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Tracking the Transition: Global Private Financial Institutions' Progress Toward Net Zero
The report evaluates the climate transition progress of global private financial institutions (FIs) using the Net Zero Finance Tracker (NZFT). While target adoption has expanded, the quality of these targets remains weak, particularly regarding fossil fuel phase-outs. Implementation has improved in areas like climate risk disclosure, but real-world impact is limited: financed emissions have decreased only slightly since 2019, and credit financing remains heavily skewed toward fossil fuels. Direct finance for clean and transition energy projects grew by 18% annually from 2019 to 2024, reaching nearly USD 126 billion, though this investment is concentrated in advanced economies.
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Document type: Report
Technology Development and Financing Trends Across the Green Hydrogen Value Chain in China
The report analyzes the green hydrogen value chain in China across production, storage and transport, and utilization, noting that while investment in startups has accelerated since 2020, risks remain regarding technology, operations, and capital markets.
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Document type: Report
Green Industrialization in Africa: Advancing Emerging Technologies and Innovation
Africa faces the challenge of decarbonizing industries while expanding industrial capacity, despite its low contribution to global emissions. The continent possesses significant assets for the clean energy transition, including cobalt reserves in the Democratic Republic of Congo, solar potential, and coastal deserts suitable for green hydrogen. To move beyond simple resource extraction, the document emphasizes the need for innovation ecosystems connecting startups, research hubs, and policymakers. It highlights existing technological momentum in Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, and Morocco, suggesting that a targeted policy mix can enable entrepreneurs to develop green technologies for both local and global markets.
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Document type: Policy brief
Raport milczącej większości
The report finds that 73% of Poles are worried about climate change and 74% believe it will negatively impact future generations. Despite this, there is a growing 'I don't know' group (plemię nie wiem) regarding government action, which the authors attribute to a lack of political advocacy and the polarization of topics like wind energy. While some negative sentiment spiked following protests against the EU Green Deal, overall support for climate policy remains high, and no significant public opposition to environmental action was found across multiple surveys.
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Document type: Report
JUST TRANSITION COMPASS A FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION AND INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION
The Just Transition Compass serves as a non-prescriptive guide to move Just Transitions from high-level dialogue to concrete implementation. It defines core principles of distributive, procedural, and restorative justice, identifies systemic barriers to national implementation—such as limited subnational capacity and siloed finance—and analyzes the political tensions within the UNFCCC's Just Transition Work Programme (JTWP). The report advocates for a permanent international coordination mechanism to align fragmented efforts, manage the cross-border impacts of unilateral trade measures like the EU's CBAM, and mobilize private capital through sustainable finance taxonomies.
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Document type: Report
Resiliente, mas ainda não transformador: o setor de petróleo e gás do Brasil em um mundo em descarbonização
The document analyzes Brazil's position as a top global oil producer, noting that while its current production is economically resilient to most climate scenarios, the pursuit of new frontiers like the Equatorial Margin carries high stranded asset risks. It highlights Brazil's potential to lead in low-carbon fuels and critical minerals but warns that a lack of coordinated industrial policy and investment in innovation may limit its competitiveness. The author recommends using advanced modeling to optimize investments in refining and green fuels and suggests leveraging diplomatic ties with China and the EU to diversify the economy post-fossil fuels.
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Document type: Case study
Carbon Rating Framework Phase 2
The Carbon Rating Framework, developed by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI), aims to integrate emissions performance into financial decision-making by assigning companies a rating from CR1 (lowest emissions) to CR10 (highest emissions). Phase 2 involved testing this framework on a sample of 50 companies, using a weighted average of current emission intensity (70%) and projected intensity (30%) normalized by revenue. The testing demonstrated the framework's ability to differentiate emissions across diverse sectors, though it highlighted limitations regarding the availability of projected emissions data and the volatility of revenue as a normalization metric. Future directions include integrating Scope 3 emissions, aligning with India's Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), and utilizing sector-specific intensity metrics.
