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New Jersey Future Flood Risk Historic Sites in NJ
The report finds that all six analyzed historic sites in New Jersey currently face at least occasional flood risk, with four already experiencing chronic risk. Under the RCP scenario of unchecked emissions, all sites are projected to face at least frequent flood risk by 2050 and annual flood risk events by 2080. Specific sites like Barnegat Lighthouse and East Point Lighthouse are projected to experience chronic flood risk by the end of the century, with East Point potentially facing nearly monthly events.
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Document type: Report
Understanding Africa’s climate and human security risks
The document argues that climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier' in Africa, where risks are amplified by existing governance deficits and poor development. It emphasizes that while climate-driven scarcity can fuel conflict, causality is complex and depends on political and historical contexts. The authors advocate for integrating climate action into the broader development agenda, transitioning from a narrative of vulnerability to one of economic opportunity through renewable energy and climate-resilient infrastructure. Key recommendations include strengthening the evidence base for climate security, increasing climate finance flows, and expanding climate diplomacy beyond the UNFCCC to platforms like the G20 and the African Continental Free Trade Area Agreement.
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Document type: Policy brief
Chilling Prospects 2022
Chilling Prospects 2022 identifies that 3.66 billion people face high or medium risk from cooling access challenges, with 1.2 billion rural and urban poor at high risk. The report highlights critical gaps in food cold chains, health services, and human safety, while forecasting that achieving SDG 7.1 and SDG 1.1 could reduce the high-risk population by 36% by 2030. It advocates for a transition to sustainable, energy-efficient cooling and the implementation of National Cooling Action Plans (NCAPs) to mitigate climate impacts and protect vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Report
INSURING A NATURE-POSITIVE WORLD
The document argues that high-impact hydropower is incompatible with nature-positive goals due to its role in the 84% collapse of freshwater species populations since 1970 and its tendency to cause human rights abuses. It positions insurers as key facilitators of the sector, as private companies often cannot build or invest in projects without insurance. The guide recommends that insurers adopt specific ESG policies, decline cover for projects in protected areas, and require independent impact assessments and greenhouse gas emission calculations. It also highlights that climate change increases the risk to hydropower, with 61% of existing and planned projects projected to be in river basins with high risk of floods or droughts by 2050.
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Document type: Guide
Climate Risk-Informed Coastal Planning and Risk Reduction for a Resilient Lagos
The proposed project aims to shift Lagos State from unsustainable development practices to a climate-resilient pathway. It focuses on three outputs: strengthening institutional and financial frameworks for coastal planning, implementing hybrid grey-green infrastructure for flood and storm surge protection, and supporting climate-resilient livelihoods. The project targets approximately 2.8 million direct beneficiaries, particularly in the Lagos Island, Eti-Osa, and Ibeju-Lekki Local Government Areas, with an indicative total cost of USD 130.5 million.
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Document type: Report
Future Flood Risk: Historic Sites of St. Augustine
Climate Central's analysis indicates that five historic sites in St. Augustine, Florida—Castillo de San Marcos, Fort Matanzas, Fort Mose, the Lightner Museum, and the Lincolnville District—are all projected to face chronic flood risk by the end of the century. Using the RCP 8.5 emissions scenario, the report finds that several sites already face substantial threats, with some experiencing frequent or chronic risk currently.
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Document type: Report
Farming the Future: Agriculture and climate change on the Canadian Prairies
The report examines the intersection of climate change and agriculture in the Canadian Prairies, highlighting that the region contributes 64% of Canada's agricultural emissions. It identifies critical risks such as flooding, heat waves, and invasive pests, while arguing that beneficial management practices (BMPs) can improve economic viability and reduce emissions if supported by increased public investment and policy changes.
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Document type: Report
Nuclear War and Climate Change: The Urgency for Action
The author highlights the shared history of underestimating the effects of both climate change and nuclear weapons. The text details how nuclear detonations cause immediate blast damage and long-term atmospheric disruptions, such as 'nuclear winter', which mirror the systemic risks of the climate crisis. It warns that current geopolitical instability, exacerbated by climate-driven resource scarcity, increases the risk of nuclear conflict, particularly in South Asia. The author calls for a revival of public discourse on nuclear risks to match the current momentum for climate action.
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Document type: Statement
The Impacts of Infrastructure Sector Corruption on Conservation
The document argues that infrastructure corruption, particularly 'grand corruption' occurring early in the project lifecycle, leads to oversized or unnecessary projects that cause irreversible ecological damage. It distinguishes between petty corruption, which typically has indirect conservation impacts, and grand corruption, which influences project scope and design for private gain. Using a lifecycle analysis (origination, feasibility/design, contracting/implementation, operation/maintenance, and evaluation/audit), the briefing identifies specific risks such as bribed environmental impact assessments and the circumvention of protections. It proposes anti-corruption strategies based on integrity, transparency, and accountability, recommending risk assessments and a combination of advocacy and direct action to improve conservation outcomes.
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Document type: Briefing
Paris Alignment of Gas
The report argues that current financial investments in the gas value chain underestimate climate risks and are incompatible with the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target. It highlights that while many development finance institutions (DFIs) and private asset managers have moved away from coal, they continue to fund new gas projects despite the availability of cheaper renewable alternatives and the risk of high-emission lock-in. The document asserts that gas should not be considered a bridge or transition fuel and calls for clear strategies to phase out fossil fuel support.
