Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition

The report projects that Viet Nam's power sector labour force will grow from approximately 300,000 full-time employees (FTE) today to 500,000 FTEs by 2035. While coal-related jobs will decline, job creation in renewable energy—specifically solar PV and wind—is expected to outweigh these losses, with wind and solar accounting for over half of the direct labour force (around 300,000 FTEs) by the 2030s. The analysis emphasizes that the JETP scenario offers a more gradual build-up of technologies to reduce market volatility and suggests that increasing local content shares and implementing reskilling programmes are essential for a stable transition.

• The total direct labour demand in Viet Nam's power supply and related sectors is projected to increase from roughly 300,000 full-time employees (FTE) currently to about 500,000 FTEs by 2035 under the PDP8 framework.
• By the 2030s, wind and solar technologies are expected to represent more than 50% of the direct labour force in the power sector, totaling approximately 300,000 FTEs.
• While job growth in renewables will exceed losses in the fossil fuel sector, the types and locations of new jobs will not perfectly align with those phased out, potentially requiring industrial diversification in regions dependent on coal.
• The JETP scenario is projected to reduce market volatility and disruptive patterns compared to PDP8 by implementing a more gradual build-up of solar and wind technologies and a more modest increase in gas capacity.
• Labour demand is heavily influenced by local content shares; while Viet Nam currently relies on imports for components and services, a long-term strategy for localising manufacturing and employment is needed for stability.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2025). Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/projection-of-labour-force-for-viet-nams-energy-transition

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition. 2025. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/projection-of-labour-force-for-viet-nams-energy-transition.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition |date=25 April 2025 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/projection-of-labour-force-for-viet-nams-energy-transition |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2025projection, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Projection of Labour Force for Viet Nam's Energy Transition}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2025}, month = apr, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/projection-of-labour-force-for-viet-nams-energy-transition}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }