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DR Congo
The report examines the Democratic Republic of the Congo's current development path and simulates eight sectoral scenarios to identify pathways toward inclusive growth by 2043. It highlights the country's extreme poverty and dependence on commodity exports, while projecting that a combined policy push across manufacturing, governance, and agriculture could significantly increase GDP and reduce poverty.
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Document type: Report
DR Congo: Introduction
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) possesses vast natural wealth, including the world's largest cobalt production and the second-largest tropical rainforest, yet remains one of Africa's poorest nations. Since independence in 1960, the country has been characterized by political instability, authoritarian rule under Mobutu Sese Seko, and devastating conflicts such as the Great African War. Recent history has seen a transition toward democratic elections, though the administration of President Félix Tshisekedi continues to face challenges regarding economic stability and violence in the eastern region.
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Document type: Report
Bridging the Gap of Financial Inclusion in DRC
The document describes a project in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) where FSD Africa and Equity BCDC implemented an agency banking model to reach rural and peri-urban populations. By deploying over 5,000 agents and utilizing a 'Master Agency' strategy to overcome KYC documentation barriers, the initiative opened over 650,000 new accounts. The project also integrated renewable power and internet connectivity for rural agents and developed micro-loan scoring tools to facilitate capital access for previously excluded populations.
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Document type: Case study
RD Congo
The report analyzes the Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DRC) socio-economic status, highlighting a stark contrast between its vast natural resources—including 50% of global cobalt reserves—and its high levels of extreme poverty. It projects that under a 'base scenario' of current policies, the DRC will remain one of the world's poorest countries by 2043. However, the report simulates an 'Agenda 2063' combined scenario where strategic interventions in agriculture, industrialization, governance, and infrastructure could significantly increase GDP, reduce extreme poverty from 26.1% to 6.6%, and diversify the economy away from raw material exports.
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Document type: Report
Strengthening strategic approaches for 30x30 investments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
The proposal aims to address the lack of coordination between climate, biodiversity, and development strategies in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). It proposes a 24-month project to create a 30x30 investment strategy that integrates biodiversity conservation with climate mitigation and adaptation, specifically focusing on the rights and engagement of Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities (IPs and LCs). Key activities include spatial modelling to identify priority conservation areas, policy alignment analysis, the development of a business plan for 30x30 implementation, and the submission of a technically sound GCF project concept note.
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Document type: Report
Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The report analyzes the DRC's development challenges, including endemic corruption, high fertility rates, and severe infrastructure deficits. It argues that while the country possesses immense mineral and agricultural wealth, it suffers from the 'paradox of plenty.' The analysis suggests that a comprehensive strategy combining improved governance, human capital investment, agricultural intensification, and economic diversification could significantly reduce extreme poverty and increase GDP by 2050 compared to the current trajectory.
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Document type: Report
Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The report analyzes the Democratic Republic of Congo's high fertility rates, rapid population growth, and urbanisation trends. It argues that without sound demographic policies to reduce fertility and manage a large youth bulge, the country's population growth will remain a significant obstacle to economic prosperity and human development, delaying the achievement of a demographic dividend until approximately 2060.
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Document type: Report
DEVELOPMENT PATHWAYS FOR THE DRC TO 2050: SPECIAL REPORT
The DRC's education system is a hybrid of public and religious schools, showing improvements in adult literacy and gender parity, particularly in primary education. However, the system suffers from low completion rates, poor educational quality, and significant underfunding, with government spending at 2.5% of GDP in 2019. While the 2019 implementation of free primary education has increased access for 2.5 million children, concerns remain regarding the government's capacity to fund the estimated US$1 billion annual cost. The World Bank has provided US$1 billion in loans and grants to support education and health, specifically targeting the poorest provinces.
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Document type: Report
DEVELOPMENT PATHWAYS FOR THE DRC TO 2050
The document describes governance in the DR Congo as being dominated by rent-seeking elites and systemic corruption, particularly within the extractive industries. It highlights the failure of decentralisation efforts, where the central government in Kinshasa maintains control by withholding funds from provinces. Despite recent commitments from the presidency to combat corruption through the creation of the Agence de prévention et de lutte contre la corruption (APLC), the report notes that the country remains an 'anocracy' with a significant gap between nominal electoral practices and substantive liberal democracy.
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Document type: Report
Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The DR Congo faces exceptionally high levels of extreme and multidimensional poverty, with forecasts suggesting it will fail to meet 2030 Sustainable Development Goals on its current path. Despite modest declines in extreme poverty between 2005 and 2018, the country remains one of the world's poorest, with significant regional variations and a growing urban poverty phenomenon.
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Document type: Report
Práticas laborais chinesas em seis países da África Austral
The report identifies widespread labor rights violations by Chinese companies in Southern Africa, including low wages, unsafe working conditions, and unfair dismissals. It highlights a systemic failure of national governments to enforce labor laws, often exacerbated by corruption and political ties between Chinese investors and local elites. While some positive impacts on employment and infrastructure are noted, the study emphasizes the precarious nature of these jobs and the marginalization of trade unions.
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Document type: Report
DEVELOPMENT PATHWAYS FOR THE DRC TO 2050
The report examines the 'paradox of plenty' in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where vast natural resources coexist with extreme poverty and political instability. Using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform, the document aims to project the country's development path to 2050 and assess how specific interventions could help the government achieve long-term growth targets.
