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What happened in Beijing in September: An analysis of FOCAC and the geopolitics of Africa's partnerships
The ninth FOCAC Beijing Summit signaled a recalibration of China-Africa relations, moving toward a partnership defined by African agency and a focus on quality outcomes over quantity. Despite a period of declining lending since 2016, China committed USD 50.7 billion over three years, focusing on agricultural market access, mineral processing, and infrastructure. The summit highlighted Africa's desire for value addition and industrialization, as well as China's assertive push to promote its governance model and Global South leadership through the Global Development, Security, and Civilization Initiatives. This shift poses a competitive challenge to the EU and US, as African nations increasingly prioritize partnerships that offer tangible utility and respect for sovereignty.
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Document type: Research paper
Ensuring a Human Rights-Based Approach to the International Legally Binding Instrument to End Plastic Pollution, Including in the Marine Environment
The document advocates for the integration of substantive and procedural human rights into the Global Plastics Treaty, noting that plastic pollution infringes upon rights to health, life, and a clean environment. It critiques the current Compilation Draft for treating public participation as voluntary and omitting the right to effective remedy, while recommending that the final treaty explicitly operationalize the right to a healthy environment and protect marginalized groups.
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Document type: Policy brief
International Platform Sustainable Finance Common Ground Taxonomy Instruction Report
The International Platform on Sustainable Finance (IPSF) updated the Common Ground Taxonomy (CGT) in November 2024, expanding the analysis to include 96 activities across five environmental objectives. The CGT serves as a voluntary technical tool to enhance the interoperability of sustainable finance standards between the EU and China, potentially lowering trans-boundary costs for green investments. The report details a scenario-based methodology for mapping activities using the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) as a neutral code. While it identifies 76 climate mitigation activities and 20 non-climate activities with shared ground, it explicitly excludes 'Do No Significant Harm' (DNSH) criteria, minimum social safeguards, and climate change adaptation due to technical complexity and divergent regulatory approaches.
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Document type: Report
The Role of Development Finance Institutions in Accelerating the Mobilisation of Green Capital
The report finds that while European DFIs are central to public climate finance, their current private capital mobilisation levels are low, with most lacking specific mobilisation targets. It identifies barriers such as low risk appetite from shareholders, a preference for transaction-level tools over institutional-level ones, and regulatory hurdles like the EU Taxonomy's limited applicability outside Europe. The document proposes 30 recommendations, including adopting broader mobilisation definitions, increasing on-selling of assets, and enhancing transparency through databases like GEMs to attract private investors.
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Document type: Report
Catalysing Africa's growth through sustainable capital markets
FSD Africa is working to deepen African capital markets to reduce reliance on banks and external debt, leveraging an estimated $2 trillion in domestic assets. The organization employs a four-pronged strategy: policy and regulatory development, market infrastructure creation, product development (specifically GSSS bonds), and stakeholder convening. Key achievements include mobilising over $1.2 billion through 21 thematic bond transactions and establishing critical infrastructure like the Ethiopian Securities Exchange. Future priorities include carbon markets, sovereign debt management, and financing the energy transition.
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Document type: Report
The Responsible Agricultural Investment Tool for Agribusiness and Case Studies
The report details the creation of a management tool designed to help agribusinesses align their operations with international responsible investment standards, specifically the CFS-RAI Principles and IFC Performance Standards. Through pilot testing with five companies in Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, and Senegal, the report identifies that RAI compliance is heavily influenced by a company's mission, the formality of its management systems, and external business conditions. While the tool was well-received for its 'language of business' approach, the report notes that resource constraints in smaller SMEs may hinder independent adoption, suggesting a need for support from investors and technical assistance providers.
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Document type: Report
LOCAL CONTENT POLICY: SUPPLEMENTARY GUIDANCE
The report examines the potential for mining companies to share their digital infrastructure—such as high-speed connectivity and data processing technologies—with host communities to catalyze economic diversification and social benefits. It identifies significant barriers, including the 'usage gap' driven by digital illiteracy and a lack of devices, and a pronounced gender digital divide. The document provides policy recommendations to integrate digital connectivity into local content strategies, improve inter-ministerial coordination, and establish public-private partnerships to ensure the long-term sustainability of these networks beyond the mine's life cycle.
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Document type: Report
Block by block
The report analyzes the complex landscape of African migration governance, highlighting the role of the African Union (AU) and Regional Economic Communities (RECs) in promoting free movement and regional integration. It identifies significant gaps between the adoption of policy frameworks—such as the 1991 Abuja Treaty and the 2018 Free Movement Protocol—and their actual implementation. The document emphasizes the growing impact of climate change as a driver of mobility and the risks posed by the increasing use of immigration detention. It concludes that while subregional progress exists, overlapping memberships in RECs and a lack of compliance monitoring hinder the achievement of a borderless continent.
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Document type: Report
What are the challenges of incorporating the diverse land rights of the majority of South Africans into the existing formal land registration system?
The document examines the challenges of integrating informal land rights into South Africa's formal deeds registry, which is based on Western private property logic. It argues that simplistic titling efforts often fail or increase insecurity for the poor, and discusses the limitations of existing statutory protections and the potential of the Deeds Registries Amendment Bill of 2022.
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Document type: Policy brief
Solutions for managing food security risks in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape
The report examines the intersection of climate-driven food insecurity and geopolitical instability, arguing that the weaponization of food trade and the reversal of global economic integration exacerbate the risks posed by climate change. It recommends a combination of enhancing domestic climate-resilient agriculture, pursuing plurilateral cooperation among small groups of countries, transitioning to plant-based diets, and integrating demographic shifts into food security planning.
