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Chapter 2: Atmosphere
The global atmosphere is at a critical stage, with climate change identified as the most pressing issue. While successful international cooperation has phased out ozone-depleting substances and lead in petrol, progress on particulate matter and tropospheric ozone is mixed, particularly in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Despite the availability of low-carbon technologies, greenhouse gas concentrations continue to rise, leaving a gap of several billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent between current pledges and the targets needed to limit global warming to 2°C. The document advocates for an integrated approach to atmospheric protection and the use of short-lived climate forcers as a complementary strategy to CO2 reduction.
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Document type: Report
Chapter 11: Europe
Europe is characterized by strong environmental governance, particularly within the European Union, with successful implementations of climate policies, air quality monitoring, and water resource management. While the region is a leader in biodiversity conservation networks and waste regulation, it continues to face challenges including growing waste volumes, industrial waste legacies in Eastern Europe, and a lack of improvement in the overall conservation status of habitats and species.
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Document type: Report
Effects of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage in Germany on European Electricity Exchange and Welfare
The study finds that CCS deployment in Germany would lower spot market electricity prices and reduce imports from France, Belgium, and Poland, while increasing producer and consumer surpluses.
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Document type: Research paper
Green Shoots of Recovery in the Securitisation Markets?
The report identifies 'green shoots of recovery' in securitisation markets, particularly through increased residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) in the UK and trade finance securitisations. While investor demand is returning, the report argues that supply is constrained by heavy government intervention (such as by the ECB and US federal agencies) and stringent new regulations like Basel III and Solvency II. The author suggests that the normalisation of these markets is vital for climate finance, as 95% of project finance globally comes from bank lending, and securitisation allows banks to recycle limited capital to fund renewable energy and energy efficiency projects.
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Document type: Report
The Social Consequences of Imposed Austerity: The Case of Education
The author contends that austerity policies in Europe, especially in post-socialist states, have led to substantial budget cuts in higher education and a push toward the commodification of learning. The text highlights that these measures often shift costs to students through tuition fees and prioritize market-driven research over humanities and fundamental sciences, thereby undermining social equality and the goals of the Europe 2020 strategy.
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Document type: Research paper
Modelling of soil moisture to determine ozone flux to European forest trees
The paper details a new soil moisture module for the DO3SE model, designed to address a limitation in regional risk assessments where soil water deficits were previously assumed not to limit ozone flux. The module uses the Penman-Monteith energy balance method and empirical data on pre-dawn leaf water status to estimate the biological control of transpiration, testing four different methods ranging from simple soil water content relations to complex models incorporating hydraulic resistance and plant capacitance.
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Document type: Research paper
Extreme Outcomes: Prospects for major tipping and socially contingent events and associated economic and social costs
The document assesses 'extreme outcomes'—near-catastrophic climate events and socially contingent responses—that are often underrepresented in economic assessments. It identifies key biogeophysical tipping elements, such as the melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, and evaluates their potential to trigger severe economic losses and social instability. A high-end sea level rise scenario of 1.65m by the 2080s is estimated to cost approximately $1 trillion per year and displace millions. The brief also explores the nexus of climate change, state fragility, and forced migration, particularly in South Asia and Bangladesh, arguing that these 'wicked problems' require multiple lines of evidence and a shift toward building resilience rather than simple prediction.
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Document type: Policy brief
Energy equity: can the UN Sustainable Energy for All initiative make a difference?
The Green Economy Coalition supports the UN's Sustainable Energy for All (SE4ALL) initiative but argues it requires more ambition and a specific focus on energy equity. The authors contend that universal energy access is a prerequisite for achieving Millennium Development Goals, particularly in health and education. They advocate for a strategy that prioritises the poorest, measures success through development outcomes rather than infrastructure metrics, and promotes community-led stewardship of local resources. While acknowledging the role of the private sector, the document emphasizes that reaching the most impoverished will require significant public sector and NGO involvement, as 'base of the pyramid' business models often overlook the absolute poorest.
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Document type: Statement
SA should lead in putting Africa first
The author contends that the traditional appointment of an American as World Bank president should be replaced by an open, merit-based process. While acknowledging the difficulty of shifting global power dynamics, the text suggests that South Africa should lead an effort to nominate an African candidate. This campaign is framed not only as a bid for the presidency but as a strategic move to demonstrate African unity, highlight the continent's needs regarding poverty and climate change, and push for long-term reform in international economic governance.
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Document type: Research paper
BRICS Summit 2012: Inching towards a BRICS trade and investment agenda
The paper argues that while BRICS nations share complementary economic relationships, their individual state-led strategies to promote manufacturing and disputes over currency valuation create friction. It suggests that the group could find common ground by collaborating to resuscitate the WTO Doha round, engaging with China's shift toward a consumption-led economic model, and coordinating a common position on currency reform within the G20 to reduce global protectionism.
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Document type: Research paper
Ecology as a way out of the crisis
The author contends that overcoming the crisis requires surpassing national sovereignty in favor of a federal European Union to regulate financial markets and climate change. The text proposes a green economy based on massive innovation in green technologies and building insulation to create non-delocalisable jobs and reduce climate imbalance. Finally, it argues for a departure from traditional political strategies based on GDP growth and consumption, citing the reality of a world with limited resources.