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Document type: Report
Climate Security Risk Briefers
The report consists of several independent briefers analyzing how climate change acts as a threat multiplier across various domains. Key analyses include the evolution of 'environmental terrorism' from a tactical to a strategic threat, the need to integrate peacebuilding with climate adaptation in fragile regions like the Sahel, and the shifting geopolitics of energy security as the world transitions to renewables. It also assesses specific vulnerabilities of U.S. Space Force infrastructure to sea-level rise and wildfires, the role of digital Earth observation technologies in anticipatory intelligence, and the gendered impacts of climate-induced resource scarcity. Regional case studies focus on the Arctic's changing geopolitical landscape and the influence of media reporting on climate-induced farmer-herder conflicts in Nigeria.
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Document type: Report
OCEAN RISKS IN SIDS AND LDCS
The report analyzes how SIDS and LDCs are disproportionately vulnerable to coupled ocean risks, including sea-level rise, ocean warming, and macroeconomic shocks. It emphasizes the need for context-specific resilience strategies, the integration of indigenous knowledge, and the deployment of novel financial tools to support a sustainable ocean economy.
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Document type: Report
Artificial Intelligence Risks and Sustainability
The authors examine the deployment of AI, robotics, and sensor technology in agriculture, forestry, and marine resource extraction, noting that while these technologies are increasingly used for climate and environmental monitoring, systemic risks remain under-explored. The paper identifies four primary categories of systemic risk: algorithmic bias, unequal access, cascading failures, and trade-offs between efficiency and resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Commercial Financial Institutions
Commercial banks in Africa face significant climate-related credit risks, with 49 banks across 14 countries exposed to USD 218 billion in risks. While these institutions lack developed climate strategies and remain risk-averse due to fiduciary duties, they possess the networks and capacity to mainstream resilience through partnerships with development banks and the adoption of adaptation taxonomies. Pan African Banks (PABs), such as Ecobank Transnational and Standard Bank, offer further potential for financial innovation and capital mobilization, despite a current lack of specific climate commitments.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Big Food and the rise of plastic-related risk
The document argues that 'Big Food' companies face escalating risks across three domains: waste, climate, and health. It highlights the 'Brussels Effect,' where strict EU directives on single-use plastics and chemical safety set global standards. The report warns that failure to transition from linear 'take-make-waste' models to circular reuse systems exposes companies to legal action, financial penalties, and loss of brand value, particularly among millennial and Gen Z consumers.
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Document type: Briefing
Big Food and the rise of plastic-related risk
The document argues that 'Big Food' companies face escalating risks across waste, climate, and health dimensions due to their 'addiction to single-use plastics'. It highlights a wave of new legislation in Europe, increasing public backlash, and emerging legal precedents in the US and EU that could lead to significant financial and legal liabilities. The brief warns investors that many companies are failing to disclose these material risks or are relying on 'false solutions' rather than reducing their plastic footprints.
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Document type: Executive summary
COAL POWER FINANCE IN HIGH-IMPACT COUNTRIES
The document analyzes coal finance in 18 high-impact countries (HICs) with significant electricity access gaps. It finds that while global coal investment is declining, finance persists in HICs, largely driven by Chinese state-owned institutions and a few South Asian nations. The report argues that coal is misaligned with Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7) due to long development timelines and high infrastructure costs, contrasting this with the efficiency of distributed renewable energy. It highlights the risk of stranded assets in Bangladesh and Pakistan and the operational hurdles facing coal in Africa, concluding that a shift toward renewables and finance-based carbon accounting is necessary to achieve net-zero goals.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate change, trade, and global food security
The report identifies critical transboundary climate risks in global agricultural trade, noting that a few major exporters like the US, Brazil, and China disproportionately transmit risk to dependent importers. It argues that traditional risk management, such as diversification, is insufficient against systemic climate shifts and calls for multilateral cooperation and system-level adaptation finance.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change & the Olympics: Competing with Heat
The document examines how rising temperatures and worsening air quality in Japan threaten the health and performance of Olympic and Paralympic athletes, specifically highlighting the risk of exertional heat stroke and the impact of ground-level ozone. It provides data on Tokyo's warming trend since 1964 and lists specific sports at high risk, such as the marathon and triathlon. Mitigation efforts include relocating the marathon to Sapporo, implementing the 'Tokyo 2020 Cooling Project', and athlete acclimatization.
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Document type: Briefing
ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK AND PROCESS FRAMEWORK
The Sustainable Luangwa project aims to secure water resources and biodiversity in the Luangwa Upper Sub-catchment, specifically targeting the Mafinga Hills National Forest Reserve (NFR) and surrounding areas. Classified as a Category B (Medium-risk) project, it implements a safeguards framework to mitigate risks such as elite capture, conflict over land tenure, and restrictions on natural resource access. Key project components include the establishment of a Water Resource Protection Area (WRPA), improved management of the Mafinga Hills NFR, and the promotion of climate-resilient conservation agriculture. The framework mandates participatory processes, including Livelihood Restoration Plans (LRP) for affected persons and a Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM) administered by a Project Management Unit (PMU).
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Document type: Report