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At the end of the transition period, Somalia is going nowhere slowly
The author argues that Somalia remains far from functional statehood despite the end of its transition period, citing a corrupt and factionalized Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and a paralyzed Parliament. While external actors and Amisom forces have made security gains against Al-Shabaab and piracy, internal political instability, lack of legitimacy, and territorial disputes involving Puntland and Somaliland threaten the process. The document concludes that without genuine political will and inclusive engagement of stakeholders, the transition is unlikely to succeed.
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Document type: Research paper
The Private Sector in the REDD+ Supply Chain: Trends, challenges and opportunities
The document analyzes the REDD+ supply chain, identifying key private sector roles including investors, producers, brokers, advisors, auditors, and end-buyers. It highlights that while some pioneering investment funds and multinational firms are engaging through voluntary markets and CSR initiatives, significant barriers remain, specifically a lack of policy certainty and unresolved land tenure and carbon ownership issues. The brief argues that scaling up private investment requires a shift toward compliance carbon markets, the implementation of nested crediting frameworks for direct performance-based payments, and the integration of deforestation-driving industries, such as extractive sectors, into the REDD+ dialogue.
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Document type: Policy brief
Mohammed Enterprises Tanzania
The Mohammed Enterprises Tanzania Ltd (MeTL) Group, a major conglomerate contributing 2.5% of Tanzania's GDP, faces significant operational barriers in the SADC region, primarily due to unreliable power, poor transport infrastructure, and regulatory uncertainty. MeTL reports that expensive and unreliable electricity makes local goods uncompetitive, with the Confederation of Tanzania Industry estimating annual business income losses of USD 19.6M from power interruptions. To mitigate these issues, MeTL is investing in a container depot near the Port of Dar es Salaam and planning biogas electricity generation from sisal waste. The group advocates for regional industrialization policies to protect strategic industries from competition from India and China, alongside the implementation of a regional Public Private Partnership (PPP) framework for infrastructure development.
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Document type: Case study
Sumaria Group (T) Ltd
Sumaria Group (T) Ltd, a diversified manufacturing family business based in Tanzania, faces significant systemic barriers to growth in the SADC region. Key obstacles include a lack of pharmaceutical standards harmonization, unreliable and expensive energy and transport infrastructure, and an unpredictable regulatory environment in Tanzania. To mitigate power shortages, the company has invested in stand-by generators, which increases production costs. The group advocates for regional cooperation on electricity generation, the finalization of the Zambia interconnector, and streamlined trade facilitation to reduce the cost of doing business.
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Document type: Case study
Timber Trade in Africa’s Great Lakes: The Road from Beni, DRC to Kampala, Uganda
This report examines the drivers and flows of tropical timber exports from the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) through Uganda to regional markets, highlighting the prevalence of unregulated trade and the disparity in benefits among actors within the supply chain.
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Document type: Report
Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Compatible Development – Case Studies Synthesis Paper
This synthesis paper, prepared for the Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN), examines the intersection of agriculture, food security, and climate-compatible development (CCD) through case studies in Kenya, Bangladesh, and Honduras. It identifies systemic barriers to integrating climate adaptation and mitigation within agricultural sectors and provides global recommendations for policymakers and the international community to support small-scale farmers in developing countries.
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Document type: Report
ICTs, the Internet and Sustainability: A discussion guide for Rio+20
The document serves as a discussion guide for the Rio+20 conference, arguing that the impact of Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) and the Internet on sustainable development should be a central part of the agenda. It posits that these technologies have transformed life globally over the 20 years since the first Rio conference and calls for actions to manage their associated benefits and harms.
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Document type: Guide
ICTs, the Internet and Sustainability: A discussion paper
The document explores how the rapid evolution of the Internet and ICTs over the last 20 years necessitates a re-evaluation of the concept of sustainability. It specifically addresses the transformations in economy, society, politics, and culture resulting from these technologies and their intersection with global sustainability challenges. Additionally, the text mentions an evaluation of solar-powered electric cookers in rural Kenya and a broader exploration of transitioning to renewable energy systems while protecting ecosystems and local livelihoods.
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Document type: Research paper
Sino-African Union cooperation in peace and security in Africa
The report details a conference on Sino-African Union cooperation in peace and security, exploring the intersection of China's economic engagement and Africa's security architecture. Key discussions focus on the 'African solutions to African problems' principle, the role of Regional Economic Communities (RECs) like ECOWAS and IGAD, and specific conflict zones such as the two Sudans and Somalia. While acknowledging China's role in infrastructure and condition-free aid, the report highlights concerns regarding environmental degradation, the influx of cheap goods, and the impact of arms supplies. It recommends a shift from ad-hoc crisis reaction to a proactive role for China, emphasizing capacity building for the AU's African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA) and the Continental Early Warning System (CEWS).
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Document type: Report
Gender, peace and security in Africa
The document details a May 2012 meeting in Nairobi involving 19 researchers and practitioners to address the dominance of Northern perspectives in gender, peace and security (GPS) scholarship. Participants identified critical gaps in current research, such as the lack of evidence-based homegrown data and the failure to address structural causes of insecurity. The session concluded with the proposal to establish a pan-African think-tank to generate scientific knowledge and alternative narratives that reflect African experiences and agency, moving beyond 'women as victims' discourses.
