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A Posse of Guns for Hire
This research paper examines the intersection of poor governance and the presence of unemployed former combatants in Africa, using the foiled 2004 coup attempt in Equatorial Guinea as a case study to highlight the risks of mercenary activity and the inadequacy of current legal frameworks.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa's Big States: Toward a New Realism
This research paper argues that large African states, with the exception of South Africa, are characterized by chronic instability, poor economic performance, and administrative failure. The author contends that the international community's adherence to territorial integrity and generic democratic prescriptions is ineffective for these complex states and proposes a new realism that prioritizes state-building over democracy and accepts the possibility of partition.
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Document type: Research paper
A Crisis in Search of a Label
The author argues that the conflict in Darfur is not a genocide but a complex extension of Sudan's southern civil war, driven by political rifts within the government and opposition. The paper critiques the racialization of the conflict as 'Arab' versus 'African' and warns against US military intervention or punitive sanctions, advocating instead for the completion of the Naivasha peace process and the application of consistent international human rights standards across Africa and globally.
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Document type: Research paper
Leveraging the Dragon Toward an Africa That Can Say No
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs analyzes the evolving relationship between China and Africa. It argues that African nations must shift from an ideological 'liberation paradigm' to a pragmatic 'economic paradigm' to avoid Chinese dominance and ensure mutual benefit. The author suggests that Africa should leverage China's need for energy resources to secure technology transfer, local development projects, and fairer trade terms, while utilizing the China-Africa Co-operation Forum to coordinate a continent-wide strategy.
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Document type: Research paper
Plurality: Coming or Going?
This research paper examines the challenges facing opposition politics and multiparty democracy in Africa, using the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) in Zimbabwe as a primary example of the struggle against dominant ruling parties and state-led electoral interference.
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Document type: Research paper
Plotting the decline of a tyrant - SAIIA
This briefing analyzes the stability of Robert Mugabe's regime in Zimbabwe, evaluating it against four theoretical indicators of tyrannical collapse: fissures in the ruling oligarchy, state crisis, external threats, and internal opposition.
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Document type: Briefing
Can the South African business experience in Africa offer a way forward?
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the role of South African business investment in Africa, contrasting the high risks and low foreign direct investment (FDI) levels on the continent with the strategic success and high returns achieved by South African firms.
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Document type: Research paper
WELCOME ADDRESS: SYMPOSIUM ON DEVELOPMENTS IN INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL JUSTICE IN AFRICA
Judge Daniel D Ntanda Nsereko's 2008 welcome address highlights the ICC's role in combating impunity in Africa, noting that while 30 African states ratified the Rome Statute, gross human rights violations persist. He identifies four ICC situations in Africa (DRC, Uganda, Sudan, and CAR) and emphasizes that the African Union's own Constitutive Act mandates a commitment to the rule of law. The address calls for collaboration between the ICC, the AU, civil society, and regional bodies to achieve substantive justice.
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Document type: Statement
CASE STUDIES ON DOMESTIC IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ICC STATUTE IN SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES
This report by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) examines the domestic implementation of the Rome Statute in five African countries: Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda. It finds that while these states ratified the statute, none had enacted implementing legislation by early 2008, leaving them unable to fully respond to International Criminal Court (ICC) requests for arrest and surrender or to prosecute international crimes domestically. The report identifies systemic barriers, including a lack of political priority, capacity shortfalls in legal drafting, and concerns over official immunities.
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Document type: Report
Force Africaine en Attente
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies provides a progress update on the establishment of the African Standby Force (ASF), a multidisciplinary force designed to enable the African Union (AU) to respond to conflicts through peace support missions and interventions.
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Document type: Research paper
South Africa in Africa: An Assessment
This briefing by the South African Institute of International Affairs assesses South Africa's foreign policy, economic relations, and security role within Africa since 1994. It highlights the transition from the 'principled' approach of the Mandela era to the 'pragmatic' African Renaissance agenda under Thabo Mbeki, while noting the tensions between South Africa's regional economic dominance and its desire to avoid being perceived as a 'big brother'.
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Document type: Briefing
Conserving the Peace: Analyzing the links between conservation and conflict in the Albertine Rift
This strategy report, prepared following a February 2006 meeting in Nairobi, examines the intersection of biodiversity conservation and social-political conflict within the Albertine Rift. It advocates for adaptive conservation interventions to minimize risks and address root causes of threats, while analyzing seven conflict assessment tools to help practitioners avoid or mitigate conflict in project areas.
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Document type: Report
The African Peer Review Mechanism
This report analyzes the implementation of the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) in four pioneer countries: Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, and South Africa. It examines the institutional structures, research methodologies, and political dynamics of each national process, highlighting the tension between government control and the need for independent civil society participation to ensure credible self-assessments and effective Programmes of Action.
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Document type: Report
China’s preferential trade policy for Africa
This briefing by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) analyzes China's preferential trade policy for African Least Developed Countries (LDCs). While the policy is designed to align with the export capacities of these nations, the author argues that its economic impact is modest compared to its symbolic and diplomatic value in signaling China's rise as a global power and alternative to Western donors.
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Document type: Briefing
South African Army Vision 2020 Volume 2
This report, based on the SA Army Seminar 21, outlines the strategic vision for the South African Army to remain relevant and ready for future security challenges in Africa. It examines the nature of African conflict, the operationalization of the African Standby Force (ASF) and SADC Brigade, and the necessity of integrating cultural intelligence, professional leadership, and technological innovation into military doctrine to handle complex, asymmetric, and multi-dimensional peace support operations.
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Document type: Report
The Cost of Non-tariff Barriers to Business along the North–South Corridor (South Africa–Zimbabwe) via Beit Bridge A Preliminary Study
This 2008 report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the economic impact of non-tariff barriers (NTBs) on the North-South Corridor between South Africa and Zimbabwe, specifically focusing on the Beit Bridge border crossing and Durban port. The study identifies administrative and trade policy barriers—most notably Zimbabwean foreign exchange controls and regional transport inefficiencies—as significant costs to businesses across various sectors including mining, fuel, and agriculture.
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Document type: Report
Migration in Southern Africa. Migration Management Initiatives for SADC Member States
This research paper examines international migration patterns in southern Africa, focusing on the challenges of data collection and the implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Draft Protocol on Facilitation of Movement of Persons. It analyzes the typology of voluntary and forced migration, the prevalence of xenophobia in destination countries, and the need for harmonized legislation to achieve regional integration.
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Document type: Research paper
Migration in southern Africa
This research paper examines international migration patterns in southern Africa, focusing on the challenges of data collection and the implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Draft Protocol on Facilitation of Movement of Persons. It analyzes the dynamics of voluntary and forced migration, the prevalence of xenophobia in destination countries, and the need for harmonized legislation to achieve regional integration.
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Document type: Research paper
Looking Beneath the Cloak, An Analysis of Intelligence Governance in South Africa
This research paper analyzes the governance of South Africa's intelligence services, tracing their evolution from the oppressive apparatus of the apartheid state and the ANC's liberation intelligence to the post-1994 democratic framework. It evaluates the efficacy of current oversight mechanisms, the role of the National Intelligence Coordinating Committee (NICOC), and the challenges of balancing secrecy with democratic accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
Conflict Prevention and the Responsibility to Protect in Africa
This editorial introduces a special issue of the African Security Review focused on the relationship between conflict prevention and the 'responsibility to protect' (R2P) in Africa. It outlines the roles of the United Nations and the African Union in establishing frameworks for preventive diplomacy and intervention to protect civilians from war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide.
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Document type: Briefing