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Climate change made the floods in southern Brazil twice as likely
The study finds that human-induced climate change, driven by the burning of fossil fuels, made the extreme rainfall events in Rio Grande do Sul more than twice as likely and increased their intensity by 6-9%. The El Niño Southern Oscillation also played a significant role, increasing the likelihood of such events by a factor of 2-5. The floods affected over 90% of the state, causing 169 deaths and displacing over 580,000 people, with impacts exacerbated by poverty, failing flood protection infrastructure in Porto Alegre, and inconsistent enforcement of environmental protection laws.
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Document type: Research paper
Hidden in plain sight: Flawed renewable energy projects in the voluntary carbon market
The report highlights a surplus of approximately 829 million carbon credits in the voluntary carbon market (VCM), with renewable energy (RE) projects accounting for 35% of all project types. It argues that large-scale, grid-connected RE projects are generally non-additional because they are economically feasible without carbon credit revenues. The document traces this issue back to lax methodologies from the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), specifically methodology ACM0002, which has been adopted by VCM standards like Verra and Gold Standard. The report also notes human rights concerns, including forced displacements linked to large hydroelectric dams. Furthermore, it observes a trend of anonymous retirement for 89.9% of RE credits, suggesting buyers are aware of their low quality but purchase them due to low cost. The report warns that the transition of CDM projects to the Paris Agreement's Article 6 mechanism risks flooding new markets with low-quality credits.
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Document type: Report
Ticked off
Global Witness tested the ad review processes of TikTok, YouTube, and X by submitting 16 advertisements containing election disinformation targeted at Ireland. TikTok approved 100% of the disinformation ads, while YouTube approved 12.5% and X approved none. The report argues that TikTok's failure violates its own community guidelines and the EU's Digital Services Act, which requires platforms to mitigate systemic risks to elections. TikTok attributed the failure to 'human error on the part of one moderator'.
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Document type: Report
How the Transition Away From Fossil Fuel Production Can Be Included in New Climate Commitments and Plans
The report analyzes the current state of fossil fuel production references in the climate commitments of the 20 largest producers and provides a framework for including production phase-outs in future NDCs and LT-LEDS. It finds that most producers either omit production plans or signal continued extraction, which contradicts 1.5°C-compatible scenarios. The authors propose five key elements for new commitments: background production data, phase-out targets, restrictive policies, just transition planning, and equity-based international cooperation.
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Document type: Report
استطلاع آراء الخبراء حول البيئة المعلوماتية العالمية لعام 2024
The 2024 IPIE expert survey of 412 researchers across 66 countries reveals a growing pessimism about the global information environment, with 63% expecting it to deteriorate. Experts identify the availability of accurate information and diversity of opinion as the most critical features of a healthy information environment. Social media platform owners and governments are viewed as the most severe threats. While generative AI is seen as a tool for both hope and concern, 63% of experts fear its potential to amplify disinformation and harassment. The report advocates for supporting free and independent media and improving data access for researchers to build resilience.
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Document type: Executive summary
The Climate Action Tracker Guide to a good 2035 climate target
The Climate Action Tracker (CAT) argues that current 2030 climate targets and policies are insufficient, projecting end-of-century warming of 2.5°C to 2.7°C. To maintain the 1.5°C goal, the document asserts that governments must enter 'emergency mode,' peaking global emissions before 2025 and halving them by 2030. It outlines four essential elements for 2035 NDCs: ambition based on sectoral benchmarks, scaled-up climate finance for developing nations, credibility through the elimination of fossil fuel subsidies and exploration, and transparency via absolute economy-wide targets that separate land-use sinks and carbon removals from domestic reductions.
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Document type: Briefing
POWER MOVES AND POWER FAILURES
The report evaluates the transition plans of Enel, ENGIE, EPH, Iberdrola, and Statkraft, finding that none have committed to phasing out fossil gas power in Europe or the OECD by 2035. While Iberdrola and Statkraft are highlighted as following better practices by focusing on sustainable power solutions, EPH is identified as an industry laggard with a strategy heavily reliant on coal and gas. Enel and ENGIE are described as having conflicting strategies that combine renewable growth with continued fossil gas development and reliance on immature technologies like hydrogen and CCUS. The analysis emphasizes that current CAPEX allocations for several utilities remain too high for fossil fuels to meet the IEA's Net-zero Emissions by 2050 scenario.
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Document type: Report
Road to COP30 briefing pack
The document asserts that nature loss is a "macro-critical" threat to financial stability, with potential global economic costs of $5 trillion over five years. It details how policy, legal, reputational, and physical risks are already impacting corporate balance sheets, citing examples such as Tesla's Gigafactory delays and significant financial losses from mishandled nature interactions. The briefing identifies five priority themes for investors through 2025: framework alignment (e.g., TNFD), leveraging AI for deforestation data, managing ocean-related impacts in the blue economy, pursuing 'nature alpha' for financial returns, and active policy engagement to reverse biodiversity loss.
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Document type: Briefing
Fossil to Clean FAQs
The Fossil to Clean campaign, led by the We Mean Business Coalition, seeks to accelerate the transition to a net-zero future by mobilizing businesses to signal demand for fossil fuel phase-out and urging governments to implement supportive policies. The campaign focuses on ensuring the 2025 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) include specific fossil fuel phase-out targets aligned with 1.5°C pathways. In 2023, the campaign mobilized over 200 companies with annual revenues exceeding US$1.5 trillion to advocate for the phase-out of unabated fossil fuels and the tripling of renewable energy capacity.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Policy Interventions to Address Climate and Food-Related Instability
The document details a roundtable event focused on the 'climate-food-security nexus,' arguing that the US must integrate defense and security actors into food security efforts to maintain stability and military readiness. Key recommendations include improving actionable intelligence through tools like the Climate Security Alert Tool, combating illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing through security cooperation, and increasing public investment in agricultural research and development.
