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1,858 documents from Institute for Security Studies
Private Education
This research paper examines the growth and impact of private education in Africa, noting a shift from charitable mission schools to profit-driven institutions driven by government failures and foreign investment. While some private schools provide high-quality alternatives to overcrowded and underperforming public systems, the trend is criticized for exacerbating inequality and draining resources from the public sector.
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Document type: Research paper
The Education Scenario
The document outlines 'The Education scenario', a set of ambitious interventions for the African education system modeled using the IFs platform. It compares this scenario against a 'Current Path' to demonstrate how improvements in primary, secondary, and tertiary access, quality, and gender parity could impact Africa's ability to meet SDG 4 targets by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
Rates of gender exclusion
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines gender exclusion in African education, comparing enrollment ratios and attainment levels across different regions and educational tiers. It highlights a persistent gap between male and female education in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in Central Africa, and notes that without aggressive interventions, the region will struggle to close the gap with global averages.
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Document type: Research paper
Impact of the Gender Scenario
This research paper analyzes the potential economic and social impacts of reducing gender gaps in education and labor force participation across Africa by 2043. It compares a 'Gender scenario' against a 'Current Path' forecast, finding that aggressive reductions in gender inequality would significantly increase GDP, raise GDP per capita, reduce extreme poverty, and improve child health and human development indices across the continent.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA GENDER FUTURES: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the potential economic impact of achieving full gender parity in Africa by 2043. It compares a 'Gender Equality scenario' against a 'Current Path' and a 'Gender scenario', focusing on GDP growth, per capita income, and poverty reduction across different African regions and income levels.
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Document type: Research paper
Agriculture After independence
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the stagnation of African agricultural productivity since independence, highlighting the roles of poor policy, land tenure issues, conflict, and climate change in maintaining a significant yield gap compared to the rest of the world.
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Document type: Research paper
Introduction: Education as an Investment in the Future
This research paper introduction explores the relationship between education and economic growth, emphasizing that while basic literacy is essential for transitioning from low- to middle-income status, the economic returns on education are often long-term. It highlights the specific challenges facing African education systems, including the 'brain drain' of skilled professionals to higher-income countries and systemic issues such as overcrowding and student retention.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA GENDER FUTURES: THEMATIC FUTURES
This report from the Institute for Security Studies examines the intersection of gender inequality and health in Africa, focusing on disparities in disease impact, maternal mortality, reproductive health access, and the influence of social norms on healthcare outcomes.
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Document type: Report
AGRICULTURE
The document explains that Africa has failed to achieve a modern agricultural revolution due to a combination of historical, geographical, and policy factors. It highlights that poor soil quality (55% unsuitable for most agriculture), high disease burdens, and a lack of investment in smallholder farmers have led to the world's lowest agricultural yields, despite interventions by the World Bank, AU, and AGRA.
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Document type: Research paper
Zimbabwe: A disastrous experiment
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the decline of Zimbabwe's agricultural sector resulting from land redistribution programmes and policy failures between 1992 and 2020.
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Document type: Research paper
Education
This research paper explores how technology, specifically augmented reality (AR) and offline applications, can be used to improve education outcomes in Africa, provided that infrastructure gaps in electricity and broadband access are addressed.
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Document type: Research paper
The Agriculture scenario
This research paper presents an 'Agriculture scenario' for Africa, modeling the potential impact of an agricultural revolution through eight specific interventions using the IFs forecasting platform. The scenario aims to address low productivity, climate vulnerability, and food insecurity to stimulate rural economic transformation and diversification.
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Document type: Research paper
Conclusion and recommendations: Education can be Africa’s development leveller
This report concludes that while education is a strong driver of income and prosperity in Africa, investing in it alone is insufficient for growth. It argues that African nations must move beyond outdated rote education models, address a 'low-learning trap' through systemic investment from early childhood to tertiary levels, and integrate digital skills and vocational training to leverage the continent's growing youth population.
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Document type: Report
Financing education in Africa
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the landscape of education financing in Africa, detailing expenditure levels, the distribution of funds across educational levels, and the challenges of spending inefficiency and declining donor support.
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Document type: Research paper
Agricultural reform elsewhere in the world: Lessons for Africa?
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines agricultural reforms in China, Brazil, and Egypt to identify potential lessons for improving productivity and food security in Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Energy demand and production in the Combined scenario
This report analyzes energy demand and production forecasts for Africa, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario with a 'Combined' scenario characterized by faster economic growth and policy interventions to constrain energy exports for domestic security.
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Document type: Report
Towards a Viable Africa Energy Policy
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies outlines a proposed 'Energy Policy scenario' for Africa to transition toward a low-emissions energy future. It analyzes the gap between current fossil fuel production and climate targets, the potential for scaling renewables and nuclear energy, and the role of energy efficiency in reducing total demand.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA ENERGY FORECAST: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the impact of various global carbon tax scenarios on Africa's energy transition and economic future, specifically highlighting the 'Sustainable Africa' scenario.
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Document type: Research paper
Lessons from Rwanda’s threat to withdraw from Cabo Delgado
This research paper analyzes the implications of Rwanda's threat to withdraw its security forces from Mozambique's Cabo Delgado province. It argues that the deployment serves Rwanda's political and economic interests while highlighting Mozambique's inability to independently secure its territory and the transactional nature of EU and US energy-driven security strategies.
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Document type: Research paper
Peace & Security Council Report
The April 2026 Peace & Security Council Report examines key African Union (AU) initiatives, including a UN resolution on slavery reparations, the integration of governance intelligence into security actions via the APRM-PSC interface, the precarious stability of South Sudan ahead of 2026 elections, and a review of Angola's tenure as AU chair.
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Document type: Report