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Document type: Report
Building REDD+ Policy Capacity for Developing Country Negotiators and Land Managers Phase III: Lessons learned
The document details an expert meeting held in April 2012 to address two critical determinants of REDD+ success: the development of Safeguard Information Systems (SIS) and the fostering of effective private sector engagement. It highlights the need for flexible, country-driven SIS that leverage existing national and international architectures to keep transaction costs low. Regarding the private sector, the report emphasizes that policy clarity, certainty on carbon rights, and a 'nested approach' to accounting are essential to attract investment. The report also identifies significant capacity gaps in MRV, safeguards, and benefit-sharing systems across national and local levels.
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Document type: Report
Putting the brakes on road traffic fatalities in Africa
The document argues that road traffic accidents are a critical development issue in Africa, with fatalities forecast to rise as motorisation increases without corresponding infrastructure improvements. By comparing a 'base case' forecast with an 'improved scenario' where death rates are stabilised at the current continental average of 32 per 100,000 people, the authors estimate that Africa could prevent 4.2 million deaths and add US$ 234 billion to its GDP by 2050. The brief highlights that the economic gains, primarily driven by a larger labour force, would far outweigh the estimated costs of intervention, which range from US$ 1.7 billion to US$ 24 billion.
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Document type: Policy brief
ENCOURAGING POLITICAL PARTICIPATION IN AFRICA
The report argues that social media can drive political engagement in Africa, citing examples from the Arab Spring and elections in Nigeria and Zambia. However, it highlights significant obstacles, including low internet penetration, high costs, and active government censorship or surveillance in countries like Uganda, Zimbabwe, Angola, and Cameroon.
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Document type: Report
Carbon trading in Africa Brief
The document critiques the application of carbon trading in Africa, asserting that the continent remains marginal to the global market. It highlights how the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) creates perverse incentives, such as rewarding illegal gas flaring in Nigeria or subsidising fossil fuel dependence, while providing minimal financial benefit to local communities. The author argues that carbon offsets act as an 'avoided responsibility mechanism' for the global North and recommends shifting toward more just forms of climate finance.
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Document type: Briefing
China in Kenya: Addressing Counterfeit Goods and Construction Sector Imbalances
The document examines the multifaceted relationship between China and Kenya, highlighting a trade imbalance where Kenya exports raw materials and imports value-added, often counterfeit, products. It analyzes how Chinese construction firms provide efficiency and quality but create unfair competition for local contractors through government-backed financial advantages. The paper evaluates Kenyan legislative responses, such as the Anti-Counterfeit Act of 2008 and the National Construction Authority Act 2010, and suggests regional coordination within the East African Community (EAC) to mitigate negative effects.
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Document type: Research paper
Goodwill and Hard Bargains: The DRC, China and India
The document analyzes the differing strategies of China and India in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). China employs a state-led approach, utilizing loans from the Export-Import Bank to secure mining assets and fund infrastructure in exchange for resources. India's engagement is characterized as more market-driven, with private companies operating in mining and telecommunications, though the Indian government provides some credit lines for power projects. While both are drivers of growth, the paper notes concerns regarding transparency, labor conditions, and environmental pollution associated with smaller firms from both nations.
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Document type: Research paper
The Articulation of Maritime Piracy in Kenya’s Foreign Policy
The paper examines Kenya's response to maritime piracy, noting that while the country's geostrategic location makes it a crucial actor, its engagement has lacked a coherent domestic strategy. It highlights the economic impact of piracy, the failure of previous prosecution agreements due to resource gaps, and the potential for improved strategic engagement through international conferences and regional cooperation.
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Document type: Research paper
Identifying opportunities for climate-smart agriculture investments in Africa
The document examines how National Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plans (NAFSIPs) in 14 African countries can be leveraged for climate-smart agriculture. Using a rapid screening methodology, the study finds that approximately 60% of planned activities in these plans address slow-onset climate change, while 18% address extreme events and 19% focus on mitigation. The paper concludes that all reviewed NAFSIPs have potential for both extreme event adaptation and climate mitigation, and recommends further analysis of cost-effectiveness, financing sources, and the integration of innovative climate financing mechanisms to transform these plans into climate-smart interventions.
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Document type: Research paper
Kenya and the pest of piracy: a prospective partner for peace
The report argues that maritime piracy off the coast of Somalia imposes significant economic costs on Kenya, including shipping surcharges and losses in tourism, while also facilitating money laundering within the country. It assesses previous counter-piracy efforts, noting that while Kenya has attempted to prosecute pirates, these efforts were hampered by jurisdictional conflicts and archaic evidentiary laws. The author recommends a multi-pronged strategy that combines sea-based naval patrols with land-based efforts to rebuild the Somali state and disrupt the financial networks of pirate bosses operating within Kenya.
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Document type: Report
The Tripartite FTA and the services sector
The document analyzes the proposed Tripartite FTA involving 26 member states from COMESA, EAC, and SADC. While the agreement aims for comprehensive liberalization of goods trade, the author argues that the approach to services is conservative and vague, relying on a 'lowest common denominator' strategy. A key area of potential progress is Annex 12, which addresses the movement of business persons, though the author notes critical gaps regarding the definition of 'temporary' movement and the lack of mutual recognition for professional qualifications.
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Document type: Policy brief