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Technical pathways to aligning Canadian electricity systems with net zero goals
The document identifies a stark divide in Canada's electricity sector between low-emitting provinces (B.C., Manitoba, Quebec, Newfoundland and Labrador, and Ontario) and fossil fuel-based provinces (Alberta, Saskatchewan, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia). To achieve net zero, the author proposes five integrated pathways: expanding variable renewable energy, implementing clean firm supply, enhancing interprovincial transmission, increasing demand flexibility, and deploying energy storage. While wind and solar are now the lowest-cost energy sources, their integration requires complementary resources to manage intermittency and seasonal variation, particularly in Canada's high-latitude environment.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change, Critical Minerals, and Indigenous Engagement with Regulatory Processes
The report examines the historical and current state of Indigenous engagement in Canada's resource sector, focusing on the transition to clean energy and critical minerals. It argues that while regulatory frameworks like the Impact Assessment Act have improved since the colonial era, they remain too complex, costly, and onerous, often failing to adequately recognize Indigenous sovereignty. Through case studies in Quebec, Nunavut, Saskatchewan, Yukon, and British Columbia, the document illustrates the spectrum of engagement from successful modern treaties and equity partnerships to ongoing conflicts over land title. The authors recommend a shift toward Indigenous-led evaluation and approval processes, the formal acceptance of Indigenous laws, and increased capacity support for communities to ensure the energy transition is equitable and grounded in free, prior, and informed consent.
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Document type: Report
ELECTRICITY AFFORDABILITY AND EQUITY IN CANADA’S ENERGY TRANSITION
The report finds that while electrification will increase electricity use, total energy spending for Canadian households is expected to decline. However, the costs of expanding electricity infrastructure may fall regressively, disproportionately impacting lower-income households. The authors analyze rate-design changes and government funding mechanisms as tools to improve equity, concluding that means-tested fixed charges and progressive tax-based funding can insulate vulnerable populations from rising costs.
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Document type: Research paper
Executive Summary
The Canadian Climate Institute warns that without policy changes, Canada could build over 150,000 homes in very high flood hazard areas and 220,000 in high wildfire hazard municipalities by 2030. This could lead to combined annual damages of up to $3 billion. The report argues that redirecting just 3% of planned new homes (approximately 150,000 units) away from high-flood hazard areas could reduce flood risk to new housing by nearly 80%. Key recommendations include strengthening provincial land use policies, reforming disaster assistance to deter risky development, updating hazard maps, and mandating risk disclosure in real estate transactions.
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Document type: Executive summary
DUE NORTH: Facing the costs of climate change for Northern infrastructure
Northern Canada is warming three times faster than the global average, exacerbating a pre-existing infrastructure gap. Permafrost thaw, extreme weather, and sea level rise threaten runways, roads, and building foundations. The report argues that while early investments can reduce costs, incremental repairs are insufficient; transformative adaptations and a commitment to Indigenous self-determination are required to build resilient infrastructure.
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Document type: Executive summary
Améliorer l’intégration et la coordination des secteurs de l’électricité gérés par les provinces au Canada
The document analyzes the diverse structures of Canada's provincial electricity markets, noting that a lack of coordination creates economic inefficiencies and hinders the integration of renewable energy. It identifies key barriers to integration, such as constitutional jurisdictional splits and political inertia, and proposes four strategies—bilateral collaboration, a Nordic-inspired bottom-up approach, a free-trade framework, and a health-care-style principles-based model—to foster a more integrated national grid necessary for deep decarbonization.
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Document type: Research paper
Favoriser la décarbonisation par l’intégration des systèmes énergétiques
The report examines the current state of Energy Systems Integration (ESI) in Canada, focusing on five key technologies: electric vehicles, heat pumps, demand response, distributed generation, and hydrogen. It argues that while Canada has successfully decarbonized its electricity grid, further progress requires coordinating energy vectors and scales. The author identifies significant barriers, including fragmented governance, a lack of integrated modeling, and a policy landscape dominated by voluntary 'soft' incentives rather than systemic mandates. The document recommends replacing sectoral subsidies with market reforms that remunerate grid flexibility and implementing integrated modeling platforms to guide coordinated infrastructure investments.
