Search Climate Insights Directory

The document analyzes the alignment of water services by-laws in Western Cape municipalities with the 2005 Department of Water Affairs and Forestry (DWAF) model by-law. It identifies gaps in regulatory clarity, highlights specific business risks such as industrial effluent permits and water audits, and notes that municipalities with more recent updates generally provide better certainty for investors and operators.

The study evaluates three methods for managing phosphate at the Cape Flats WWTW: high-grade struvite production, low-grade struvite production, and chemical precipitation. While chemical precipitation has the lowest initial capital expenditure, low-grade struvite production is identified as the most economically and ecologically sustainable option over a 20-year period, with a net present cost of R25.4 million compared to R51.2 million for chemical precipitation and R76.2 million for high-grade struvite. Despite these relative advantages, the study finds that struvite production is currently unprofitable due to low local market prices for phosphate fertilizers and high capital costs, suggesting a need for new policies that treat phosphate as a resource rather than a pollutant.

The report presents a series of expert contributions from Green movements in 16 European countries, arguing that labour taxes are often the primary source of government revenue and should be shifted toward taxes on pollution, capital, and resource use. Proposed alternatives include carbon taxes, wealth taxes, and taxes on automated work, while improvements to labour taxation focus on increasing progressivity, introducing negative income taxes for low earners, and simplifying tax codes.

The document examines how climate change expands dengue transmission in Latin America and evaluates the institutional capacity of health systems in Argentina and Guatemala to respond. It argues that technical capacity alone is insufficient without systemic integration, inter-institutional coordination, and territorial differentiation. Key findings highlight a paradox where high technical training does not prevent high dengue incidence if responses remain fragmented, while lower-capacity areas face increased risks due to personnel shortages and limited knowledge of severe dengue.

The document details twelve transdisciplinary projects investigating how climate change exacerbates health vulnerabilities in the Americas. Key focus areas include the spread of dengue and waterborne diseases, the impact of extreme heat on urban populations, and the role of agroecology and community participation in building climate resilience. The findings emphasize that effective health adaptation requires intersectoral coordination, the integration of satellite and local data, and the inclusion of marginalized groups, such as rural women and the elderly, in policy design.

The report analyzes the environmental impact of Argentina's agricultural expansion from 1956 to 2005. Key findings include a significant increase in annual crop areas, leading to the loss of native forests and grasslands, particularly in the Chaco and Atlantic Forest regions. While the adoption of no-till farming has reduced soil erosion and the toxicity of pesticides has decreased over time, the expansion has caused a decline in soil phosphorus and carbon stocks, increased greenhouse gas emissions, and reduced the provision of ecosystem services. The report specifically examines the role of soybean cultivation, linking its expansion to deforestation in Northwest Argentina and an increase in pesticide contamination risks, although it notes a favorable energy efficiency for the crop.

The paper argues that renewable energy value chains (REVCs) often replicate existing global inequalities, where Global South countries are relegated to low-value-added activities like mineral extraction while Global North countries capture high-value R&D and manufacturing. By applying a 'social reproduction lens'—which examines the intersection of paid and unpaid work and the organization of everyday life—the authors highlight how these structural asymmetries, combined with the 'feminisation of informality,' create barriers to gender equity and sustainable livelihoods. The proposed framework consists of three dimensions: global distribution of value, work and livelihoods, and ecological justice. It emphasizes that a 'just transition' requires moving beyond individual capabilities to address systemic issues such as 'ecologically unequal exchange,' where the Global North appropriates land, labour, and materials from the South. The document concludes with an assessment matrix to guide policymakers in creating high-quality, formal jobs that are compatible with the social reproduction needs of marginalized groups.

The SAVi assessment demonstrates that natural and nature-based infrastructure in Manitoba provide high economic value and cost-effective alternatives to built assets. For Stephenfield Reservoir, the cumulative discounted value of agriculture-related services is CAD 6.07 billion by 2050, while replacing it with grey infrastructure would require CAD 5.3 million in capital costs. Pelly's Lake provides cumulative discounted ecosystem services valued at approximately CAD 60 million between 2019 and 2050, primarily driven by nutrient removal and carbon sequestration.

The SAVi assessment of the N’Diaye wind farm in Senegal demonstrates that while coal-fired power may appear more financially attractive under traditional business-as-usual scenarios, the wind farm provides superior societal value and lower costs when climate risks and externalities are integrated. The wind project is estimated to generate 158.7 MW of electricity and create significantly more employment (66 FTE/year) with substantially lower life cycle emissions (0.1 million tonnes of CO2) compared to coal (6.1 million tonnes) and HFO (2.2 million tonnes). When accounting for climate risks and externalities, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for the wind farm is CFA 43,266 per MWh, making it more affordable than coal (CFA 52,998 per MWh) and HFO (CFA 155,728 per MWh).

The document argues that the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) requires a dedicated hemispheric framework to ensure trade liberalization supports sustainable development. It reviews sub-regional models—including Mercosur, CARICOM, the Andean Community, the Central American Alliance for Sustainable Development, and NAFTA—to identify best practices in environmental management and civil society participation. The authors propose a new Americas Environmental Accord (AEA) based on the 2001 Mercosur Framework Agreement on the Environment, suggesting it include shared objectives for environmental protection, dispute settlement mechanisms, and protocols for natural resource management. Additionally, the paper recommends conducting ex-ante sustainability impact assessments (SIA) for the FTAA and establishing a Public Advisory Committee to foster inclusive dialogue between governments and civil society.

