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Agriculture: Future Scenarios for Southern Africa – The Livestock Sector in Zambia and Rising Food Prices
The report analyzes the Zambian livestock sector, noting that rising prices are driven by fuel costs, imported feed inputs, climate change, and economic pressures. It highlights a divide between a thriving poultry sector and a struggling beef sector plagued by disease and poor infrastructure. The document argues that while liberalization was intended to modernize the sector, it lacked the necessary socioeconomic safety nets and technical support, leaving small-scale farmers vulnerable. It recommends strengthening research, improving irrigation, and expanding government disease control to stabilize prices and enhance food security.
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Document type: Report
In Search of Aluminum: China’s Role in the Mekong Region
The document examines China's 'Going Global' strategy to secure natural resources, highlighting its focus on bauxite in the Mekong region. It details the roles of major Chinese firms like Chinalco and Chalco, the regulatory challenges in Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia, and the significant energy and environmental risks associated with aluminum smelting and mining, particularly the threat of red mud contamination in transboundary river basins.
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Document type: Policy brief
Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) 2009 National Report for Namibia
The 2009 Rapid Trade and Environment Assessment (RTEA) for Namibia argues that the country should pivot from a bulk export model toward high-value niche sectors based on its comparative advantages in biodiversity and dryland landscapes. The report identifies significant opportunities in carbon markets, ecotourism, and indigenous natural products, while warning against 'green protectionism' and technical barriers to trade, such as EU sanitary requirements for red meat. It highlights the vulnerability of Namibia's water and agricultural sectors to climate change and recommends the establishment of a national forum on trade and environment to coordinate inter-ministerial policies and international negotiating positions.
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Document type: Report
Nuclear Power: Climate Fix or Folly?
The report contends that nuclear power is economically unviable, citing soaring capital costs and a lack of private investment. It argues that decentralized 'micropower'—including wind, solar, and cogeneration—alongside end-use efficiency, provides a more cost-effective means of displacing CO2 emissions and enhancing energy security. The authors assert that nuclear power's slow deployment and high financial risk make it a liability for urgent climate action, suggesting that resources should instead be shifted toward distributed energy resources.
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Document type: Report
DISCOUNTING OF CERs TO AVOID CER IMPORT CAPS
The author argues that the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) lacks environmental integrity due to non-additional projects, leading the EU to propose strict import caps on CERs. To avoid these inefficient caps and reflect 'common but differentiated responsibilities', the paper suggests a discounting system where one tonne of CO2 reduction yields less than one CER, with the discount factor linked to a country's GDP and emissions per capita. While this introduces some economic inefficiency by altering marginal abatement costs, the author contends it is superior to a protectionist EU scenario, as it would maintain higher EU import thresholds and improve the distribution of projects toward poorer countries.
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Document type: Research paper
Green Investment Schemes: Maximizing their benefits for climate and society
The report assesses Green Investment Schemes (GIS) as a carbon finance mechanism to unlock surplus Assigned Amount Units (AAUs) in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). It argues that GIS can overcome the failures of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI) by targeting high-priority, long-term mitigation areas such as building energy efficiency and bioenergy. The authors recommend using programmatic approaches, simplified monitoring and verification (M&V), and extending crediting periods beyond 2012 to ensure the bankability of infrastructure projects. The report estimates the potential value of transacted AAUs at approximately €9 billion and highlights the importance of additionality to maintain environmental integrity.
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Document type: Report
Out of the Woods
The report finds that REDD is a low-cost climate mitigation strategy, with $20 billion in annual funding potentially reducing 2020 deforestation emissions by 50%. However, it argues that political and institutional constraints—specifically the capacity and interest of major emitters like Brazil and Indonesia—will likely delay the implementation of a comprehensive global system until 2020 or later.
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Document type: Report
INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR DOMESTIC CLIMATE POLICIES
The document argues that the transition to a low-carbon energy economy requires a coordinated 'innovation chain' where domestic policies create initial markets and absorptive capacity, while international cooperation reduces R&D risks, smooths budget volatility, and accelerates cost reductions through global scale. It emphasizes that technology must be adapted to local contexts in developing countries and suggests that international support should cover incremental costs of new technologies and facilitate the transfer of intellectual property.
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Document type: Research paper
China-Africa Trade and the Global Financial Crisis
The paper examines the impact of the 2008 global financial crisis on Sino-African trade, arguing that the 'decoupling' of the world economy is incomplete. It identifies two primary transmission mechanisms: the immediate financial channel, characterized by crashing stock exchanges, and the lagged trade channel, where a US recession reduces Chinese export income and subsequently lowers China's demand for African raw materials. While lower soft commodity prices may benefit food-importing African nations, the overall outlook for commodity exports to China and the EU is described as gloomy due to the depth of the recession in developed economies.
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Document type: Research paper
BIOFUELS - AT WHAT COST ?
The report analyzes China's biofuels sector, focusing on the transition from grain-based ethanol to non-grain feedstocks grown on marginal land. It finds that government subsidies, including direct payments and tax exemptions, are essential for the industry's viability but may undermine food security, increase food prices, and cause environmental degradation. The authors conclude that biofuels have a negligible impact on China's energy security and recommend eliminating direct production subsidies.