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Document type: Statement
From shadow to green: Linking environmental fiscal reforms and the informal economy
The paper examines the 'double dividend' hypothesis in Spain, arguing that shifting the tax burden from labour to carbon can improve both environmental and economic outcomes. By incorporating the shadow economy into its model, the authors find that reducing labour taxes increases the demand for formal labour, encouraging workers to move from the informal sector to the formal economy. This transition increases official GDP and overall welfare. The study concludes that the potential welfare gains from such reforms are higher in countries with larger initial shadow economies and higher unemployment rates.
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Document type: Research paper
HUMAN RIGHTS & ENVIRONMENT IN THE RIO+20 UN CONFERENCE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
The document examines the historical evolution of the link between human rights and the environment across UN conferences and argues that the Rio+20 process, specifically its 'Zero Draft' outcome document, fails to adequately operationalize this linkage. It suggests that a rights-based approach is essential to prevent the 'green economy' theme from eclipsing social and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. The brief recommends that Rio+20 explicitly recognize the right to a healthy environment, integrate this right into the mandates of new environmental organizations or the Ombudsman for Future Generations, and pursue a global or regional treaty to elaborate on the procedural rights of access to information, public participation, and access to justice as outlined in Principle 10 of the Rio Declaration.
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Document type: Policy brief
Where would we be without barbarians?
The author analyzes the mechanism of populism in Europe, describing it as a process of creating fixed, exclusionary images of 'the other' to define a 'good' people against a 'bad' elite and 'backward' minorities. Drawing on the work of Chantal Mouffe and Merijn Oudenampsen, the text suggests that the disappearance of ideological conflict between left and right after 1989 created a vacuum that populists filled with cultural and religious antagonisms. The author warns that Green and left-wing parties often inadvertently adopt populist frames—such as viewing religion as anti-modernist—and calls for a shift back to socio-economic analysis and the creation of inclusive, non-stereotypical political imagery.
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Document type: Statement
Socio-economic research in support of climate policy development: Mistra's research program Clipore
The Clipore program, funded with over 100 MSEK, conducted socio-economic research from 2004 to 2011 to support international climate policy. It focused on emissions trading systems in Europe and the United States, provided inputs to the UNFCCC agenda, and examined the communication dynamics between science and policy stakeholders.
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Document type: Research paper
Serious Fun: Scaling Up Community Based Adaptation through experiential learning
The paper examines the challenges of scaling up community-based adaptation (CBA), noting that conventional linear communication often fails to engage citizens or account for cognitive biases like 'motivated avoidance' and 'omission bias'. The authors propose experiential learning—defined as knowledge created through the transformation of experience—as a way to help diverse stakeholders navigate complex climate risk management. The document details five case studies of participatory games used to communicate forecasts, manage risk investments, explain index-based micro-insurance, and understand the spread of mosquito-borne diseases. These games are presented as safe spaces for collaboration and 'aha!' moments that reveal the consequences of decisions. The authors conclude that while these tools are powerful, their success depends on skilled facilitators who can manage power dynamics, gender, and hierarchy within communities.
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Document type: Research paper
CRED V.1.3 TECHNICAL REPORT
The CRED v.1.3 model is an integrated assessment tool designed to project global climate and development scenarios over a 300-year period. It focuses on the distribution of climate damages and policy costs across nine global regions, utilizing a Cobb-Douglas production function and a vulnerability index to allocate damages. The model incorporates updated population data, four selectable damage functions, and abatement cost curves based on McKinsey data to inform global climate negotiations.
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Document type: Report
After the political dust-up in Libya: deepening the Europe-Africa dialogue
The document argues that the 2011 intervention in Libya, led by NATO and driven by European security concerns, has strained the Africa-Europe relationship. It identifies three primary challenges: the hierarchical European framing of North Africa as a distinct security zone compared to Sub-Saharan Africa, disagreements over the 'responsibility to protect' humanitarian norms, and internal divisions within the African Union's foreign policy architecture, specifically between Francophone and Anglophone interests.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Knowledge Review (Second Revision) TA to PDMA-Punjab in Incorporating Climate Compatibility Considerations into Reconstruction and Village Planning
The report examines post-disaster reconstruction and rural planning in Europe and Asia, with a specific focus on Punjab, Pakistan. It argues for a shift from reactive, top-down planning to decentralized, 'bottom-up' approaches that integrate Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA). The document identifies key climatic risks for Punjab—primarily flooding and high temperatures—and proposes a suite of adaptive design options and low-carbon technologies to increase the resilience of buildings and infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
Estimating Regions’ Relative Vulnerability to Climate Damages in the CRED Model
The research paper presents VI-CRED, a simplified vulnerability index used in the CRED integrated assessment model to distribute global climate damages across nine world regions. Unlike more complex indices, VI-CRED relies on three specific indicators: the share of GDP from agriculture and tourism, the percentage of the population living below 5 meters elevation, and freshwater availability per capita. The index identifies Africa as the most vulnerable region and the United States as the least. The authors compare VI-CRED with the DARA and Maplecroft indices, noting that VI-CRED's emphasis on water scarcity leads to a higher vulnerability ranking for the Middle East. The paper also projects regional climate damages for the year 2105 under business-as-usual and maximum abatement scenarios, showing that while absolute damages decrease with abatement, the relative share of global damages for Africa and Developing Asia/Pacific increases.
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Document type: Research paper