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The research paper examines how climate change threatens Mozambique's economic development, specifically within agriculture, tourism, and public health. It highlights the country's high vulnerability due to its geography and poverty, noting that frequent natural disasters undermine progress toward Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). While the government has established a National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA), implementation is hindered by resource constraints. The paper also identifies potential opportunities through the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and hydropower exports to South Africa.

The document examines the 2009 transition of power from President Marc Ravalomanana to Andry Rajoelina, framing it as part of a historical pattern of popular uprisings and governance failures in Madagascar. It details the catalysts of the crisis, including accusations of bad governance and the role of the 'urban mob' in Antananarivo, while assessing the international community's response and mediation efforts led by Joachim Chissano. The author argues that sustainable stability requires addressing root causes such as extreme poverty and the lack of credible electoral mechanisms.

The document argues that South Africa's international credibility in climate negotiations is undermined by a domestic reliance on fossil fuels and a slow integration of climate considerations into economic policy. Using Robert Putnam's 'two-level game' framework, it highlights the tension between Level I (international negotiations) and Level II (domestic interests), particularly the influence of the coal and oil industries. While South Africa champions developing nations' interests globally, its domestic energy strategy continues to favour coal-fired power and coal-to-liquids technology. The paper suggests that the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region offers untapped renewable energy potential that could help reconcile these competing imperatives.

The report examines the transition of Zimbabwe's government following the 2008 electoral crisis and the subsequent formation of an Inclusive Government (IG) under the Global Political Agreement (GPA). While the IG achieved early economic successes, including taming hyperinflation and securing international aid, it faced significant political deadlock. Key obstacles include the lack of security sector reform, disputes over unilateral political appointments, and disagreements over the constitution-making process. The author argues that the GPA's general nature allows ZANU-PF to maintain power centres and block reforms, suggesting that international support should be targeted toward progressive ministries to legitimise change.

The document examines China's role in Botswana's infrastructure development, noting a shift from government-led aid to competitive public tenders. It highlights the competitive advantages of Chinese firms—such as low-cost bidding and hands-on management—while addressing challenges regarding quality standards and skilled labour shortages. It also introduces a new commercial financing model involving the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Standard Bank for the Morupule B Power Station project.

The electricity sector in SACU member states is characterised by chronic capacity shortages, underdeveloped infrastructure, and a dominance of state-owned monopolies. While the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) facilitates cross-border trade, the region remains heavily dependent on South Africa's Eskom. The paper argues that the lack of cost-reflective tariffs and political reluctance to allow independent power producers (IPPs) hinder investment. It recommends a harmonised regional regulatory framework and a strategic approach to liberalisation through a mix of SADC, WTO GATS, and bilateral agreements to improve energy security and economic growth.

The author identifies three primary points of divergence within the Southern African Customs Union (SACU): revenue distribution, trade and industrial policy, and foreign policy orientation. South Africa's role as a primary subsidizer of smaller members creates fiscal tension, while Botswana, Lesotho, and Swaziland seek trade diversification via an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the EU, contrasting with South Africa's state-led industrial policy. The author warns that dismantling SACU could lead to the collapse of administrations in Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland, triggering mass migration into South Africa. Proposed solutions include a 'quid pro quo' where smaller states accept lower revenue in exchange for more policy influence, and the EU dropping the 'MFN clause' in EPA negotiations.

In April 2008, the MV 'An Yue Jiang', a Chinese vessel carrying weapons for the Zimbabwe Defence Force, attempted to offload cargo in Durban, South Africa. A coalition of civil society actors, including the Southern Africa Litigation Centre (SALC) and various trade unions, successfully blocked the transfer through legal challenges and public demonstrations. After being denied offloading in South Africa and Mozambique, and facing opposition in Namibia and Angola, the ship eventually returned to China. The author attributes the success to the role of the media, the existence of established regional networks, and the presence of a tangible focal point for public outrage during Zimbabwe's post-election violence.

The document details the campaign to stop the Chinese vessel An Yue Jiang from delivering weapons to Zimbabwe following the contested 2008 elections. It examines the roles of legal challenges, media, and regional partnerships in preventing the shipment's delivery through South Africa, Mozambique, Namibia, and Angola.