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Document type: After-action report
Climate Change and the Escalation of Global Extreme Heat: Assessing and Addressing the Risks
The report finds that human-induced climate change significantly increased the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme heat globally from May 2023 to May 2024. Using the Climate Shift Index (CSI), the study determined that 6.3 billion people experienced at least 31 days of extreme heat made at least twice as likely by climate change. It identifies 76 extreme heat waves across 90 countries and highlights critical gaps in impact reporting, particularly in developing regions. The authors advocate for City Heat Action Plans and systemic adaptations to prevent heat-related fatalities.
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Document type: Report
Fact-checking du 3ème débat des européennes 100% consacré à l'écologie - quotaclimat
The report evaluates claims made by candidates from the Socialist Party, Renew, La France insoumise, and Les Écologistes across five key sectors: transport, housing, agriculture, international trade, and finance. It corrects misconceptions regarding railway privatization, energy renovation rates, agricultural demographics, and the financial impact of proposed green taxes.
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Document type: Fact sheet
32nd Meeting to the Conference of the Parties to the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research
The document is a participant list for the 32nd Meeting to the Conference of the Parties to the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research, hosted by Bolivia and Canada on May 22-23, 2024. It identifies representatives from various member parties, advisory committees, and observers. Party representatives include officials from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Jamaica, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, the Dominican Republic, the United States, and Uruguay. The list also includes members of the SAC and SPAC advisory committees, as well as observers from organizations such as the AAAS, Future Earth, and the Belmont Forum.
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Document type: Briefing
Coordinating climate action among different international bodies
The text outlines the need for better coordination among international bodies to support the 'Mission 1.5' goal of the Paris Agreement. It highlights that while the G20 has a temporary Task Force on Climate Change and multiple working groups addressing climate issues, these efforts often operate in silos and lack alignment with other forums like the UN Summit of the Future. To address this, Plataforma CIPÓ recommends establishing a permanent G20 body for climate action and a permanent facility for regular dialogue between the G20, the COP Presidencies Troika, international financial institutions, and ECOSOC.
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Document type: Statement
Article 6 of the Paris Agreement at COP29
The document examines the three mechanisms of Article 6 (A6.2, A6.4, and A6.8) of the Paris Agreement, highlighting the tension between rapid operationalisation and the need for high-integrity standards to prevent greenwashing and human rights abuses. It details the specific sticking points for COP29, including transparency in bilateral trading (A6.2), the role of the Supervisory Body in the global market (A6.4), and the potential for non-market approaches (A6.8) to provide alternative climate finance. The briefing also analyzes the influence of these UN rules on the voluntary carbon market (VCM) and the controversies surrounding REDD+ credits and land-use offsets.
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Document type: Briefing
RD Congo
The report analyzes the Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DRC) socio-economic status, highlighting a stark contrast between its vast natural resources—including 50% of global cobalt reserves—and its high levels of extreme poverty. It projects that under a 'base scenario' of current policies, the DRC will remain one of the world's poorest countries by 2043. However, the report simulates an 'Agenda 2063' combined scenario where strategic interventions in agriculture, industrialization, governance, and infrastructure could significantly increase GDP, reduce extreme poverty from 26.1% to 6.6%, and diversify the economy away from raw material exports.
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Document type: Report
Vozes da Amazônia
The document assesses the socio-environmental crises in the Amazon basin across Brazil, Colombia, and Ecuador, highlighting how extractive industries, deforestation, and poor governance impact indigenous and marginalized communities. It argues that these communities are often excluded from environmental policy-making due to a lack of local media, linguistic barriers, and safety risks for journalists. The report identifies community radio as the most effective tool for amplifying local voices, preserving traditional ecological knowledge, and promoting climate justice, while noting significant challenges such as financial instability, political interference, and the need for native-language broadcasting.
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Document type: Report
What to expect from La Niña
The document describes La Niña as the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, characterized by the movement of cold water to the central and eastern Pacific surface. For 2024, there is an 85% chance of a transition to neutral conditions between April and June, and a 60% chance of La Niña developing by June to August. The text highlights that multi-year La Niña events are increasing in frequency, with five of the last ten occurring in the past 25 years. While La Niña temporarily lowers global average surface temperatures by about 0.1C, it does not offset human-caused warming; recent La Niña years have been among the top 10 hottest years ever. Regional impacts include drier conditions in East Africa and the southern US, and wetter conditions in Southeast Asia, India, and northern South America, affecting various crop yields and increasing the risk of floods and droughts.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Water Security Sectoral Guide GCF Water Project Design Guidelines Part 3
The GCF Water Project Design Guidelines Part 3 outlines a framework for creating climate-resilient sanitation (CRS) projects. It details how climate hazards like flooding, sea-level rise, and drought impact sanitation infrastructure and services, and provides a scientific basis for both adaptation and mitigation. The guide advocates for a paradigm shift toward transformative sanitation planning, emphasizing circular economy principles—such as the recovery of water, nutrients, and energy—to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance community resilience. It provides specific technical interventions for the entire sanitation service chain and outlines the requirements for successful GCF funding proposals, including alignment with investment criteria and national climate strategies.
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Document type: Guide
Tragic Flooding in Brazil; a Wake-Up Call for the World
The document addresses the humanitarian and environmental crisis caused by record-breaking rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, affecting nearly 1.5 million people. It attributes the severity of the disaster to both global greenhouse gas emissions from wealthy nations and domestic failures, including the dismantling of environmental legislation and a lack of integrated disaster management. The author advocates for a transition from 20th-century concrete infrastructure to 21st-century nature-based solutions and integrated urban land use management to enhance climate resilience.
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Document type: Statement