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Latest trends in climate litigation against fossil fuel companies
The document identifies a rapid increase in climate lawsuits against major fossil fuel producers, noting that annual filings nearly tripled since 2015. It categorizes these cases into primary types—most notably compensation for climate damages, misleading advertising, and emissions reductions—and highlights emerging trends such as criminal liability claims and challenges to project permitting. The analysis emphasizes the role of attribution science in quantifying corporate liability and the potential for landmark rulings, such as the one against Shell in the Netherlands, to set global precedents.
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Document type: Briefing
CAPE 09-2024_Physician-led call for a cap on oil and gas emissions
A group of Canadian physicians and healthcare professionals is calling for the immediate implementation of a strong emissions cap on the oil and gas sector, arguing that such a measure is critical for both climate mitigation and public health. They advocate for a 45% reduction in emissions below 2005 levels by 2030, asserting that the current proposed framework is insufficiently ambitious. The authors highlight that the oil and gas sector is Canada's largest source of greenhouse gas pollution and that reducing these emissions would significantly lower levels of dangerous air pollutants like NO2, PM2.5, and ozone, potentially preventing thousands of premature deaths and providing billions in economic benefits.
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Document type: Statement
Criminalising Climate Activism: Recent Trends
The document reports a global trend of governments criminalizing environmental protests to protect corporate interests and maintain public order. It details specific crackdowns in Latin America, Asia, Europe, and North America, noting that activists face charges ranging from trespassing to terrorism. The text highlights that this trend extends to international COP conferences and is criticized by the United Nations, which argues that activists perform a vital function in advocating for environmental reforms.
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Document type: Research paper
Geoeconomics of Decarbonization: Climate-Resilient Developmental Regionalism and the AfCFTA
The document analyzes the global race to secure critical minerals, detailing the subsidy-driven strategies of the US, EU, UK, and Canada, and the dominant market position of China in battery production. It argues that African nations can leverage their mineral wealth to drive sustainable structural transformation by adopting a 'climate-resilient developmental regionalism' framework under the AfCFTA, which integrates climate adaptation and mitigation with regional industrialization.
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Document type: Policy brief
Wildfire Risk to Homes, Roads, and Power Lines
Human-caused climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires in the U.S., exposing millions of homes and hundreds of thousands of miles of roads and power lines to risk. Approximately one-third of U.S. homes and 116 million people are located in counties with high or very high wildfire risk, with the highest concentrations in Western states and Florida. Between 2000 and 2019, over 265,000 miles of roads and power lines in the contiguous U.S. were exposed to large fires. The risk is further amplified by the expansion of the wildland-urban interface, which grew by about 31% between 1990 and 2020.
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Document type: Fact sheet
NET ZERO STOCKTAKE 2024
The Net Zero Stocktake 2024 reveals a consolidation of net zero targets across countries, cities, and companies, but highlights a critical gap in integrity. While national targets now cover 87% of global GHG emissions, fewer than 5% of non-state entities meet all minimum procedural and substantive integrity criteria. The report emphasizes that national targets often act as a 'ceiling' for subnational ambition, though some regions in countries like Australia and Japan have historically pushed national goals forward. It also notes that members of the Race to Zero campaign generally outperform non-members on integrity measures, although absolute performance remains low.
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Document type: Report
Climate Risks Associated With New Housing in Canada
The report details a spatial modelling approach to assess climate risks for new housing in Canada, focusing on flood and wildfire hazards under current and 2030 RCP 4.5 scenarios. It describes the allocation of new units across 5,161 census subdivisions and the specific estimation methods used to determine average annual loss (AAL) for these new developments.
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Document type: Report
THE ROAD TO NET ZERO ELECTRICITY IN SASKATCHEWAN
The analysis finds that complying with revised Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) is technically achievable for SaskPower without jeopardizing grid reliability. While the Saskatchewan government previously claimed rates would double by 2035, this modelling indicates that residential electricity rates would only increase by 6–9% relative to a baseline scenario. The CER would significantly reduce cumulative greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2050 by accelerating the adoption of carbon capture and storage and increasing imports of clean electricity from Manitoba.
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Document type: Research paper
LA TRAJECTOIRE DE LA SASKATCHEWAN VERS UNE ÉLECTRICITÉ CARBONEUTRE
The report concludes that Saskatchewan can comply with a revised version of the federal Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) without compromising grid reliability and with only a marginal increase in residential electricity rates (6% to 9% by 2035) compared to SaskPower's reference scenario. Using the COPPER model, the analysis shows that while the CER would require additional capital investments of $4 billion to $6.5 billion by 2035, it would significantly reduce cumulative greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2050 compared to the province's current plans. The report emphasizes the central role of wind power and the importance of federal investment tax credits in maintaining affordability during the transition to net-zero electricity by 2050.
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Document type: Report
Previsiones del transporte marítimo Septiembre 2024
Carbon Market Watch (CMW) assessed several market-based proposals for international shipping decarbonization, scoring them based on alignment with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal, emission reductions, and equity. The analysis highlights that while the IMO's 2023 strategy aims for net-zero emissions by 2050, current measures are insufficient. CMW identifies the proposal by Canada as the strongest (Score A+), citing its high carbon levy of 150 $/tCO2e, while criticizing the Bahamas et al. proposal (Score C) for its reliance on a flexibility compliance mechanism that disincentivizes decarbonization.
