Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure

The analysis compares two scenarios for African infrastructure financing up to 2050. Under the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario, government spending is projected to reach US$267 billion by 2050, exceeding the 'Current Path' forecast by US$44 billion. Average annual public spending from 2027 to 2050 is expected to be US$171 billion in this scenario, compared to US$150 billion under the Current Path.

• National governments are the lead funders of infrastructure in Africa, providing 41% of total commitments between 2016 and 2020.
• By 2050, government spending on infrastructure under the Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging scenario is projected to be US$267 billion (in 2017 constant dollars), which is US$44 billion more than the US$223 billion forecast for the Current Path.
• Between 2027 and 2050, the average annual public infrastructure spending under the Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging scenario is projected at US$171 billion (2017 constant dollars), whereas the Current Path projects US$150 billion.

APA

Yeboua, K. (2026). Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact

Chicago

Yeboua, Kouassi. Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Yeboua |first1=Kouassi |title=Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=25 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{yeboua2026large, author = {Yeboua, Kouassi}, title = {{Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }