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RAcc’s Impact on Global Renewables if Adoption Scales
The analysis finds that if approximately 2,430 large companies (consuming over 100 GWh/year) adopted the RAcc model, the resulting demand would cover about 66% of global commercial and industrial electricity consumption and avoid 5.5 billion tCO2e annually. The report identifies a tipping point where adoption by the top 20% of these companies (~539 organizations) would exceed existing global renewable energy supply, necessitating the construction of new renewable generation capacity.
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Document type: Report
AI to unlock the next wave of renewable integration in ASEAN
The report argues that AI can significantly accelerate the energy transition in ASEAN by managing the complexity of rising variable renewable energy (VRE) shares. It identifies five key AI applications—forecasting, predictive maintenance, dispatch optimisation, real-time control, and dynamic line rating—that can reduce operational costs and emissions. While ASEAN shows strong digital readiness, current AI adoption is fragmented and pilot-based. The report estimates that widespread AI adoption could save up to $67 billion and reduce nearly 400 million tonnes of CO2 by 2035, provided that regulatory, data, and cybersecurity challenges are addressed.
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Document type: Report
LOST AT SEA
The document analyzes the IMO's Net-Zero Framework (NZF), which was delayed by one year in October 2025 due to pressure from the US and oil-producing nations. A study by Cincera Consulting finds the NZF is inadequate, projecting emission reductions of only 8-10% by 2030, far below the 45% required by the Paris Agreement. The brief criticizes the NZF's hybrid approach—combining a GHG fuel standard with limited carbon pricing—noting that the effective carbon price of $14/tCO2eq is too low to drive a transition to green fuels. It recommends that the EU expand its Emissions Trading System (ETS) to cover 100% of emissions for voyages entering or leaving the European Economic Area and urges the IMO to adopt a universal levy to address absolute emissions.
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Document type: Policy brief
Clean electricity supply must keep pace
The report argues that while India's shift to electric vehicles can reduce emissions by 33%-55% compared to internal combustion engines, full decarbonisation depends on increasing the share of clean electricity in the grid. It estimates that meeting the charging needs of the projected 2030 EV stock would require approximately 14 GW of dedicated wind and solar capacity. The analysis highlights significant regional disparities in the cleanliness of EV charging across 10 Indian states, with Karnataka leading in clean energy share and Uttar Pradesh, the largest market by volume, providing only 18.3% of charging electricity from clean resources.
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Document type: Report
Harnessing Carbon Removal Opportunities in Biomass Residue Building Products
The report evaluates the use of bio-based materials from agricultural and forestry residues as a mechanism for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in the building sector. Using BEAM life cycle assessment software, it estimates a cumulative global carbon removal capacity of 3.6 Gt CO2 by 2050, with an additional 16.5 Gt CO2 in avoided emissions. The analysis highlights that while non-timber biomass offers significant potential, the integration of mass timber could increase storage by fivefold. Implementation is hindered by challenges in carbon accounting, durability, and building code compliance, though emerging policies in the EU, Canada, and the US are beginning to incentivize biogenic carbon storage.
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Document type: Report
Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition
The report projects that Viet Nam's power sector labour force will grow from approximately 300,000 full-time employees (FTE) today to 500,000 FTEs by 2035. While coal-related jobs will decline, job creation in renewable energy—specifically solar PV and wind—is expected to outweigh these losses, with wind and solar accounting for over half of the direct labour force (around 300,000 FTEs) by the 2030s. The analysis emphasizes that the JETP scenario offers a more gradual build-up of technologies to reduce market volatility and suggests that increasing local content shares and implementing reskilling programmes are essential for a stable transition.
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Document type: Report
Warming Projections Global Update
The November 2024 update reveals a three-year stagnation in global warming projections, with current policies setting the world on a path toward 2.7°C of warming by 2100. While renewable energy and electric vehicle deployment have seen record growth, these gains are offset by all-time high fossil fuel subsidies and increased funding for fossil fuel projects. The report warns that without a substantial increase in the ambition of 2030 and 2035 targets, the 1.5°C limit will likely be breached in the early 2030s, leading to a multidecadal overshoot.
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Document type: Report
Rising Seas Stretch Risk Zones
Using updated CoastalDEM elevation data and IPCC medium-to-high emissions scenarios, Climate Central projects that by 2100, annual coastal flood risk zones will expand to include areas where an additional 93 million people currently live. The report highlights severe population impacts in Asia, particularly in China, Bangladesh, and Vietnam, and provides the first full assessment of population exposure in Arctic nations.
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Document type: Report
CLEAN ELECTRICITY, AFFORDABLE ENERGY
The report argues that federal funding from Budget 2023 can help provinces modernize electricity grids and reduce the cost of transitioning to net zero. While electricity rates may rise modestly, the shift to more efficient electric technologies like heat pumps and electric vehicles is projected to lower average household energy spending by 12% by 2050. The authors emphasize that provinces should adopt targeted policy tools, such as means-tested fixed charges, to ensure energy affordability for low- and middle-income households.
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Document type: Report
Updated NDCs collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening
The report finds that updated NDCs from 156 countries provide an additional global emission reduction of approximately 3.8 to 3.9 GtCO2eq by 2030 compared to previous submissions. However, these reductions are insufficient to meet Paris Agreement temperature goals, needing to be three to seven times greater to align with 2 °C or 1.5 °C targets. If unconditional NDCs are implemented, global emissions are projected to peak by 2025 and remain about 3% above 2015 levels by 2030.
