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Ethiopia Licensing Framework
The document describes a project aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for capital market intermediaries and self-regulatory organisations in Ethiopia to enhance investor confidence and economic growth.
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Document type: Briefing
‘Jobs versus Grants’: Are employment and basic income a policy trade-off?
The document challenges the belief that social grants create a 'culture of dependency' or discourage labour market participation in South Africa. By reviewing international and local evidence, it argues that cash transfers often facilitate job searches, stimulate local economies, and empower women. The authors advocate for a UBIG indexed to the upper-bound poverty line, funded through progressive taxation, as a means to eliminate poverty while supporting inclusive economic growth.
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Document type: Policy brief
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
The report outlines three scenarios for Tunisia's development to 2040: 'Going for Growth', which prioritises industrial production and FDI; 'Leapfrogging', which focuses on ICT and digital innovation; and 'Sustainability & Equality', which emphasises environmental stability and social protection. Across all scenarios, governance interventions are identified as the primary driver of GDP growth relative to the current path.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change in the Brazilian Mind
The survey reveals a strong consensus among Brazilians that climate change is occurring and human-caused, with 96% acknowledging its occurrence and 77% identifying human activity as the primary cause. Public concern is high, with 81% viewing climate change as a "very important" issue, and 77% prioritizing environmental protection over economic growth. Awareness of Amazon forest fires is nearly universal at 98%, with loggers (37%) and farmers (18%) most frequently cited as responsible for starting them, while 50% of respondents believe governments are best positioned to solve the problem.
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Document type: Executive summary
international public opinion on climate change 2022
The report presents survey data from 108,946 Facebook users worldwide, revealing high global levels of worry and belief that climate change is happening, though perceptions of its causes and the responsibility for action vary significantly by region. While there is widespread support for renewable energy and the belief that climate action will not harm economic growth, willingness to engage in organized climate activism remains low in most regions, with a notable exception in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Document type: Report
Analys av synergier och målkonflikter i Sveriges frivilliga granskning av arbetet med Agenda 2030
The report identifies key 'catalyst' goals that drive progress across the entire 2030 Agenda in Sweden, while highlighting specific trade-offs where progress in one goal hinders another. It emphasizes that while most interactions are positive, targeted interventions are needed for goals that receive little systemic support and for resolving critical conflicts, particularly those involving energy, biodiversity, and economic growth.
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Document type: Report
Services as a Driver of Economic Growth and Job Creation in South Africa: Can the AfCFTA Assist?
The document examines South Africa's service sector, which contributes approximately 61% to national GDP and employs over 5.5 million workers. While the sector is large, the authors argue that growth must shift toward exports, particularly within Africa, as the domestic market is overdeveloped. The brief concludes that the AfCFTA is unlikely to provide a short-term boost due to a lack of specific service sector commitments and persistent regulatory hurdles, such as visa restrictions and inadequate ICT infrastructure. It recommends establishing a unified coalition of service providers and updating digital infrastructure to enhance South Africa's role as a regional gateway.
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Document type: Policy brief
Buen Vivir versus Green Deal : l'émergence d'un concept en Europe
The paper explores the concept of Buen Vivir, rooted in indigenous Latin American paradigms, and its potential as an alternative to the anthropocentric and growth-based models of development prevalent in Europe. It highlights the tension between Buen Vivir and the 'Green Economy' or 'European Green Deal', arguing that while the latter seeks to 'decouple' growth from resource use, Buen Vivir rejects the logic of infinite economic growth entirely. The authors note that while official EU-Latin American diplomatic recognition of Buen Vivir has been limited and largely stagnant since a 2015 resolution, local-level initiatives in European cities—such as Amsterdam—and countries like Spain and Greece are increasingly adopting practices aligned with Buen Vivir, including agroecology, local currencies, and the promotion of the 'commons'.
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Document type: Research paper
Buen Vivir: un concepto emergente en Europa
The paper explores 'Buen Vivir', an indigenous-rooted concept from Latin America that challenges anthropocentrism and infinite economic growth. It examines the concept's formal introduction into EU-Latin American relations via a 2015 EuroLat resolution and contrasts it with the 'Green Economy' and 'European Green Deal', which the authors argue maintain a growth-centric logic. While governmental adoption in Europe remains limited, the text identifies local 'post-developmentalist' practices in countries like Spain, Greece, and the Netherlands—such as agroecology and the recognition of nature's rights—as aligned with Buen Vivir principles.
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Document type: Research paper
Buen vivir: a concept on the rise in Europe
The paper explores 'buen vivir' (living well), a biocentric paradigm from Latin America that challenges the modern focus on infinite economic growth. While formal EU-Latin America diplomatic efforts, such as the 2015 EuroLat resolution, have acknowledged the concept, it remains overshadowed by the 'green economy' and 'European Green Deal' frameworks that maintain a focus on productivity. However, the authors identify a rise in local European initiatives—such as granting legal rights to nature in Spain and the Netherlands and the growth of agroecology and commons-based projects—that align with the logic of buen vivir by seeking a harmonious relationship between humans and nature.