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Document type: Report
Trajectoires techniques pour aligner les secteurs de l’électricité canadiens avec la carboneutralité
The document outlines a strategy for Canada to achieve a net-zero electricity sector by 2050, noting a sharp divide between 'clean' provinces (e.g., Quebec, Ontario) and those reliant on fossil fuels (e.g., Alberta, Saskatchewan). It proposes five key technical trajectories: increasing variable renewable energy, securing clean firm capacity, enhancing interprovincial transmission, improving demand flexibility, and deploying long-duration storage. The author argues that while the economic cost of wind and solar has plummeted, the primary barriers are now financial uncertainty regarding carbon pricing and the technical need for firm capacity and seasonal storage to manage intermittency.
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Document type: Research paper
MEASURING PROGRESS TOWARDS CLEAN GROWTH
The Canadian Climate Institute introduces a framework to track clean growth through 11 indicators categorized into goals, catalysts, and foundations. While all provinces decoupled GDP from GHG emissions between 2005 and 2018, the report identifies significant data gaps and uneven progress in technology adoption and regional employment risks. It recommends integrated government accountabilities and improved data connectivity to support a low-carbon transition.
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Document type: Executive summary
Mesurer les progrès en matière d’adaptation au climat au Canada
The report argues that Canada lacks a comprehensive national system to evaluate the effectiveness of its climate adaptation policies, noting that current efforts are largely focused on tracking policy implementation (outputs) rather than actual resilience outcomes. It proposes a four-pillar foundation for a new M&E system: context, content, operationalization, and communication. The authors recommend that the federal government establish a legally binding mandate for M&E, integrate Indigenous knowledge, and employ a mix of quantitative indicators and qualitative methods to ensure iterative policy improvement.
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Document type: Report
Changements climatiques, minéraux critiques et participation autochtone aux processus réglementaires
The report examines the historical and current state of Indigenous participation in Canada's resource regulatory frameworks. It argues that while the transition to clean energy requires increased extraction of critical minerals on Indigenous lands, current regulatory processes—including the Impact Assessment Act—are often too complex, costly, and slow, failing to fully recognize Indigenous sovereignty. Through various case studies, the document highlights that successful projects are those based on genuine collaboration, modern treaties, and the recognition of Indigenous laws, rather than mere consultation. It recommends a shift toward Indigenous-led assessment and monitoring processes to ensure economic prosperity and environmental protection.
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Document type: Report
MINING DECARBONIZATION
The report analyzes the challenges of decarbonizing Canada's critical minerals sector, noting that while Canada currently has a low-carbon advantage due to clean electricity grids, this edge may erode as other nations transition. It identifies three primary barriers: a lack of market demand for low-carbon minerals (no 'green premium'), fragmented supply chain infrastructure hindering traceability, and supply-side hurdles including the slow commercialization of electric ultra-class haul trucks and limited access to low-carbon power for off-grid mines. The author recommends a policy toolkit including the integration of emissions intensity into support programs, funding for R&D in technologies like direct lithium extraction, and the maintenance of large-emitter trading systems.
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Document type: Report
SASKATCHEWAN: Risks and opportunities in the global low-carbon transition
Saskatchewan faces significant economic risks due to its reliance on oil and gas, with 6% of its workforce in transition-vulnerable sectors. While the province has strengths in agricultural technology, critical minerals, and renewable energy potential, it lags behind other Canadian provinces in attracting transition-consistent investment. Growth is concentrated in Saskatoon and Regina, primarily within ag-tech and alternative proteins. Barriers to scaling include a lack of early-stage policy support, low R&D funding, and continued subsidies for fossil fuels, which create uncertainty for clean-tech investors.