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Document type: Report
GLOBAL WITNESS ANALYSIS: UK FOREST FOOTPRINT OPTIONS PAPER
Global Witness argues that the UK government's proposed options for regulating forest-risk commodities are insufficient to meet the scale of the challenge. The analysis estimates that even under the most optimistic government scenarios, the UK would still contribute between 90,000 and 125,000 hectares of deforestation risk by 2030. Global Witness proposes an alternative approach—regulating at least five to six key commodities within 12 months—which could reduce the deforestation footprint to between 48,774 and 66,745 hectares.
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Document type: Report
Analysis of intentionally-added microplastics’ emissions to the environment up to 2030
The report by ClientEarth and the EEB uses ECHA data to project that intentionally added microplastics will continue to increase in the environment through 2030. It highlights that a one-year delay in the restriction's entry into force would increase total emissions by approximately 40,000 tonnes by 2030. The analysis identifies sports pitch infill as the largest source of pollution and criticizes the lack of data for sectors such as construction and food additives.
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Document type: Report
Industrial carbon capture: Reducing emissions with higher 45Q values
The briefing argues that increasing the 45Q tax credit from $50 to $85 per metric ton would significantly increase industrial carbon capture, potentially reducing annual CO2 emissions by 22 to 36 million metric tons by 2031, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors like cement and steel.
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Document type: Briefing
The inequality-emissions link and what it means for the 1.5oC goal
The report analyzes the link between income inequality and carbon emissions, projecting that by 2030, the richest 10% of the global population will still be responsible for nearly half of all consumption emissions (48%), while the bottom 50% will account for only 10%. It highlights that the net effect of current NDCs results in 2030 global emissions remaining roughly equal to 2015 levels (35.5 GtCO2), which is nearly double the 18 GtCO2 median estimate required to limit warming to 1.5°C.
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Document type: Report
Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Climate Summit Momentum
The Climate Action Tracker estimates global warming by 2100 at 2.4°C, a 0.2°C improvement driven by recent announcements including those from the US Leaders Summit on Climate. While 131 countries covering 73% of global emissions have adopted or are considering net zero targets, the 2030 emissions gap remains significant, and current policies lead to a projected warming of 2.9°C.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Action Tracker Warming Projections Global Update
The Climate Action Tracker reports that recent Paris Agreement pledges and targets have reduced the estimated end-of-century warming to 2.4°C, down by 0.2°C. While the 2030 emissions gap for a 1.5°C pathway has narrowed by 11-14%, current policies still project a warming of 2.9°C. The most optimistic scenario, assuming full implementation of net zero targets, suggests warming could be as low as 2.0°C, though this remains above the Paris Agreement limit. The report emphasizes that stronger near-term 2030 targets are more critical for reducing warming than the addition of new net zero targets.
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Document type: Briefing
Kıbrıs’ta Barışın Sağlayacağı Getirileri Elde Etmek
The report argues that a political solution to the Cyprus problem would significantly boost the island's economy by creating a unified market, improving productivity, and opening access to the EU and Turkish markets. Using sectoral and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) methodologies, the authors estimate that a solution could increase the total GDP by between 11 billion and 17.4 billion Euros by 2040 compared to the status quo. Key growth drivers include tourism, construction, shipping, and professional services, with wholesale and retail trade expected to benefit most from chain effects. The report also emphasizes that maximizing this dividend requires strong institutions, gender equality, and a sustainable financing model for property compensation.
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Document type: Report
Solving the Global Cooling Challenge
The report warns that room air conditioner (RAC) stock could grow from 1.2 billion to 4.5 billion units by 2050, potentially increasing global temperatures by 0.5°C by 2100. It argues that conventional efficiency improvements and the Kigali Amendment are insufficient to offset this growth. The authors propose a '5X solution'—technology with five times less climate impact than current standards—which could prevent 100 gigatons of CO2e emissions by 2050 and save US$1.4 trillion in power generation capital costs.
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Document type: Report
New Research for Effective Action at Paris and Beyond
The report compiles research on enhancing global climate action, focusing on innovative financing mechanisms like microfinance and debt-for-climate swaps, the role of carbon pricing in driving innovation, and the necessity of robust accountability frameworks for the Paris Agreement. It also examines specific urban water resiliency in Patna, India, and proposes a Low-Emissions Technology Commitment within the UNFCCC to accelerate energy research. The proceedings emphasize the need for a multi-level approach to adaptation and the potential for 'climate clubs' to overcome multilateral deadlock.
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Document type: Report
GETTING TO $100 BILLION: CLIMATE FINANCE SCENARIOS AND PROJECTIONS TO 2020
The report examines the feasibility of reaching the $100 billion annual climate finance goal by 2020 through four scenarios of varying inclusivity. It finds that relying solely on developed country climate finance is insufficient, while a combination of public flows—including multilateral development bank (MDB) finance and climate-related official development assistance (ODA)—alongside leveraged private sector investment makes the target achievable even under low-growth projections. The analysis highlights a persistent imbalance, with mitigation finance projected to significantly outweigh adaptation finance across all scenarios.
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Document type: Research paper