Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure

This research paper analyzes the projected impact of the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario on government infrastructure spending in Africa between 2020 and 2050, comparing it to a 'Current Path' forecast.

• National governments were the primary source of infrastructure funding in Africa between 2016 and 2020, providing 41% of total commitments.
• Under the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario, government spending on infrastructure is projected to reach US$267 billion (in 2017 constant dollars) by 2050, which is US$44 billion more than the 'Current Path' forecast of US$223 billion for the same year.
• Between 2027 and 2050, the average annual public infrastructure spending under the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario is expected to be US$171 billion (2017 constant dollars), compared to US$150 billion under the 'Current Path'.

APA

Yeboua, K. (2026). Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact

Chicago

Yeboua, Kouassi. Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Yeboua |first1=Kouassi |title=Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=25 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{yeboua2026large, author = {Yeboua, Kouassi}, title = {{Large Infrastructure Scenario Impact on Financing for Infrastructure}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=10-scenario-impact}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }