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Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a methodology to measure the adaptive capacity of 53 Census Divisions in the Canadian Prairies, organizing 20 indicators into six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis reveals that adaptive capacity is strongly correlated with proximity to major urban centres, with the highest capacity clustered around Winnipeg, Saskatoon, Regina, and Calgary, while the lowest capacity is found along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. The study argues that while some low-capacity areas are currently north of historic drought zones, future climate projections suggest moisture deficits may extend into these vulnerable regions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for interventions in remote rural areas, such as improving high-speed Internet access, promoting sustainable soil management, and ensuring fair commodity prices.
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Document type: Research paper
Designing policies in a world of uncertainty, change, and surprise
The report examines adaptive policy-making in the agriculture and water sectors of India and Canada. It proposes a conceptual framework distinguishing between adaptability to anticipated conditions (using 'no-regrets' policies and automatic triggers) and unanticipated conditions (using structured learning and complex adaptive systems principles). Through case studies—including weather-indexed insurance and price policies in India, and the Crow Rate and Conservation Districts in Canada—the authors argue that devolved decision-making and alignment with ecological boundaries (such as watersheds) enhance a policy's ability to respond to unforeseen changes.
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Document type: Report
Agriculture and Climate Change
The report assesses the vulnerability of Canadian Prairie agriculture to climate change, highlighting the historical impact of droughts in the 1930s and 1988. It projects that while warming may extend growing seasons and open northern lands for cultivation, increased evaporation and potential precipitation deficits could lead to more frequent and severe droughts, reducing average potential yields by 10-30%. The document emphasizes the need for policy shifts to incentivize sustainable land management and diversification, noting that current income protection programs may discourage adaptation. It also discusses Canada's potential shift in global competitive advantage, suggesting increased opportunities for wheat and corn exports if other global regions face diminished production.
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Document type: Report
The Effects of Climate Change on Recreation and Tourism on the Prairies
The report examines the vulnerability of the Canadian Prairies' recreation and tourism sectors to climate change. It predicts that rising temperatures will extend the summer season for activities like golfing and camping but will shorten the winter season, threatening the viability of ski resorts. Environmental shifts, including the northward migration of the grassland ecozone and wildlife, are expected to shift hunting and viewing activities north. The document highlights potential socio-economic risks for rural communities diversifying into tourism and warns of increasing resource conflicts over scarce water between recreationists, farmers, and industry.
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Document type: Report
Climate Change Health Impacts across Canada
The document outlines how climate change increases health risks in Canada, including heat-related illness, respiratory diseases, and mental health issues, while detailing specific regional threats from the North to British Columbia.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Water use in Canadian agriculture
The document highlights that only 11% of Canada's 64 million hectares of farming operations are irrigated, while noting that climate change increases the risk of droughts and water shortages. It emphasizes the need for water conservation and collaborative management as water demand rises, noting that 2018 irrigation water use was equivalent to the volume of water flowing over Niagara Falls over two weeks.
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Document type: Fact sheet