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RMI highlights the transition from climate commitments to action across several global regions. China is leading in renewable deployment and clean tech exports, while Brazil focuses on low-carbon shipping and ambitious NDCs as the COP30 host. India is pursuing energy independence by 2047 through clean mobility and cooling innovations. Southeast Asia is scaling clean infrastructure and battery storage, and the United States continues to see subnational progress in grid optimization and clean industrialization despite federal delegation concerns.

The document outlines three critical areas for action at COP 30 to ensure the global transition away from fossil fuels remains viable: phasing out fossil fuel subsidies and public finance, closing the ambition gap in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), and evolving the Just Transition Work Programme (JTWP) into a practical support mechanism. It highlights a significant gap between current production plans and the 1.5°C target, noting that current plans would see fossil fuel extraction increase by over 120% by 2030. The briefing also emphasizes the need for gender-responsive approaches to ensure the energy transition is inclusive and equitable.

The Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) is an international framework designed to set measurable targets and indicators for climate adaptation. While an overarching framework was agreed upon in 2023, approximately 100 draft indicators are set for negotiation at COP30 in Belém to move beyond vague pledges toward quantifiable progress. Adaptation remains critically underfinanced, with developing countries' annual needs estimated between USD 310 and 365 billion, far exceeding current flows. Despite this gap, research indicates high returns on investment, with some estimates suggesting every dollar spent on resilience can generate over ten dollars in benefits over a decade.

The report examines how Brazil's powerful agribusiness sector uses greenwashing and political lobbying to avoid climate regulation, specifically regarding methane emissions, as the country prepares to host COP30. It highlights the contradiction between Brazil's global climate leadership goals and the exclusion of agricultural methane from its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). The document details corporate efforts to shape the COP30 agenda through the 'AgriZone' and media partnerships, while criticizing structural weaknesses in the Brazilian Climate Plan, such as the exclusion of agriculture from the Emissions Trading System and the inefficiency of the ABC+ Plan. It concludes that the livestock industry's influence threatens the effectiveness of Brazil's climate commitments and the broader goals of the Paris Agreement.

The report argues that Brazil's agribusiness sector exercises disproportionate political power to maintain 'agricultural exceptionalism,' allowing it to avoid strict climate regulations. It highlights the omission of agricultural methane from Brazil's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) and criticizes the industry's use of misleading metrics like GWP* to downplay emissions. The document also details corporate efforts by giants like JBS, MBRF, and Minerva to shape the COP30 agenda through sponsored events and media influence, while contrasting this industrial model with a more sustainable agroecological system led by small farmers.

The Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) is an international framework established under the Paris Agreement to monitor and evaluate climate adaptation progress. While an overarching framework was agreed in 2023, the process now focuses on defining specific indicators to be finalized at COP30 in Belém. These indicators, covering both outcomes (e.g., water stress levels) and means of implementation (e.g., finance), aim to replace vague pledges with measurable targets. The document highlights a critical adaptation financing gap, noting that developing countries' needs are estimated at USD 310-365 billion annually, far exceeding current flows. It argues that quantifiable metrics can incentivize investment, citing research that every dollar invested in adaptation can generate over ten dollars in benefits over a decade.

The We Mean Business Coalition calls on governments to redirect public finance away from fossil fuels and toward clean energy to unlock business investment. The statement argues that current national climate plans are insufficient and that removing approximately $1 trillion in annual fossil fuel subsidies is a critical economic strategy to ensure energy security and market fairness.

The report highlights that natural regeneration in the Brazilian Amazon could capture up to 26 GtCO2, presenting a significant economic opportunity. It proposes the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a jurisdictional results-based payment system that could mobilize up to US$ 784 billion over 30 years at a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton. The RDM is designed to complement other financial tools: JREDD+ for reducing deforestation and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) for maintaining standing forests. The analysis emphasizes that states like Pará and Mato Grosso have the highest restoration potential due to cumulative deforestation, while Amazonas is the primary beneficiary of standing forest payments.

The report details a seminar in Brasília where social movements and civil society organizations critiqued the current energy transition as an expansion of an extractivist system. Participants argued that a truly just transition must be grounded in climate justice, human rights, and territorial sovereignty, emphasizing the need for meaningful participation and the protection of Indigenous and traditional lands to avoid creating new 'sacrifice zones'.

