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Development pathways for the DRC to 2050
The DR Congo faces exceptionally high levels of extreme and multidimensional poverty, with forecasts suggesting it will fail to meet 2030 Sustainable Development Goals on its current path. Despite modest declines in extreme poverty between 2005 and 2018, the country remains one of the world's poorest, with significant regional variations and a growing urban poverty phenomenon.
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Document type: Report
Rural Enterprise incentives through performance-based fiance for FOREST LANDSCAPE RESTORATION AND LOW EMISSIONS DEVELOPEMNT
The proposed programme aims to mitigate 85.942 million tCO2eq by 2030 in three DRC provinces through a public-private partnership model. It focuses on transitioning smallholders from shifting agriculture to sustainable, market-oriented farming and forestry. The project utilizes a performance-based finance (PBF) mechanism where private sector partners provide capital for community enterprises conditional on meeting verified emission reduction targets, while GCF grants fund the necessary public sector capacity building and technical training.
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Document type: Report
How Congo’s rainforest is illegally logged for international markets
The report finds that illegalities are pervasive across DRC's industrial logging concessions, with every visited site between 2011 and 2014 showing violations. These range from over-harvesting and tax avoidance to human rights abuses and the use of fraudulent CITES permits. Despite laws like the EU Timber Regulation and the US Lacey Act, significant volumes of high-risk timber continue to flow to China, Europe, and the US, driven by weak government enforcement and a culture of impunity in the DRC.
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Document type: Report
Forest governance in the Democratic Republic of Congo
The forestry sector in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) suffers from systemic governance failures, including corruption, institutional incapacity, and a significant gap between policy and practice. Despite a title conversion process that left the country with 80 logging concessions covering less than 20% of forested areas, illegal logging persists due to weak deterrents and state harassment. Local communities are largely marginalized in decision-making and benefit-sharing, often lacking the capacity to negotiate 'cahiers des charges' (social contracts) with logging companies. Financially, the sector contributes only 1% to the national GDP, far below the 5% average for other COMIFAC countries, with tax reforms stalled by officials benefiting from unofficial levies. Strategic threats include the 'Asian rush' of new market players and a rise in informal artisanal exploitation by those whose titles were cancelled.
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Document type: Policy brief
The DRC at 50: Confronting the Challenges of Peace and Territorial Consolidation
The DRC faces significant hurdles in establishing state authority and territorial integrity, complicated by a stalled decentralisation process and border disputes over oil and gas deposits. The transition from MONUC to MONUSCO represents a symbolic shift toward stabilisation, while the STAREC programme attempts to restore basic institutional infrastructure in conflict zones. Resource governance remains precarious due to illegal mineral trade, lack of monitoring technology for oil exports, and legal disputes over mining contracts involving international corporations.
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Document type: Policy brief
Seeing the Wood for the Trees: Forestry Governance in the DRC
The report examines the transition of forestry governance in the DRC from centralized control to a network-based approach. It analyzes the impact of the 2006-2008 forest title conversion process, which concentrated the industry into fewer hands, and evaluates the role of the 2002 Forest Code. A case study of Bikoro Territory demonstrates how tripartite structures involving government, private sector, and civil society can resolve local conflicts and improve accountability, despite challenges like extreme poverty, lack of infrastructure, and unregulated charcoal production.
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Document type: Report
Democratic Republic of Congo Update: A second round of elections?
The Democratic Republic of Congo's first democratic elections in 40 years were largely peaceful, though logistical challenges and security threats persist in eastern provinces. While voter turnout was high, the slow counting process by the Commission Electorale Indépendante (CEI) created political tension. The document outlines two primary scenarios: a first-round victory for a candidate with over 50% of the vote, or a second-round runoff likely between Joseph Kabila and Jean-Pierre Bemba, which could lead to significant political alliances and potential instability.
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Document type: Briefing
Anger in Congo Capital as Kabila Builds Poll Lead
The briefing reports on rising tensions in Kinshasa as early election results show incumbent President Joseph Kabila leading over Jean-Pierre Bemba. It warns that a Kabila victory could trigger a return to war by Bemba or Azarias Ruberwa, while a Bemba victory might incite secessionist movements in eastern DRC. The text notes that while only 9.4% of votes had been counted by 14 August 2006, the race appears to be between Kabila and Bemba, with a second round of voting possible in October 2006 if no candidate exceeds 50% of the vote.
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Document type: Briefing
Predicting Future Forest Loss in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s CARPE Landscapes
The study identifies biophysical conditions, accessibility, and land management as the primary drivers of forest loss in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's CARPE landscapes. Under a business-as-usual scenario, it predicts a loss of approximately 332,200 hectares of forest and 205 million metric tons of CO2 emissions between 2015 and 2025, with the majority of loss occurring in the Ituri-Epulu-Aru and Lac Télé-Lac Tumba landscapes.
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Document type: Research paper