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Document type: Report
Textiles and Garments Trade and Climate Scenarios on the Road to 2050: Scenarios and Implications for Developing Countries and Climate-Resilient Development
The textile and garment sector is a major global emitter, with estimates ranging from 2% to 10% of annual global GHG emissions. Developing countries are particularly vulnerable to both the physical impacts of climate change—risking millions of jobs in hubs like Bangladesh and Vietnam—and the transition risks posed by new sustainability regulations in consumer markets. The document highlights the potential for border carbon adjustments (BCAs) and the EU's Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation (ESPR) to create non-tariff trade barriers. It also addresses the environmental crisis of textile waste dumping in Africa and South America. To ensure a just transition, the author argues for the inclusion of the sector in Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), increased international financial and technical support, and a coordinated approach via the WTO to prevent protectionism.
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Document type: Briefing
Expanding the contributor base: a solution for all climate finance woes?
The document assesses whether expanding the mandatory contributor base for climate finance to include emerging economies can bridge the gap between current funding and the estimated USD 1 trillion per year needed by developing countries. It finds that even if candidate emerging countries contributed at the same rate as developed countries, the additional funds would only cover about 5.12% of the minimum need. The briefing argues that developed countries must maintain primary responsibility, highlighting that many current contributors have not met their 'fair share' and that much of the provided finance consists of loans that increase the debt burden of vulnerable nations.
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Document type: Briefing
Telling Climate Change Stories: Perspectives from African Journalists
The document highlights a gap between Africa's high climate vulnerability and the volume of its media coverage, particularly from international sources. It identifies key barriers for local journalists, including insufficient funding, restricted data access, and safety concerns. To improve reporting, the authors recommend shifting from crisis-driven narratives to those highlighting local agency and Indigenous knowledge, while calling for international partnerships and capacity-building investments.
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Document type: Executive summary
The AfCFTA Digital Protocol A bird's eye view
The AfCFTA Digital Trade Protocol (AfCFTA DTP), adopted in February 2024, establishes a comprehensive framework to integrate digital trade across Africa. The protocol covers 52 articles across 11 parts, addressing market access, data governance, digital inclusion, and trade facilitation. While it aims to unlock significant economic potential—with Africa's digital economy potentially reaching USD 712 billion by 2050—its success depends on the completion of eight ongoing annex negotiations and the ability of state parties to overcome infrastructure gaps and regulatory fragmentation. Key features include a focus on digital inclusion for MSMEs and the establishment of trust frameworks for cybersecurity and data protection, though some critics argue its data flow provisions may favor foreign big tech companies over local technology transfer.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Six climate action reframes as we head into COP29
The document outlines six 'reframes' for COP29: shifting from geopolitical fragmentation to coalition building, adopting reality-based financing based on granular data, prioritizing fast action via methane reduction, diversifying power decarbonization with clean firm power, treating climate as a system-wide infrastructure problem, and moving from target-setting to detailed pathway planning.
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Document type: Statement
Annual Meetings serve the rich and damn the poor!
The statement criticizes the 2024 IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings, asserting that the global financial system is extractive and neo-colonial. It highlights that over half of African countries are in debt distress, with many spending more on debt service than on health and education. The document condemns IMF-mandated fiscal consolidation and austerity, arguing these measures crowd out essential social investments and disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. It further claims that the G20 Common Framework is ineffective and exclusive, favoring Paris Club creditors, and calls for African leadership via South Africa's G20 Presidency to seek sovereign debt solutions through the United Nations.
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Document type: Statement
Evaluating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) in the Power Sector for African Countries
The study finds that the average WACC for African countries (15.6%) is significantly higher than the 10% uniform value often used in planning, with Eastern Africa facing the highest costs. This high cost of capital, driven by low economic development and high risk premiums, disproportionately affects capital-intensive clean energy projects. The authors argue that relying on uniform WACC values misguides policy and recommend localized data and risk-mitigation instruments to attract private investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Preparing for Ecological Disruption
The report argues that ecological disruption is an underappreciated security threat and advocates for the integration of strategic foresight tools—such as horizon scanning, futures wheels, and scenario planning—into national security architecture. It identifies land/sea-use change and global atmospheric/oceanic warming as the primary drivers of ecological instability. Through four plausible mid-century scenarios, the document illustrates how these drivers can lead to systemic collapses, such as Amazon dieback or the failure of the Lake Victoria Basin, resulting in famine, pandemics, and geopolitical conflict. The author recommends that security stakeholders shift their risk calculus to include ecological decline and prioritize locally-led, indigenous stewardship in resource management.
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Document type: Report
Industrialisation in Africa: Leading Countries and Reasons for Their Success
The document examines industrialisation trends in Africa, identifying South Africa, Morocco, and Egypt as leaders while highlighting the challenges of commodity dependence and premature deindustrialisation. It analyzes specific success stories in Ethiopia's textiles, Rwanda's ICT, and Ghana's automotive sectors, and argues for structuralist policies and increased EU support for green industries and climate finance to accelerate the transition.
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Document type: Research paper
The State of Global Air Quality Funding 2024
The report finds that international development funding for clean air is chronically underfunded, representing only 1% of total international development funding in 2022. It highlights a heavy reliance on loans over grants, significant geographic disparities in funding distribution, and a concerning increase in funding for projects that prolong fossil fuel use.
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Document type: Executive summary