The research project examined SD strategies in 19 countries and the European Union, concluding that while innovations exist in strategy types and participation, no country has achieved a truly strategic approach due to fragmented management cycles and weak feedback processes. Key findings highlight that SD strategies often remain peripheral to national budgeting and struggle with 'the administrative trap' of vertical government structures. The document identifies four main strategy types: comprehensive and multi-dimensional, cross-sectoral, sectoral, and integration into existing planning. Specific innovations are noted, such as Sweden's environmental tax shifting and Switzerland's constitutional elevation of sustainable development to a national goal.

The analysis uses the International Futures (IFs) model and 2011 National Census data to simulate three population scenarios for South Africa by 2030 based on varying levels of in-migration: 64.4 million (rapidly declining), 66.4 million (stable), and 68.8 million (rapidly increasing). These projections are higher and exhibit greater variance than those in the National Development Plan (NDP) 2030. Extended analysis to 2050 indicates further increasing uncertainty for national planners. Provincial forecasts using the IFs Base Case also exceed NDP figures, particularly in the Eastern Cape, Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal, and the Western Cape, with implications for public policy in healthcare, education, employment, and service delivery.

The report argues that natural gas is more damaging to the climate than coal over a 20-year period due to potent methane leaks throughout its lifecycle. It highlights that 'top-down' measurements using satellites and aircraft reveal significantly higher emissions than traditional 'bottom-up' estimates. The author notes that shale gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) further increase these emissions, making gas expansion incompatible with a livable climate. This analysis is applied to the proposed Richards Bay power plant, which may source gas from the Karoo basin or via LNG imports from the US or Australia.

The fact sheet compares the climate strategies of eleven major asset owners, detailing their Net Zero targets, interim emissions reduction goals, and specific exclusions of fossil fuels. It highlights varying levels of Scope 3 reporting and tracks financial commitments to climate solutions, with some investors like CDPQ and NYC Funds reporting significant progress or exceeding their targets.

The authors present a dataset of 357 armed conflict episodes (1946–2006) to track post-conflict justice (PCJ) processes. PCJ is defined as any process initiated within five years of a conflict's end to address wrongdoings. The dataset identifies six primary tools: trials, truth commissions, reparations, amnesties, purges, and exiles. Preliminary analysis shows that the choice of justice mechanism is influenced by conflict intensity, incompatibility (territorial vs. government control), and the type of termination (victory vs. bargained solution). For instance, trials are more frequent after decisive victories, while amnesties are more common after bargained solutions and in high-intensity civil wars.

The report finds that while general satisfaction with the 2016 Peace Agreement's implementation increased from 36% in 2019 to 48% in 2021, significant challenges remain. Security perceptions have deteriorated, with 43% of respondents reporting worsening conditions in the 12 months prior to 2021. While the reincorporation of ex-combatants is valued as a policy, deep mistrust persists, with 87% of respondents not trusting former FARC-EP members. The report also highlights a gap between the high value placed on the PDETs and the perceived lack of tangible infrastructure and land titles. Victims' reparation and truth-seeking are highly valued, but only 12.6% of respondents reported receiving reparations in 2021. The study emphasizes the need for regionalized peace agendas and improved state presence in health, education, and security to foster trust and sustainable peace.

The research concludes that China's security force assistance (SFA) in Africa is consistent with a strategy of economic alignment rather than a military alignment strategy aimed at supplanting the US. While China has expanded its SFA to almost every African state since 2015, the assistance is described as being "spread widely but thin," focusing on non-lethal equipment and training to protect economic interests and foster long-term relationships. In contrast, the US remains the dominant SFA provider in financial terms, with annual provision worth hundreds of millions of dollars compared to China's estimated tens of millions. The authors argue that this approach creates a viable alternative for authoritarian African governments who may otherwise face human rights-based restrictions from Western donors.

The report examines the 'post-Annan generation' of students in Cyprus, comparing the attitudes of 332 Greek Cypriots and 232 Turkish Cypriots. It finds that Turkish Cypriot students are generally more open to reconciliation and a federal solution, crossing checkpoints more frequently for leisure and shopping. In contrast, Greek Cypriot students are more hesitant to cross, often citing personal conviction or emotional reasons, and are more likely to be undecided or opposed to a potential referendum on a solution. The study establishes a statistically significant link between the quantity of inter-group contact and more reconciliatory political stances, particularly for Greek Cypriots. It also notes that political ideology, specifically a left-wing orientation, correlates with pro-solution attitudes on both sides.

The document analyzes conflict dynamics in Asia from 1989 to 2019 using UCDP data. It finds that while state-based conflicts are generally declining and often low-intensity, Afghanistan remains a critical exception and the most violent setting in the region and the world. Asia recorded the highest absolute number of ceasefires globally between 1989 and 2018, but peace agreements have declined since 2006. Non-state conflicts in Asia are declining, contrary to global trends, while one-sided violence is generally decreasing but saw a recent increase in 2019 driven by Afghanistan.

The document examines the contested nature of 'power sharing,' noting that it is often implemented as a tool for conflict resolution but yields contradictory results in research. It identifies four primary types of power sharing: political, military, territorial, and economic. The author argues that findings vary based on whether researchers view power sharing as a means to achieve stable democracy (consociationalism) or as a tool for postconflict conflict management. While some studies suggest inclusive institutions prolong peace by addressing rebel security concerns, others argue they reward violence, strengthen ethnic divisions, and hinder democratic accountability by marginalizing opposition.