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NEPA by the Numbers
The report finds that 91% of energy-related federal actions are categorically excluded from higher-level NEPA reviews, with higher scrutiny typically reserved for larger-scale projects. It provides quantitative evidence that tiered reviews can reduce timelines compared to standard Environmental Impact Statements (EIS). The analysis identifies the Department of the Interior as the central hub for interagency coordination on decarbonization projects. Additionally, it notes a modest reduction in EIS page lengths following the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023, while highlighting significant gaps in federal data management and metadata standardization.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change is Costing People Sleep
Climate Central's analysis reveals that the average person globally lost nearly 56 hours of sleep annually due to nighttime heat from 2020 to 2025, with approximately six hours attributed to climate change. The most significant climate-linked sleep losses occurred in Middle Eastern cities, where residents in Saudi Arabia, Oman, and the UAE lost between 12 and 16 hours of sleep per year due to climate change. Globally, the amount of temperature-related sleep loss linked to climate change has at least doubled since the early 1970s, increasing from about two hours to five hours per year. Vulnerable populations, including adults over 65 and those in lower-middle-income countries, face higher risks, and while air conditioning provides some protection, access remains unequal and tied to income.
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Document type: Report
Maximizing the Climate Co-Benefits of Sustainable Aviation Fuel via Targeted Allocation
The report proposes optimizing the limited supply of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by targeting its use at airports with the highest contrail and particulate matter (PM) impacts. Analysis of 16.6 million flights in 2024 reveals that 2% of flights generate 80% of contrail-related warming. In the U.S., JFK, LAX, and O'Hare are identified as primary targets, while Heathrow, Istanbul Airport, and Paris CDG are the top candidates in Europe. The study finds that a 50% SAF blend can reduce LTO particulate emissions by 26-28% and contrail-related warming by 30-40%. While airport-wide targeting is simplest, time-based and flight-based strategies are more fuel-efficient. Implementation faces logistical hurdles, particularly at airports using hydrant fuel systems, but the report suggests these can be overcome through policy incentives and infrastructure investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Military climate strategies: Are they just greenwash?
The report finds that military climate strategies across 26 nations are largely unambitious, with most emissions uncovered by targets and progress relying on civilian grid decarbonisation or reduced activity rather than military technological innovation. While some success was seen in stationary base emissions in neutral countries like Ireland and Switzerland, core mobile emissions and supply-chain emissions remain largely unaddressed and are likely to rise due to increased global military spending.
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Document type: Report
Climate Finance Is Becoming Multipolar | World Resources Institute
An analysis of 14 major economies outside the traditional UNFCCC contributors reveals that they provided approximately $102 billion in voluntary climate finance from 2013 to 2023. The study highlights a shift toward a multipolar finance reality, where emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) are increasingly active, though their contributions remain fragmented in official reporting. The report emphasizes the need for inclusive reporting frameworks and the scaling of triangular partnerships and de-risking mechanisms to mobilize further private capital to meet global climate goals.
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Document type: Research paper
Beyond the Usual Suspects: Assessing Climate Finance From the Largest Non–Annex II Economies
The paper assesses climate finance provided by 14 non-Annex II countries, finding they contributed $102.38 billion between 2013 and 2023. While China is the largest contributor, other nations show a strong preference for adaptation. The study emphasizes the need to standardize this voluntary data to support the Baku to Belém (B2B) Roadmap and a multipolar financial system.
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Document type: Research paper
Quem mais precisa menos acessa: recomendações para um Pronaf inclusivo e sustentável
The report finds that Pronaf exhibits a regressive distribution of credit, where the most capitalized producers receive the bulk of resources while the most vulnerable are excluded. It highlights that 79% of family farmers did not access Pronaf credit in 2024/25, and resources are heavily concentrated in the South and Southeast regions and in conventional crops like soy, corn, and coffee. The document argues that lines for bioeconomy and agroecology remain marginal, often representing less than 1% of total credit. It emphasizes the critical but underfunded role of Technical Assistance and Rural Extension (ATER), which received less than 0.3% of the total family agriculture budget in the 2025/26 Plan Safra. To address these failures, the report recommends establishing minimum allocation targets for smallholders and the North/Northeast regions, updating outdated fiscal modules for eligibility, integrating the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy, and blocking subsidized credit for properties with recent deforestation.
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Document type: Report
O Financiamento da Agropecuária Sustentável no Cerrado
The report finds that while significant financial flows enter the Cerrado, the current financial architecture fails to align agricultural funding with sustainability and zero-deforestation goals. Subsidized sustainable credit represents only 5.7% of total rural credit in the biome between 2020/21 and 2023/24, and is highly concentrated among large producers and a few financial institutions. The Matopiba region is particularly vulnerable, concentrating over 55% of the biome's deforestation (2013–2022) while relying heavily on Constitutional Financing Funds (FCFs), which often lack transparent sustainability criteria. Blended finance instruments show potential through risk mitigation and flexible terms but remain limited in scale compared to the economic incentives driving land conversion. The authors recommend improving transparency via the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy (TSB), expanding the role of sustainable credit, and fostering financial innovation to mobilize private capital.
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Document type: Report
The impact of the war with Iran on antisemitic discourse
The document analyzes a 68 percent increase in antisemitic social media content following military strikes on Iran in February 2026. It identifies a shift toward narratives of Jewish political control and backlash against Israel, noting that this online escalation coincided with at least eight offline antisemitic attacks in March 2026 across five countries.
