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The State of Governance in Africa
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers analyzes the state of governance in Africa, comparing its security, capacity, and inclusion metrics against the rest of the world. It examines the relationship between governance quality, stability, and economic development, highlighting the risks associated with autocratic leadership and the role of democratic institutions as shock absorbers.
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Document type: Research paper
Sudan: Introduction
This research paper provides an introductory overview of Sudan's development potential and the systemic barriers that have hindered its progress. It details the country's geographical advantages, natural resource endowments, and a history of political instability and conflict, culminating in the current civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces.
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Document type: Research paper
The Governance Scenario
This research paper outlines a 'Governance scenario' for Africa, modeling the potential socio-economic impacts of improvements in stability, government capacity, and inclusion by 2043. It specifically examines how digital technology can enable direct cash transfer programs to replace inefficient subsidies and forecasts significant gains in GDP and poverty reduction across the continent.
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Document type: Research paper
The State of ClimateTech in Africa 2.0: Moving Beyond the Headline Numbers Report
The State of ClimateTech in Africa 2.0 is a report by FSD Africa and partners that analyzes the evolution of the African ClimateTech ecosystem between 2016 and 2025. Moving beyond aggregate funding totals, the report employs a new application-led taxonomy and an adapted Carlota Perez techno-economic framework to demonstrate that African ClimateTech is not a single market but a collection of applications maturing at different speeds. It highlights deep concentrations of capital in the Energy and Mobility sectors and identifies critical financing gaps—particularly in early-stage equity and working capital—that constrain the growth of asset-heavy and adaptation-focused ventures.
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Document type: Report
Morocco Development Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Morocco's development trajectory toward 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It highlights Morocco's transition toward higher-value manufacturing, its strategic geographic position, and critical challenges including water scarcity, energy import dependence, and regional territorial disputes.
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Document type: Report
EGYPT DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper conclusion evaluates Egypt's progress toward its 'Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt Vision 2030' and provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, and governance to address structural economic challenges.
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Document type: Research paper
Libya: Introduction
This introductory report provides a geographic, demographic, and socio-economic overview of Libya, detailing its status as an upper-middle-income country heavily dependent on oil reserves and currently experiencing political fragmentation and institutional instability.
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Document type: Report
Egypt
This introductory report provides a geographic, political, and demographic overview of Egypt, detailing its population distribution, political history from 1954 to 2023, and its administrative structure.
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Document type: Report
Remittances to Africa
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the scale, impact, and future projections of remittance flows to Africa. It examines how these funds support households and macroeconomic stability, while also warning of potential 'remittance traps' and 'Dutch disease' that can hinder long-term economic growth and government accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
Illicit Financial Flows
This research paper analyzes illicit financial flows (IFFs) in Africa, estimating that approximately US$89 billion leaves the continent annually. It identifies multinational commercial activities (65%) and criminal/corrupt activities (35%) as the primary drivers. The document highlights the resulting deficits in health and education spending and critiques the US as a secrecy jurisdiction. It evaluates efforts to combat IFFs through the African Tax Administration Forum (ATAF), the EITI, and the OECD/G20 BEPS framework, noting that African nations seek a higher global minimum corporate tax rate of 20%.
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Document type: Research paper
COMESA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions by 2043. It highlights the synergistic effects of multi-sectoral reform, projecting significant economic growth and poverty reduction, while noting an inevitable increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
NORTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for North Africa, projecting economic growth, poverty reduction, and sectoral shifts by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to forecast a significant increase in GDP per capita and a reduction in extreme poverty, while noting an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Leapfrogging
The report explores how Africa can 'leapfrog' traditional development stages by adopting decentralised renewable energy, mobile-first digital infrastructure, and AI. It highlights the success of mobile money (e.g., M-Pesa) and the potential for solar mini-grids to close the energy gap. A projected 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario suggests that by 2050, such strategic investments could increase GDP per capita by US$510, reduce extreme poverty by 63 million people, and expand the overall economy by nearly US$1 trillion compared to current trends.
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Document type: Report
Infrastructure Spending in Africa
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes infrastructure spending and financing in Africa, highlighting a significant gap between current investment levels and the needs driven by rapid population growth. It details the dominance of public and development funding, the constraints imposed by rising sovereign debt, the modest role of private investment, and the declining trend in development finance disbursements.
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Document type: Report
Impact of the Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging Scenario
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the economic and social impacts of a 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario for Africa through 2050, comparing it against a 'Current Path' baseline.
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Document type: Research paper
The BRICS Power Play: Competing Interests in Global Energy Governance
A report by the South African Institute of International Affairs analyzing the internal complexities and competing interests of the expanded 10-member BRICS bloc regarding global energy governance and the energy transition.
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Document type: Report
India and Africa: bridging the gap between words and deeds
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the relationship between India and Africa, arguing that while India possesses significant comparative advantages based on historical ties and shared developmental goals, there is a persistent gap between its strategic rhetoric and material outcomes. The author identifies structural constraints—including limited fiscal headroom, bureaucratic inefficiencies, and reputational risks—that have caused India to lag behind other global powers like China. The report recommends a coherent Africa strategy focused on low-cost, high-impact initiatives in health, education, and digital finance, utilizing 'anchor states' such as South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, and Egypt to scale interventions.
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Document type: Report
The USD 1.2 Trillion Problem: Energy Crisis Strengthens Case for Clean Public Finance
This research paper by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) analyzes the misalignment of global public finance, noting that in 2024, public support for fossil fuels exceeded USD 1.2 trillion, nearly five times the USD 254 billion provided to clean energy. The report examines fossil fuel subsidies, G20 renewable energy support, state-owned enterprise (SOE) capital expenditure, and international public finance, arguing that governments must shift from blanket subsidies to targeted social protection and clean energy investment to reduce fiscal exposure and energy vulnerability.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Electricity Insights
The global electricity sector has transitioned from fossil-fuelled growth to clean growth, with clean power meeting all global demand growth in 2025. This shift is driven largely by the plateauing of fossil generation in China and the rapid scale-up of solar and wind power. Battery storage is now emerging as a critical technology to displace fossil fuels during non-daylight hours, particularly in high-solar regions.
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Document type: Report
Agriculture
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the historical structural challenges of African agriculture and models an 'Agriculture scenario' to demonstrate how a transition toward high-productivity, technology-driven farming could reduce food insecurity and poverty by 2043.
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Document type: Report