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Document type: Research paper
US Paris Agreement 2020
The We Mean Business Coalition welcomes the United States' intention to rejoin the Paris Agreement, arguing that the framework provides the necessary clarity for businesses to make long-term investments in a zero-carbon economy. The coalition emphasizes that green recovery plans following the COVID-19 pandemic can outperform traditional stimulus measures in boosting GDP and employment while addressing the intersection of climate and racial justice.
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Document type: Statement
Impact of COVID-19 on the Ghanaian insurance sector
The report details how COVID-19 disrupted the Ghanaian insurance sector, citing operational challenges due to lockdowns, financial risks from declining premium income and volatile investment assets, and the regulatory response of the National Insurance Commission (NIC). It highlights a shift toward digitalization and the broader economic downturn in Ghana, including a GDP growth estimate reduction from 6.8% to 2.6% for 2020.
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Document type: Report
SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES : 5 pièges à éviter pour contenir le réchauffement à 1,5°C
The report critiques common climate scenarios, such as the IEA's Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS), for underestimating emissions and overestimating carbon capture to justify continued fossil fuel use. It argues that these scenarios often lead to warming above 2°C despite claims of alignment with the Paris Agreement. The author calls for a rapid phase-out of fossil fuel financing by 2040 in Europe and 2050 globally.
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Document type: Report
Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030
The report finds that COVID-19 is set to undo several years of development progress in Africa, with the economy projected to be between US$335 billion and US$617 billion smaller by 2030 compared to pre-pandemic forecasts. It highlights a severe risk of a debt crisis, significant reductions in health expenditure, and a widening gap in achieving the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals, particularly regarding extreme poverty. While Africa's youthful population may mitigate direct mortality, the report warns that indirect deaths from reduced health spending and disrupted care for diseases like HIV and malaria could be substantial. Recommendations include accelerating digitisation, improving water and sanitation (WaSH) infrastructure, and securing comprehensive debt relief.
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Document type: Report
Impact of COVID-19 in Africa
The report analyzes three economic recovery scenarios (V, U, and L-shaped) for Africa, concluding that the pandemic will cause a severe development setback. It forecasts that Africa's economy will be between US$349 billion and US$643 billion smaller by 2030 compared to pre-pandemic projections. While Africa's youthful population may mitigate direct COVID-19 mortality, the report warns that reduced health expenditure and high debt levels could lead to significant indirect deaths and a systemic human development crisis. Key recommendations include urgent debt relief, increased domestic health spending, and accelerated digitisation to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Exploring the impact of COVID-19 in Africa: a scenario analysis to 2030
The report analyzes three economic recovery scenarios (V, U, and L-shaped) for Africa following the COVID-19 pandemic. It finds that while the continent's youthful population may mitigate direct mortality, the economic shock will likely erase years of progress in poverty reduction and hinder the achievement of 2030 SDGs. The analysis emphasizes that the primary suffering will stem from economic contraction and a resulting debt crisis rather than direct virus mortality. Key recommendations include urgent debt relief, increased health spending, and investment in water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) infrastructure to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Politiques climatiques contre croissance économique en temps de crise
The author contends that temporary economic slowdowns from the pandemic do not solve climate change and that abandoning climate policies to stimulate recovery is counterproductive. Instead, the text advocates for a low-carbon growth strategy, leveraging innovation and government incentives to transition the economy, particularly the oil and gas sector, while mitigating the increasing economic risks posed by climate-related disasters.
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Document type: Statement
Climate Change vs. Economic Growth in a Time of Crisis
The Canadian Climate Institute asserts that neither halting economic growth nor pausing climate action is a viable strategy for addressing the COVID-19 crisis. It argues that lasting emission reductions require growth-compatible innovation and that Canada's long-term economic interest lies in transitioning to a low-carbon economy to avoid stranded assets and maintain global competitiveness, particularly in the oil and gas sector.
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Document type: Statement
FISCAL POLICY IN SOUTH AFRICA: CLOSED INPUT-OUTPUT INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT MULTIPLIERS
The research paper calculates fiscal multipliers for South Africa using a closed input-output model based on 2018 data. It finds that the average income multiplier is 1.68 and the employment multiplier is 6.9, suggesting that public spending has a significant positive impact on GDP and job creation. The authors argue that the South African government's 2020 Budget, which proposes spending reductions of approximately R48 billion, will likely reduce GDP by R81 billion and destroy approximately 330,000 jobs due to these high multipliers and the existing negative output gap.
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Document type: Research paper
South Africa first! Getting to Thuma Mina
The report finds that South Africa is on a pathway of economic divergence from its middle-income peers due to poor human capital, lack of investment, and an electricity crisis. It proposes the 'Thuma Mina' scenario, which suggests that targeted structural interventions in five key sectors could increase average incomes by 60% by 2044 compared to a 24% increase on the current path. Key recommendations include solving the electricity crisis, improving the quality of health and education, and revitalising manufacturing through increased foreign and domestic investment.
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Document type: Report