The report argues that tropical forests must be transitioned from being viewed as climate risks to central climate solutions. Based on an assessment of 91 countries, it highlights that restoring areas deforested since 2001 could capture up to 49 GtCO2. To achieve this, the authors propose the Reversing Deforestation Mechanism (RDM), a results-based financial tool designed to reward net carbon removals at the jurisdictional level. RDM is intended to complement existing frameworks like Jurisdictional REDD+ (JREDD+) and the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF). At a carbon price of US$ 50 per ton, the RDM could remove up to 2 GtCO2 annually, potentially closing 11–13% of the 2035 emissions gap and generating US$ 100 billion in annual revenues.

The document highlights the deployment of a cattle traceability program in Pará, Brazil, and a proposed traceability bill in Colombia to combat 'cattle laundering' and deforestation. It warns that the Amazon Soy Moratorium is under threat from a Brazilian anti-competition body ruling and discusses the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF), for which Brazil has committed $1 billion, though the author argues $25 billion is needed to achieve necessary scale.

Friends of the Earth International (FoEI) analyses the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF), a hybrid investment fund led by Brazil to be launched at COP30. FoEI argues that the TFFF's 'blended finance' model, which offers US $4 per hectare for forest preservation, commodifies nature and prioritises private investor returns over the rights of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities (IPLCs). The paper warns that the facility may create a 'vicious cycle of debt' for Global South countries and calls for direct financial reparations and land reform instead of profit-driven conservation schemes.

Friends of the Earth International opposes the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF), a Brazilian-led initiative designed to mobilize private finance for tropical forest conservation. The organization argues that the TFFF's 'blended finance' model—which prioritizes private investor returns over conservation payments—treats nature as a commodity and risks creating a cycle of debt for tropical forest countries. The paper criticizes the central role of the World Bank and the limited influence of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities (IPLCs), calling instead for debt cancellation, historical reparations, and community-led forest management based on the intrinsic value of ecosystems.

The document introduces the Integrated Forum on Climate Change and Trade, an institutionally independent 'laboratory' designed to foster dialogue between climate and trade experts. It aims to move beyond the diagnosis of problems to the design of technical solutions in areas such as climate criteria, carbon accounting, and the acceleration of renewable energy deployment, without producing binding legal texts.

The 'Governments 2025' briefing outlines eight priority actions for governments to implement by COP30 in Belém to align climate, trade, and land-use policies with global forest protection goals.

The Net Zero Stocktake 2025 finds that while the number of net zero targets continues to rise across companies, cities, and regions, the integrity of these commitments remains low. As of September 2025, 1,935 entities have targets, including 137 national governments and 63% of the Forbes Global 2000. However, only a small fraction of companies, regions, and cities meet all minimum integrity requirements. The report also highlights a gap in planning, with nearly one-third of Forbes Global 2000 companies lacking a clear roadmap, and expresses concern over the lack of dedicated targets for nature-based carbon removals.

A coalition of environmental organizations warns that the Amazon rainforest is nearing a critical tipping point, noting that 17% of original forests are gone and 6.7 million hectares burned in 2024. The statement calls for the rejection of the EU-Mercosur trade deal and the preservation of the soy moratorium to prevent the biome from becoming a net carbon source and to protect the indigenous peoples defending the territory.

The Net Zero Stocktake 2025 finds that while net zero target-setting continues to rise among companies and subnational governments, national-level coverage has dipped due to the US formally abandoning its target. Target integrity remains low, with only a small fraction of entities meeting minimum procedural and substantive requirements. The report also highlights a concerning corporate reliance on nature-based removals and offsets, which often lack transparency and durability.

The We Mean Business Coalition urges companies to attend COP30 in Brazil, asserting that corporate presence provides essential innovation, capital, and operational expertise to accelerate the implementation of the Paris Agreement. The statement emphasizes that business engagement is necessary to signal policy needs to governments and to ensure an inclusive transition that protects livelihoods across value chains. While acknowledging logistical uncertainties in Belém, the Coalition encourages global businesses to join regional peers in Brazil to showcase scalable solutions in energy, industry, nature protection, and infrastructure.

Mighty Earth calls for a full veto of Brazil's "Devastation Bill," arguing that the legislation would weaken environmental licensing and safeguards for the Amazon, Cerrado, and Pantanal biomes. The statement highlights that the bill contradicts Brazil's international pledges to achieve zero deforestation by 2030 and would undermine the country's credibility ahead of hosting COP30 in Belém.