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Document type: Research paper
2025 in Review
In 2025, global electricity generation reached a historic milestone as renewables overtook coal power for the first time in 100 years, accounting for 33.8% of the global mix. This shift was driven by a record increase in solar power generation (636 TWh), which alone met 75% of the global electricity demand growth. Consequently, global fossil generation saw a slight decline of 38 TWh, marking the first such decrease since 2020 outside of a global recession or exceptionally mild year. This trend was most prominent in China and India, where fossil generation fell for the first time simultaneously in the 21st century. While Asia remains the only region where coal still exceeds renewables, the global emissions intensity of electricity fell to 458 gCO2e per kilowatt hour in 2025.
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Document type: Report
Unpacking National Investment Laws
The report examines how national investment laws handle dispute prevention, management, and settlement (DPMS). It finds that while most laws include DPMS provisions—particularly in Africa and Asia—the use of international arbitration, especially through 'advance consent,' exposes states to significant financial risks. The authors advocate for prioritizing national courts and non-adjudicative mechanisms, providing a structured framework for states to reform their investment laws based on specific national policy problems rather than generic international standards.
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Document type: Report
20 State Futures in the Global South
The report analyzes the evolution of state governance in the Global South, identifying a disconnect between political participation and institutional capacity. It employs a horizon scan across five domains and develops four scenarios—the Growth World, Sustainable World, Divided World, and World at War—to model potential governance trajectories. Key findings highlight the rise of hybrid governance, the destabilizing effect of extreme inequality, and the urgent need for anticipatory governance to manage systemic shocks like the global debt crisis and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Drilling Down on Methane Loss
An analysis of Texas oil and gas data reveals that methane waste is significantly underreported, with estimates suggesting actual losses are 3 to 4.5 times higher than official figures. The study finds that venting is the primary source of underreporting, particularly in low-production oil wells where economic incentives discourage gas capture. The report argues that current self-reporting systems are insufficient and recommends disaggregated reporting and more stringent regulations to reduce environmental harm and recover lost tax revenues.
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Document type: Report
Transboundary effects of global crop trade
The research develops a new metric to quantify how climate extremes in exporting countries increase the vulnerability of importing nations, finding that for 10% of countries, exposure to foreign 'hot events' via staple crop imports could nearly triple between 2041 and 2060.
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Document type: Research paper
Appendix: Closing the Rural Credit Divide
The document presents linear regression models based on 2017 Agricultural Census data to determine the impact of cooperatives and technical assistance (ATER) on the share of smallholder farmers accessing PRONAF in Brazil. The results indicate that both cooperative membership and ATER access are significant positive drivers of credit access across all analyzed regions, while illiteracy did not yield significant results.
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Document type: Research paper
Quem Fica de Fora do Pronaf?
The document details a quantitative analysis of Pronaf access in Brazil, using 2017 Agricultural Census data. It employs linear regressions to assess how the presence of cooperatives and Technical Assistance and Rural Extension (ATER) services impact the share of family farmers accessing the program. The results indicate that both cooperatives and ATER have a statistically significant positive effect on Pronaf access, with the South region showing a positive correlation and the North, Northeast, and Southeast regions showing negative correlations relative to the baseline.
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Document type: Research paper
Financing Sustainable Agriculture in the Cerrado Biome
The report finds that while significant financial flows reach the Cerrado, particularly in the MATOPIBA region, the current architecture fails to align agricultural finance with zero-deforestation goals. Sustainable subsidized credit represents only 5.7% of total rural credit in the biome and is highly concentrated among large producers and a few financial institutions. In MATOPIBA, Constitutional Financing Funds (FCFs) provide 62% of subsidized credit but lack transparency regarding sustainability criteria. Blended-finance instruments show promise through risk-mitigation and value chain partnerships but remain limited in scale due to high Brazilian interest rates, regulatory complexity for foreign investors, and the strong economic incentive for land conversion. The authors recommend improving transparency via the Brazilian Sustainable Taxonomy (BST), increasing the share of sustainability-linked public credit, and scaling innovative blended structures to mobilize private capital.
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Document type: Report
A Chilling Effect in a Warming World: How the Threat of SLAPPs Shapes Climate Law
The document examines the impact of Strategic Lawsuits Against Public Participation (SLAPPs) on climate change litigation (CCL) in the US. It finds that jurisdictions with anti-SLAPP protections are more likely to attract corporate CCL, suggesting that legal protections for free speech facilitate the development of climate law.
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Document type: Research paper
Private Equity Bankruptcy Tracker
The Private Equity Bankruptcy Tracker reports that private equity firms were involved in 54% of the largest U.S. corporate bankruptcies (liabilities $\ge$ $1 billion) and 51% of large bankruptcies (liabilities $\ge$ $500 million) in 2025. The report argues that the private equity model, characterized by leveraged buyouts and aggressive value extraction, increases bankruptcy risks, particularly in the manufacturing, healthcare, and consumer discretionary sectors. These financial failures led to at least 36,802 layoffs across 13 PE-backed bankruptcies in 2025 and disrupted essential services, such as healthcare. The document also notes a trend toward 'distressed exchanges' to circumvent formal bankruptcy, with PE-backed firms accounting for 41% of these events according to S&P Global data.
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Document type: Report
Reframing Energy for the Age of Electricity
The authors argue that traditional 'primary energy' accounting is flawed because it ignores energy quality and conversion losses, creating a 'primary energy fallacy'. By reframing the system from the consumer's perspective and focusing on 'flows' (change) rather than 'stocks' (totals), the paper identifies four 'battles' of the energy transition. It concludes that 'electrotech' is winning the battles for electron supply, useful work, and useful heat due to superior thermodynamic efficiency, which significantly reduces the total primary energy required to meet human development needs.
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Document type: Research paper