This case study describes how coordinated civil society actions across Southern Africa successfully blocked a shipment of weapons destined for Zimbabwe following controversial elections.

The report examines the rise of foreign land and water acquisitions driven by food, energy, and water security concerns. It highlights a shift from market-driven comparative advantage to 'long-distance farming' to meet home-state needs. The authors analyze how the interaction between domestic law, international investment contracts, and international investment agreements (IIAs) often prioritizes foreign investor rights over local users and sustainable development goals, potentially limiting host governments' ability to regulate for public health, environment, or food security.

The document argues that current adaptation funding is financially and technically inadequate, with a significant gap between the estimated USD 28–67 billion annual need for developing countries by 2030 and the limited disbursements from GEF-managed funds. It critiques the inefficiency of existing UNFCCC instruments and advocates for a consolidated, demand-driven financial mechanism based on equity and direct access for recipient countries.

The document is a country fact sheet for Zambia, detailing its geography, population, governance, and natural resources. It notes a population of 11.1 million as of 2004, a GDP per capita of approximately US$380, and a parliamentary democracy with a legal system based on common law. Zambia's natural resources include copper, cobalt, zinc, lead, coal, emeralds, and hydropower.

The document identifies a significant gap between Mozambique's agricultural potential and its actual production, attributed to a lack of public investment following Structural Adjustment Programs and a restrictive land ownership regime. While the government has introduced a Green Revolution strategy involving tariff reductions and strategic reserves, the briefing argues that private sector investment is essential, requiring improvements in infrastructure, credit markets, and land tenure transparency.

The document investigates the current state of wildland fire management in Mozambique, identifying a lack of systematic interagency coordination and a gap in the dissemination of satellite fire data from national to local levels. It argues for a holistic fire management approach that integrates satellite monitoring, a national Fire Danger Rating System, and community-based fire management (CBFiM) to mitigate the ecological and livelihood impacts of increasing fire frequency.

The report identifies a critical lack of coordinated institutional frameworks and systematic information flow regarding wildfires in Mozambique. While satellite data exists, it is not effectively disseminated from national to local levels. The document recommends establishing a national Fire Danger Rating System, enhancing the capacity to process MODIS and MSG satellite data, and integrating community-based fire management and traditional knowledge to reduce vulnerability to uncontrolled burns.

The report argues that climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier' in Africa, exacerbating existing vulnerabilities such as poverty and poor governance to potentially trigger violent conflict. It identifies four primary areas of concern: increased water scarcity, decreased food security, large-scale climate-induced migration, and the erosion of state fragility. While acknowledging that environmental stress is rarely the sole cause of war, the document highlights how shifts in precipitation and temperature can intensify competition over resources and destabilize fragile states. The authors propose four strategies to mitigate these risks: improving climate projections, reducing global greenhouse gas emissions, implementing conflict-sensitive adaptation policies, and integrating climate risks into all levels of governance.

The author contends that structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) and subsequent 'good governance' prescriptions failed to spur development in Africa because they focused on formal institutional arrangements while ignoring neo-patrimonialism. In neo-patrimonial states, rulers are primarily accountable to followers (clients) rather than the general public, creating a tension with Western norms of transparency. The paper suggests that state decay occurs when the informal sphere fully takes over formal structures, leading to a 'self-reinforcing spiral of state decay'. To reverse this, the author argues that African governments must move away from donor-driven blueprints and instead operationalise local, indigenous measures of legitimacy and accountability to serve developmental goals.

The paper examines the failure of structural adjustment programs and subsequent 'good governance' initiatives in Africa. It posits that the tension between formal institutional norms and informal neo-patrimonial practices—where leaders prioritize clients over the general public—has led to state decay. The author argues that for governance to be effective, it must be conceptualized locally, integrating informal realities into development plans rather than merely replicating Western models of transparency and accountability.

The document examines how anthropogenic climate change and rapid population growth intensify resource competition and instability in Africa. It highlights the continent's low adaptive capacity due to poverty and weak governance, while noting that resource scarcity does not linearly lead to war but can also foster cooperation.