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Document type: Report
SASKATCHEWAN : risques et occasions de la transition mondiale vers la carboneutralité
Saskatchewan faces significant economic risks due to its heavy reliance on the oil and gas sector, which generated 16% of its provincial GDP in 2019. While the province possesses strong competitive advantages in wind, solar, and critical minerals, it lags behind other Canadian provinces in attracting transition-related investments. Most current growth is concentrated in agtech and alternative proteins, while public and private funding for broader research and development remains limited. The report highlights a critical need for more ambitious climate policies and better support for workforce transition, particularly in small communities like Coronach, to avoid severe economic decline.
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Document type: Report
PLEIN NORD : faire face aux coûts des changements climatiques pour les infrastructures du Nord
The Canadian North faces a dual crisis of inadequate existing infrastructure and a climate warming three times faster than the global average. Permafrost thaw, extreme weather, and unpredictable ice and snow conditions are damaging airstrips, roads, and building foundations, while threatening winter road viability and coastal communities. The report argues that simple repairs are insufficient due to historical underinvestment and neglect; instead, it calls for transformational adaptation based on Indigenous self-determination. Key recommendations include restructuring federal funding, improving region-specific climate risk data, prioritizing infrastructure replacement over repair, and updating building codes to account for northern climate complexities.
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Document type: Executive summary
Voilà - ICC - Close to Home - FR - Full layout
The Canadian Climate Institute warns that current zoning and policy gaps could lead to over 760,000 new homes being built in high-risk flood and wildfire areas by 2030, potentially costing billions in annual damages. The report argues that redirecting just 3% of planned housing (approximately 150,000 units) away from the most vulnerable areas could reduce new flood risks by nearly 80%. Key recommendations include strengthening provincial land-use regulations, updating risk maps, mandating risk disclosure in real estate transactions, and reforming disaster assistance to remove moral hazard.
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Document type: Executive summary
Understanding Climate Denial and Delayism in Canada
The report documents a sophisticated ecosystem of climate disinformation in Canada, where denial and delayism are used to delegitimise scientific consensus and policy. It identifies regional vulnerabilities, particularly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba, and highlights how climate narratives are often blended with anti-feminist, anti-2SLGBTQIA+, and anti-immigrant tropes. The analysis details the roles of domestic media, influencers, and transnational linkages in amplifying claims that climate policy is an authoritarian tool of global elites.
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Document type: Report
Nature’s wealth
The document argues that Manitoba's wetlands are critical 'green infrastructure' that regulate water, filter pollutants, and support biodiversity. It details the severe loss of these ecosystems—exceeding 90% in parts of the Red River watershed—and discusses the consequences, including increased flooding and nutrient runoff into Lake Winnipeg. The text highlights the versatility of cattails for food and bioenergy, and outlines provincial strategies and local projects aimed at wetland protection and restoration.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Offsetting CO2 Emissions Tree Planting on the Prairies
The report evaluates tree planting in the Canadian prairie ecozone as a carbon sequestration strategy. It concludes that while tree planting provides significant environmental, economic, and social benefits—such as erosion control and energy savings—it cannot alone meet Canada's goal of stabilizing GHG emissions at 1990 levels. The document advocates for a combined approach including fuel switching, energy efficiency, and improved agricultural practices. It details the direct costs of planting in Saskatchewan and the potential for carbon credit markets, while noting that the long-term sequestration potential of trees exceeds that of agricultural crops.
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Document type: Report
Land and soil health in Canadian agriculture
Agricultural land covers approximately 7% of Canada, with 82% of this land located in the Prairie provinces. While biodiversity on farmlands supports soil health and pest control, increased farming intensity in Canada is currently harming soil health and wildlife capacity. Improving biodiversity and soil health is noted as a way to reduce synthetic input needs, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and increase resilience to extreme weather events like droughts and floods.
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Document type: Fact sheet