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The document identifies a significant financing gap for Colombia's climate goals and argues that a Just Transition requires dedicated investment in labor retraining, social protection, and regional diversification. It analyzes the current distribution of climate finance—dominated by public resources (67%)—and suggests leveraging innovative tools like sovereign green bonds and carbon tax revenues to ensure stability and equity in the transition.

The document examines the 2023 Nigerian elections, highlighting the role of ethno-regional configurations over ideology and the specific platforms of the APC, PDP, Labour Party, and NNPP. It assesses how different winners would impact domestic security, economic policy—specifically regarding oil and fuel subsidies—and Nigeria's energy relationship with Europe.

The document outlines a framework for a Just Transition (TJ) in Colombia, emphasizing the need to manage the shift toward a low-carbon economy without exacerbating existing social inequalities. It identifies the mining and fossil fuel sectors as the most vulnerable due to their significant contribution to exports and employment. The guide recommends strengthening governance through a dedicated TJ Committee, improving social dialogue, reforming the labor market to address high informality, and diversifying regional economies. It also highlights the necessity of mobilizing financial resources to close the funding gap for Colombia's Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC).

The document outlines the principles of a just transition, drawing on international case studies from Germany, Canada, Sweden, the US, and Australia to inform Indonesia's approach. It identifies key challenges in Indonesia, such as the lack of centralized data on affected workers and the need for cross-sectoral coordination. The guide proposes specific actions for government, non-governmental actors, and businesses, and introduces the Energy Transition Mechanism Country Platform (ETM-CP) and the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) as primary financial frameworks for Indonesia's energy shift.

The report identifies a significant financing gap for Colombia's climate goals and argues that a just transition (JT) requires dedicated investment in socio-economic mitigation, such as re-skilling and regional diversification. While 67% of climate finance currently comes from public sources, the report notes that the 2023 national budget is not yet aligned with JT priorities. It suggests leveraging private green portfolios, international aid, sovereign green bonds, and carbon tax revenues to bridge this gap, while recommending the creation of a social taxonomy to ensure investments are socially responsible.

The document outlines a strategy for Colombia to manage its transition to a low-carbon economy while addressing high levels of poverty, inequality, and labor informality. It identifies the mining and fossil fuel sectors as the most vulnerable, representing 71% of exports and 500,000 formal jobs. The toolkit recommends establishing a Just Transition Committee within the Intersectoral Commission for Climate Change, enhancing social dialogue, and reforming the labor market to support workers' mobility and reskilling. It emphasizes the need for economic diversification in fossil-fuel-dependent regions and the mobilization of financial resources to close a funding gap estimated at 1.04% of GDP annually to meet NDC objectives.

The document argues that Canadian oil producers face an existential threat as global oil demand is projected to peak around 2030. While Canada's heavy reliance on U.S. refineries provides a temporary buffer, this will not shield the sector from falling global prices and declining demand. The brief concludes that ESG credentials and production costs are insufficient to maintain competitiveness against Middle Eastern producers, necessitating urgent economic diversification.

The document argues that South Africa's transition from a carbon-intensive, coal-dependent economy to green energy requires a strategic focus on skills development within the TVET ecosystem. Given the country's high unemployment rate of 35.3% and the potential for job losses in fossil-fuel industries, the report emphasizes a 'just transition' that utilizes reskilling, economic diversification, and social welfare to protect vulnerable workers while preparing the workforce for new technological revolutions, including 4IR technologies.

The document argues that Canadian oil producers are highly vulnerable to declining global demand and falling prices. While the heavy reliance on U.S. refineries provides a temporary buffer, this will not shield Canada from global price volatility or the long-term decline in petroleum consumption. The author contends that ESG credentials and production costs will not allow Canada to compete against lower-cost Middle Eastern producers in a shrinking market. Consequently, the brief warns of an existential threat to the sector, including job losses and reduced tax revenues, urging the Canadian government to diversify its economy.

The briefing highlights the socio-economic risks and opportunities for Africa amidst global decarbonisation, noting that while fossil fuel exports (40% of total) are threatened, the continent's mineral wealth can drive a just transition. It advocates for an 'African Green deal' to shift Africa from being a mere source of raw materials to an industrialised hub, mitigating climate-induced economic losses which reached US$38 billion in 2020.

