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The Climate Change Act establishes a regulatory framework for decarbonisation in South Africa's extractives sector, mandating sector-specific emissions targets, carbon budgets, and reporting. While the mining industry is vital to the economy, it is a major GHG contributor, with 85% of emissions linked to the coal value chain. The report highlights challenges such as enforcement gaps, resource limitations for monitoring, and the high capital cost of transitioning. It emphasizes that compliance is a strategic necessity for maintaining export market access, particularly regarding EU CBAM requirements. The Green Transport Strategy (2017-2050) is identified as a key tool for reducing logistics emissions by shifting from road to rail. A case study of Anglo American illustrates effective adaptation through green hydrogen trucks and internal carbon pricing. Successful implementation requires collaboration between government, mining companies, investors, and civil society to ensure a just transition.

The report examines the energy landscapes of seven southern African states, highlighting a stark divide between vast renewable energy potential and a continued reliance on fossil fuels or traditional biomass. While most surveyed countries have established renewable energy targets and some have liberalized their energy markets, the transition is often hindered by governance challenges, high rural-urban electricity gaps, and the pursuit of new oil and gas reserves. The document advocates for an 'energy justice' framework to ensure that the shift to low-carbon energy is inclusive, transparent, and protects the rights of marginalized communities and future generations.

The document analyzes the systemic failure of South Africa's energy sector, which culminated in national rolling blackouts in 2007 and 2008. It argues that the crisis resulted from a gap between the ambitious goals of the 1998 White Paper—which sought to introduce competition and Independent Power Producers (IPPs)—and the actual implementation of these reforms. The study highlights how the government's decision to limit Eskom's autonomous planning and the failure to establish a functional framework for IPPs left the country without sufficient generation capacity as demand grew. It also examines the failed attempt to restructure the distribution sector through Regional Electricity Distributors (REDs) and the financial underpricing of electricity that discouraged new investment.

The document outlines the potential for South Africa to expand its local wind energy industry, noting that while some components like towers and transformers are produced domestically, most turbine parts are imported. It highlights the need for targeted industrial support, such as concessional finance and the development of precast concrete facilities, to increase local content. The text also notes that South Africa's Integrated Resource Plan targets a wind energy share of 21% (17,742 MW) by 2030, which would require approximately 5,000 new large turbines.

The document examines how the Russia-Ukraine war has destabilized energy markets, undermining Russia's role as an 'energy superpower' and creating significant economic pressure on the Global South. It presents three scenarios: 'Stable high' prices, 'Persistent volatility', and 'Business as usual', analyzing how each affects national budgets, regional stability in the Middle East and Africa, and the global transition to renewable energy. The authors argue that while the crisis may incentivize some decarbonization, it also risks locking in fossil fuel production in the Global South and prioritizing immediate energy security over Paris Agreement goals.

South Africa's G20 presidency, themed "Solidarity, Equality, Sustainability," seeks to reform the international financial architecture to better serve developing nations. Key priorities include addressing the high cost of capital and structural flaws in debt restructuring, scaling up adaptation finance for climate-vulnerable African countries, and combating illicit financial flows that cost the continent billions annually. The presidency aims to ensure the G20 remains relevant by shifting its focus from pure financial stability to tangible developmental outcomes for the Global South.

The submission critiques the National Treasury's use of IFI loans, highlighting how World Bank conditionalities and IMF variable interest rates restrict policy autonomy and increase financial risk. It specifically warns that the Just Energy Transition Investment Plan (JET-IP) may exacerbate debt dependency. The authors call for mandatory parliamentary oversight, human rights impact assessments, and gender-responsive budgeting for all future IFI lending.

The document identifies a short-term opportunity for African gas producers to fill global supply gaps caused by the war in Ukraine, but warns that new infrastructure investments face a high risk of becoming stranded assets as the world moves toward net-zero.

The document outlines a framework for a voluntary circular textile initiative in South Africa, facilitated by GreenCape. It argues that shifting from a 'take-make-waste' model to a circular economy will reduce import dependency, create local jobs, and mitigate environmental degradation. The proposed initiative follows a four-phase roadmap (2025–2032) moving from a 'coalition of the willing' to the eventual development of informed mandatory Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations. Key focus areas include data collection, circular design, and supply chain decarbonisation, with a governance structure comprising core members (producers), supporting members, and an advisory committee.

South Africa's G20 presidency has focused on four key priorities for Africa: debt sustainability, climate and energy transitions, disaster resilience, and the sustainable use of critical minerals. While some progress was made on disaster resilience, consensus on climate finance remained elusive. The presidency also sought to address the high cost of capital and promote inclusive growth through critical minerals and the African Continental Free Trade Area. Despite these efforts, the document suggests that the Johannesburg Summit is unlikely to fully realize these ambitions due to geopolitical tensions and a lack of consensus among G20 members on climate change and the Sustainable Development Goals.