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Document type: Report
THE ROLE OF AUCTIONS FOR EMISSIONS TRADING
The report argues that auctioning emissions allowances in the EU ETS is superior to free allocation because it removes price signal distortions, prevents windfall profits, and generates public revenue for climate action and social compensation. While carbon leakage is a primary concern for a small number of energy-intensive manufacturing sub-sectors, the authors find that leakage in the power sector is unlikely due to limited interconnection capacity and long investment cycles. The report recommends a simple, high-frequency, uniform-price auction design and suggests that leakage be addressed through targeted State Aid or border adjustments rather than broad free allocation. Additionally, it highlights that auction revenues can mitigate the regressive nature of carbon pricing by supporting low-income households.
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Document type: Report
South Africa's current account deficit: are proposed cures worse than the disease?
The author contends that South Africa's current account deficit is sustainable because it is driven by capital inflows and the import of capital and intermediate goods rather than consumption. The paper warns that 'mercantilist' attempts to force a trade surplus through currency devaluation or trade barriers would damage the economy and hurt the poor. Instead, the author advocates for long-term competitiveness through the National Industrial Policy Framework (NIPF) and ASGISA, specifically by addressing low productivity, fostering technological change, and liberalising network industries like electricity and transport to remove structural bottlenecks.
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Document type: Research paper
Is South Africa serious about services liberalisation?
The research paper examines the gap between South Africa's economic capabilities in the services sector and its defensive approach to trade liberalisation. It highlights how inefficiencies in state-dominated network services—specifically telecommunications, banking, energy, and rail transport—hinder international competitiveness. While South Africa has made some multilateral commitments through the WTO and is pursuing regional agreements via SADC, the author argues that these efforts often merely reflect existing regulatory changes rather than a proactive strategy for deeper economic reform.
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Document type: Research paper
Plug‐In Electric Vehicles
The document explains the different types of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), including battery electric vehicles and various plug-in hybrids. It argues that PEVs can enhance U.S. energy security by displacing petroleum, which currently accounts for 96 percent of U.S. transportation energy. The text highlights that PEVs are more efficient than internal combustion engines, offering lower operating costs and a carbon footprint equivalent to a 50 mpg gasoline car. The primary barrier to market expansion is battery technology, though manufacturers like Chevrolet, Nissan, Toyota, and Volkswagen are working toward production by 2010.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Out of the Shadows: What’s Behind DEFRA’s New Approach to the Price of Carbon?
The report analyzes DEFRA's 2007 approach to setting the UK's internal carbon price at £25 per tonne of CO2e. The authors argue that DEFRA's 'shadow price of carbon' (SPC) is fundamentally flawed because it is based on an assumed future stabilization trajectory of 550ppm CO2e rather than the actual 'business-as-usual' trajectory. This circular logic creates a low price that fails to discourage high-carbon projects. The report further critiques DEFRA's use of a 3.5% discount rate over the lower rate suggested by the Stern Review, and argues that the UK's carbon price should reflect historical responsibility and the need for early technological innovation.
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Document type: Report
Scaling Up AFOLU Mitigation Activities in NonAnnex I Countries
The report identifies that the creation of expiring units (tCERs and lCERs) and complex methodologies have severely diminished investment confidence in A/R CDM projects, leading developers to prefer voluntary markets. It recommends replacing expiring units with a risk-buffer system, simplifying methodologies, and potentially extending national accounting systems (Article 3.3) to non-Annex I countries to increase mitigation potential, which is estimated at 10,000 MtCO2 per year by 2030 in developing countries.
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Document type: Research paper
poverty, climate and energy: the case against oil aid
The document critiques 'oil aid'—public financing for fossil fuel infrastructure in the Global South—arguing it exacerbates the 'resource curse', benefits wealthy nations and corporations over the poor, and undermines climate action. It calls for a shift in public subsidies toward renewable energy to achieve a socially just energy transition.
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Document type: Briefing
Growing Crops in a Changing Climate
The document outlines the potential for California farmers to benefit from the Global Warming Solutions Act (AB 32) through financial incentives, the sale of emissions offsets, and the production of bioenergy. It details specific strategies for reducing carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, while noting that the California Air Resources Board (CARB) is tasked with developing the regulatory framework to meet 2020 emissions targets.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Measuring the Unimportance of Being Earnest
The paper argues that foreign direct investment in Africa is often driven by natural resources rather than good governance or low corruption. While countries with poor governance rankings often attract significant FDI, the author contends that sound governance is necessary for long-term resource management and sustainable economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
NEPAD should re-design Africa’s economy
The author contends that sub-Saharan Africa's underdevelopment stems from the mismanagement of economic surpluses by political elites who exploited their power to maintain high living standards and fund failing industrial projects. Comparing the divergent paths of Ghana and South Korea since 1965, the text argues that current frameworks like Nepad fail to address the power imbalance between elites and producers. To achieve development, the author proposes introducing freehold land ownership for peasants, granting producers direct access to world markets for cash crops, and establishing independent financial and technical institutions supported by foreign donors.
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Document type: Research paper