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Document type: Report
L’IMPACT DES NOUVELLES TECHNOLOGIES MINIÈRES SUR L’APPROVISIONNEMENT LOCAL EN RÉPUBLIQUE DÉMOCRATIQUE DU CONGO
The report examines how the adoption of advanced mining technologies—such as automation and smart sensors—affects local procurement in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). While industrial projects like the Kibali gold mine and Kamoa-Kakula copper project showcase world-leading innovation, local suppliers struggle to benefit due to gaps in capital, specialized skills, and a weak manufacturing base. The document analyzes the 2018 Mining Code's local content requirements and identifies systemic barriers, including poor infrastructure and an outdated intellectual property framework, that hinder the transition from foreign-dominated supply chains to a robust local industry.
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Document type: Report
Will the DRC’s ‘sacred union’ deliver electoral reform?
The report examines the political shift in the DRC following President Felix Tshisekedi's creation of the 'sacred union' coalition, which granted him a parliamentary majority. While this shift provides an opportunity for electoral reform and improved security in the east, the document highlights significant tensions over the content of these reforms, the independence of the electoral commission (CENI), and whether a proposed population census is a genuine development need or a strategy to delay the 2023 elections.
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Document type: Report
Waking the sleeping giant
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) faces a 'paradox of plenty,' where immense natural resources coexist with extreme poverty and poor human development indicators. On its current trajectory, the DRC is projected to remain a low-income country with stagnant per capita income and high poverty rates through 2050. Key constraints include endemic corruption, a massive infrastructure deficit in electricity and transport, and a high fertility rate that hinders the demographic dividend. The report models several intervention scenarios, finding that while agricultural improvements offer short-term poverty relief, long-term prosperity depends on structural economic transformation and improved governance. A combined comprehensive scenario suggests that concerted action across governance, infrastructure, human capital, and agriculture could reduce the extreme poverty rate to 9.6% by 2050.
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Document type: Report
Rural Enterprise incentives through performance-based fiance for FOREST LANDSCAPE RESTORATION AND LOW EMISSIONS DEVELOPEMNT
The proposed programme aims to mitigate 85.942 million tCO2eq by 2030 in three DRC provinces through a public-private partnership model. It focuses on transitioning smallholders from shifting agriculture to sustainable, market-oriented farming and forestry. The project utilizes a performance-based finance (PBF) mechanism where private sector partners provide capital for community enterprises conditional on meeting verified emission reduction targets, while GCF grants fund the necessary public sector capacity building and technical training.
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Document type: Report
The Road Ahead for the DRC
The document analyzes the precarious transition of power in the Democratic Republic of Congo following the announcement that Félix Tshisekedi won the December 30 election with 38.57% of the vote. It highlights immediate hurdles, including contested election legitimacy, the risk of violence from supporters of Martin Fayulu, and the necessity of securing the acquiescence of Joseph Kabila's regime and the military. The author argues that regional stability depends on Tshisekedi's ability to cooperate with leaders in Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, South Africa, and Angola, as well as the continued engagement of the UN Security Council through MONUSCO.
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Document type: Research paper
Forest Landscape Improvement, Emission Reduction, Resilience to Climate Change, and Green Growth Program in Central Kongo Province Democratic Republic of Congo
The program seeks USD 70 million from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) as part of a total USD 106.9 million investment to address deforestation, climate vulnerability, and economic stagnation in Central Kongo Province. It builds upon an existing Forest Investment Program (FIP) by expanding its scope to include green growth and resilience. Key interventions include scaling up agroforestry, distributing improved cookstoves, protecting coastal areas from erosion and sea-level rise, and supporting SMEs in transitioning to green investments. The program targets a mitigation impact of 6.5 million tCO2eq and aims to benefit 12,000 poor households directly, with 1.6 million indirect beneficiaries.
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Document type: Report
2018 Progress Assessment Goal 4 Update
The 2018 Progress Assessment for Goal 4 highlights the difficulty in quantifying the impact of basic needs on deforestation due to limited data. While the distribution of clean cookstoves in developing countries nearly doubled between 2015 and 2016, financial support for woodfuel interventions declined. The report identifies several drivers of deforestation linked to poverty, including swidden agriculture, subsistence migration, and charcoal production, and presents case studies from Peru, Guatemala, Brazil, Mexico, Ghana, and Côte d’Ivoire demonstrating the potential of sustainable landscape approaches, community forestry, and agricultural intensification to reduce forest loss.
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Document type: Report
The DRC will be the first foreign policy priority for Angola’s new president
The document analyzes the strategic relationship between Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), asserting that the DRC is Luanda's most critical foreign policy objective. It details Angola's history of military intervention to protect the Congolese government and its own security interests, while noting a recent shift in policy. Angola is now signaling impatience with President Joseph Kabila's delay of elections, which Luanda views as a threat to long-term stability. This tension is exacerbated by the influx of over 32,000 refugees from the Kasai region into Angola since April 2017. The author concludes that while economic constraints may deter immediate military action, Angola will prioritize the DRC's political transition to prevent regional destabilization.
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Document type: Research paper