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Document type: Policy brief
Prévisions concernant le transport maritime Septembre 2024
Carbon Market Watch (CMW) assessed several market-based measure (MBM) proposals for the international shipping sector, using a methodology developed by CE Delft. The evaluation focused on alignment with the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C goal, immediate emission reductions, support for vulnerable nations and workers, and funding for research and development. The analysis highlights that current IMO strategies are insufficient for 1.5°C alignment and that only proposals with high carbon levies—such as those from Canada and Austria et al.—provide a strong enough price signal to drive the transition to zero-emission technologies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Shipping Forecasts: September 2024 Scoring the decarbonisation proposals under the International Maritime Organisation's market-based measures (MBM) shipping strategies
Carbon Market Watch evaluated several greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing proposals for the International Maritime Organisation (IMO), scoring them based on criteria such as emission reduction potential, support for vulnerable nations, and revenue use for R&D. The analysis finds that while some proposals, such as those from Canada and Belize et al., show strength in levy levels and support for vulnerable nations, others, like the Bahamas et al. proposal, are insufficient as they do not function as robust market-based measures. The document argues that meeting the IMO's net-zero goals by or around 2050 requires ambitious levies and strong enforcement to incentivise zero-emission technologies.
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Document type: Policy brief
STOP FOSSIL FUELS FROM FUELLING CONFLICT
The report examines how fossil fuels correlate with inter-state wars, militarism, and internal violence, while advocating for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty to manage a just transition to renewable energy. It highlights the 'peacetime-wartime continuum' of violence, noting that fossil fuel revenues often fund conflicts and that extraction sites frequently experience human rights abuses and gender-based violence. The document calls for a treaty based on non-proliferation, a fair phase-out, and a global just transition to prevent the replication of colonial extractivist patterns in the renewable energy sector.
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Document type: Report
Global Dialogue on Border Carbon Adjustments
The report examines border carbon adjustments (BCAs) as a tool to prevent carbon leakage, synthesizing views from stakeholders in five countries. It analyzes the risks of carbon leakage—specifically in Canada's heavy industry—and evaluates the design of the EU and UK CBAMs. Key discussions include the challenges of product-level emissions measurement, the need for revenue to support decarbonization in developing nations, and the potential for domestic carbon pricing as a strategic response to foreign BCAs.
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Document type: Report
Manitoba Builds Green
The report argues that Manitoba requires a massive, publicly led effort to implement deep energy retrofits (DERs)—defined as improvements reducing energy use by at least 50%—to meet 2050 net-zero targets. It estimates that 200,000 home retrofits are needed, requiring an annual investment of CAD 1.2 billion. The authors propose the creation of a Manitoba Green Bank to provide low- or no-interest financing and the adoption of a retrofit code by 2025. The strategy emphasizes a 'just transition' by prioritizing low-income renters and utilizing social enterprises to train underrepresented groups, including women and Indigenous Peoples, for the thousands of green jobs expected to be created.
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Document type: Report
Border Carbon Adjustment Mechanisms and Impacts on Vietnam
The report examines how the EU's CBAM and potential future BCAs from other nations affect Vietnam's export-oriented economy, focusing on the iron, steel, aluminum, cement, and fertilizer sectors. It highlights the administrative and financial burdens on Vietnamese enterprises, particularly SMEs, and argues for the development of a domestic carbon pricing mechanism to retain revenues and improve competitiveness. The document also emphasizes the need for technical assistance and the application of the 'common but differentiated responsibilities' principle to ensure fairness for developing nations.
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Document type: Report
Compensation and Damages in Investor-State Dispute Settlement
The report identifies several areas for reform in ISDS compensation, including the definition of compensable loss, the treatment of future profits, and the use of valuation techniques. It suggests that states can limit tribunal discretion by specifying protected interests, capping compensation at the amount invested, or excluding speculative income-based valuation methods like discounted cash flow (DCF). Additionally, it proposes incorporating balancing factors—such as the public interest or the respondent state's GDP—and reforming evidentiary processes to reduce bias from party-appointed experts. The report concludes that these reforms can be implemented through national model treaties, bilateral agreements, or multilateral forums like UNCITRAL Working Group III.
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Document type: Report
Assessment of Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Canada
The report finds that the Government of Canada is providing an inefficient fossil fuel subsidy to the oil industry by charging transportation tolls on the Trans Mountain Pipeline (TMP) that are significantly below marketplace costs. Using three different valuation methods, the report estimates the total subsidy to be between CAD 8.7 billion and CAD 18.8 billion, which translates to a cost of CAD 581 to CAD 1,255 per Canadian household. The analysis concludes that the project fails all criteria for an 'efficient' subsidy and that the overall cost-benefit analysis shows a net cost to Canada of CAD 23.1 billion. To phase out this subsidy, the author recommends either raising tolls to economic levels or implementing a cost-recovery levy of CAD 1.00 to CAD 2.00 per barrel on Western Canadian oil shipments.
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Document type: Report
TARGETING NET ZERO
Reclaim Finance analyzes 243 sectoral targets from 30 global banks, concluding that most are ineffective due to flawed methodologies, partial coverage, and a lack of transparency. The report specifically criticizes the use of PCAF attribution factors, which can make emissions appear to drop even if real-world emissions remain flat. It recommends shifting toward targets based on financing volumes for fossil fuels, absolute sectoral portfolio emissions, and physical intensity for industrial sectors to drive genuine decarbonization.
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Document type: Report
Trade, Circular Economy, and Sustainable Development
The report outlines ten considerations for the design of trade-related circular economy policies and measures (TrCEMs), emphasizing the need for international cooperation to avoid regulatory fragmentation. It highlights the role of the WTO, ISO, and multilateral environmental agreements in aligning definitions and standards. The document specifically addresses the challenges faced by developing countries, such as the need for technical assistance and the risk of a 'circular divide,' and suggests mechanisms like extended producer responsibility (EPR) fee transfers to manage end-of-life products in importing nations.
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Document type: Report