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Document type: Briefing
Alternatives to offsetting
The document argues for a shift from the 'compensation' model of carbon offsetting to a 'contribution' model known as beyond value chain mitigation (BVCM). It examines several climate impact funds—including 1% for the Planet, Frontier, and Milkywire—finding that while they generally support high-impact climate action and avoid misleading neutrality claims, there is a systemic need for clearer BVCM metrics and more explicit guidance on corporate claims to prevent greenwashing.
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Document type: Policy brief
LOST AT SEA
The document analyzes the IMO's Net-Zero Framework (NZF), which was delayed by one year in October 2025 due to pressure from the US and oil-producing nations. A study by Cincera Consulting finds the NZF is inadequate, projecting emission reductions of only 8-10% by 2030, far below the 45% required by the Paris Agreement. The brief criticizes the NZF's hybrid approach—combining a GHG fuel standard with limited carbon pricing—noting that the effective carbon price of $14/tCO2eq is too low to drive a transition to green fuels. It recommends that the EU expand its Emissions Trading System (ETS) to cover 100% of emissions for voyages entering or leaving the European Economic Area and urges the IMO to adopt a universal levy to address absolute emissions.
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Document type: Policy brief
DODGING THE FIRM FIXATION FOR DATA CENTERS AND THE GRID
The report critiques the 'firm fixation' approach where utilities meet surging data center demand by adding gas plants or refurbishing coal units. It identifies six defining features of data centers—agency, clustering, consumption profiles, flexibility, backup requirements, and modularity—that make them unsuitable for simple one-to-one matching with firm power plants. Instead, the author advocates for a 'system of systems' approach combining clean energy portfolios, battery storage, and demand-side flexibility. Key recommendations for policymakers include using the interconnection process as leverage to ensure cost causation and exploring demand-side resources, such as sponsoring household energy upgrades, to free up grid capacity.
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Document type: Report
COMPARATIVE REVIEW OF GLOBAL APPROACHES TO ELECTRICITY TARIFF SETTING
The report examines various global regulatory models for electricity revenue determination, including rate-of-return, incentive-based, performance-based, and market-based pricing. It details the technical process of Cost of Supply (CoS) studies—comprising functionalisation, classification, and allocation—and discusses the trade-offs between fixed and variable tariff charges. The document concludes that South Africa should move toward unbundled, cost-reflective tariffs supported by regular, audited CoS studies and a more robust, incentive-driven revenue determination methodology to support its transition to a wholesale market.
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Document type: Report
Peran Dunia Usaha dalam Mewujudkan NDC Indonesia 2035
The document examines the alignment of Indonesia's business sector with the 2035 NDC, highlighting a potential investment opportunity of USD 3.8 trillion. While over 100 Indonesian companies have adopted science-based targets, the report identifies significant barriers including regulatory uncertainty, fragmented institutional responsibility, and a lack of a standardized 'green investment' definition. It proposes solutions such as 'power wheeling' for renewable energy access, blended finance mechanisms, and sectoral decarbonization roadmaps for energy, industry, and transport to ensure the NDC is 'investible' and supports the national goal of net-zero by 2060.
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Document type: Report
Dekarbonizacja drogą do przewagi konkurencyjnej Polski
The document examines how Poland's high energy intensity and reliance on fossil fuels create economic vulnerabilities, specifically through high electricity and gas prices and EU ETS costs. It posits that transitioning to low-emission technologies and improving energy efficiency can lower production costs and boost GDP. The briefing highlights the role of renewable energy, such as wind and solar, and Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) in stabilizing energy prices. It also discusses the importance of emission transparency for consumer appeal and provides case studies of Polish companies like ORLEN, Galmet, and Kompania Piwowarska implementing decarbonization strategies.
