev's visit to Africa June 2009
President Dmitry Medvedev's June 2009 visit to Egypt, Nigeria, Namibia, and Angola focused on the exploitation of energy and minerals and the sale of Russian technology. This effort, alongside summits with BRIC and SCO nations, reflects a Russian foreign policy goal to challenge US hegemony and establish a multipolar world. Key outcomes included agreements on gas field development and pipelines in Nigeria, nuclear power projects in Egypt and Namibia, and loans for Angola's satellite programme. The document notes South Africa's absence from the Russian president's itinerary and the BRIC summit in Yekaterinburg.
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Document type: Research paper
A Thirst for Distant Lands
The report examines the rise of foreign land and water acquisitions driven by food, energy, and water security concerns. It highlights a shift from market-driven comparative advantage to 'long-distance farming' to meet home-state needs. The authors analyze how the interaction between domestic law, international investment contracts, and international investment agreements (IIAs) often prioritizes foreign investor rights over local users and sustainable development goals, potentially limiting host governments' ability to regulate for public health, environment, or food security.
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Document type: Report
Risk assessment and mitigation measures for natural- and conflict-related hazards in Asia-Pacific
The report assesses the risk of earthquakes, floods, tropical cyclones, landslides, droughts, tsunamis, and civil conflict in the Asia-Pacific region. It employs a semi-quantitative approach to map hazard hotspots and estimate exposed populations, using the latter as a proxy for risk due to data limitations on mortality. The study introduces a 'coping capacity' index to evaluate national institutional ability to manage disasters. Key findings highlight that Bangladesh and the Philippines face the highest overall risk, while the region's high population density in hazard-prone areas exacerbates potential losses. The report also notes a strong correlation between natural disasters and armed conflict, suggesting that improving disaster preparedness can simultaneously mitigate conflict hazards by enhancing state service delivery in marginalized areas.
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Document type: Report
Introduction to Special Issue on “Disaggregating Civil War”
The authors argue that traditional country-level analysis of civil war often fails to capture the local dynamics and actor-specific mechanisms that drive conflict. By utilizing disaggregated data and Geographic Information Systems (GIS), the research in this special issue examines how the specific location of actors, ethnic group configurations, and the organizational characteristics of rebel groups influence the onset, duration, and settlement of civil wars. The document highlights that while micro-level case studies provide internal validity, and macro-level studies provide external validity, an intermediate range of aggregation—focusing on ethnic groups, specific conflict cases, and spatial units—can bridge this gap.
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Document type: Research paper
What’s Urdu for biltong? Can South Africa help Pakistan?
The document assesses the dysfunctional state of Pakistan, characterized by military dominance and Islamist extremism, and argues that South Africa is uniquely positioned to assist through its experience in conflict resolution and democratization. It evaluates the fragile India-Pakistan peace process and identifies significant untapped economic potential for trade and investment between South Africa and Pakistan, while noting that political dissonance and the 'India factor' have historically hindered these ties.
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Document type: Research paper
Conciliatory Approaches to the Insurgency in Afghanistan: An Overview
The report examines the fragmented landscape of peace and reconciliation efforts in Afghanistan during 2008, analyzing the failure of national-level negotiations, the limitations of amnesty programs, and the fragility of local-level truces like those in Musa Qala. It argues that a sustainable political solution requires a comprehensive regional strategy and a credible national reconciliation framework that moves beyond tactical surrenders to address power-sharing and security sector reform.
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Document type: Report