The report forecasts a significant increase in Africa's energy demand due to population growth, projecting that it will overtake the EU27 by 2043. While Africa possesses vast oil, gas, and hydropower reserves, its current energy mix remains heavily reliant on fossil fuels, with 'other renewables' making up only 1.6% of production in 2023. The document highlights a trajectory where Africa will eventually become a major global source of carbon emissions from fossil fuels, overtaking the EU by 2034.

The report tracks the shift in China-Africa energy cooperation from large-scale infrastructure and thermal power projects toward 'small and beautiful' green initiatives. It highlights a growing alignment between China's commitment to stop funding overseas coal-fired projects and Africa's strategic priorities for climate finance, renewable energy access, and resilient infrastructure. While China offers technological and financial aid, the report notes that some African priorities, such as critical minerals, remain insufficiently addressed.

The document argues that land is a strategic public resource central to South Africa's just transition, rather than merely a financial asset. It outlines how municipalities can use spatial planning, inclusive governance, and tenure protection to balance the land-intensive needs of renewable energy and climate adaptation with the need to redress historical spatial inequalities. The guide identifies significant municipal constraints, including dire finances, lack of consolidated land information, and complex overlaps with traditional authorities, while offering a roadmap for advancing distributive, restorative, and procedural justice through land administration.

The report details South Africa's transition toward renewable energy, highlighting the Independent Power Producer (IPP) Procurement Program and the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). It examines four market segments: utility-scale projects, the Small Projects Bidding Programme, Eskom's Standard Offer Programme, and the growing private market. The document emphasizes the importance of local content and the Western Cape's role as a hub for renewable energy manufacturing and development.

The Life After Coal Campaign and Greenpeace Africa have written to South Africa's Minister of Energy to express concerns that the updated Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) for electricity is being fast-tracked without sufficient public consultation. The authors argue that the IRP must be based on the least-cost technology combination, account for external costs to health and climate, and align with South Africa's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. They specifically oppose the continued inclusion of coal and nuclear power, citing the risk of stranded assets and the need for a just transition to renewable energy. The letter warns that failing to provide a transparent, fair process for public comment would make the final IRP vulnerable to legal challenges.

The document examines the intersection of mining, governance, and the Fourth Industrial Revolution in Africa. It argues that while the global energy transition will double demand for minerals like copper, lithium, and cobalt, African countries must strengthen institutions to ensure these resources drive broad-based industrialisation rather than remaining as disconnected enclaves. The author analyzes specific governance failures and opportunities in South Africa, Guinea, Botswana, and Tanzania, emphasizing the need for stable legal frameworks, the protection of ecological integrity, and the formalisation of artisanal mining. It concludes that leapfrogging traditional development trajectories via renewable energy and smart technology is possible if governments prioritize inclusive institutions over the interests of politically connected elites.

The report argues that electric vehicles (EVs) can serve as enablers for a new energy paradigm in Southern Africa, shifting the region away from coal and oil dependency. It proposes a 'Southern African Green New Deal' and identifies five systemic innovations: transforming automakers into energy companies, implementing EV-enabled demand-side response services, transitioning consumers to 'prosumers' via peer-to-peer trading, deploying localized distributed energy resource (DER) networks using blockchain, and reskilling the workforce for green jobs. The analysis emphasizes that while South Africa's current grid is coal-heavy, EVs still offer lifecycle GHG reductions and can accelerate the decarbonization of power generation.

The author argues that while South Africa possesses the political will and capability to react to security threats during the 2010 FIFA World Cup, it suffers from a lack of proactivity in counter-terrorism intelligence. This vulnerability is attributed to the politicisation of intelligence services and a sense of complacency following previous successful sporting events. The document identifies two primary security dimensions: high levels of violent criminality, exacerbated by porous borders and unemployment, and the risk of terrorism, noting that sports events are 'magnets' for such attacks. The author calls for an urgent overhaul of intelligence services, the replacement of political appointees with professionals, and improved national and international cooperation to prevent potential outrages.

The Institute for Economic Justice criticizes the $8.5-billion Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) in South Africa, arguing that its reliance on loans and private-sector 'de-risking' rather than grants will increase energy costs and benefit foreign investors while neglecting local manufacturing and worker protections. The document further condemns the secretive nature of the negotiations, which it claims undermines procedural justice and excludes key stakeholders.

The world faces a 'triple crisis' of cost of living, energy security, and food security, which disproportionately affects developing countries and is exacerbated by rising energy prices. While the energy transition offers a path to address these issues, renewable energy deployment in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) is lagging behind the Global North and China/India. This disparity is driven by a lack of access to capital and prohibitively high interest rates, which increase the cost of technology. For example, the cost of solar PV in Pakistan is 57% higher than in the United States due to capital costs. To unlock renewables, the document proposes systemic financial solutions focused on identifying investment pipelines, developing innovative financing mechanisms to crowd in private capital, and improving climate risk pricing and local currency investing.