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Document type: Briefing
Trading Africa's Green Minerals at a Crossroads: A Call for Regional Coordination
The document highlights Africa's strategic position as the holder of over 30% of the world's critical mineral reserves, essential for the global transition to renewable energy. It warns that without regional coordination, African nations risk remaining locked into raw materials extraction while major economies like the US, EU, and China compete for access. The authors advocate for the implementation of the Africa Green Minerals Strategy (AGMS) through a coordinated diplomatic framework and a continental task force to enhance negotiation power and promote regional value chains.
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Document type: Research paper
Nachhaltiger Fortschritt: die AfCFTA und Chancen für grüne Arbeitsplätze in Afrika
The document argues that the AfCFTA can mitigate Africa's youth unemployment crisis by fostering a regional market for greentech goods and services. It highlights a significant trade deficit in green goods and suggests that localising production—supported by tax incentives, digital skills training, and the revitalisation of Indigenous environmental practices—can create millions of jobs. While carbon-intensive sectors may lose up to 4.2 million jobs by 2050, the energy transition could create up to 12 million jobs in the same period, provided that regulatory barriers are removed and investment is facilitated.
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Document type: Policy brief
Aligning interests: Central Eastern European TSO perspectives on EU grid development
The document outlines the views of TSOs from Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Slovakia regarding EU grid development. While generally supportive of the European Grids Package, these operators express low confidence in EU-level coordination, citing administrative burdens and a perception of Western European dominance in policy shaping. Key barriers identified include outdated infrastructure, regulatory fragmentation, and complex access to EU funding mechanisms like the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF). The TSOs emphasize the need for more practical, inclusive reforms that respect national sovereignty and address specific security risks for countries on the EU's external borders.
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Document type: Policy brief
Green Industrial Policy: Challenges and Opportunities for a Globally Inclusive and Fair Energy Transition
This report by the Stockholm Environment Institute examines the global trend of 'green industrial policies' and the risks they pose to emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). It argues that current policies in major economies often prioritize domestic benefits and geopolitical security over global fairness, potentially creating a 'two-speed' transition that hinders global climate goals. The document proposes several pathways to ensure a more inclusive transition, including scaled-up climate finance, technology transfer, and the adaptation of trade rules.
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Document type: Report
From Captive Coal to Green Nickel: Securing Indonesia’s Future Competitiveness
The report examines the paradox of Indonesia's nickel sector, where a critical mineral for the clean energy transition is processed using carbon-intensive captive coal. It identifies a significant expansion of captive coal capacity, projected to exceed 32 GW by 2031, driven by resource nationalism and the need for stable power in remote regions. The document contrasts 'Green Opportunism' (short-term gains via coal) with 'Green Developmentalism' (long-term competitiveness via decarbonisation) and proposes specific roles for Chinese stakeholders to support a sustainable transition through technical assistance, green finance, and market-shaping rules.
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Document type: Report
Why is National Treasury so scared to tax wealth in South Africa, the most unequal country in the world?
The document argues that South Africa's National Treasury is incorrectly relying on austerity and claims of high statutory tax rates to justify limited public spending. It suggests that the government can increase revenue by implementing wealth taxes, recouping illicit financial flows, and reducing tax expenditures for high-income individuals and corporations. It specifically highlights the gap between statutory and effective tax rates for companies and the potential for the Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF) to lower borrowing costs.
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Document type: Briefing
Shockproof: how electrification can strengthen EU energy security
The EU remains highly vulnerable to energy price shocks and supply disruptions due to a 58% reliance on imported fossil fuels for primary energy. While the power sector has largely transitioned to homegrown sources, sectors like transport (88% reliant on imports) and buildings remain exposed. The report argues that electrification can reduce fossil import dependency to 30% by 2040, noting that 67% of EU energy demand can already be electrified with mature technologies. Current frontrunners, such as Denmark with electric vehicles and the Netherlands with heat pumps, demonstrate significant displacement of oil and gas imports.
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Document type: Report