Algeria's trade is heavily dominated by hydrocarbons, which accounted for 94% of exports in 2017. The country faces significant obstacles to industrialisation and diversification due to the influence of politically connected importers and a lack of regional economic integration within the Maghreb. While the European Union remains its primary trading partner, substantial informal trade exists with Tunisia and Mali, driven by tax and subsidy differentials.

The 2022 Angolan elections are characterized as a tight race between the ruling MPLA and UNITA, occurring against a backdrop of economic stagnation and public dissatisfaction. While the MPLA promises policy continuity, UNITA advocates for structural reforms and a transition of power. The analysis highlights significant concerns regarding the transparency of the electoral process, including partisan control of electoral institutions and flawed voter registration. Despite these challenges, the MPLA is expected to win due to its control of state resources, though the results may trigger protests. Internationally, Angola's role as an OPEC member and oil producer makes it a strategic energy alternative for Western markets amid the crisis caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The text argues that traditional market-centric macroeconomic policies focused on stabilisation have failed to generate sufficient employment in Africa, despite periods of economic growth. It advocates for a shift toward a 'transformative' role for macroeconomic policy that coordinates with sectoral and labour market policies to drive structural transformation and decent employment.

The document examines the Taranaki region's transition to a low-carbon economy, highlighting the Taranaki Roadmap 2050 and the role of the Just Transitions Unit. It details efforts to diversify the regional economy, support workers through retraining and proposed insurance, and integrate Māori worldviews into success metrics. While praising the proactive and inclusive planning, the author notes that onshore oil and gas permits are still being granted and the long-term effectiveness of the diversification strategies remains to be seen.

The document analyzes New Zealand's proactive approach to transitioning the Taranaki region away from offshore oil and gas. It highlights the creation of the Taranaki 2050 Roadmap, the role of the Just Transition Unit, and the integration of Māori rights and labor unions in regional economic diversification. While praising the inclusive planning and the establishment of the Ara Ake energy center, the author notes that the transition is in its early stages and that onshore oil and gas production remains a significant gap in the country's climate goals.

The document argues that Indonesia's heavy reliance on coal and oil and gas creates significant social and economic risks that necessitate a 'just transition' framework. It highlights a lack of institutionalized social dialogue and the continued use of fossil fuel subsidies and recovery funding for the fossil fuel sector. The author recommends institutionalizing tripartite social dialogue, diversifying the economy in fossil-fuel-dependent regions, and utilizing state-owned enterprises to drive a green recovery through conditionalities.

The report analyzes the fiscal vulnerability of the BRIICS countries to the global energy transition. Using IEA scenarios, it projects significant declines in fossil fuel revenues by 2050, particularly under 1.5°C and 2°C pathways. To mitigate these risks, the authors propose a 'GSS bond support fund' to leverage near-term windfall revenues for decarbonization and suggest a broad suite of environmental fiscal reforms, including subsidy removal and the introduction of carbon pricing and road user charges.

The report argues that greening Aid for Trade (A4T) is essential for supporting developing countries in their transition to a sustainable global economy. It identifies a gap between the reported environmental objectives of A4T and actual project implementation, noting that while many donors use Rio markers, few projects have a clear environmental purpose. The document proposes six complementary pathways to green A4T: mainstreaming environmental considerations, securing additional financing, improving monitoring systems, integrating trade into climate funding, strengthening South-South cooperation, and fostering coherence with wider financial mechanisms like debt relief and climate finance. It emphasizes that developing countries must lead the prioritization of these resources to ensure a just transition that avoids new trade barriers and addresses the 'double exposure' of economic and environmental risks.

The report examines the role of Aid for Trade (A4T) in supporting the transition to a green global economy. It argues that while A4T has historically focused on infrastructure and productive capacity, it must now mainstream environmental considerations to help developing countries, particularly least developed countries (LDCs), adapt to climate change and seize green trade opportunities. The author proposes six complementary pathways to 'green' A4T, emphasizing developing country ownership and the need for additional financing, improved monitoring, and coherence with wider climate finance and debt relief mechanisms.

The document examines Algeria's struggle to attract foreign direct investment compared to other middle-income countries, citing regulatory hurdles and the dominance of state-owned enterprises. It notes a shift in investment sources from Europe toward China and Gulf investors, while highlighting the positive impact of remittances on poverty and inequality reduction.